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美联社分析:伊朗先打击美国防空系统,随后击中中东基地的飞机和建筑Iran targeted US air defenses then hit aircraft and buildings on Mideast bases, AP analysis finds

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美联社The Associated Press

伊朗袭击中东二十多个美军基地,先瞄准预警系统再打击飞机和建筑物,造成数十亿美元装备损失,美联社分析显示美联社记者 M. REO、SAMY MAGDY、KONSTANTIN TOROPIN 报道——据美联社分析,伊朗对中东二十多个美军基地的袭击先集中打击预警系统,随后瞄准飞机和建筑物,造成数十亿美元的装备损失。

Iran’s strikes on more than two dozen U.S. bases in the Middle East focused on early warning systems before hitting aircraft and buildings By M. REO, SAMY MAGDY, KONSTANTIN TOROPIN— Iran's strikes on more than two dozen U.S. bases in the Middle East focused on early-warning systems before hitting aircraft and buildings, causing billions of dollars in equipment damage, according to an Associated Press analysis.

美联社利用多家供应商的卫星图像,独立核实了美国目标受损情况,并采访了四名知情的地区官员,他们曾接受简报或拥有第一手了解。美联社发现,截至8月,伊朗或伊朗支持的民兵组织声称实施的115多次无人机或导弹袭击,损坏或摧毁了26个军事基地及其他存放美军装备地点的设施。

The AP independently verified damage to American targets using satellite imagery from multiple providers and spoke to four regional officials who were briefed or have firsthand knowledge of what was hit. The AP found that, through August, more than 115 drone or missile strikes claimed by Iran or Iranian-backed militias damaged or destroyed structures on 26 military bases and other sites with U.S. equipment.

美联社发现,伊朗最初将攻击重点放在飞机机库和探测来袭打击的系统上,为后续打击仓库、部队宿舍等目标扫清了道路。

The AP found that Iran initially focused its attacks on aircraft hangars and systems that detect incoming strikes, clearing the way for further strikes on warehouses, troop housing and more.

两名地区官员表示,这些损失显著重塑了美国在中东的立足点,美军已将许多资产从波斯湾转移出去。其中一名官员称,转移的资产包括飞机、防空系统、通信系统以及基地运作所必需的其他装备。

The damage has significantly reshaped the American foothold in the Middle East, with two regional officials saying the U.S. has moved many of its assets out of the Persian Gulf. That includes aircraft, air defense systems, communications systems and other equipment crucial to base operations, one of those officials said.

随着特朗普总统在周二中期选举后考虑实施新打击,而德黑兰誓言将进行大规模报复,这些损失的影响引发了对美军在该地区防御能力的质疑。敌对行动的回归恐将给基地造成更多昂贵损失,加剧战争结束时美国是否会选择在该地区重建基地和装备的不确定性。

The impact of the damage raises questions about American defenses in the region as President Donald Trump considers new strikes after Tuesday's midterm elections and Tehran has vowed major retaliation. A return to hostilities threatens additional costly damage to bases, which would heighten uncertainty about whether the United States will choose to rebuild its bases and equipment in the region when the war ends.

美联社的分析为伊朗的报复战略以及八个月战争期间美国基地遭受的具体破坏提供了新的见解,超越了包括五角大楼监察长在内的独立审查中公布的细节。分析发现,从4月1日至6月30日,伊朗的打击行动已损坏和摧毁了美国基地上的数百座建筑及其他设施。

The AP's analysis offers new insight into Iran's strategy for its retaliation and what precisely has been damaged on U.S. bases during the eight-month war, going beyond the details that have been released in independent reviews, including from the Pentagon's inspector general. It found that from April 1 to June 30, Iranian strikes had damaged and destroyed hundreds of buildings and other structures on U.S. bases.

由于特朗普政府和美国军方关于冲突对人员和装备造成的损失的细节很少,甚至采取了阻碍外部审查的措施,例如延迟发布卫星图像,因此此类评估提供了唯一的整体概况。

Such assessments provide the only overall snapshot because the Trump administration and the U.S. military have provided few details about the toll of the conflict on people and equipment, even putting measures in place to impede outside review, such as delays in the release of satellite images.

负责中东地区行动的美国中央司令部拒绝就基地或装备的损坏情况发表评论或具体说明,通常以需要维护作战安全为由。该司令部未对此报道发表评论。

U.S. Central Command, which oversees operations in the Middle East, has refused to comment on or specify damage to bases or equipment, usually citing the need for operational security. The command did not comment for this story.

