
罗伯特·尹 华盛顿报道 —— 堪萨斯州民主党正寄希望于卫理公会大型教会牧师亚当·汉密尔顿,实现该党自1932年以来从未做到的壮举:赢得该州的一个联邦参议员席位。
ROBERT YOON WASHINGTON — Kansas Democrats are looking to Methodist megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton to pull off what no one from their party has done since 1932: win one of the state’s U.S. Senate seats.
汉密尔顿正向寻求连任的共和党现任联邦参议员罗杰·马歇尔发起挑战。向日葵州的选民还将选出新一任州长,并决定一整套联邦和州级职位的归属。
Hamilton is challenging U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall as the Republican incumbent seeks a second term. Voters in the Sunflower State will also elect a new governor and decide a full slate of federal and state contests.
共和党以53比47掌握参议院多数席位,但随着民主党候选人在阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯和得克萨斯等一度被认为无望触及的深红州发起了超出预期的强劲挑战,参议院控制权的争夺日趋激烈。
Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, but control of the chamber is increasingly in play as Democratic candidates have waged stronger-than-expected challenges in heavily Republican states once considered beyond their reach, including Alaska, Iowa, Kansas and Texas.
马歇尔于2020年以53%的得票率当选,接替长期担任共和党联邦参议员的帕特·罗伯茨。他在8月4日的初选中面对的对手微不足道,获得约80%的选票。汉密尔顿面临的初选竞争则激烈得多,在另外10名候选人中以约35%的得票率排名第一。
Marshall was elected in 2020 with 53% of the vote to replace longtime Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Roberts. He faced nominal opposition in the Aug. 4 primary , receiving about 80% of the vote. Hamilton faced a much more crowded primary, placing first with about 35% of the vote against 10 other candidates.
在历史上惯于惩罚总统所在政党的中期选举环境下,马歇尔面临逆风。根据美联社-诺克民调,全国范围内多数选民寻求华盛顿的变革。选民对唐纳德·特朗普总统应对高物价和伊朗战争方式的不满,给关键竞选中的共和党候选人带来了拖累,尽管包括科技亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克关联的外部团体在内的深口袋外部团体注入了大量资金。
Marshall has faced headwinds in a midterm campaign environment that historically has punished the president’s party at the ballot box. Across the nation, a majority of voters seek change in Washington, according to AP-NORC polling. Disapproval of President Donald Trump’s handling of high prices and the war in Iran has put a drag on Republican candidates in key contests despite an influx of cash from deep-pocketed outside groups, including one affiliated with tech billionaire Elon Musk.
截至10月14日,汉密尔顿的竞选筹款远超马歇尔,总筹款额和手头现金几乎是现任议员的三倍。全国共和党领袖已从北卡罗来纳州的联邦参议院竞选中调拨资金,以助马歇尔在堪萨斯州一臂之力。自特朗普总统于9月宣布发起中期竞选推动以来,他和副总统JD·万斯已合计三次前往堪萨斯州为马歇尔助选。
Hamilton has far outpaced Marshall in campaign fundraising, almost tripling the incumbent’s total haul and cash on hand as of Oct. 14. National Republican leaders have redirected campaign funds from the U.S. Senate race in North Carolina to boost Marshall in Kansas. Trump and Vice President JD Vance have made a combined three trips to Kansas to campaign for Marshall since the president announced his midterm campaign push in September.
堪萨斯州州长竞选是共和党夺取席位的首要目标,因为民主党籍州长劳拉·凯利因任期限制无法寻求第三个任期。尽管堪萨斯州在全州范围的联邦选举中一贯可靠地支持共和党,但该州也保持着长达60年的纪录,即选民总是选出来自与其直接前任不同党派的州长。
The race for governor is a top pick-up opportunity for Republicans, with Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly barred from seeking a third term. Although Kansas has voted reliably Republican in statewide federal contests, the state also has a 60-year streak of electing governors from the opposite party of their immediate predecessors.
州参议院议长泰·马斯特森是共和党提名人。他在8月4日拥挤的七人初选中以约43%的得票率获胜,得到了特朗普的背书。民主党提名人是州参议员辛迪·霍尔舍。在初选中,她的竞选开支远少于同为州参议员的伊森·科森,后者获得了凯利的背书。但霍尔舍以约49%的得票率击败了科森和奥弗兰帕克市长库尔特·斯库格。
State Senate President Ty Masterson is the Republican nominee. He won the crowded, seven-candidate Aug. 4 primary with about 43% of the vote, aided by a Trump endorsement. The Democratic nominee is state Sen. Cindy Holscher. In the primary, she was heavily outspent by fellow state Sen. Ethan Corson, who had Kelly’s endorsement. But Holscher prevailed with about 49% of the vote against Corson and Overland Park Mayor Curt Skoog.
在全州选举中,共和党通常在全州各地的小型农村县份积累大量胜票,而民主党则倾向于在堪萨斯城、托皮卡及周边地区表现最佳。
In statewide elections, Republicans typically amass large wins in small, rural counties across the state, while Democrats tend to do best in Kansas City and Topeka and the surrounding areas.
