2026年美国中期选举投票于周二晚间结束后，所有目光将转向出口民调结果。美国出口民调结果不会给出逐席的决定性判断，而是捕捉影响选民投票的关键心理因素，提供结果可能走向的趋势。
After polling closes for the US midterm elections 2026 Tuesday evening, all eyes will turn to the results of the exit poll surveys. The US exit poll results do not give a decisive seat-by-seat verdict.
对于2026年美国中期选举，出口民调由社会科学研究解决方案公司（SSRS）代表主要新闻广播机构实施。SSRS出口民调的数据将由美联社、NBC新闻、ABC新闻、CBS、MS Now、CNN和福克斯新闻运营。SSRS表示，全国出口民调样本量将在7.5万名选民左右。在拥有州级参议院或州长竞选的45个州，将分别进行出口民调。
It picks up on key questions on voters' minds that have influenced polling, giving a trend on which way the results could sway. For the US midterm elections 2026, the exit poll surveys are being carried out by Social Science Research Solution (SSRS) on behalf of the major news broadcasters. The data from the SSRS exit polls survey will be run by The Associated Press, NBC News, ABC News, CBS, MS Now, CNN and Fox. SSRS says that the national exit poll survey will include a sample size of around 75,000 voters.
埃隆·马斯克以近5亿美元领跑美国中期选举捐款，竞选支出创纪录的119亿美元出口民调数据何时发布？
Separate exit polls are being conducted in 45 states that have state-specific Senate or gubernatorial contests.
投票将于周二美国东部时间晚上7点至周三东部时间凌晨1点之间陆续结束，具体取决于各州。最后结束投票的州是夏威夷州，于周三东部时间凌晨0点；以及阿拉斯加州，于周三东部时间凌晨1点。出口民调数据将随着投票接近结束分阶段播报。
Elon Musk leads US midterm election donations with nearly $500 million as campaign spending hits record $11.9 billionWhat time will the exit polls data come out? The polling will close between 7pm ET Tuesday and 1am ET on Wednesday, depending on the state. The states where the polls will close at the very end are Hawaii, at 12:00am ET on Wednesday and Alaska, at 1am ET on Wednesday.
大多数美国广播机构表示，将从东部时间下午5点开始播报出口民调的早期结果，这比印第安纳州东部和肯塔基州东部首批投票于东部时间下午6点结束早一小时。
The data from the exit poll surveys will be broadcast in phases as polling nears closure.
全国调查结果预计将于东部时间下午5点出炉，各州结果将随投票结束陆续公布。关于各州出口民调的须知印第安纳州其余地区、肯塔基州其余地区，以及佐治亚州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州和弗吉尼亚州的投票将于东部夏令时间晚上7点结束。这些州的出口民调数据预计可从东部时间晚上7点起获得。
Most US broadcasters have said that they will start airing the early results of the exit poll surveys starting 5pm ET, an hours before the first poll closures in the eastern parts of Indiana and Kentucky at 6pm ET. The results of the national survey is expected to be out by 5pm ET, while state-wise results will come as and when polls close. What to know about state-wise exit pollsThe polls close at 7pm EDT for rest of Indiana and Kentucky, along with Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia.
北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和西弗吉尼亚州的投票将于东部时间晚上7点30分结束。
Exit poll data from these states could be expected to be available 7pm ET onwards.
各州出口民调数据将随后公布。维韦克·拉马斯瓦米在俄亥俄州州长选举中与妻子阿普尔瓦一同投票，表示“我们的工作从明天开始”。
The polls close at 7:30pm ET in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. State-wise exit poll data comes shortly after.
阿拉巴马州、康涅狄格州、特拉华州、哥伦比亚特区、佛罗里达州、伊利诺伊州、缅因州、马里兰州、马萨诸塞州、密西西比州、密苏里州、新罕布什尔州、新泽西州、俄克拉荷马州、宾夕法尼亚州、罗德岛州的投票将于美国东部时间晚上8点结束。
Vivek Ramaswamy casts vote alongside wife Apoorva in Ohio Governor race, says ‘Our work begins tomorrow’Polls will close at 8pm ET in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island.
阿肯色州的数据将在该州投票于美国东部时间晚上8点30分结束后公布。
The data from Arkansas will come in after polls close in the state at 8:30pm ET.
在亚利桑那州、科罗拉多州、堪萨斯州、路易斯安那州、密歇根州、明尼苏达州、新墨西哥州、纽约州、南达科他州、田纳西州、得克萨斯州部分地区、威斯康星州和怀俄明州，投票将于美国东部时间晚上9点结束。得克萨斯州其他地区的投票将于美国东部时间晚上8点结束。
In Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, South Dakota, Tennessee, some parts of Texas, Wisconsin and Wyoming, polls will close at 9pm. Polling in other parts of Texas will end at 8pm ET.
爱荷华州、蒙大拿州、内布拉斯加州、内华达州、北达科他州和犹他州的投票将于美国东部时间晚上9点结束。加利福尼亚州、爱达荷州、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州的投票将于美国东部时间晚上11点结束。最后，夏威夷州的投票将于周三美国东部时间凌晨12点结束，阿拉斯加州的投票将于周三美国东部时间凌晨1点结束。出口民调结果将在上述各州投票结束后播出。
Polls will close at 9pm ET in Iowa, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota and Utah. They will close in California, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington at 11pm ET. Finally, in Hawaii it will close at 12am ET on Wednesday, and in Alaska at 1am ET on Wednesday. The exit poll results will be broadcast once the polls close at each of these states.