美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在一段于2026年2月28日发布的视频截图中，于一处未知地点发表讲话，宣布美国已在伊朗开始“大规模战斗行动”。以色列和美国于周六（2026年2月28日）对伊朗实施了打击。唐纳德·特朗普 通过 Truth Social 提供/路透社手稿 此图片由第三方提供 TPX 当日图片 唐纳德·特朗普 通过 Truth Social/手稿/路透社精明的观察者认为，这场与伊朗的对抗不会很快结束，将成为特朗普总统余下任期内的心头大患。
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to announce that the U.S. had begun \"major combat operations\" in Iran, in an unknown location, in this screengrab from a video released February 28, 2026. Israel and the U.S. conducted strikes on Iran on Saturday, February 28, 2026. Donald Trump via Truth Social/Handout via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY TPX IMAGES OF THE DAYDonald Trump Via Truth Social/Handout/Reuters The smart money looks at the Iran confrontation as one that won’t end soon, that will be President Trump’s preoccupation for the rest of his presidency.
如果伊朗政权得逞，这场战争还将决定2028年总统大选的走向。特朗普不会为一位对自己既有党派忠诚又有个人忠诚的友好继任者让路。他将重蹈吉米·卡特在其伊朗危机后的覆辙，只是境况更糟。特朗普也将成为理查德·尼克松，却享受不到杰拉尔德·福特给予的恩惠——福特授予尼克松的特赦在法律上比特朗普在2029年1月离开白宫前可能给自己授予的任何特赦都更加坚不可摧。
If the Iranian regime has its way, the war will also decide the 2028 presidential election. Mr. Trump won’t be making way for a friendly successor, with partisan and personal loyalty to Mr. Trump. He will be Jimmy Carter after his own Iran crisis, only worse. Mr. Trump will also be Richard Nixon, without the benefit of Gerald Ford, who granted Nixon a pardon more legally bulletproof than any Mr. Trump will likely be able to grant himself before leaving the White House in January 2029.
“商业世界”专栏关注商业及商业所处的世界环境。其读者对象是那些深知公共事务鲜少简单明了、并渴望深度解读的人群。该专栏于周二和周五晚间在线发布，周三和周六在报纸版面刊登。
“Business World” deals with business and the world in which business finds itself. It is aimed at readers who know that public matters are seldom straightforward and are curious for explanations. It's published online Tuesday and Friday evenings, and in the Wednesday and Saturday newspaper editions.
霍尔曼·W·詹金斯是《华尔街日报》编委会成员。他撰写每周两期的“商业世界”专栏，刊登在报纸周三和周六的评论版上。
Holman W. Jenkins Jr. is a member of the editorial board of The Wall Street Journal. He writes the twice-weekly “Business World” column that appears on the paper's op-ed page on Wednesdays and Saturdays.
詹金斯先生于1992年5月加入《华尔街日报》，在纽约担任评论版撰稿人。1994年2月，他调往香港，出任《亚洲华尔街日报》评论版编辑。1995年12月，他回到国内版《华尔街日报》，担任编委会成员，驻地旧金山。詹金斯先生曾于1997年荣获杰拉尔德·洛布奖，以表彰其杰出的商业和财经报道。
Mr. Jenkins joined the Journal in May 1992 as a writer for the editorial page in New York. In February 1994, he moved to Hong Kong as editor of The Asian Wall Street Journal's editorial page. He returned to the domestic Journal in December 1995 as a member of the paper's editorial board and was based in San Francisco. Mr. Jenkins won a 1997 Gerald Loeb Award for distinguished business and financial coverage.
詹金斯出生于费城，拥有霍巴特和威廉·史密斯学院的学士学位，以及西北大学新闻学硕士学位。他是1991年密歇根大学新闻学研究员。
Born in Philadelphia, Mr. Jenkins received a bachelor's degree from Hobart and William Smith Colleges and a master's degree in journalism from Northwestern University. He was a 1991 journalism fellow at the University of Michigan.