
加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽森(民主党人)周日表示,选举日可能会出现大规模的民主党胜利,或称“蓝色海啸”,该党有动力夺回国会一院或两院的控制权。“可能会出现那场蓝色海啸,但你提出了那个合理而明显的观点,”纽森在由2WAY与《国会山报》和NewsNation合作主办的“决策台‘26:中期预览”节目中对主持人兼记者马克·哈尔佩林说。
California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) on Sunday said there's a chance that there could be a massive Democratic victory, or a "blue tsunami," on Election Day, and that there is momentum behind the party to reclaim one or both chambers of Congress. "It could be that blue tsunami, but you make that legitimate and obvious point," Newsom said on "Decision Desk '26: Midterm Preview," hosted by 2WAY in collaboration with The Hill and NewsNation, to moderator and journalist Mark Halperin. "The margins in those Senate races suggest that, obviously, maybe it won't be on that side of the aisle, as well."
“参议院选举的劣势表明,显然,也许不会在议院的那一边也出现这种情况。”“我们都将事后诸葛亮。48小时后一切都会显而易见——发生了什么。但我只是——那场海啸。这个词我从未轻易使用,我私下和公开都在分享这个词,”他对哈尔佩林和当晚的共同主持人、民主党策划师凯文·沃林以及保守派评论员拉里·奥康纳说。
"We're all going to be experts in hindsight. It will all be obvious –– what's happened –– in 48 hours. But I just –– that tsunami. That's a word I haven't used lightly and it's a word that I'm sharing privately and publicly," he told Halperin and his co-hosts for the evening, Democratic strategist Kevin Walling and conservative commentator Larry O'Connor.
州长补充道,“我所到之处都有这种感觉。尽管今天在密歇根州面临逆风,但这些事情似乎已准备就绪,”他指的是众议员黑莉·斯蒂文斯(密歇根州民主党人)支持共和党参议院候选人迈克·罗杰斯。周二将竞选连任的众议员迈克·劳勒(纽约州共和党人)在纽森之后出场,否认任何“海啸”的可能性。他说,州和国家层面对民主党存在“沮丧情绪”。
The governor added, "I just feel it everywhere I've been. These things seems to be teed up despite the headwinds of today in Michigan," referring to Rep. Haley Stevens's (D-Mich.) endorsement of Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers. Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), who is up for reelection on Tuesday, appeared after Newsom and dismissed any chances of a "tsunami." He said there was a "frustration" at the state and national levels against Democrats. "People are feeling the pain," he said. "I listened to Gavin Newsom.
“人们感受到了痛苦,”他说。“我听了加文·纽森的话。他好像30年来一直没有担任过民选职务。加利福尼亚州和纽约州是全国最昂贵的两个州,因为他们做出的政策决定……”“因此,我不认为加文·纽森预测的蓝色海啸会在我的国会选区到达纽约,”劳勒后来补充道。民调估计显示,民主党周二很可能赢得众议院。
It's as if he hasn't been in elected office for 30 years though. California and New York are two of the most expensive states anywhere in the country because of the policy decisions that they make..." "And so I don't think the blue tsunami, as Gavin Newsom predicts, is going to be reaching New York in terms of my congressional seat," Lawler later added. Polling estimates show that Democrats are primed to likely win the House on Tuesday.
《国会山报》的选举合作伙伴决策台总部(DDHQ)预测,民主党赢得众议院的概率为83%,民主党至少需要赢得三个席位才能获得多数席位。民主党必须翻转四个共和党持有的席位才能赢得参议院。DDHQ估计,他们有62%的机会使参议院落入民主党控制之下。内布拉斯加州共和党众议员唐·培根周日表示,如果共和党在中期选举中遭受损失,党内将就“让美国再次伟大”运动展开“辩论”。
The Hill's election partner Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) holds an 83-percent probability that Democrats win the House, who will need at least three seats to win a majority. Democrats must flip four Republican-held seats to win the Senate. DDHQ estimates that they have a 62-percent chance to bring the Senate under Democratic control. Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) on Sunday said there will be "debate" within the GOP about the MAGA movement should they suffer losses in the midterms.
他引用“罗纳德·里根原则”称,这是该党在特朗普总统两届任期内已背离的东西。“我认为共和党,我认为美国渴望那些原则……我当然希望看到一场辩论,而且我知道我想成为其中一部分,”他在CNN上表示。特朗普因其处理经济和伊朗战争的方式在多项民调中支持率暴跌,他呼吁共和党人“假装”他本人在选票上,以提高投票率,而中期选举周期的投票率通常较低。
He cited "Ronald Reagan principles" as something the party has backed away from during President Trump's two administrations. "I think the Republican Party, I think America yearns for those principles ... And I surely would like to see a debate, and I know I want to be a part of it," he said on CNN. Trump, who has seen his approval rating plummet across several polls over his handling on the economy and the Iran war, has called on Republicans to "pretend" as though he is on the ballot to increase voter turnout, which is generally lower in each midterm cycle.