
罗伯特·尹 华盛顿报道 —— 爱荷华州选民周二将在竞争激烈的众议院和参议院选举中投票,这将决定国会两院的控制权归属。选民还将选出新一任州长,这让民主党寄希望于结束该党在该州最高行政职位上长达16年的空白期。
ROBERT YOON WASHINGTON — Control of both chambers of Congress hangs in the balance Tuesday as Iowa voters decide competitive House and Senate races. Voters in the Hawkeye State are electing a new governor as well, giving Democrats hopes of ending a 16-year drought for the state’s highest office.
爱荷华州两位最知名的共和党民选官员——州长金·雷诺兹和参议员乔尼·恩斯特——相继宣布不寻求连任,这一连锁反应波及整张选票,为爱荷华州民主党创造了机会,也引发政客们争相角逐更高职位。
The retirement announcements of two of Iowa’s most prominent Republican elected officeholders, Gov. Kim Reynolds and Sen. Joni Ernst, have rippled across the ballot, creating an opening for Iowa Democrats as politicians jockey for higher office.
共和党联邦众议员阿什利·辛森和民主党州众议员乔什·图雷克正在竞逐恩斯特的参议员席位。恩斯特2014年的胜利帮助共和党在奥巴马总统任期最后两年夺得参议院多数党地位。如果图雷克获胜,可能帮助民主党在特朗普总统第二个任期剩余时间里实现同样的目标。
Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek are competing to succeed Ernst, whose 2014 victory helped secure a Republican Senate majority for the final two years of President Barack Obama’s administration. A win by Turek could help Democrats do the same for the rest of President Donald Trump’s second term.
辛森和图雷克均在6月2日的初选中轻松赢得本党提名。辛森以74%的得票率击败前州参议员吉姆·卡林,而图雷克以约63%的得票率战胜州参议员扎克·沃尔斯。
Both Hinson and Turek easily won their parties’ nominations in the June 2 primary . Hinson received 74% of the vote against former state Sen. Jim Carlin, while Turek received about 63% against state Sen. Zach Wahls.
在筹款方面,图雷克大幅领先辛森,自7月1日以来筹得约1800万美元,而辛森约为390万美元。但在资金雄厚的外部团体帮助下,辛森保持了竞争力,据广告追踪公司AdImpact统计,与共和党参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩有关联的一个超级政治行动委员会已投入3600万美元用于广告支出。
Turek has far outraised Hinson, bringing in about $18 million since July 1, compared to about $3.9 million for Hinson. But Hinson has remained competitive with help from deep-pocketed outside groups, including $36 million in ad spending by a super PAC affiliated with Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune, according to the ad tracking firm AdImpact.
在州长竞选中,共和党人扎克·拉恩对阵民主党人罗布·桑德。拉恩是一名企业家和私立学校联合创始人,在6月初选中击败了获得特朗普背书的候选人、联邦众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉。桑德是州审计长,也是爱荷华州唯一一位担任民选全州性职务的民主党人,他在初选中无人竞争,自动获得提名。
In the race for governor, Republican Zach Lahn faces Democrat Rob Sand . Lahn, an entrepreneur and private school co-founder , upset the Trump-endorsed candidate , Rep. Randy Feenstra , in the June primary . Sand, the state auditor and Iowa’s only Democrat in elected statewide office, was unopposed for the nomination.
辛森的参议院竞选导致第2国会选区出现无现任议员竞逐的空缺席位。她在2024年以57%的得票率成功连任,但今年该席位已成为全美最具竞争力的选区之一。
Hinson’s Senate campaign has created an open-seat contest in the 2nd Congressional District. She won reelection in 2024 with 57% of the vote, but this year, the seat is among the most competitive in the nation.
在爱荷华州其他竞争激烈的国会选区中,共和党籍联邦众议员、第一选区的玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯和第三选区的扎克·纳恩均在寻求连任。米勒-米克斯将与前州众议员克里斯蒂娜·博汉南再次交锋,后者在2024年最胶着的联邦众议院竞选之一中,仅以1个百分点之差落败。纳恩则面临民主党籍州参议员莎拉·特龙·加里奥特的强劲挑战。
In Iowa’s other hotly contested congressional seats, Republican Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks of the 1st District and Zach Nunn of the 3rd District are both seeking reelection. Miller-Meeks faces a rematch with former state Rep. Christina Bohannan, who came within 1 percentage point of unseating her in one of the closest U.S. House races of 2024. Nunn faces a tough challenge from Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott.
特朗普在第一和第二国会选区均获得约54%的2024年大选选票,在第三选区获得约52%。他于10月22日在苏城举行集会,为辛森、拉恩及其他共和党候选人助选。
Trump received roughly 54% of the 2024 presidential vote in both the 1st and 2nd Congressional Districts and about 52% of the 3rd District vote. He campaigned for Hinson, Lahn and other Republican candidates at a rally in Sioux City on Oct. 22.
爱荷华州在千禧年伊始曾是竞争激烈的总统选战摇摆州,但随着特朗普三次赢得该州,最近一次是2024年以13个百分点的优势获胜,该州已急剧向共和党倾斜。爱荷华州选民已逾十年未选出民主党籍州长或联邦参议员,且已有24年未在同一年将这两个职位同时交给民主党人。
Iowa began the millennium as a competitive presidential battleground, but the state made a hard turn toward Republicans as Trump carried the state three times, most recently in 2024 by a 13-point margin. It’s been more than a decade since Iowans elected either a Democratic governor or U.S. senator and 24 years since they elected Democrats to both offices in the same year.
