亚利桑那州民主党籍州长凯蒂·霍布斯在周二的选举日寻求连任，但面临共和党籍联邦众议员安迪·比格斯的挑战。选民还将决定一整套竞选结果，包括联邦众议院和州议会竞选，这些结果可能改变华盛顿和州政府的权力平衡。
Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs of Arizona is seeking a second term on Election Day, but faces a challenge from Republican Rep. Andy Biggs. ROBERT YOON WASHINGTON — Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs of Arizona seeks a second term Tuesday but faces a challenge from Republican Rep. Andy Biggs. Voters will also decide a full slate of contests, including congressional and state legislative races that could shift the balance of power both in Washington and in the state government.
亚利桑那州州长职位是共和党在中期选举环境中的首要夺权机会，历史上选民在中期选举中惩罚占据白宫的政党。获胜者的全州政治组织可能在2028年总统大选中发挥重要作用，届时亚利桑那州预计再次成为关键战场州。
The Arizona governorship is a top takeover opportunity for Republicans in a midterm environment in which voters historically have punished the party occupying the White House. The winner’s statewide political organization could play an important role in the 2028 presidential campaign, when Arizona again is expected to be a critical battleground.
霍布斯于2022年当选，以50.3%对49.7%击败共和党人卡里·莱克。美联社在选举日六天后宣布霍布斯获胜，但莱克从未认输。在唐纳德·特朗普2024年赢得的七个由民主党州长执政的州中，只有两位州长今年面临连任：霍布斯和宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗。
Hobbs was elected in 2022 defeating Republican Kari Lake, 50.3% to 49.7%. The Associated Press declared Hobbs the winner six days after Election Day, though Lake never conceded. Of the seven Democratic governors in states Donald Trump carried in 2024, only two are up for reelection this year: Hobbs and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.
比格斯正在担任第五届联邦众议员，曾任保守派众议院自由核心小组主席。在获得特朗普总统背书后，他在7月21日的初选中轻松击败八届众议员大卫·施韦克特和其他两人。
Biggs is serving his fifth term in Congress and previously chaired the conservative House Freedom Caucus. Endorsed by President Trump, he easily defeated eight-term Rep. David Schweikert and two others in the July 21 primary.
在接替施韦克特竞争第1国会选区的竞选中，共和党提名了体育播音员、前亚利桑那红雀队踢球手杰伊·菲利。民主党再次提名前州众议员阿米什·沙阿，他在2024年以48%的得票率对阵施韦克特。
In the race to replace Schweikert in the 1st Congressional District, Republicans have nominated sportscaster and former Arizona Cardinals placekicker Jay Feely. Democrats again nominated former state Rep. Amish Shah, who received 48% of the vote against Schweikert in 2024.
菲利最初在竞选第5国会选区，但特朗普背书了另一位候选人，并鼓励菲利在另一个选区参选或竞选其他职位。菲利转战第1选区，特朗普同时背书了他和该选区另一位候选人，后者随后退出竞选州务卿。
Feely initially ran in the 5th Congressional District, but Trump endorsed another candidate and encouraged Feely to run in another district or for a different office. Feely switched to the 1st District, and Trump endorsed both him and another candidate in the race, who later dropped out to run for secretary of state.
第1国会选区包括斯科茨代尔和菲尼克斯北部部分地区，完全位于马里科帕县内。在寻求连任的竞选中，施韦克特在2024年获得51.9%的选票，在2022年获得50.4%。在2024年总统大选中，特朗普在该选区获得约51%的选票，而时任民主党副总统卡马拉·哈里斯获得约48%。
The 1st Congressional District includes Scottsdale and parts of northern Phoenix and lies entirely within Maricopa County. In seeking reelection, Schweikert received 51.9% in 2024 and 50.4% in 2022. In the 2024 presidential contest, Trump received about 51% of the district’s vote, compared with about 48% for then-Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.
民主党夺回众议院控制权的希望寄托的另一个共和党把持席位是第6国会选区，现任众议员胡安·西斯科马尼正在争取第三个任期。民主党提名人是海军陆战队退伍军人乔安娜·门多萨。两人在各自的初选中均无对手。
Another Republican-held seat central to Democratic hopes of retaking the House is the 6th Congressional District, where Rep. Juan Ciscomani is seeking a third term. The Democratic nominee is Marine Corps veteran JoAnna Mendoza. Both were unopposed in their primaries.
共和党众议员伊莱·克雷恩在争取第2国会选区连任的竞选中也面临激烈角逐。他将与前纳瓦霍族总统乔纳森·内兹再次交锋。克雷恩在2024年以近55%的得票率赢得第二个任期，内兹获得略超45%的选票。
Republican Rep. Eli Crane also is in a competitive reelection bid in the 2nd Congressional District. He faces a rematch with former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez. Crane won a second term in 2024 with nearly 55% of the vote, compared to just over 45% for Nez.
所有30个州参议院席位和所有60个州众议院席位均将改选。共和党在两院均占据微弱多数。民主党自1992年以来未控制州参议院，自1966年以来未控制州众议院，那也是该党最后一次同时控制州长职位和两院多数。
All 30 state Senate seats and all 60 state House seats are up for election. Republicans hold slim majorities in both chambers. Democrats have not controlled the state Senate since 1992 or the state House since 1966, the last time the party controlled the governorship and both chambers simultaneously.
