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民主党有望二十年来首次赢得多数州长席位Democrats eye first majority of US governorships in two decades

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据印度新闻社报道,在周二的中期选举中,民主党希望首次在二十年内赢得美国大多数州长职位,此前选民对经济、通胀、医疗保健和民主前途感到不满。

Democrats are hoping to secure a majority of US governors' offices for the first time in two decades in Tuesday's midterm elections, amid voter discontent over the economy, inflation, healthcare and the future of democracy, according to a report by news agency Press Trust of India.

36个州将选举州长,这些州约占美国人口的80%。人口大州得克萨斯州和佛罗里达州、总统选举摇摆州密歇根州和威斯康星州,以及共和党大本营爱荷华州和俄亥俄州均展开激烈角逐。

Governors will be elected in 36 states that account for about 80 per cent of the US population. Competitive contests are under way in populous states such as Texas and Florida, presidential battlegrounds including Michigan and Wisconsin, and Republican strongholds such as Iowa and Ohio.

竞争激烈的选战数量之多,反映出唐纳德·特朗普总统低迷的支持率及其对共和党候选人的影响。在选举日前夕,特朗普在共和党优势地区举行集会,为寻求他支持的党内州长候选人造势。

The large number of competitive races reflects President Donald Trump's poor approval ratings and their impact on Republican candidates. In the run-up to Election Day, Trump held rallies in heavily Republican areas alongside party candidates for governor seeking his support.

有19个州没有现任州长寻求连任。民主党籍州长目前代表全国60%的人口,但共和党掌握50个州长职位中的26个。

民主党州长协会执行主任梅根·米汉-德雷珀对美联社表示:“我们的目标不仅是赢得人口多数,更是赢得州份多数。”这是据印度新闻社报道转述的。

Nineteen states have no incumbent seeking re-election. Democratic governors currently represent 60 per cent of the country's population, but Republicans hold 26 of the 50 governors' offices.“Our goal is not just the majority of the population, but the majority of states,” Meghan Meehan-Draper, executive director of the Democratic Governors Association, told The Associated Press, according to the PTI report.

民主党上一次赢得大多数州长职位是在2006年,当时在一位第二任期共和党总统的最后一次中期选举中,他们新增了六个州长席位。四年后,共和党夺回多数。

Democrats last won a majority of governors' offices in 2006, when they gained six such posts during the final midterm elections under a second-term Republican president. Republicans regained the majority four years later.

更多由民主党执政的州,也可能意味着更多州长反对或无视特朗普的议程。特朗普主要与民主党执政的州在国民警卫队部署、移民执法行动、联邦援助附加条件,以及试图加强联邦对选举规则的控制(包括对邮寄投票的限制)等问题上发生冲突。约有十几场竞争被认为尤为激烈。

More Democratic-led states could also mean more governors opposing or ignoring Trump's agenda. Trump has clashed mainly with Democratic-led states over the deployment of National Guard troops, immigration operations, conditions attached to federal aid and attempts to increase federal control over election rules, including restrictions on postal voting. About a dozen races are considered especially competitive.

民主党在阿拉斯加、佐治亚、爱荷华和俄亥俄州夺取州长职位的机会最大,这些州的现任州长无法寻求连任;在内华达州,州检察长亚伦·福特正在挑战共和党州长乔·隆巴多。自1998年以来,佐治亚和阿拉斯加未曾选出民主党州长,而爱荷华和俄亥俄州自2006年以来也未曾选出民主党州长。共和党夺取州长职位的最佳机会在于堪萨斯州,这是一个传统的共和党州,民主党州长劳拉·凯利无法寻求连任。

Democrats' best chances of gaining governors' offices are in Alaska, Georgia, Iowa and Ohio, where the incumbents cannot seek another term, and Nevada, where state Attorney General Aaron Ford is challenging Republican Governor Joe Lombardo. Georgia and Alaska have not elected a Democratic governor since 1998, while Iowa and Ohio have not done so since 2006. Republicans' best opportunity to gain a governor's office is in Kansas, a traditionally Republican state where Democratic Governor Laura Kelly cannot seek another term.

在威斯康星州,共和党联邦众议员汤姆·蒂芬尼正在与民主党人大卫·克劳利竞争,后者是密尔沃基县行政长官,曾以微弱优势赢得本党初选。共和党还瞄准了密歇根和俄勒冈州的空缺州长职位,在俄勒冈州,民主党州长蒂娜·科特克面临共和党州参议员克里斯汀·德拉赞的第二次挑战。

In Wisconsin, Republican US Representative Tom Tiffany is contesting against Democrat David Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive who narrowly won his party's primary. Republicans are also targeting the open governor's office in Michigan and Oregon, where Democratic Governor Tina Kotek faces a second challenge from Republican state Senator Christine Drazan.

民主党还认为在得克萨斯、佛罗里达、俄克拉荷马和内布拉斯加州有机会。

Democrats also believe they have opportunities in Texas, Florida, Oklahoma and Nebraska.

