不断上涨的生活成本已成为美国选民在周二中期选举中最大的担忧，近半数登记选民将其视为影响其投票决定的最重要议题，这是路透社/益普索民调显示的结果。此次选举将决定国会控制权，关系到美国总统唐纳德·特朗普任期最后两年的政治格局。这项针对1765名美国成年人的全国性调查于周四至周一进行，在登记选民中的误差范围为三个百分点。
The rising cost of living has emerged as the biggest concern for Americans voting in Tuesday's US midterm elections, with nearly half of registered voters identifying it as the most important issue influencing their decision, according to a ReutersIpsos poll. The elections will determine control of Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump's term. The nationwide survey of 1,765 US adults was conducted from Thursday through Monday and had a margin of error of three percentage points among registered voters.
与出口民调不同，该调查包含不一定已投票的受访者。生活成本位居选民关切榜首约48%的登记选民表示，生活成本是他们决定投票给谁时最大的担忧。民主规范是26%受访者的首要议题，而13%的人认定移民为首要议题。自美以与伊朗的战争于2月爆发以来，美国燃油价格飙升，加剧了对家庭开支的担忧。特朗普因素在中期选举中发挥作用特朗普敦促共和党人对待中期选举如同他本人亲自上阵参选一般，以激发党内支持者热情。
Unlike exit polls, it included respondents who had not necessarily voted.COST OF LIVING TOPS VOTER CONCERNSAround 48 per cent of registered voters said the cost of living was their biggest concern when deciding whom to vote for. Democratic norms were the top issue for 26 per cent, while 13 per cent identified immigration. Fuel prices in the US have surged since the US-Israeli war with Iran began in February, adding to concerns over household expenses.TRUMP FACTOR IN MIDTERM ELECTIONSTrump has urged Republicans to treat the midterm elections as if he were personally on the ballot to energise party supporters.
然而，路透社/益普索调查显示，他的存在可能对共和党不利。约48%计划投票或已投票的受访者表示，他们视自己的投票为反对特朗普，而25%的人认为这是支持特朗普的投票。另有25%的人表示特朗普不是他们投票决定的考量因素。选民质疑伊朗战争代价民调还凸显了公众对美国对伊朗军事行动的不满。尽管特朗普为战争辩护，称其为防止德黑兰发展核武器所必需，但只有25%的选民认为这项军事行动值得付出的代价。
However, the ReutersIpsos survey indicated that his presence could be a disadvantage for Republicans. Around 48 per cent of respondents who planned to vote or had already cast their ballots said they viewed their vote as being against Trump, compared with 25 per cent who considered it a vote in his favour. Another 25 per cent said Trump was not a factor in their voting decision.VOTERS QUESTION COST OF IRAN WARThe poll also highlighted public dissatisfaction with the US military action against Iran. While Trump has defended the war as necessary to prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons, only 25 per cent of voters said the military action had been worth the cost.
55%的受访者表示这不值得，而18%的人持未定态度。选民信心与选举诚信尽管对选举安全存有担忧，但77%的选民表示他们相信自己的选票会被计算在内。然而，45%的人认为选民欺诈是一个普遍存在的问题。
A majority, 55 per cent, said it had not been worth it, while 18 per cent were undecided.VOTER CONFIDENCE AND ELECTION INTEGRITYDespite concerns over election security, 77 per cent of voters said they were confident their ballots would be counted. However, 45 per cent believed voter fraud was a widespread problem.
特朗普曾多次声称有大量非公民非法投票，这些指控已被选举官员驳回。此外，也出现了关于政府可能干预选举或认证其认为不利结果的担忧。白宫坚持认为，其努力旨在保护选举诚信和投票安全。特朗普执政下家庭财务状况恶化近半数美国人，即49%，表示自2025年1月特朗普重返白宫以来，其家庭财务状况已恶化。仅13%的人报告有所改善，而37%的人表示财务状况保持不变。
Trump has repeatedly made claims about large numbers of non-citizens voting illegally, allegations that have been rejected by election officials. Concerns have also emerged over the possibility of the administration interfering with elections or the certification of results it considers unfavourable. The White House has maintained that its efforts are aimed at protecting election integrity and voting security.HOUSEHOLD FINANCES WORSEN UNDER TRUMPNearly half of Americans, or 49 per cent, said their household finances had worsened since January 2025, when Trump returned to the White House. Only 13 per cent reported an improvement, while 37 per cent said their financial situation had remained unchanged.
调查结果还显示，西班牙裔选民的经济不满情绪日益加剧，这一群体在2024年总统大选中曾转向支持特朗普。约54%的西班牙裔受访者表示家庭财务状况恶化，而仅10%的人报告有所改善。
The findings also pointed to growing economic dissatisfaction among Hispanic voters, a group that shifted towards Trump in the 2024 presidential election. Around 54 per cent of Hispanic respondents said their household finances had deteriorated, while just 10 per cent reported an improvement.
特朗普曾以振兴美国经济为竞选承诺，但其支持率在近几个月来有所下降。跨性别者权利与女子体育调查还凸显了选民在跨性别者权利及参与女子体育问题上的分歧。
Trump had campaigned on promises to boost the US economy, but his approval ratings have fallen in recent months.TRANSGENDER RIGHTS AND WOMEN'S SPORTSThe survey also highlighted divisions over transgender rights and participation in women's sports.
约38%的选民表示，阻止跨性别女孩和女性参加女子体育比赛对他们而言，要么是非常重要的问题，要么是最重要的问题。相比之下，25%的受访者认为保护跨性别者权利同样重要。数据中心建设成为选举议题人工智能基础设施的扩张也已成为选民关注的问题。约42%的登记选民表示，限制用于为AI提供动力的数据中心建设，对他们而言是“非常重要”或“最重要”的议题。
Around 38 per cent of voters said keeping transgender girls and women out of women's sports was either a very important or the most important issue for them. In comparison, 25 per cent gave the same importance to protecting the rights of transgender people.DATA CENTRES EMERGE AS AN ELECTION ISSUEThe expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure has also become a concern for voters. Around 42 per cent of registered voters said limiting the construction of data centres used to power AI was a very important or the most important issue for them.VOTERS OPPOSE BILLIONAIRE ELECTION DONATIONSA bipartisan majority of registered voters expressed opposition to wealthy individuals using their fortunes to influence federal elections.
选民反对亿万富翁竞选捐款跨党派的多数登记选民表示反对富人利用财富影响联邦选举。民调发现，93%的民主党人和71%的共和党人认为，亿万富翁捐赠数千万美元以影响选举结果是不恰当的。民主党在政治理念上占微弱优势尽管民调受访者在国会选举中似乎略微倾向民主党而非共和党，但选民在哪个党派提供更好的理念上仍存在分歧。
The poll found that 93 per cent of Democrats and 71 per cent of Republicans considered it inappropriate for billionaires to contribute tens of millions of dollars to influence election outcomes.DEMOCRATS HOLD NARROW EDGE ON POLITICAL IDEASAlthough poll respondents appeared to slightly favour Democrats over Republicans in the congressional elections, voters remained divided over which party offered better ideas.
约43%的登记选民表示民主党至少有一些好主意，而持相同看法的共和党选民为39%。——完——
Around 43 per cent of registered voters said Democrats had at least some good ideas, compared with 39 per cent who expressed the same view about Republicans.- Ends