联合国称，各国目前的气候承诺到2035年仅能将全球排放量削减6%，远低于将升温控制在1.5摄氏度左右所需的60%。
World’s climate pledges would cut emissions a tenth of what’s needed: UN The UN said current climate pledges would cut global emissions by only 6% by 2035, far below the 60% needed to keep warming near 1.5 deg C.
该报告涵盖了154个国家的国家自主贡献（NDC），指出即使全面落实包括有条件目标在内的所有承诺，排放量也仅能削减9%。
The report covered 154 countries’ NDCs and said even full delivery, including conditional targets, would cut emissions by just 9%.
联合国气候变化框架公约执行秘书西蒙·斯蒂尔表示，在土耳其举行的第31届缔约方大会（COP31）有助于缩小差距，而气候融资虽增至每年1.9万亿美元，但仍显不足。
UN climate chief Simon Stiell said COP31 in Turkey can help close gaps, while climate finance rose to US$1.9 trillion a year but still falls short.
美国华盛顿——联合国10月27日发布的一份报告称，各国提交的最新气候承诺到2035年仅能将全球温室气体排放量削减6%，距离在土耳其举行的COP31会谈仅剩数周。
AI generated WASHINGTON – The latest climate pledges put forth by nations will cut global greenhouse gas emissions just 6% by 2035, a UN report said on Oct 27, weeks before COP31 talks in Turkey.
科学家指出，要将升温限制在1.5摄氏度，需要相较于2019年水平削减约60%的排放量，这一6%的削减幅度仅为所需量的十分之一，且显著低于2025年的估算，当时美国已退出《巴黎协定》。
That is a tenth of the roughly 60% reduction from 2019 levels that scientists say is needed to limit warming to 1.5 deg C, significantly down from the estimate in 2025 after the United States withdrew from the Paris Agreement.
联合国气候变化框架公约秘书处编制的这份综合报告汇总了154个国家的国家自主贡献（NDC）——即2015年《巴黎协定》项下的强制性提交文件——这些文件提交时间在2024年1月至2026年8月之间，覆盖了全球71%的排放量。
The report by UN Climate Change is a synthesis of 154 countries’ nationally determined contributions (NDCs) – obligatory submissions under the 2015 Paris deal – received between January 2024 and August 2026, covering 71% of global emissions.
报告发现，即使各国全面落实其计划并达成有条件目标，排放削减幅度仍仅为9%。
It found that if the countries fully implemented their plans and also met conditional targets, emissions cuts would still amount to just 9%.
联合国2025年曾估算2035年可削减10%，但那是在大量NDC尚未提交、不得不模拟缺失承诺，且美国尚未被排除在外的情况下得出的。
The UN in 2025 estimated a 10% cut by 2035, but that was before a large number of NDCs had come in, leaving it to model the missing pledges, and before the US was taken out of the equation.
在唐纳德·特朗普总统领导下，美国第二次退出《巴黎协定》，并推行严重偏向化石燃料的政策。
Under President Donald Trump, the US has left the Paris Agreement for a second time and is pursuing policies that heavily favour fossil fuels.
上周，联合国环境规划署发现，全球减排承诺将导致本世纪升温达2.6摄氏度。
Last week, the United Nations Environment Programme found that global commitments to cut planet-heating emissions put the world on course for 2.6 deg C warming this century.
联合国气候变化框架公约执行秘书西蒙·斯蒂尔在一份声明中表示：“第31届缔约方大会（COP31）在土耳其召开，其重点在于支持更多落实行动的切实措施，有助于解决一些关键缺口。”
“With its focus on practical measures to support greater implementation,” the COP31 meeting in Turkey “can help address some of the key gaps,” UN climate chief Simon Stiell said in a statement.
政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）估计，要在2100年将升温幅度控制在比工业化前水平高出1.5摄氏度以内并拥有合理把握，全球温室气体排放量需要在2035年前较2019年水平下降60%。
To have a reasonable chance of limiting warming to 1.5 deg C by 2100 compared to pre-industrial levels, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that global greenhouse gas emissions need to fall by 60% from 2019 levels by 2035.
对于将升温幅度控制在2摄氏度以下——即《巴黎协定》的备选目标——排放量则需要在2035年前下降37%。
For pathways to limiting warming to below 2 deg C – the Paris Agreement’s fallback goal – emissions would need to fall by 37% by 2035.
科学家警告，每增加零点几摄氏度，超过1.5摄氏度的幅度，都会加剧极端天气事件，并增加地球发生不可逆变化的可能性，从珊瑚礁死亡到永久冻土融化。
Scientists warn that every additional fraction of a degree above 1.5 deg C increases extreme weather events and the likelihood of irreversible changes to the planet, from dying coral reefs to melting permafrost.
世界目前已较工业化前时期升温约1.4摄氏度，预计在几年内将突破1.5摄氏度大关。
The world has already warmed roughly 1.4 deg C relative to pre-industrial times, and crossing 1.5 deg C is expected in a matter of years.
联合国在10月27日发布的另一份报告中指出，虽然在增加遏制升温的资金方面已取得进展，但仍远低于所需水平。
In another report released on Oct 27, the UN found that progress has been made in increasing financing to curb warming, but it still falls far short of what is required.
2023年和2024年，全球气候融资流量达到年均1.9万亿美元（约2.4万亿新元）——较2021年和2022年增长32%——主要得益于私营部门对低排放技术的投资，包括可再生能源发电，以及私人家庭对电动汽车和热泵的投资。
Global climate finance flows reached an average of US$1.9 trillion (S$2.4 trillion) per year in 2023 and 2024 – a 32% increase compared with 2021 and 2022 – driven largely by private investment in low-emission technology, including renewable electricity generation, and private household investment in electric vehicles and heat pumps.