民主党潜在2028年总统竞选人正在其信息传递中大举加入抨击人工智能的浪潮，这是据一份独家共享给Axios的分析显示的。
Democrats weighing 2028 presidential bids are piling onto the AI hate wave in their messaging, per an analysis shared exclusively with Axios. Why it matters:
重要性：民主党正在将对人工智能的焦虑转化为2028年大选前的政治动员口号，而共和党在如何应对上仍存在分歧。
Democrats are turning AI anxiety into a political rallying cry ahead of 2028, while Republicans remain divided over how to respond. Driving the news:
新闻背景：据为倡导科技监管的非营利组织Reset Tech进行的Upswing最新研究显示，包括加文·纽森、亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯、卡玛拉·哈里斯、皮特·布蒂吉格、乔恩·奥索夫在内的多位2028年潜在竞选人，近几个月来均增加了关于人工智能的评论。
2028 contenders including Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Ossoff and more have all increased their AI commentary in recent months, per new research from Upswing, conducted on behalf of Reset Tech, a nonprofit advocating for tech regulation.
- 在被点名的21位民主党潜在2028年竞选人中，他们在X平台上的科技相关提及数量近乎翻了四倍，新闻稿中的提及数量自今年初以来近乎翻了三倍。
• Among 21 Democrats named as potential 2028 contenders, tech mentions on X nearly quadrupled, and press release mentions nearly tripled since the start of the year.
- 科技现已成为新闻稿中第二大常见话题，仅次于就业与经济，提及集中度最高的领域是数据中心和学校禁令。
• Tech is now the second-most common topic in releases, trailing only jobs and the economy, with the highest concentration of mentions around data centers and phone bans in schools.
- 为收集数据，Upswing分析了近3万条来自与21位潜在总统竞选人相关的38个账号的X帖子，以及16位现任官员在1月1日至10月15日期间发布的3868份新闻稿。
• To gather the data, Upswing analyzed nearly 30,000 X posts from 38 accounts associated with 21 potential presidential contenders and 3,868 press releases from 16 officeholders between Jan. 1 and Oct. 15.
深层含义：民主党正在围绕人工智能议题凝聚共识，视其为制胜议题。
Between the lines: Democrats are galvanizing around AI as a winning issue.
- Reset Tech美国主任里希·巴尔瓦尼告诉Axios，民主党在人工智能议题上“取得了实质性优势”，此前该议题被视为两大党各有机会的“跳球”状态。
• Democrats are "taking a meaningful advantage" on AI after the topic was initially seen as a "jump ball" for both major political parties, Rishi Bharwani, U.S. director of Reset Tech, told Axios.
- 他补充称，过去六个月里，人工智能监管已从次要议题跃升为首要议题。
• AI regulation has gone from the back burner to a top issue over the last six months, he added.
- 虽然经济仍是选民最关心的议题，但随着人工智能主导市场和宏观经济背景，它正日益成为财经对话的一部分。
• While the economy is still what matters most to voters, AI is increasingly part of the financial conversation as it dominates markets and the macroeconomic backdrop.
聚焦：这不仅仅是信息传递层面。
Zoom in: It's not just messaging.
- 虽然数据中心禁令已在民主党占优和共和党占优的州均被提出，但纽约州目前是唯一通过暂停令的州。
• While data center bans have been proposed in Democratic- and Republican-majority states, New York is so far the only one to pass a moratorium.
众议院民主党人起草了一项决议，反对在所谓的“泡沫”破裂时，政府对人工智能公司进行救助。此外还有各种立法提案，包括模型透明度措施和“熔断开关”。这发生在选民中反人工智能情绪高涨之际。
• House Democrats drafted a resolution opposing government bailouts for AI companies if the so-called "bubble" bursts. • There are also a variety of legislative proposals, including model transparency measures and kill switches. This comes amid a groundswell of anti-AI sentiment among voters.
根据YouGov于9月对近1500名选民进行的一项民调，跨政治光谱的大多数美国人都认真对待人工智能造成危害的风险。该民调称，可能投票者更信任民主党而非共和党来应对人工智能。
• Most Americans across the political spectrum take the risks of AI causing harm seriously, per a September YouGov poll of nearly 1,500 voters. • Likely voters trust Democrats more than Republicans to respond to artificial intelligence, the poll said.
另一方观点：共和党人夹在其基本盘对人工智能感到担忧与特朗普总统对该行业的无条件拥抱之间。
The other side: Republicans are caught between their base being concerned by AI and President Trump's unfettered embrace of the industry.
共和党人正在不同程度上与特朗普保持距离。例如，佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯（Ron DeSantis，共和党-佛罗里达州）一直是推动州层面监管该技术的最响亮声音之一。
• Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump to varying degrees. Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.), for example, has been among the loudest about state-level regulation on the technology. The bottom line:
核心看点：民主党正在围绕对人工智能采取更批判性的立场达成共识，但这能否对选举产生实质性影响仍有待观察。
Democrats are coalescing around a more critical stance on AI, but whether it meaningfully impacts elections remains to be seen.