彭博经济研究的一份报告显示，随着俄罗斯的空袭进一步破坏乌克兰经济，乌克兰对外国援助的依赖日益加深。
Ukraine is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign aid as Russian air attacks further devastate its economy, according to a Bloomberg Economics report.
彭博中东欧及俄罗斯经济学家叶卡捷琳娜·弗拉索娃和地缘经济分析师亚历克斯·科克恰罗夫在周一发布的《乌克兰经济洞察》报告中表示：“尽管经济迫在眉睫的崩溃不太可能发生，但要维持到2027年的战争，将越来越依赖及时、可靠且充足的西方资金流入。”
“Although imminent economic collapse is unlikely, sustaining the war through 2027 will increasingly depend on timely, reliable and adequate flows of Western financing,” Bloomberg CEE and Russia Economist Ekaterina Vlasova and Geoeconomics Analyst Alex Kokcharov say in the Ukraine Economy Insight report published Monday.
乌克兰洞察：经济挺住，但外部支持至关重要 俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京的部队已经将重点转向以持续不断的无人机和导弹轰炸，打击乌克兰的商业基础设施，以及电力和民用交通网络。这一战术预计将导致乌克兰经济今年陷入衰退。
UKRAINE INSIGHT: Economy Endures, But External Support Is Vital Russian President Vladimir Putin’s forces have shifted their focus to targeting business infrastructure in Ukraine alongside power and civilian transport networks with relentless drone and missile barrages. The tactic is expected to push Ukraine’s economy into decline this year.
乌克兰央行上周大幅下调了该国2026年国内生产总值预测，目前预计将收缩0.4%，而此前预测为增长1.8%。
The Ukrainian central bank last week sharply revised down its 2026 forecast for the country’s gross domestic product, now seeing a contraction of 0.4% compared to its previous projection of 1.8% growth.
这将是自2022年以来的首次战时经济低迷，当时在俄罗斯全面入侵后，乌克兰的GDP收缩了30%以上。
That would be the first wartime economic downturn since 2022, when Ukraine’s GDP shrank by more than 30% following Russia’s full-scale invasion.
报告称，尽管该国在战争进入第五年之际依然表现出惊人的韧性，但俄罗斯对能源、工业和出口基础设施不断加剧的袭击，正使乌克兰更加依赖外部支持。
While the country remains remarkably resilient in the fifth year of the war, the intensifying Russian attacks on energy, industrial and export infrastructure are making Ukraine more reliant on foreign support, according to the report.
这令乌克兰政府感到担忧，因为欧盟国家的战争疲劳和政治变化使得维持援助的任务变得愈发困难。
That’s a worry for Ukraine’s government, as war fatigue and political changes in European Union nations make the task of maintaining aid increasingly difficult.
作为乌克兰最大的捐助方，欧盟已拨出超过1000亿美元用于资助乌克兰2026年和2027年的战争努力。基辅方面估计，随着战争继续推高成本，这可能并不充足。
The European Union, the country’s largest donor, has earmarked more than $100 billion to fund Ukraine’s war effort over 2026 and 2027. That’s likely to be insufficient, according to Kyiv’s estimates, as the war continues to drive up costs.
乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基上月表示，乌克兰明年需要700亿欧元（折合780亿美元）来资助其国防。
Ukraine needs 70 billion euros ($78 billion) to finance its defense next year, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said last month.
彭博的经济学家表示：“主要欧洲国家的政治不确定性——包括法国的总统选举以及意大利和波兰的议会选举——可能会使未来的支持变得复杂。”
“Political uncertainty in key European states — including presidential elections in France and parliamentary elections in Italy and Poland — could complicate future support,” according to Bloomberg’s economists.