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布伦特原油维持在114美元上方;以色列选举不确定性令交易员紧张,油价企稳Brent holds above $114; Oil steadies as Israeli election uncertainty keeps traders on edge

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油价在周三(10月28日)保持稳定,此前经历了两个交易日的下跌,交易员正在权衡一场至关重要的以色列大选,这可能决定美国与伊朗战争的下一阶段走向。布伦特原油在亚洲早盘交易中徘徊在每桶114美元上方,报114.36美元,此前两个交易日累计下跌逾2%。同期,美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)上涨0.3%,报每桶100.24美元。

Oil prices held steady on Wednesday October 28, after two sessions of losses, as traders weighed a crucial Israeli election that could shape the next phase of the US war with Iran. Brent crude hovered above $114 a barrel in early Asian trade, at $114.36, having shed more than 2% over the previous two sessions. The US West Texas Intermediate gained 0.3% to $100.24 a barrel over the same period.

以色列的两份出口民调显示,反对派领导人加迪·艾森科特(Gadi Eisenkot)所在阵营与总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡(Benjamin Netanyahu)所在阵营势均力敌,双方均未获得足够席位组建多数派政府。官方仍在清点选票,该国下届政府归属充满变数。

Two exit polls in Israel showed opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot’s bloc level with that of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with neither side securing enough seats to form a majority. Officials were still counting votes, leaving the country’s next government uncertain.

组建新联合政府可能需要数天甚至数周,这可能使内塔尼亚胡在过渡期内继续留任。这将给他争取时间,在下周美国中期选举后,与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)联手发动新一轮针对伊朗的轰炸行动,而中期选举结果可能显示美国选民是否已转而反对特朗普政府。

Forming a new coalition could take days or even weeks, potentially allowing Netanyahu to remain in office in the interim. That could give him time to join US President Donald Trump in a renewed bombing campaign against Iran after next week’s US midterm elections, which could offer an indication of whether American voters have turned against the Trump administration.

艾森科特将自己定位为比内塔尼亚胡更审慎的替代选择,同时在以色列安全威胁问题上保持强硬立场。他表示,可能需要动用武力遏制伊朗核计划,但排除了寻求推翻伊朗政权的可能,称这“并非可实现的目标”。

Eisenkot has presented himself as a more measured alternative to Netanyahu while maintaining a hard line on Israel’s security threats. He has said military force may be necessary to curb Iran’s nuclear programme, but ruled out seeking to topple the Iranian regime, calling it “not an achievable goal.”

与此同时,在地区外交动态方面,沙特阿拉伯、巴基斯坦和土耳其的官员周一飞抵德黑兰举行会谈。即便如此,伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊(Mojtaba Khamenei)重申了伊朗早已设定的结束战争的条件。美国不会因柴油制裁豁免而对俄罗斯软化立场:能源部长赖特冲突已导致布伦特原油今年累计上涨逾85%。冲突始于2月,当时特朗普和内塔尼亚胡下令对德黑兰发动联合袭击,此后能源供应持续受阻。海湾地区的供应风险依然居高不下。

Meanwhile, in diplomatic developments in the region, officials from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey flew to Tehran for talks on Monday. Even so, the country's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has repeated the conditions Iran already set for ending the war.US not going soft on Russia with diesel sanctions waiver: Energy Secy WrightThe conflict has already lifted Brent by more than 85% this year. It began in February, when Trump and Netanyahu ordered a joint attack on Tehran, and it has disrupted energy flows ever since. Supply risks also remain high in the Gulf.

也门受伊朗支持的胡塞武装多次袭击沙特能源设施,最新一次袭击于周二凌晨在拉斯坦努拉附近引发大火,该地是沙特最大的石油出口终端。据彭博社报道,消防人员已控制住火势,但目前尚未确定造成的损失程度。据彭博社报道

Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels have repeatedly struck Saudi energy infrastructure, with the latest attack starting a fire early on Tuesday near Ras Tanura, the kingdom’s largest oil export terminal. A Bloomberg report said that crews contained the blaze, but nobody has yet established how much damage it caused. With Bloomberg Inputs

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