马里科帕县是亚利桑那州15个县中人口最多、在全州选举中影响力最大的县。该县拥有菲尼克斯、斯科茨代尔、坦佩和梅萨等城市，在2024年总统大选中占全州总票数的约61%。皮马县以约15%位居第二，差距悬殊。
Maricopa County is the most populous of Arizona’s 15 counties and by far the most influential in statewide elections. Home to Phoenix, Scottsdale, Tempe and Mesa, it accounted for about 61% of the state’s total vote in the 2024 presidential race. Pima County was a distant second with about 15%.
回溯至2012年的历次全州选举中，民主党候选人在胜负皆有的竞选中均赢下了阿帕奇、科科尼诺、皮马和圣克鲁斯这四个县。在每一次竞选中，赢得马里科帕县的候选人最终都在全州范围内获胜。
In statewide elections going back to 2012, Democrats have always carried four Arizona counties in both winning and losing campaigns: Apache, Coconino, Pima and Santa Cruz. In each of those races, the candidate who carried Maricopa won statewide.
以下是关于此次选举的一些关键事实，以及美联社决策小组将在计票过程中监测的数据点：投票何时结束？
Here are some of the key facts about the election and data points the AP Decision Team will monitor as the votes are tallied:
投票于当地时间下午7点结束，即美国东部时间晚上9点。在东部时间晚上10点之前，或在所有选区报告结果之前（以先到者为准），不会公布任何结果。选票上有什么？
When do polls close? Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is 9 p.m. ET. No results will be released before 10 p.m. ET or until all precincts have reported, whichever is first. What’s on the ballot?
美联社将提供众议院、州长、州务卿、州检察长、州财政部长、州公共教育监督长、州矿产监察长、公司委员会委员和州最高法院的选举结果并宣布获胜者。实际有多少人投票？
The Associated Press will provide vote results and declare winners for House, governor, secretary of state, attorney general, treasurer, superintendent of public instruction, state mine inspector, corporation commissioner and state Supreme Court. How many people actually vote?
在亚利桑那州2022年联邦参议员选举中，约有260万张选票被投出。有多少比例的选票是提前投票或缺席投票投出的？
About 2.6 million votes were cast in Arizona’s 2022 U.S. Senate election. How much of the vote is cast early or by absentee ballot?
在2022年参议员选举中，约81%的选票是通过提前现场投票或邮寄方式投出的。
About 81% of the vote in the 2022 Senate election was cast in person early or by mail.
亚利桑那州最新的提前投票总数可在美联社的提前投票追踪器中查看。提前投票和缺席投票何时公布结果？
The latest advance vote totals for Arizona can be found in the AP’s advance vote tracker When are early and absentee votes released?
在亚利桑那州，县选举官员可在选举日前开始处理和统计邮寄选票，一旦收到即可处理，这些选票是投票结束后最先报告的结果。亚利桑那州各县倾向于在当晚第一次投票更新中，公布所有或几乎所有的提前现场投票结果，以及相当大比例的邮寄投票结果，通常在任何选举日现场投票结果报告之前。
In Arizona, county officials may begin processing and tabulating mail ballots before Election Day as soon as they arrive, and these are the first to be reported after polls close. Arizona counties tend to release all or almost all of their results from early in-person voting, as well as a significant amount of results from mail voting, in the first vote update of the night, usually before any in-person Election Day votes are reported.
选举日当天送达的邮寄选票统计耗时更长，因为选举工作人员要等到投票结束后才开始处理或核实这些选票。在马里科帕县，2022年中期选举中投出的近160万张选票中，约20%是选举日当天投递的邮寄选票。计票通常需要多长时间？
Mail ballots that are delivered on Election Day take much longer to tabulate because election workers do not begin processing or verifying them until after polls close. In Maricopa County, about 20% of the nearly 1.6 million votes cast in the 2022 midterms were mail ballots dropped off on Election Day. How long does vote counting usually take?
在2024年大选中，美联社于东部时间晚上10点首次公布结果，即投票结束一小时后，这是法律允许的最早发布时间。计票于东部时间晚上10点12分达到一半进度。当晚最后一次投票更新是在周三早上东部时间6点30分，此时约有66%的总票数完成计票。美联社何时将宣布获胜者？
In the 2024 general election, the AP first reported results at 10 p.m. ET, one hour after polls closed, which is the earliest release time allowed by law. The vote count reached the halfway mark at 10:12 p.m. ET. The last vote update of the night was at 6:30 a.m. ET Wednesday morning with about 66% of total votes counted. When will the AP declare a winner?
美联社不做预测，只有在确定落后候选人没有任何可能缩小差距的情况下才会宣布获胜者。如果某场竞选尚未有结果，美联社将继续报道任何有新闻价值的事态发展，例如候选人承认败选或宣布获胜。在这样做时，美联社将明确表示尚未宣布获胜者，并解释原因。重新计票是如何进行的？
The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow a trailing candidate to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why. How do recounts work?
在亚利桑那州，如果票差在总票数的0.5%或以下，就会自动重新计票。如果美联社能够确定领先优势大到重新计票或法律挑战都无法改变结果，就可能宣布一场需要重新计票的竞选的获胜者。
In Arizona, recounts are automatic if the vote margin is 0.5% of the total vote or less. The AP may declare a winner in a race that is subject to a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.