俄亥俄州的竞选引起全国关注,此前共和党人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米的竞选团队发布了一则广告,内容是民主党人艾米·阿克顿的生母对她的批评。阿克顿的生母几十年前因阿克顿的继父因强奸年幼的阿克顿被起诉,而失去了孩子的监护权。

The Ohio race drew national attention after Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign released an featuring criticism of Democrat Amy Acton by her estranged mother. Acton's mother lost custody of her children decades ago after her husband, Acton's stepfather, was indicted for raping Acton when she was a child.

该广告受到两党成员的批评,包括俄亥俄州共和党州长迈克·德怀恩。特朗普对此表示赞扬,而来自俄亥俄州的副总统JD·万斯为其辩护。

The was criticised by members of both parties, including Ohio's Republican Governor Mike DeWine. Trump praised it, while Vice-President JD Vance, who is from Ohio, defended it.

在得克萨斯州,自1994年以来无民主党人赢得全州范围职位,民主党州众议员吉娜·伊诺霍萨对寻求第三任期的共和党州长格雷格·阿博特发起了有竞争力的挑战。

In Texas, where no Democrat has won statewide office since 1994, Democratic state Representative Gina Hinojosa has mounted a competitive challenge against Republican Governor Greg Abbott, who is seeking a third term.

伊诺霍萨最初被视为不太可能获胜,因为她从初选中脱颖而出时,竞选资金仅为阿博特的一小部分。

Hinojosa was initially seen as an unlikely winner after emerging from the primary with only a fraction of Abbott's campaign funds.

9月,拉美裔政客和政治人物向民主党州长协会请求1000万美元的竞选支持,称她已使这场竞争变得胶着。该协会提供了100万美元,远少于其在亚利桑那州、佐治亚州、爱荷华州、密歇根州、内华达州、俄亥俄州和威斯康星州的支出。阿博特没有出席特朗普在德克萨斯州的集会,这被视为总统不受欢迎的迹象。在加利福尼亚州,民主党人哈维尔·贝塞拉预计将轻松获胜,纽约州民主党州长凯西·霍赫尔也是如此。

In September, Latino politicians and political figures asked the Democratic Governors Association for USD 10 million in campaign support, saying she had made the contest close. The association provided USD 1 million, much less than it spent in Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio and Wisconsin. Abbott did not attend Trump's rally in Texas, which was seen as a sign of the president's unpopularity. In California, Democrat Xavier Becerra is expected to win comfortably, as is New York's Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul.

共和党寻求在全国第三大州佛罗里达州保持控制权,共和党联邦众议员拜伦·唐纳兹将与民主党人大卫·乔利对决,后者曾是共和党众议员。2024年总统大选中所有六个关键摇摆州的州长职位也岌岌可危:亚利桑那州、佐治亚州、密歇根州、内华达州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康星州。获胜者可能对2028年总统大选的管理产生相当大的影响,特别是考虑到特朗普试图扩大联邦对选举的控制。

Republicans are seeking to retain control in Florida, the country's third-most populous state, where Republican US Representative Byron Donalds is contesting against Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman. Governors' offices are also at stake in all six battleground states from the 2024 presidential election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The winners could have considerable influence over the administration of the 2028 presidential election, particularly given Trump's efforts to expand federal control over elections.

几位寻求连任的民主党州长也被视为2028年可能的总统候选人。他们包括马里兰州的韦斯·摩尔、伊利诺伊州的J·B·普里兹克和宾夕法尼亚州的乔什·夏皮罗。分析人士表示,大幅获胜优势、强大的筹款能力以及帮助其他民主党人获胜的能力,可能向捐助者和党务工作者发出重要信号。2026年选举也可能产生多个“首次”。

Several Democratic governors seeking re-election are also considered possible presidential candidates in 2028. They include Wes Moore of Maryland, JB Pritzker of Illinois and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania. Analysts say a large victory margin, strong fundraising and the ability to help other Democrats win could send a significant message to donors and party workers. The 2026 elections could also produce several firsts.

伊诺霍萨寻求成为德克萨斯州首位拉美裔女州长,而新墨西哥州的德布·哈兰德希望成为首位领导州政府的美洲原住民女性。更多州也可能选出黑人州长。除马里兰州的摩尔外,两大党派提名的七名黑人候选人已进入选票。

Hinojosa is seeking to become Texas' first Latina governor, while Deb Haaland of New Mexico hopes to become the first Native American woman to lead a state. More states could also elect Black governors. Seven Black candidates nominated by the two major parties are on the ballot, apart from Maryland's Moore.

在过去250年里,仅有三位当选州长是黑人。总体而言,36个州的州长选举可能让民主党在二十年后重新赢得多数州长职位,同时决定主要州份和关键总统摇摆州的控制权,为2028年大选奠定基础。

Only three elected governors have been Black in the past 250 years. Overall, the contests across 36 states could allow Democrats to win a majority of governors' offices after two decades, while determining control in major states and key presidential battlegrounds ahead of the 2028 election.

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