土耳其通胀在10月略微加速，引发关于第二次连续降息时机和幅度的疑问。
Turkish inflation accelerated slightly in October, raising questions about the timing and size of a second straight interest-rate cut.
土耳其统计局周二公布，年度消费者物价涨幅从9月的29.7%升至29.8%。彭博对22位分析师的调查中值预估为29.5%。
Annual consumer price growth picked up to 29.8% from 29.7% in September, TurkStat said on Tuesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 22 analysts was 29.5%.
月度物价涨幅为2.58%，较上月的1.84%加快，且高于分析师预估中值2.40%。
Monthly price growth was 2.58%, quickening from 1.84% the previous month and coming in above the median analyst forecast of 2.40%.
央行在10月将基准利率下调100个基点至36%，这是自1月以来的首次降息，理由是需求疲软和经济活动放缓。最新通胀数据可能使经济学家预期的在12月10日年内最后一次议息会议上再降息100个基点的前景变得复杂。
The central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 36% in October, its first reduction since January, citing subdued demand and slowing economic activity. The latest inflation print may complicate economists’ forecast of another 100-basis-point cut during the year’s final rate-setting meeting on Dec. 10.
决策者上月表示，尽管经季节性调整后的服务业成本有所回升，但预计总体通胀将继续放缓。央行行长法提赫·卡拉汉将于11月12日在伊斯坦布尔发布央行最新预测。
Policymakers last month said they expected headline inflation to keep slowing despite a pickup in the seasonally adjusted cost of services. Governor Fatih Karahan will present the central bank’s latest projections in Istanbul on Nov. 12.
彭博经济学的塞尔瓦·巴哈尔·巴济基在数据公布前撰文称，通胀风险“严重偏向上行”。“中东局势持续升级可能使预期中的通胀下降脱轨。”“中东冲突重燃还可能加剧近期资金外逃引发的货币疲软，进而增加物价压力，”她补充道。
Inflation risks “are heavily tilted to the upside,” Bloomberg Economics’ Selva Bahar Baziki wrote in advance of the data. “A sustained escalation in the Middle East could derail the expected decline in inflation.”“Renewed Middle East conflict could also exacerbate the currency weakness triggered by the recent fund rout, adding to price pressures,” she added.