民主党真的会拿下得克萨斯州吗？如果真如民调所示会出现一股蓝色浪潮，那么赢下孤星州将至关重要。
Are the Democrats really going to take Texas? If there is going to be a blue wave, as polling suggests, winning the Lone Star state is going to be essential.
美国参议院民主党候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科目前领先于肯·帕克斯顿——这位丑闻缠身却总能幸存的政治人物。
James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for US Senate, is currently leading against Ken Paxton, a scandal-ridden political survivor.
就连得州的州长选情——现任州长格雷格·阿博特对阵吉娜·伊诺霍萨——也处于误差范围之内。
Even the gubernatorial race in Texas, pitting Greg Abbot, the current governor, against Gina Hinojosa is within the margin of error.
这些选举，以及最终对美国国会的控制权，很可能由一个关键人群决定——拉丁裔。拉美裔男性是唐纳德·特朗普2024年胜选的关键。
These elections, and ultimately control of the US Congress, are likely to be decided by one key demographic – Latinos. Hispanic men were key to Donald Trump’s 2024 win.
但新闻评论员卡洛斯·爱德华多·埃斯皮纳和民调专家斯蒂芬妮·瓦伦西亚告诉凯·赖特，有迹象表明，经济、特朗普政府的大规模驱逐行动以及共和党的选区重划努力正在适得其反——而拉丁裔今年似乎正重新倒向民主党。
But Carlos Eduardo Espina, a news commentator, and Stephanie Valencia, a pollster, tell Kai Wright there are signs that the economy, the Trump administration’s mass deportation campaign and Republican redistricting efforts are backfiring – and Latinos seem to be swinging back to Democrats this year.
埃斯皮纳和瓦伦西亚剖析了“拉丁裔选票”究竟意味着什么，以及如果民主党不小心行事，这些选民在下一次选举中可能又会迅速倒向另一边。
Espina and Valencia break down what we really mean by 'the Latino vote' and how those voters might just swing right back next election if Democrats aren’t careful.