共和党人担心，维韦克·拉马斯瓦米（Vivek Ramaswamy）播出的一则针对其对手疏远母亲的猛烈攻击广告，可能会让他们输掉俄亥俄州州长选举，Axios获悉，新的内部民调显示他落后差距进一步扩大。
Republicans fear that Vivek Ramaswamy 's explosive attack ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother could cost them the Ohio governor's race, based on new internal polling that shows him falling further behind, Axios has learned. Why it matters:
为何重要：民调结果凸显了共和党对拉马斯瓦米决定播放这则针对民主党人艾米·阿克顿（Amy Acton）的深度人身攻击广告的焦虑，尽管一些共和党同僚曾警告此举越界。
The poll's findings underscore Republicans' anxiety over Ramaswamy's decision to air the deeply personal attack on Democrat Amy Acton despite warnings from some fellow Republicans that it crossed a line.
新闻驱动因素：这份由一个共和党团体委托、为Axios所得的私人民调发现，阿克顿以八个百分点领先拉马斯瓦米——领先优势较本月早些时候同一民调中的两个百分点有所扩大，当时该广告尚未于10月19日开始传播。
Driving the news: The private poll, commissioned by a Republican group and obtained by Axios, found Acton leading Ramaswamy by eight points — up from a two-point lead in the same poll earlier this month, before the ad began circulating on Oct. 19.
- 随民调附带的一份备忘录称，该广告“正在对州长选举产生重大影响”。
• The ad "is having a significant effect on the gubernatorial race," a memo attached to the poll states.
快速回顾：这则引发争议的广告邀请了阿克顿疏远的母亲唐娜·阿瑟（Donna Arthur）出镜，她指责女儿撒谎隐瞒童年经历，并敦促俄亥俄州选民不要投票给她。
Catch up quick: The ad at the center of the controversy features Donna Arthur, Acton's estranged mother, who accuses her daughter of lying about her childhood and urges Ohioans not to vote for her.
- 阿克顿曾表示，她12岁时遭继父性虐待，而母亲站在施虐者一边。继父因性侵被起诉，但潜逃至宾夕法尼亚州，于2004年作为逃犯死亡。
• Acton has said she was sexually abused by her stepfather when she was 12 and that her mother sided with her abuser. The stepfather was charged with sexual assault but fled to Pennsylvania, where he died in 2004 as a fugitive.
- 阿克顿和她的兄弟被从母亲监护下带走。阿克顿表示，自1978年以来就未再见过母亲。
• Acton and her brother were removed from their mother's custody. Acton has said she hasn't seen her mother since 1978. Zoom out:
大背景：正如Axios首次报道，拉马斯瓦米竞选团队将该广告视为州长竞选中的“游戏规则改变者”，斥资400万美元在全州范围投放，尽管其他共和党人警告此举可能适得其反。
As Axios first reported Ramaswamy's campaign treated the ad as a game-changer in the campaign for governor, committing $4 million to airing the commercial statewide despite warnings from other Republicans that it could backfire.
- 俄亥俄州州长迈克·德怀恩（Mike DeWine，共和党），曾在阿克顿担任州卫生厅长时与其密切合作，他表示播放该广告是错误的，并敦促拉马斯瓦米撤下广告。
• Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R), who worked closely with Acton when she was the state's health director, said that airing the ad was wrong and urged Ramaswamy to take it down.
- 但特朗普总统和万斯副总统支持拉马斯瓦米。万斯告诉该广告的两党批评者“别再抱怨了”。
• But President Trump and Vice President Vance backed Ramaswamy. Vance told the bipartisan critics of the ad to "stop whining."
耐人寻味的是：为共和党人进行的一项新民调显示，这则广告确实改变了局面——只是并非拉马斯瓦米竞选团队所希望的那种改变。
The intrigue: The new poll done for Republicans indicates that the ad was indeed a game-changer — just not the type Ramaswamy's campaign hoped it would be.
- 附在民调后的一份备忘录称，调查的800名受访者中，86%的人表示他们看到、读到或听说过这则广告。
• A memo attached to the poll said that 86% of the survey's 800 respondents said they had seen, read or heard something about the ad.
- 在表示熟悉这则广告的人中，以2比1的比例表示，这则广告让他们更有可能投票给阿克顿。
• By a 2-to-1 ratio, those who said they were familiar with it said it made them more likely to vote for Acton. Between the lines:
言外之意：全国共和党操盘手担心，针对拉马斯瓦米这则广告的反弹，也可能损害美国参议员、俄亥俄州人乔恩·赫斯特德的连任竞选——而俄亥俄州可能是决定参议院控制权的关键州。
National Republican operatives fear the backlash against Ramaswamy over the ad could also hurt U.S. Sen. Ohio Jon Husted's reelection bid in a state that could be key in determining control of the Senate. • Husted has said he wouldn't have run the ad.
- 赫斯特德曾表示，他不会投放这则广告。
• "Vivek's ad put the whole Republican ticket on defense.
- “维韦克的广告让整个共和党候选人名单陷入守势。他最好祈祷俄亥俄州不会决定参议院多数党归属，”一位已听取该竞选民调简报的共和党操盘手说。
He better hope Ohio doesn't decide the Senate majority," said a GOP operative who has been briefed on polling in the race. The ad was shot months ago
这则广告是几个月前拍摄的一位知情人士说，但内部对是否投放存在抵触——只有一个巨大的例外。
a source familiar with the situation said, but there was internal resistance to running it — with one huge exception.
- “候选人本人就是推动投放的人，”一位接近竞选团队的人士说。
• "The candidate is the one pushing for it," a source close to the campaign said.
- 这则广告最初发布在网上，因为竞选团队在测试其效果。据该消息人士说，广告被发给民调受访者，让他们在电脑和智能手机上观看并评分。
• The ad initially was published online because the campaign was testing to see its effectiveness. The ad was sent it to poll respondents to watch on their computers and smartphones to rate, according to the source.
- “这不在计划之内。但维韦克得到了他想要的，”该消息人士说。“我大概不会投放它。”
• "This was not planned. But Vivek got what he wanted," according to the source. "I probably wouldn't have run it."
不过：萨福克大学另一项民调显示，拉马斯瓦米的落后幅度较小——落后四个百分点，较萨福克9月底的先前调查结果有所改善，当时调查发现阿克顿领先九个百分点。
Yes, but: A separate Suffolk University poll showed a narrower deficit for Ramaswamy — four points, an improvement over Suffolk's previous findings in late September, which found Acton up by nine points.
另一方：拉马斯瓦米为这则广告辩护，称阿克顿歪曲了自己的过去，并回避俄亥俄州选民面临的实质性问题。
The other side: Ramaswamy has defended the ad, arguing that Acton has misrepresented her past and avoided addressing substantive issues facing Ohio voters.
他们怎么说：拉马斯瓦米竞选团队的一名代表拒绝置评。
What they're saying: A Ramaswamy campaign representative declined to comment.
接下来：特朗普定于周三晚间在俄亥俄州奇利科西与拉马斯瓦米和赫斯特德一起竞选。
What's next: Trump is scheduled to campaign in Chillicothe, Ohio, with Ramaswamy and Husted on Wednesday evening.