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佐治亚州中期选举:为何这里是美国关键战场Georgia midterm elections: Why this is a key US battleground

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佐治亚州是下周美国中期选举前夕,各方争夺最激烈的几个关键“摇摆州”或“战场州”之一。

Georgia is among a number of key “swing” or “battleground” states being fought for hardest in the run-up to the United States midterm elections next week.

近年来,这个南方州在联邦选举周期中竞争如此激烈,以至于其最近三场参议院对决均进入了决选。

The southern state has been so competitive in recent federal election cycles that its three most recent Senate matchups went to runoffs.

在竞选冲刺阶段,共和党和民主党均投入了大量时间和资源试图赢下该州。

Both the Republican and the Democratic parties have spent considerable time and resources trying to win the state during the closing stretch of their campaigns.

美国总统特朗普和前总统奥巴马本周均在佐治亚州举行了集会,双方在下周投票前抛出各自的收官信息。为什么佐治亚州对中期选举如此关键?

US President Donald Trump and former US President Barack Obama both held rallies in Georgia this week, as the parties present their closing messages ahead of next week’s vote. Why is Georgia such a key state for the midterms?

佐治亚州是特朗普重点关注的州份,他在过去两周内曾两次前往佐治亚州多尔顿市造势。

Georgia is a major focus for Trump, and he has campaigned twice in Dalton, Georgia, in the past two weeks.

对总统而言,该州是个人怨愤的来源,主要因为这是他在2020年大选失利后提出异议的地方。

The state is a source of personal grievance for the president, primarily because it was where he disputed his preelection loss in 2020.

特朗普在败给拜登后拒绝认输,但在包括佐治亚州在内的多个州均未能推翻结果。

Trump refused to concede to Joe Biden following his defeat but failed to overturn the results in several states, including Georgia.

2021年1月,特朗普曾敦促佐治亚州一名官员重新计算该州总统选举结果以利于他。特朗普称:“我只想找到11,780张选票,比我们现有的多一张。”

In January, Trump urged a Georgia official to recalculate the state’s presidential election results in his favour. Trump said “I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have”.

2023年,特朗普等人因试图推翻2020年美国大选在佐治亚州的失利而被起诉。该案在特朗普重返白宫后被“完全驳回”。

In 2023, Trump and others were charged with attempting to overturn the 2020 US election loss in Georgia. That case was dismissed “in its entirety” after Trump was returned to office.

在2024年连任竞选期间,特朗普重提未经证实的指控,称其2020年失利系“大规模舞弊”所致,尽管审计结果确认了拜登获胜。

During his re-election campaign in 2024, Trump revived unfounded claims that his loss in 2020 was the result of “massive fraud”, despite audits which upheld Biden’s win.

2024年,佐治亚州以2.2个百分点的优势投票支持特朗普。观察人士称,这是特朗普在50个州中第28大的优势,使该州成为这一次可能倒向任何一方的州份。佐治亚州民调显示什么?佐治亚州将选出州长、一名参议员及其众议院议员。

In 2024, Georgia voted for Trump by a 2.2 percentage point margin. It was the 28th largest margin for Trump among the 50 states, leaving the state as one which could go either way this time, observers say. What does polling in Georgia show? Georgia will be voting for its Governor, one senator and its House representatives.

根据 MS NOW 的民调平均值,在参议员竞选中,现任民主党人乔恩·奥索夫以 52.6% 对 42.4% 领先共和党人迈克·柯林斯,优势稳固。

For the Senate, incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff has a solid lead of 52.6 percent to Republican Mike Collins’ 42.4 percent, according to MS NOW polling averages.

然而,民调显示州长竞选胶着。民主党人凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯对阵共和党人里克·杰克逊。两人竞逐接替共和党人布莱恩·肯普,后者不得寻求第三个任期。

Polls indicate a tight Governor’s race, however. Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms is up against Republican Rick Jackson. They are running to succeed Republican Brian Kemp, who cannot seek a third term.

选民还将选出佐治亚州 14 个国会选区的众议员,以及副州长、检察长和州务卿。佐治亚州派往国会的 14 名众议员中,目前有 9 名共和党人、5 名民主党人。参议员竞选的关键竞争者是谁?

Voters will also be choosing representatives for Georgia’s 14 congressional districts as well as Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General and Secretary of State. Of the 14 representatives Georgia sends to Congress, nine are currently Republican, while five are Democratic. Who are the key contenders for the Senate?

现任参议员奥索夫正在寻求连任。他在 2021 年通过决选险胜共和党参议员大卫·珀杜赢得席位。他是近四十年来当选参议员的最年轻民主党人,也是佐治亚州首位犹太裔参议员。他以负担得起的生活成本、医疗保健和政府问责为竞选主轴。奥索夫在多场集会上指责特朗普及其盟友腐败且存在利益冲突。

Incumbent Ossoff is seeking a second term as a Georgia senator. He won his seat in 2021, narrowly defeating Republican Senator David Perdue in a run-off. He was the youngest Democrat elected to the Senate in almost four decades and Georgia’s first Jewish senator. He is campaigning on affordability, healthcare and government accountability. Ossoff has accused Trump and his allies of corruption and conflicts of interest in many of his rallies.