五角大楼发言人肖恩·帕内尔断言,美国“部队和基地防护良好,美国军队比以往任何时候都更强大。”“驻守中央司令部的美军拥有继续取得历史性成功所需的一切,确保伊朗永远不会获得核武器,”帕内尔在向美联社发表的声明中表示。

Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell asserted that U.S. “forces and bases are well protected and America’s military is stronger than ever." "Our service members in CENTCOM have everything they need to continue their historic success ensuring Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon,” Parnell said in a statement to the AP.

美联社对卫星图像的分析显示,大多数伊朗袭击发生在科威特,而巴林、伊拉克、约旦、阿曼、卡塔尔、沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国的美国设施也遭到袭击。伊朗战争中对美军造成最严重伤亡的已知袭击发生在科威特,3月1日,六名士兵在舒艾巴港遭无人机袭击丧生。

Most of the Iranian attacks have been in Kuwait, while U.S. sites in Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates also have been targeted, the analysis of satellite imagery shows. The deadliest known strike on U.S. troops in the Iran war was in Kuwait, where six soldiers were killed in a drone attack at Port Shuaiba on March 1.

科威特的阿里·阿尔·萨莱姆空军基地至少遭到30次袭击,损坏或摧毁了至少15个飞机机库、众多仓库以及住宅区附近的10座建筑。

Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait was struck at least 30 times, damaging or destroying at least 15 aircraft hangars, numerous warehouses and 10 buildings near a residential area.

位于科威特的比林营地遭受了更为惨重的损失。虽然伊朗的袭击使其大多数机库瘫痪,但由于该基地飞机数量有限,部队集会场所遭受的破坏更大。其健身房于3月被摧毁,一家供部队购买物资的基地商店于7月下旬遭袭。

Camp Buehring, also in Kuwait, faced even heavier losses. While Iranian attacks made most of its hangars inoperable, gathering places for troops sustained much more damage because the base had limited aircraft. Its gym was destroyed in March and a store for troops to buy products on the base was hit in late July.

据两名地区官员透露,一次袭击还严重损坏了那里的车库和餐厅。他们和另外两名地区军事官员在接受美联社采访时要求匿名,以讨论关于基地受损的敏感细节。

A strike also has severely damaged the garage and dining room there, according to the two regional officials. They and two others, who are regional military officials, spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive details about the damage to bases.

兰德公共政策学院国家安全项目主任拉斐尔·科恩表示,虽然对伊朗的打击重得多,但美军的装备损失在所难免。他说,现代战争的打法使所有军队都“容易遭受大规模、廉价无人机袭击”。科恩说:“这应该给美国敲响警钟。”

While strikes were much heavier against Iran, American matériel losses were inevitable, said Raphael Cohen, director of the National Security Program at the RAND School of Public Policy. The way wars are fought today makes all militaries “susceptible to large-scale, cheap drone attacks,” he said. “This should be a wake-up call for the United States,” Cohen said.

伊朗以精准打击用于探测和拦截来袭打击的系统作为对战争的回应,随后将目标扩大到使美军基地具备实用性和宜居性的建筑和设备。

Iran launched its response to the war with accurate attacks on systems meant to detect and thwart incoming strikes, then broadened its targets to buildings and equipment that made U.S. bases useful and habitable.

战争于2月下旬爆发,在头两天内,伊朗摧毁了位于科威特阿里夫詹营地和巴林海军支援基地的美军雷达系统防护罩。此外,伊朗还袭击了沙特阿拉伯苏丹王子空军基地和约旦穆瓦法格·萨尔蒂空军基地的便携式雷达。

Iran destroyed enclosures protecting U.S. radar systems at Camp Arifjan in Kuwait and Naval Support Activity Bahrain within the first two days of the war's start in late February. Additionally, Iran hit portable radars at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan.

技术情报咨询公司“武器研究服务”主任N.R. 詹岑-琼斯表示,伊朗优先打击美军防空体系的骨干,瞄准那些难以且昂贵维修或更换的关键预警雷达。

Iran prioritized striking at the backbone of the U.S. air defense system, targeting key early-warning radars that are difficult and expensive to repair or replace, said N.R. Jenzen-Jones, director of the technical intelligence consulting firm Armament Research Services.

一套位于约旦的雷达遭袭,据称被摧毁。制造商雷神公司称,这是全球陆军仅有的13套此类雷达之一。预算文件显示,每套成本约为5亿美元。

A radar was hit in Jordan and said to be destroyed. It was one of only 13 possessed by the Army globally, manufacturer Raytheon said. Budget documents show each costs about half a billion dollars.

