在发生西班牙历史上最致命的列车相撞事故之一后，西班牙首相佩德罗·桑切斯的民意支持率下降。
Support for Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez dropped following one of the deadliest train crashes in Spanish history.
根据《世界报》周一发布的西格玛多斯公司民调显示，桑切斯的社会党获得约24.6%的选民支持，而一周前约为26%。这将使社会党在11月29日举行的全国大选中获得97至103个议会席位，低于目前的121个席位。J中右翼的人民党已经是该国最大的党派，预计将赢得31.1%的支持率。这高于之前的30.6%，并将带来133至139个席位。
Sánchez’s Socialist party has about 24.6% backing among voters, compared with about 26% a week earlier, according to a poll by SigmaDos published Monday by newspaper El Mundo. This would grant the Socialists between 97 and 103 seats in parliament in a Nov. 29 national election, down from the current 121. The center-right People’s Party, already the biggest group in the country, is set to win 31.1%. That’s up from 30.6% and would result in 133 to 139 seats.
这项民调是在10月28日导致69人死亡的高铁相撞事故发生后的两天内进行的，而《西班牙人报》周日晚间发布的另一项调查也显示了类似趋势。这次相撞是西班牙今年发生的第二起重大列车灾难。
The poll was conducted in the two days after an Oct. 28 high-speed train crash killed 69 people, while another survey, published Sunday night by El Español, showed similar trends. The collision was Spain’s second mass train disaster this year.
悲剧发生后，政府宣布进行为期三天、持续至周六的哀悼，大多数政党暂停了政治活动——目前民调排名第三的极右翼政党呼声党除外。《世界报》的民调显示，呼声党的支持率为19.3%，低于之前的19.8%。
Following the tragedy, the government declared three days of mourning, which ran through Saturday, and most parties suspended political activities — with the exception of Vox, the far-right party currently polling in third place. El Mundo’s poll shows Vox’s support at 19.3%, down from 19.8%.
这场灾难打乱了社会党针对11月29日提前大选的策略。桑切斯宣布举行大选是为了利用社会对住房负担能力的焦虑，而他的党派原本依靠捍卫社会政策以及其领导人的个人魅力来赢得选举。在这场悲剧发生之前，绝大多数民调显示桑切斯将在选举中失利。
The catastrophe has upended the Socialists’ strategy for the Nov. 29 snap election. Sánchez called the ballot as he sought to tap into social angst over housing affordability and his party was relying on their defense of social policies and their leader’s charisma to win. Prior to the tragedy, the vast majority of polls had Sánchez losing the election.
议会获得多数席位需要176个席位，这意味着人民党需要获得呼声党的支持。
A majority in parliament requires 176 seats, meaning the PP would need support from Vox.
注：该调查由2025名通过电话和网络进行访谈的对象组成，访谈于10月29日至30日进行，误差幅度为2.1个百分点。
Note: The survey consisted of 2,025 interviews by phone and online, conducted between Oct. 29 and 30, with a 2.1 percentage point margin of error.