也许你见过特朗普绝望得向普京乞求柴油。但听听这个:就在那同一时间,白宫正在斡旋将数十亿美元的俄罗斯能源资产出售给资助特朗普家族和特朗普竞选团队的人。pic.twitter.com/h5WgPtHpkR— Jon Ossoff (@ossoff) 2026 年 10 月 20 日腐败也是奥巴马周三在佐治亚州集会的主题,他在会上表示特朗普“非常专注于让自己、家人和亲信发财”。

Maybe you saw Trump's so desperate he's begging Putin for diesel. But listen to this: At the very same time, the White House is brokering the sale of billions in Russian energy assets to people who fund the Trump family and the Trump campaign. pic.twitter.com/h5WgPtHpkR — Jon Ossoff (@ossoff) October 20, 2026 Corruption was also a theme for Obama during his rally in Georgia on Wednesday, in which he said Trump was “very much focused on enriching himself and his family and his cronies”.

“这个家伙在任期间赚了数十亿美元。我们从未见过一位总统如此热衷于兜售恩惠,”他说,呼应了几天前他在另一个摇摆州密歇根州的演讲。

“The guy has made billions of dollars while in office. We have never seen a president so intent on selling favours like this,” he said, echoing a speech he made days earlier in Michigan, another swing state.

奥索夫的共和党对手柯林斯于 6 月通过决选赢得提名。柯林斯以推行特朗普议程、严格执法移民和精简政府为竞选纲领。

Ossoff’s Republican rival won his nomination in June in a run-off. Collins is campaigning on Trump’s agenda, immigration enforcement and smaller government.

在下周中期选举前的最后冲刺集会上,特朗普反复表示,他将奖励那些为他投票的州。

During his last-minute rallies ahead of next week’s midterms, Trump has repeatedly said he will reward states that vote for him.

特朗普告诉柯林斯,他可以随时给他打电话,为本州寻求帮助。但他警告说,如果佐治亚州连任奥索夫,情况可能就不一样了。

Trump told Collins he can call him whenever he wants help for his state. But he warned that if Georgia reelects Ossoff, it could be another story.

在集会上,特朗普演绎了一个假设场景:奥索夫打电话为本州要钱,特朗普回应说:“我才不在乎他想要什么。”NBC进行自己的民调,已将佐治亚州预测为“倾向民主党”。签署、盖章、送达。pic.twitter.com/XFBZ5mo2Gw— 众议员迈克·柯林斯 (@RepMikeCollins) 2025年1月29日谁是州长选位的主要竞争者?

Trump acted out a hypothetical scenario at his rally where Ossoff called to ask for money for his state, with Trump responding, “I don’t give a damn what he wants.”NBC, which carries out its own polling, has forecast Georgia as “Likely Democratic”. Signed, sealed, delivered. pic.twitter.com/XFBZ5mo2Gw — Rep. Mike Collins (@RepMikeCollins) January 29, 2025 Who are the key contenders for governor?

NBC民调显示,民主党和共和党之间可能出现“势均力敌”的局面。

NBC polling points to a potential “toss-up” between the Democratic and Republican parties.

前亚特兰大市长基莎·兰斯·博特姆斯作为民主党竞争者,以负担能力、医疗保健获取、教育经费和环境监管为竞选纲领。她的竞选团队表示,她旨在“为工薪家庭兑现承诺,在华盛顿带来的不确定性和混乱之中,为佐治亚州带来稳健领导”。如果她获胜,将成为美国历史上首位当选州长的黑人女性。

Former Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, the Democratic contender, is campaigning on affordability, healthcare access, education funding, and environmental regulation. Her campaign says she aims to “deliver for working families and bring steady leadership to Georgia in the midst of uncertainty and chaos coming from Washington”. If she wins, she would become the first black woman elected governor in the US.

与令人惊叹的群众共度一个充满力量的夜晚!佐治亚州人已准备好选举基莎·兰斯·博特姆斯为佐治亚州下一任州长。让我们实现它,伙计们!pic.twitter.com/eNr3TJoTFB— 基莎竞选佐治亚州长 (@KeishaForGA) 2026年10月30日博特姆斯的对手是72岁的亿万富翁里克·杰克逊,他指责博特姆斯在担任亚特兰大市长期间未能应对犯罪。

Powerful night with an amazing crowd! Georgians are ready to elect Keisha Lance Bottoms as Georgia’s next governor. Let’s make it happen, y’all! pic.twitter.com/eNr3TJoTFB — Keisha For Georgia (@KeishaForGA) October 30, 2026 Bottoms is up against 72-year-old billionaire Rick Jackson, who has accused her of failing to deal with crime during her tenure as Atlanta mayor.

杰克逊已花费超过2亿美元个人资金投放广告,内容涉及2020年白人亚特兰大警察杀害手无寸铁的黑人雷沙德·布鲁克斯后,亚特兰大发生的示威和暴力事件。该杀人案发生时博特姆斯正担任亚特兰大市长。基莎有一连串借口。我一生都在解决问题。

Jackson has spent more than $200m of his own money on advertisements featuring demonstrations and violence in Atlanta following the killing of Rayshard Brooks , an unarmed black man, by a white Atlanta police officer in 2020. The killing happened while Bottoms was Atlanta mayor. Keisha has a record of excuses. I have spent my life solving problems.

这就是这场竞选的区别,我们不会让她毁了佐治亚州,就像她差点毁了亚特兰大一样。谢谢,门罗!pic.twitter.com/8IMheoItof— 里克·杰克逊 (@RickJacksonGA) 2026年10月29日据佛罗里达大学选举实验室统计,美国人已经投票数周,目前已有4000万张选票投出。在2022年上届中期选举中,共有4590万美国人提前投票。

That’s the difference in this race, and we aren’t going to let her ruin Georgia the way she nearly ruined Atlanta. THANK YOU, Monroe! pic.twitter.com/8IMheoItof — Rick Jackson (@RickJacksonGA) October 29, 2026 Americans have been voting for weeks, with 40 million ballots already cast, according to the University of Florida’s election lab. A total of 45.9 million Americans voted early in the last midterm elections in 2022.

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