卡塔尔的另一部雷达严重受损,但不清楚是否已被摧毁。这个海湾国家在2013年以价值11亿美元的交易购买了该雷达,它似乎是该地区唯一的一部。

Another radar in Qatar was damaged significantly, but it is unclear if it was destroyed. Purchased by the Gulf country in a 2013 deal valued at $1.1 billion, it appears to have been the only one in the region.

詹森-琼斯说,打击此类设施很可能“意在扰乱和削弱美国及盟友应对进一步打击的能力”。

Hitting such sites was likely “intended to disrupt and degrade the U.S. and allies’ ability to respond to further strikes,” Jenzen-Jones said.

在打击这些雷达后,伊朗在战争第一个月对18处部署有美军装备的地点发动了50多次成功打击,优先针对有飞机的区域。

After hitting the radars, Iran launched more than 50 successful strikes on 18 locations with U.S. military equipment in the first month of the war, prioritizing areas with aircraft.

两名地区官员说,伊朗损坏了多个基地的加油机、通信系统、油料掩体和部队住宿设施。3月,伊朗对苏丹王子空军基地的一次打击损坏了一架波音E-3“哨兵”预警机的后半部分,另一次打击击中了美国驻利雅得大使馆的一个中情局单位。

Iran damaged refueling aircraft, communication systems, fuel bunkers and troop accommodations at various bases, the two regional officials said. An Iranian strike on Prince Sultan Air Base in March damaged the back half of a Boeing E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft and another hit a CIA unit at the U.S. Embassy in Riyadh.

另一位最近访问过该沙特空军基地的地区军事官员描述说,该设施严重受损,碎片散落,建筑材料破损。他说,他看到了受损的设备,包括被炸毁的营房和食堂。

A separate regional military official, who recently visited the Saudi air base, described a severely damaged facility with scattered debris and broken construction materials. He said he saw damaged equipment, including bombed-out barracks and mess halls.

这名官员说,击中那架预警机的袭击还损坏了另外几架飞机,包括两架空中加油机。美国国会研究服务处10月更新的一份报告称,美国有15架飞机在地区基地受损。

The official said the attack that hit the surveillance plane also damaged several other aircraft, including two aerial refueling tankers. A Congressional Research Service report updated in October said 15 U.S. aircraft had been damaged on regional bases.

据第二位直接了解受损情况的地区军事官员说,位于阿联酋阿布扎比以南约20英里(32公里)处的达夫拉空军基地在战争初期频繁遭到袭击。这名官员指出,飞机库和其他设施等基础设施以及预警雷达系统和侦察无人机等设备均受损。

Al Dhafra Air Base, about 20 miles (32 kilometers) south of Abu Dhabi in the UAE, was hit frequently early in the war, according to a second regional military official with direct knowledge of the damage. The official noted damage to infrastructure like aircraft hangars and other installations as well as to equipment such as an early-warning radar system and surveillance drones.

主要的美国合同卫星图像供应商应美国官员要求,阻止或延迟了卫星图像的公开发布,官员有时以国家安全风险为由。这导致在能够从空客旗下的卫星供应商 OneAtlas 获取图像之前,可用于直观确认打击损毁的选项非常有限。

Major providers with U.S. contracts have blocked or delayed public release of satellite imagery at the request of American officials, who sometimes cited it being a national security risk. That has left limited options to visually confirm strike damage until imagery could be obtained from OneAtlas, a satellite provider owned by Airbus.

以科威特的比林营为例,这是受创最重的基地之一,直到 8 月下旬才能从可靠供应商处获得高质量图像。从 3 月初图像停止提供到 8 月重新出现,基地内有 30 多座建筑物受损或被毁。美联社证实,伊朗在 3 月、4 月、5 月和 7 月多次袭击了比林营。

In the example of Camp Buehring in Kuwait, one of the hardest-hit bases, high-quality imagery from reliable providers was not available until late August. From the halt of imagery in early March to its reemergence in August, more than 30 structures on the base were damaged or destroyed. The AP confirmed that Iran struck Camp Buehring numerous times in March, April, May and July.

数月过去,战争仍无明确的结束目标,如果敌对行动重启——美伊双方均表示有这种可能——可能会造成更多损毁。这场冲突可能预示着美军将面临一种新的现实。

Months later, no endgame for the war has been articulated, and more damage could be ahead if hostilities resume, which the U.S. and Iran both say is possible. The conflict could foreshadow a new reality for U.S. forces.

兰德公司分析师科恩表示:“这是我们未来将面临的作战环境。我们可以像在反恐战争期间那样依赖固定基础设施的想法已经结束了。”

“This is the operating environment that we’re going to face in the future," said Cohen, the RAND analyst. "The idea that we can rely on fixed infrastructure in the way that we have during the global war on terrorism is over.”

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