特朗普在其三次总统竞选中均赢得了该州,在2024年获得了堪萨斯州约57%的选票。
Trump carried the state in his three presidential campaigns, receiving about 57% of the Kansas vote in 2024.
在2020年和2024年的总统竞选中,民主党人乔·拜登和卡玛拉·哈里斯各自赢得了相同的五个县,这些县是该州最大的县之一:堪萨斯城郊区的约翰逊县,托皮卡地区的肖尼县和道格拉斯县,位于堪萨斯城的怀恩多特县,以及赖利县。两位候选人的全州得票率均未超过42%。
In their 2020 and 2024 presidential campaigns, Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris each carried the same five counties, among the largest in the state: Johnson in the Kansas City suburbs, Shawnee and Douglas in the Topeka area, Kansas City-based Wyandotte, and Riley. Neither candidate surpassed the 42% mark statewide.
凯利在2018年和2022年两次州长选举中的胜利展示了一条霍尔舍可循的可能路径。除了构成该州民主党基本盘的五个县外,她还赢得了威奇托地区的塞奇威克县。
Kelly’s two wins as governor in 2018 and 2022 show a possible path for Hamilton to follow. In addition to the five counties that make up the state’s Democratic base, she also carried Sedgwick County in the Wichita area.
投票于当地时间晚上7点结束,即东部时间晚上8点和9点。该州大部分地区位于中部时区,投票于东部时间晚上8点结束,但部分投票站位于山区时区,于东部时间晚上9点结束。
Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET. Polls in most of the state are in the Central time zone and close at 8 p.m. ET, but some polls are in Mountain time and close at 9 p.m.
美联社将提供美国参议院、众议院、州长、州务卿、州检察长、保险专员、州教育委员会、州众议院以及一项全州范围投票议题的选举结果并宣布获胜者。2022年堪萨斯州参议院选举中,投出的选票超过100万张。
ET. The Associated Press will provide vote results and declare winners for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, governor, secretary of state, attorney general, insurance commission, state board of education, state House and a statewide ballot measure. More than 1 million votes were cast in the 2022 Senate race in Kansas.
2022年堪萨斯州参议院选举中,约40%的选票是通过提前现场投票或邮寄投票投出的。
About 40% of the vote in the 2022 Senate race was cast early, in-person or by mail.
堪萨斯州最新的提前投票总数可在美联社的提前投票追踪器中查看。
The latest advance vote totals for Kansas can be found in the AP’s advance vote tracker .
邮寄选票可在选举日前进行处理。计票工作也可以开始,但最终计票结果可能要等到选举日才能完成。
Mail ballots may be processed before Election Day. Tabulation may also begin but the final count may not be completed until Election Day.
几乎每个堪萨斯州县预计都将在当晚首次更新投票数据时,公布全部或几乎全部的提前现场投票和邮寄投票结果。约三分之一的县预计也将在首次更新时公布全部或几乎全部的选举日现场投票结果。超过一半的县预计不会在首次更新中发布任何选举日现场投票结果。
Almost every Kansas county is expected to release all or almost all of their results from early in-person and mail voting in their first vote updates of the night. About a third of counties also are expected to release all or almost all of their in-person Election Day results in their first updates as well. More than half of counties are not expected to release any in-person Election Day results in their first update.
在2024年大选中,美联社于美国东部时间晚上8:10首次发布结果,即大多数投票站关闭后10分钟。计票进度于东部时间晚上9:48达到一半。当晚最后一次投票数据更新是在东部时间凌晨3:45,此时约有97%的总票数已完成计数。
In the 2024 general election, the AP first reported results at 8:10 p.m. ET, or 10 minutes after most polls closed. The vote count reached the halfway point at 9:48 p.m. ET. The last vote update of the night was at 3:45 a.m. ET with about 97% of total votes counted.
堪萨斯州没有自动重新计票的规定,但候选人无论票差如何都可以申请并支付重新计票的费用。如果申请重新计票的候选人被宣布为获胜者,或者大选中的票差小于0.5%,则免收该费用。选举后会对选定选举中的1%选区进行人工审核。在偶数选举年,如果票差在总投票数的1%以内,选定的联邦、全州和立法选举将接受10%选区的审核。如果美联社能够确定领先优势过大,重新计票或法律挑战无法改变结果,美联社可能会宣布需要重新计票的选举的获胜者。
There are no automatic recounts in Kansas, but candidates may request and pay for one regardless of the vote margin. If the candidate requesting the recount is declared the winner or if the vote margin in a general election is less than 0.5%, the fee is waived. A post-election manual audit is conducted in 1% of precincts for selected races. In even-numbered election years, selected federal, statewide and legislative races are subject to an audit of 10% of precincts if the vote margin is within 1% of total votes cast. The AP may declare a winner in a race that is subject to a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.