
明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市的一处提前投票站,10月28日。预计将有数百万美国人在中期选举中投票,这场选举可能重塑这个国家。在前往投票站之前,你需要了解什么?
An early voting polling place in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on 28 October. Millions of Americans are expected to vote in the midterm elections, which could reshape the country. What do you need to know before you head to the polls?
美国中期选举可能对美国的未来产生巨大影响——正因如此,在过去一个月里,我们围绕美国人将在选票上看到的重要议题举办了一系列读者对话。
The US midterm elections could have an outsized impact on the future of the United States – that’s why over the last month, we’ve been hosting a series of reader conversations on big-ticket issues Americans will see on their ballots.
民主党和共和党选民已在全国各地关键竞选中选出各自的提名人,我们的报道团队一直在密切关注这些将决定国会权力平衡的选战。
Democratic and Republican voters have picked their nominees for key races across the US, and our reporting team has been closely following the races, which will determine the balance of power in Congress.
美国选举日是2026年11月3日。从移民到经济,再到政治竞选背后的资金,以下是值得回顾的读者对话。
US election day is 3 November 2026. From immigration to the economy and the money behind political campaigns, here are the reader conversations to look back on.
- 进步左翼的崛起对更广泛的民主党意味着什么?关键问题之一是:在民主党有望拿下众议院、甚至可能拿下参议院之际,该党进步左翼的崛起对更广泛的民主党联盟意味着什么?密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德等候选人将如何与该党更根深蒂固的中间派共处——民主社会主义者日益增长的影响力是否会推动该党走向新的方向?
- What does the rise of the progressive left mean for the broader Democratic party? One of the key questions is, with the Democrats poised to take the House and perhaps even the Senate, what does the rise of the party’s progressive left mean for the broader Democratic coalition? How will candidates such as Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed co-exist with the party’s more established centrists – and will the growing influence of democratic socialists push the party in a new direction?
Citizen_Squared写道:在特朗普时代的灾难之后,民主党仍然没有一个明确的信息/愿景/计划来终结Maga造成的破坏。无休止地谈论生活负担能力并不是一种执政愿景。民调可能显示民主党在众议院和参议院领先,但由于极端的杰利蝾螈、选民限制,以及腐败的最高法院废除《投票权法》的大力助攻,如果选举日民主党的斩获有限,不要感到惊讶。如果出现这种情况,该党将陷入内战。
Citizen_Squared writes: After the disaster of the Trump years, the Democrats still do not have a clear message/vision/plan for ending the destruction Maga has done. Talking endlessly about affordability is not a governing vision. The polls may have the Democrats ahead for the House and Senate but thanks to extreme gerrymandering, voter restrictions and a big assist from the corrupt Supreme Court in striking out the Voting Rights Act, don’t be surprised if the gains by the Democrats are limited on election day. If that happens, the party will collapse into civil war.
大卫·史密斯:是的,如果民主党表现不佳,必然会出现相互指责,参议院领袖舒默和众议院领袖杰弗里斯将面临巨大压力(值得注意的是,有多少候选人不愿背书舒默)。但中期选举的第二天也将为2028年总统初选鸣响起跑枪声,这很可能会起到激励和鼓舞作用。候选人将纷纷提出自己的愿景,这将占据大量关注度。
David Smith: Yes, if Democrats underperform, there are sure to be recriminations and huge pressure on Senate leader Chuck Schumer and House leader Hakeem Jeffries (it’s been notable how many candidates are unwilling to endorse Schumer). But the day after the midterms will also fire the starting gun for the 2028 presidential primary, which will probably be galvanising and energising. Candidates will come forward with their visions and that will take up a lot of oxygen.
与《卫报》读者对话:政治突发新闻记者约瑟夫·杰迪昂 威尔迪恩提问:2026年英国政坛最大的新闻之一,是两位加密货币亿万富翁向“改革英国党”捐赠巨款,金额之大足以对整个政治版图产生戏剧性影响。加密货币资金在中期选举中扮演了多大角色——鉴于到处已经花费巨资,它在那里的影响力是否会较小?