在全州范围选举中,民主党候选人往往在得梅因(波尔克县)、锡达拉皮兹(林县)、爱荷华城(约翰逊县)、艾姆斯(斯托里县)和滑铁卢(布莱克霍克县)等人口中心表现最佳,而共和党则在全州各地较小、更偏远的农村县份建立宽幅领先。共和党在爱荷华州西部的伍德伯里县也表现良好,特朗普正是在那里举行集会。
In statewide elections, Democratic candidates tend to perform best in Iowa’s population centers around Des Moines (Polk County), Cedar Rapids (Linn County), Iowa City (Johnson County), Ames (Story County) and Waterloo (Black Hawk County), while Republicans post wide margins in smaller, more rural counties across the state. Republicans also tend to do well in Woodbury County in western Iowa, where Trump held his rally.
两个关键的州级摇摆战场是达拉斯县(西得梅因所在地)和斯科特县(达文波特所在地)。
Two key state battlegrounds are Dallas County, which is home to West Des Moines, and Scott County, which is home to Davenport.
特朗普三次均以微弱优势拿下达拉斯县,得票率从未超过51%。在2022年竞选连任州审计长时,桑德在达拉斯县以约7个百分点获胜,并在斯科特县以微弱劣势落败。副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年于斯科特县以更大差距落败,但民主党人希拉里·克林顿和乔·拜登分别在2016年和2020年于该县以微弱优势击败特朗普。投票将于美国中部时间晚上8点(美国东部时间晚上9点)截止。
Trump narrowly carried Dallas County all three times, never surpassing 51%. In his 2022 reelection bid for state auditor, Sand carried Dallas County by about 7 percentage points and narrowly lost Scott County. Vice President Kamala Harris lost Scott County by a wider margin in 2024, but Democrats Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden both edged Trump there in 2016 and 2020, respectively. Polls close at 8 p.m. CT, which is 9 p.m.
美联社将提供美国参议院、众议院、州长、州务卿、州审计长、州财长、州农业部长、州检察长、州参议院、州众议院以及一项全州范围投票议题的选举结果并宣布获胜者。爱荷华州2022年联邦参议员选举共投出约120万张选票。
ET. The Associated Press will provide vote results and declare winners for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, governor, secretary of state, state auditor, treasurer, agriculture secretary, attorney general, state Senate, state House and a statewide ballot measure. About 1.2 million votes were cast in Iowa’s 2022 U.S. Senate race.
爱荷华州2022年联邦参议员选举中,约30%的选票为提前现场投票或邮寄投票。
About 30% of the vote in Iowa’s 2022 U.S. Senate race was cast early in-person or by mail.
爱荷华州最新的提前投票总数可在美联社的提前投票追踪器中查看。
The latest advance vote totals for Iowa can be found in the AP’s advance vote tracker .
预计约十分之九的县将在当晚首次更新投票结果时,公布全部或几乎全部的邮寄缺席投票和现场缺席投票结果。大多数县预计也将在当晚开始时公布至少部分选举日现场投票计数。
About nine out of every 10 counties are expected to release all or almost all of their absentee-by-mail and in-person absentee voting results in their first vote updates of the night. A majority of counties also are expected to release at least some in-person Election Day counts at the start of the night.
在人口最多的波尔克县、斯科特县和布莱克霍克县,首批报告预计将包含所有投票类型的结果。在林县、约翰逊县和达拉斯县,预计将先公布提前现场投票和邮寄投票结果,随后才是选举日现场投票结果。
In the largest counties of Polk, Scott and Black Hawk, the first reports are expected to include results from all vote types. In Linn, Johnson and Dallas counties, early in-person and mail results are expected before in-person Election Day results.
选票可在选举日前进行处理。计票可在选举日投票截止前开始,某些情况下可在选举日前一天开始。
Ballots can be processed before Election Day. Tabulation can begin on Election Day before polls close or in some cases on the day before Election Day.
在2024年大选中,美联社于美国东部时间晚上9点01分(即投票截止后1分钟)首次发布结果。投票计数于美国东部时间晚上10点33分达到半途标记。当晚最后一次投票更新为美国东部时间凌晨3点20分,此时约99%的总票数已完成计数。
In the 2024 election, the AP first reported results at 9:01 p.m. ET, or one minute after polls closed. The vote count reached the halfway mark at 10:33 p.m. ET. The last vote update of the night was at 3:20 a.m. ET with about 99% of total votes counted.
爱荷华州没有自动重新计票法律,但如果获胜优势小于总票数的0.15%,全州范围和联邦职位的候选人可申请重新计票。对于所有其他职位,要求的优势为小于总票数的1%或50票,以较小者为准。如果美联社能确定领先优势过大,重新计票或法律挑战无法改变结果,美联社可能会在面临重新计票的竞选中宣布获胜者。
Iowa does not have an automatic recount law, but candidates for statewide and federal offices may request a recount if the winning margin is less than 0.15% of the total vote. For all other offices, the required margin is less than 1% of the vote or 50 votes, whichever is smaller. The AP may declare a winner in a race subject to a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.