
虽然国会和州长竞选可能占据媒体版面,但一些竞争最激烈、意义最重大的角逐却在选票更靠后的位置。
While races for Congress or governors' mansions may dominate the airwaves, some of the most competitive and significant contests are farther down the ballot.
超过6100个州议会席位将进行改选,这些议会制定了关于教育、税收、生殖权利、犯罪和社交媒体使用等大多数法律。
More than 6,100 seats are up for election in state legislatures, which make most of the laws on education, taxes, reproductive rights, crime and social media access, among other things.
“事实是,在日常生活中,州政府、州议员、州长对我们日常生活的影响,大于华盛顿特区发生的事情,”宾夕法尼亚州西切斯特大学政治学教授约翰·肯尼迪说。
"The fact of the matter is the day in, day out basis, state governments, state lawmakers, state governors have a greater impact on our everyday lives than what takes place in Washington D.C.," said John Kennedy, a political science professor at West Chester University in Pennsylvania.
共和党控制着28个州的议会,民主党控制着18个州的议会。其余四个州的议会由两党分控或实行权力分享协议。
Republicans control the legislature in 28 states, while Democrats have control of 18 legislatures. The remaining four are divided or run under power-sharing deals.
两党都在评估各自的前景。两党全国委员会都在挑选重点推动的竞选,民主党试图利用反现任者情绪和特朗普总统的低支持率。
Both parties are sizing up their prospects Committees for both national parties are picking their races to promote, with Democrats trying to seize on the anti-incumbent mood and low popularity of President Trump. "By taking advantage of this once-in-a-generation opportunity and environment to build power, we can capture new majorities," said the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee in listing its target districts around the country.
“通过利用这一千载难逢的机会和环境来建立力量,我们可以赢得新的多数席位,”民主党立法竞选委员会在列出其全国目标选区时表示。
The Republican State Leadership Committee acknowledged in an April strategy memo that 2026 poses, "a political environment that is likely to be one of the most challenging for state Republicans in recent years."
共和党州领导委员会在4月的一份战略备忘录中承认,2026年将面临“近年来对州级共和党最具挑战性的政治环境之一”。该委员会表示,将采取“以防守为主的姿态”以守住共和党已占据的席位。
It said it's taking a "defensive-first posture" to hold onto seats already held by the GOP. Democrats are pouring millions of dollars into trying to flip Republican-held chambers in several states, especially Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, New Hampshire, Minnesota and Pennsylvania.
民主党正投入数百万美元,试图在几个州夺回共和党控制的议会,特别是威斯康星州、密歇根州、亚利桑那州、新罕布什尔州、明尼苏达州和宾夕法尼亚州。
That would give some Democratic governors greater power to pass their policy priorities or let Democrats block GOP initiatives.
这将使一些民主党州长拥有更大权力推行其政策优先事项,或让民主党得以阻止共和党的倡议。
The elections for Pennsylvania's divided legislature highlight the stakes For example, in Arizona Republicans hold a four-seat majority in the state Senate and a six-seat advantage in the House of Representatives, giving Democrats a chance to take one or both chambers.
宾夕法尼亚州分裂立法机构的选举凸显了利害关系。例如,在亚利桑那州,共和党在州参议院拥有四席多数优势,在州众议院拥有六席优势,这给了民主党夺取一院甚至两院控制权的机会。如果民主党拿下两院,且民主党州长凯蒂·霍布斯若成功连任,她将更容易推行此前受阻的举措,例如废除学校券制度和任命机构负责人。
If they take both, Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, if she wins re-election, would have an easier time implementing blocked efforts, such as rolling back school vouchers and appointing agency leaders. In other states, Democrats are simply looking to reduce Republican power or break the supermajorities that prevent Democratic governors from vetoing their bills, like in North Carolina and Kansas (if Democrats hold the governor's office there). The potential for a party shift may be the most pronounced in Pennsylvania, where Gov. Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, is in a constant policy battle with a split legislature where Democrats hold a slim majority in the state House but Republicans hold a four-seat majority in the Senate.
在其他州,民主党只是寻求削弱共和党力量,或打破阻止民主党州长行使否决权的共和党超级多数席位,如北卡罗来纳州和堪萨斯州(前提是民主党能守住那里的州长职位)。
Democrats have not won a trifecta – full control of the state's executive and legislative branches – in more than 30 years.