In conversation with the Guardian’s readers: Joseph Gedeon, political breaking news correspondent WillDean asks: One of the biggest stories in British politics in 2026 has been a couple of large donations to Reform from two crypto billionaires that are large enough to have a dramatic impact on the entire political landscape.
克里斯·斯坦:与加密货币相关的超级政治行动委员会在初选中花费了数百万美元,尽管并不总能达到预期效果。主要参与者之一名为“公平摇动”,今年在伊利诺伊州已进行超过1330万美元的独立支出,其中包括近250万美元用于反对州议员拉肖恩·福特,后者仍赢得了联邦众议院选区的民主党初选;近990万美元用于反对副州长朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿,后者依然赢得了联邦参议员的民主党提名。
How much of a role is crypto money playing in the midterms – and does it make less of an impact there because there is so much money being spent everywhere already? Chris Stein: Super Pacs tied to cryptocurrency spent millions in the primaries, though they didn’t always achieve the desired result.
他们还花费约80万美元反对州参议员罗伯特·彼得斯,后者在另一个联邦众议院选区的初选中落败。这不是我们最后一次在这个周期听到“公平摇动”的消息——据报道,他们计划在俄亥俄州花费3000万美元反对谢罗德·布朗,这位民主党人是加密货币的反对者,正寻求重返参议院。
One of the major players is called Fairshake, which has made more than $13.3m in independent expenditures this year in Illinois, including nearly $2.5m against state lawmaker La Shawn Ford, who nonetheless won the Democratic primary for a US House district, and nearly $9.9m against lieutenant governor Juliana Stratton, who won the Democratic Senate nomination anyway. They also spent about $800,000 against state senator Robert Peters, who lost the primary for another US House district.
- 伊朗战争会让特朗普在美中期选举中付出代价吗?与伊朗的战争对美国人的钱包、政府支出和美国外交政策产生了重大影响。随着战争进入第九个月,2026年美国中期选举迅速临近,这场战争也是重塑政治版图的一个重要因素。
That’s not the last we’ll hear of Fairshake this cycle – they are reportedly planning to spend $30m against Sherrod Brown, a Democrat and cryptocurrency foe who is running to return to the Senate in Ohio. 3. Will the Iran war cost Trump in the US midterms? The war with Iran has had major implications for Americans’ wallets, government spending and US foreign policy.
我们的记者团队帮助读者了解了战争的代价,以及对特朗普和11月参选候选人的政治后果。那么,战争将如何影响美国选民的投票行为?
It has also been an important factor in reshaping the political landscape as the war enters its ninth month, with the 2026 US midterms quickly approaching. Our team of reporters has helped readers understand the costs of the war and political consequences for Trump and candidates running in November.
美国大学学生记者伊丽莎白·纳德森提问:迈克·罗杰斯(密歇根州联邦参议员共和党候选人)和阿什利·辛森(爱荷华州联邦众议员共和党人)因战争问题对特朗普公开表达异见。为什么偏偏是他们?他们的选民是否受战争影响最大?是否还有其他参议院候选人可能因战争对其州的冲击更大而对特朗普心生敌意?
So, how could the war affect US voters at the polls? Elizabeth Knudson, a student journalist at American University, asks: Mike Rogers [Republican candidate for US Senate in Michigan] and Ashley Hinson [Republican Iowa congresswoman] have been rather vocal about their dissent toward Trump due to the war. Why them specifically? Are their states’ constituencies most impacted by the war?
劳伦·甘比诺:两人都身处极其胶着的竞选中。战争不得人心,他们不愿被视为选民反对的一场战争的啦啦队。特别是在爱荷华州,辛森正在竞选参议员,战争推高了柴油和化肥等基本生产投入品的成本。这叠加在特朗普的贸易战之上,贸易战早已让美国农民承压。
Are there any other Senate candidates who may also feel hostility toward Trump for the war, due to the war impacting their state worse than others? Lauren Gambino: Both are in incredibly tight races. The war is unpopular and they don’t want to be seen as cheerleaders for a war that the voters they hope to represent are opposed to. Particularly in Iowa, where Hinson is running for Senate, the war is driving up the costs of essential operating inputs like diesel and fertilizer.
