以色列阿拉伯政党在大选中意外赢得18个议席，较2022年的10个议席近乎翻倍，此前他们发起强力竞选活动，旨在推翻本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。
Israeli Arab parties won a surprise 18 seats, almost doubling from 10 in 2022, after a strong campaign to remove Benjamin Netanyahu.
这一结果使内塔尼亚胡和加迪·艾森科特均未达到组阁所需的61席多数，阿拉伯政党可能决定谁将组建下一届政府。
The result leaves Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot both short of the 61-seat majority, so Arab parties could decide who forms the next government.
艾森科特称此次投票是对内塔尼亚胡的“彻底不信任投票”，而曼苏尔·阿巴斯表示“我们会谈谈”，随着组阁谈判拉开帷幕。
Eisenkot called the vote a “complete vote of no confidence” in Netanyahu, while Mansour Abbas said, “We’ll talk,” as coalition talks begin.
AI生成 耶路撒冷——以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在选举日大半时间都在警告其基本盘，称阿拉伯裔公民正以创纪录数量投票。他说对了。
AI generated JERUSALEM – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spent much of election day warning his base that Arab citizens were voting in record numbers. He was right.
10月27日公布的出口民调显示，两个以色列阿拉伯政党在议会中的席位预计将近乎翻倍至18席，远超预期，此前党领袖动员支持者帮助推翻该国任职时间最长的领导人。
Exit polls on Oct 27 showed the two Israeli Arab parties are likely to have almost doubled their number of seats in Parliament to 18, well ahead of forecasts, after party leaders rallied supporters to help oust the country’s longest serving leader.
这可能使他们成为关键“造王者”，在接下来颇为棘手的组阁谈判中发挥决定性作用——内塔尼亚胡领导的右翼宗教联盟与艾森科特领导的反对派阵营几乎势均力敌。
That could make them kingmakers in what’s likely to be a fraught period of negotiation over who will form the next government and how – with Netanyahu’s right-wing religious alliance and the opposition bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot almost neck and neck.
根据出口民调，艾森科特阵营有望获得以色列120个议会席位中的52席，而内塔尼亚胡阵营为50席。这使双方均远低于组阁所需的61席多数门槛。
Eisenkot’s bloc is on track to secure 52 of Israel’s 120 parliamentary seats, according to exit polls, compared with 50 for Netanyahu. That leaves both well short of the majority of 61 needed to form a government.
艾森科特普遍预计将与一两个阿拉伯政党举行会谈以增加席位，但仍有若干问题待解。
Eisenkot is widely expected to hold talks with one, if not both, of the Arab parties to boost his numbers, although several issues need to be resolved.
这位前军方首脑表示，他不会接受不承认以色列为犹太国家、或不承认哈马斯为必须被瓦解的恐怖组织的政党。
The former military chief has said he won’t accept a party that doesn’t acknowledge Israel as a Jewish state or recognise Hamas as a terrorist organisation that must be dismantled.
这很可能会排除一个以色列阿拉伯政党“联合名单”，尽管其领导人称可从联盟外部支持任何非内塔尼亚胡政府。
That would likely exclude one Israeli Arab party, The Joint List, although its leaders have said they could support any non-Netanyahu government from outside the coalition.
与由曼苏尔·阿巴斯领导、相对温和的拉姆党（即阿拉伯联合名单）达成协议可能更容易，阿巴斯曾于2021年至2022年短暂加入以色列执政联盟。
An accord could be more easily reached with the more moderate Ra’am, also known as the United Arab List, led by Mansour Abbas, who briefly served in an Israeli ruling coalition from 2021 to 2022.
“我相信最终数字会凑齐——我们会谈的，”阿巴斯对以色列第12频道表示。“大家都在跟我们谈，不只是变革阵营。几天前，右翼的一位非常、非常资深的人物找过我。”内塔尼亚胡在争取阿拉伯支持方面处境更艰难，因为他的极右翼盟友肯定会否决任何协议。
“I believe that in the end the numbers will work out – we’ll talk,” Abbas told Israel’s Channel 12. “Everyone is talking to us, not just the change bloc. A few days ago, a very, very senior member of the right approached me.”Netanyahu is in a tougher position when it comes to securing Arab support, given his far-right allies would surely veto any deal.
艾森科特10月27日晚发表声明，称初步结果是“对内塔尼亚胡和10月7日政府的完全不信任投票”，指的是许多以色列人指责总理允许哈马斯于2023年该日期发动袭击。
In a statement late on Oct 27, Eisenkot called the preliminary results a “complete vote of no confidence in the Netanyahu and the Oct 7 government,” a reference to the blame many Israelis attach to the prime minister for allowing the Hamas attack on that date in 2023.
他承诺将“立即采取行动落实民众意愿”。以色列阿拉伯人的惊人表现——他们占该国人口的20%——与2022年赢得的10个席位形成对比。
He promised to “act immediately to implement the will of the people.”The stunning showing of the Israeli Arabs – who make up 20% of the country’s population – compares with the 10 seats they won in 2022.
这两个政党在意识形态和政治策略上存在差异，但在投票前为推翻内塔尼亚胡及其右翼政府，曾在一场高能量的竞选活动中团结一致。
The two parties differ in their ideologies and political strategies but were united ahead of the vote in a high-energy campaign that sought to oust Netanyahu and his right-wing government.
他们表示，自10月7日以来，生活对他们的社区来说几乎变得无法忍受，面对猖獗犯罪时警方的疏忽是个特别突出的问题。
They said life had become all but intolerable for their communities since Oct 7, with police neglect in the face of rampant crime a particular problem.
10月27日全天，内塔尼亚胡发布了身穿罩袍（伊斯兰传统全身服饰）的阿拉伯女性照片，称以色列阿拉伯人高投票率“是生死攸关的大事”。彭博社
Throughout Oct 27, Netanyahu posted photos of Arab women in burqas, the full traditional Islamic dress, saying a high Israeli Arab turnout was “a matter of life and death.”BLOOMBERG