本周分享的新广告支出数据显示，北卡罗来纳州第一国会选区已成为有记录以来最昂贵的众议院选举。民主党众议员唐·戴维斯（北卡罗来纳州）正在这个重新划分的选区中争取连任，对手是共和党挑战者、退役陆军上校劳里·巴克豪特。据AdImpact统计，迄今为止该选举已花费5290万美元，成为美国历史上最昂贵的众议院大选。
North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District has become the most expensive House race on record, according to new ad spending data shared this week. Democratic Rep. Don Davis (N.C.) is fighting for reelection in this newly-redrawn district against GOP challenger Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel. A striking $52.9 million has been spent on this race so far, making it the most expensive House general election in the country’s history, according to AdImpact.
在这笔总额中，近3000万美元用于支持该选举中的民主党现任议员，而共和党提名人仅获得略高于2300万美元的政治广告支出。民调显示该选区选情胶着，该选区是共和党主导的重新划分行动的产物，目的是为共和党在众议院再添一个席位。无党派选举预测机构《库克政治报告》将这场选举评为“胜负难料”。2024年，第一选区众议院选举的总支出为3850万美元，而2022年选举的支出不到700万美元，戴维斯正是在那一年首次当选。
Nearly $30 million of this grand total has gone toward supporting the Democratic incumbent in this race, while the GOP nominee has received just over $23 million in political ads. Polling has indicated a tight match-up in this district, which was redrawn in a GOP-led effort to secure another seat for Republicans in the House. The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, rates this race as a “toss up.”In 2024, the 1st District House election reported a total of $38.5 million spent in this race, while less than $7 million was spent in the 2022 election, in which Davis was first elected.
在北卡罗来纳州重新划分选区后，共和党人将该选区视为本次中期选举周期中的一个翻盘机会，因为共和党正力争保住对国会两院的控制权。民主党人则力图重新夺回众议院的控制权，截至周四的预测，Decision Desk HQ认为民主党实现这一目标的几率约为80%。参议院控制权之争似乎更为激烈，民主党有60%的几率获得参议院多数席位。
Following North Carolina’s redistricting effort, Republicans saw the district as an opportunity for a pick-up this midterm cycle as the GOP fights to maintain control over both chambers of Congress. Democrats are aiming to retake power in the House, with Decision Desk HQ placing their odds at achieving this at around 80 percent as of a Thursday forecast. The fight for control of the Senate appears tighter, with Democrats having a 60 percent chance of gaining a majority in the upper chamber.
2026年中期选举正逐渐成为历史上最昂贵的选举之一，AdImpact本月早些时候预测，本周期的支出可能很快超过2024年总统选举的112亿美元。在该政治广告支出追踪机构列出的美国历史上最昂贵众议院选举榜单中，十场选举中有八场来自今年。
The 2026 midterms are shaping up to be one of the most expensive elections in history, with AdImpact projecting earlier this month that spending this cycle could soon exceed the $11.2 billion spent in the 2024 presidential election. Eight of the ten races included on the political ad spending tracker’s list of the most expensive House elections in history are from this year.
根据AdImpact的数据，佛罗里达州第25选区和密歇根州第7选区另外两场竞争激烈的众议院选举也打破了此前的支出纪录，分别吸引了4940万美元和4770万美元的支出。纽约州第19国会选区2024年的众议院选举由民主党人乔什·赖利获胜，仍以总计4720万美元的支出位列该榜单第四。此外，缅因州2024年第2选区的选举仍在AdImpact的前十名榜单上。
Two other tight House races in Florida’s 25th District and Michigan’s 7th District have also broken previous spending records, attracting a respective $49.4 million and $47.7 million in spending, according to AdImpact. The 2024 House election in New York’s 19th Congressional District, which Democrat Josh Riley won, still ranks fourth on this list with a total of $47.2 million spent. Additionally, Maine’s 2024 race in the state’s 2nd District remains on AdImpact’s top 10 list.