在这两个州,民主党候选人都在猛攻负担能力和生活成本问题,公开支持战争会削弱共和党人的回应能力。
This comes atop Trump’s trade war, which had already squeezed US farmers.
- 特朗普的经济表现会让共和党在中期选举中沉底吗?美国经济是选民关注的热门话题。食品和汽油价格居高不下,就业市场不稳定,消费者愤怒情绪空前高涨,新任美联储主席凯文·沃什于今年上任。
In both states, the Democratic candidates are pounding them on affordability and cost of living and being publicly supportive of the war can dilute the Republicans’ ability to respond. 4. Will Trump’s economy sink Republicans in the US midterm elections? The US economy is a hot topic for voters.
一支由商业、劳工和消费者权益记者组成的团队在此解答您关于经济及其如何影响中期选举结果的问题。他们报道过通胀、生活成本上涨、关税、劳工、政策提案等内容。
Food and gas prices remain high, the job market is unstable, consumers are angrier than ever, and a new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, took over this year. A team of business, labor and consumer rights reporters are here to answer your questions about the economy and how it could shape the midterm results.
来自一位 Instagram 用户的提问:自特朗普第二届政府上任以来,哪项公用事业的价格涨幅最大?
They’ve covered inflation, cost-of-living increases, tariffs, labor, policy proposals and more.
Gaya Gupta:我们可以通过查看劳工统计局的数据来回答这个问题。本月,公用燃气服务的年增长率为 5%,略高于电力的 4.4% 涨幅。去年,即特朗普上任第一年的 9 月,与前一年相比,燃气服务价格上涨了 11.7%,而电力价格上涨了 5.1%。
From an Instagram user: What utility has seen the biggest surge in pricing since 2nd Trump administration? Gaya Gupta: We can answer this by looking at data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Utility gas services increased at an annual rate of 5% this month, slightly more than the 4.4% increase in electricity.
从更广泛的能源商品来看——这些商品不一定体现在月度账单上,但仍可能影响整体家庭开支——我们可以看到,用于家庭和办公室供暖的燃料油与前一年相比上涨了 74.2%。(相比之下,2025 年 9 月的报告显示燃料油仅上涨了 4.1%)。
Last year, in Trump’s first September in office, gas services had increased by 11.7% compared to the year before, while electricity increased by 5.1%. Looking more broadly at energy commodities – which don’t necessarily show up as a monthly bill, but can still affect overall household expenses – we can see that fuel oil, which is used to heat homes and offices, increased by 74.2% compared to the year before. (In comparison, fuel oil had increased by just 4.1% in the September 2025 report).
马里兰州的 Bruce 在征集提问中询问:民主党的移民政策是什么?为什么该党(而非个别候选人)如此害怕公开其在重大问题(DEI、移民、气候变化等)上的立场?
Bruce, Maryland asks in a callout question: What is the Democrats’ policy on immigration? Why is the party (not individual candidates) so afraid of publicizing its position on major issues (DEI, immigration, climate change, etc.)?
Sam Levin:在竞选途中,移民并非许多民主党候选人的主要谈论要点,我认为如果他们重新夺回国会控制权,其具体政策优先事项仍有待观察。我正在和一位政治同事讨论此事,她指出,许多民主党人在很大程度上回避了这一话题,仅限于谴责特朗普的打压行动,并同意边境必须实行管控。民主党内部并未达成一致,也未提出一个清晰、积极的愿景来说明他们会有何不同做法。
Sam Levin: On the campaign trail, immigration has not been a major talking point of many Democratic candidates, and I think it remains to be seen what their specific policy priorities would be if they regain control of Congress. I’m chatting with a politics colleague about it now, and she pointed out that many Democrats have largely avoided the subject other than condemning Trump’s crackdown and agreeing there must be controls at the border. Democrats have not been aligned and put forward a clear, proactive vision on what they would do differently.