政党控制权易手的潜力在宾夕法尼亚州可能最为显著,民主党籍州长乔什·夏皮罗正与一个分裂的立法机构进行持续的政策博弈:民主党在州众议院占据微弱多数,而共和党在州参议院拥有四席多数优势。
It could come down to the results of a few close state Senate races in the Philadelphia suburbs.
民主党已有30多年未在该州实现“三权合一”——即完全控制州行政和立法部门。这可能取决于费城郊区几场胶着的州参议院选举结果。
The incumbent Shapiro, running for re-election, is already making a list of what he hopes to accomplish "in the first 30 days" if that happens. "We're going to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour," he said at a campaign rally.
寻求连任的现任州长夏皮罗已经列出了如果实现“三权合一”他在“前30天”内希望完成的事项清单。
"I'll tell you what else we're going to do – we will codify abortion rights into law in the commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
“我们将把最低工资提高到每小时15美元,”他在一次竞选集会上表示。“我还要告诉你们我们要做什么——我们将把堕胎权写入宾夕法尼亚州法律。我还要告诉你们我们要做什么——我们将建设更多经济适用房,并对付那些不断上调费率的公用事业公司。”虽然堕胎在宾夕法尼亚州是合法的,但民主党希望减少限制,并增加条款使其更加明确、减少司法解释的空间。共和党议员一直阻挠这些举措。
I'll tell you what else we're going to do – we're going to build more affordable housing and take on those utility companies that keep jacking up our rates here in Pennsylvania." While abortion is legal in Pennsylvania, Democrats want to reduce restrictions and add language that would make it clearer and less subject to judicial interpretation. Republican lawmakers have blocked those moves. Republican candidate says Shapiro should work more across the aisle Kennedy said Shapiro would try to do a lot with a Democratic legislature.
共和党候选人称夏皮罗应加强跨党派合作 肯尼迪表示,夏皮罗将试图在民主党控制的立法机构推动大量议程。
"Part of his whole image … has been he's someone who gets things done," he said.
“他的整体形象……一部分在于他是个能把事办成的人,”他说。“因此我怀疑,如果他们有机会,将会推出极具雄心的议程。” 夏皮罗的共和党挑战者、州财政部长斯泰西·加里蒂指责州长利用立法机构分裂作为“无所作为”的“借口”。
"And so I suspect if they have the opportunity, there's going to be nothing short of a very ambitious agenda." Shapiro's Republican challenger, State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, has accused the governor of using the divided legislature as an "excuse" for not getting things done. "The governor has consistently said … he can't do anything because he has a divided legislature," she said during their only public debate.
“州长一贯声称……因为立法机构分裂,他无法有所作为,”她在两人唯一的公开辩论中说。“那不是真正的领导力。真正的领导力——他们会把各方领袖召集到桌面前,进行谈判。” 赢家可能利用重划选区巩固优势 在其他州,民主党希望建立防线,制衡共和党州长推动立法的能力。在新罕布什尔州,他们希望赢得400名议员组成的州众议院多数席位,从而制衡寻求连任的共和党州长凯利·阿约特。
"Well, that's not what real leadership is. Real leadership -- they call the leaders to the table, and you negotiate." The winners could use redistricting to reinforce their gains In other states, Democrats are looking to create a bulwark against the ability of Republican governors to push through legislation. In New Hampshire, they hope to win a majority in the 400-member state House of Representatives, thereby providing a check on Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte, who's running for re-election.
如果民主党取得进展,将遏制共和党多年成功的策略。肯尼迪解释说,共和党控制议会的趋势源于2010年中期选举周期,当时他们在州立法机构取得压倒性胜利。这使共和党获得权力,通过重划选区巩固其控制地位。
If Democrats gain ground, it will counter a successful years-long strategy by the GOP. Kennedy explained that the shift toward Republican-held chambers stems from the 2010 midterm cycle, when they made sweeping gains in state legislatures. That gave Republicans the power to solidify their hold through redistricting.
而在2026年大选前国会选区重划的紧锣密鼓之后,一些州立法机构可能在下一个选举周期转向重划自身选区。卡门·拉塞尔-斯卢钱斯基为WHYY报道政治新闻。
And after the rush of mid-decade congressional redistricting before the 2026 elections, some legislatures might turn toward redistricting their own chambers in the next election cycle. Carmen Russell-Sluchansky covers politics for WHYY.