在2026年中期选举前，选民们关注经济问题，并渴望变革。大多数人将经济和生计成本列为国家最重要的问题之一，八成选民表示国家需要在治理方式上做出重大改变或彻底变革。许多人对美国政治现状表示悲观，只有十分之一的人表示感到乐观。
Ahead of the 2026 midterms, voters are focused on economic concerns and are eager for change. Most cite the economy and the cost of living among the country’s most important issues, and 8 in 10 say the country needs substantial change or complete and total upheaval in how it is run. Many also express pessimism about the state of U.S. politics, with only 1 in 10 saying they feel optimistic.
85%的选民表示，在考虑即将到来的选举投票时，经济是最重要的问题之一，84%的选民对生计成本持同样看法。69%的选民认为医疗保健是首要问题，64%的选民将伊朗战争列为首要问题。45%的选民表示移民和犯罪是最重要的问题之一。较少的选民将人工智能（35%）或跨性别议题（12%）列为优先事项。
Eighty-five percent of voters say the economy is one of the most important issues when considering their vote in the upcoming election, and 84% say the same about the cost of living. Health care is considered a top issue for 69% of voters, while 64% cite the war with Iran as a top issue. Forty-five percent say immigration and crime are among the most important issues. Fewer voters say artificial intelligence (35%) or transgender issues (12%) are top priorities.
经济和生计成本被民主党和共和党选民都视为关键问题。共和党选民更倾向于将犯罪和移民列为即将到来的选举中的首要问题，而民主党选民更倾向于将医疗保健列为首要问题。
The economy and cost of living are considered crucial issues for both Democratic and Republican voters. Republican voters are more likely to cite crime and immigration as top issues in the upcoming election, while Democratic voters are more likely to mention health care as a top issue.
绝大多数选民表示，国家在治理方式上需要“重大改变”或“彻底变革”。民主党人和独立选民尤其倾向于要求变革，约半数民主党人和四成独立选民表示他们希望彻底变革。共和党选民虽然不太倾向于支持彻底变革，但仍在寻求改变。近半数（45%）表示希望看到国家治理方式发生重大改变。
A large majority of voters say the country needs either “substantial change” or “complete and total upheaval” in how it is run. Democratic and independent voters are especially likely to want change, with about half of Democrats and 4 in 10 independents saying they want upheaval. Republican voters, though less likely to favor complete upheaval, are still seeking change. Nearly half, 45%, say they would like to see substantial change in how the country is run.
三分之二的选民对美国政治现状感到悲观。半数选民对民主党、共和党的未来以及整个民主制度感到悲观。
Two-thirds of voters feel pessimistic about the state of politics in this country. Half are pessimistic about the future of the Democratic party and the Republican party as well as democracy as a whole.
近半数选民希望民主党掌控国会：其中47%的选民支持民主党控制众议院，46%希望民主党掌控参议院；相比之下，仅有38%的选民希望共和党继续掌控两院。另有15%的选民尚未拿定主意，其中无党派人士比政党支持者更有可能对应由哪一方掌控国会持不确定态度。
Nearly half of voters would like Democrats to take control of Congress, with 47% favoring Democratic control of the U.S. House of Representatives and 46% favoring Democratic control of the Senate, compared with 38% who would prefer Republicans to remain in charge of both chambers. Fifteen percent are unsure, with independents more likely than partisans to be undecided about who should control the legislature.
总体而言，36%的选民对特朗普总统的执政表现表示认可，64%的选民则不以为然。在打击犯罪方面，特朗普的表现相对出色，45%的选民对其处理该问题的能力表示满意。不过，约四分之三的选民对他在经济治理（74%）及控制生活成本（79%）方面的表现持；约三分之二的选民也不认可他在外交政策上的举措。
Overall, 36% of voters approve of how President Trump is handling his job while 64% disapprove. Crime remains one of Trump’s stronger issues with 45% of voters approving of his handling of this issue. About three quarters of voters disapprove of how he is handling the economy (74%) or the cost of living (79%). About two-thirds disapprove of how Trump is dealing with foreign policy.
约三分之一的选民对特朗普本人（35%）、副总统J.D.万斯（35%）以及共和党（36%）抱有好感；另有40%的选民对民主党持正面态度。
About a third of voters have a favorable opinion of Trump (35%), Vice President JD Vance (35%), and the Republican Party (36%). Four in 10 voters have a favorable view of the Democratic Party.
此次全国性民意调查于2026年10月8日至12日期间实施，调查对象为芝加哥大学NORC研究中心管理的AmeriSpeak®样本库中的民众。调查共访问了1,119名成年人，调查方式包括在线问卷及固定电话与手机访谈。整体抽样误差范围为正负3.9个百分点。
The nationwide poll was conducted October 8-12, 2026, using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the probability-based panel of NORC at the University of Chicago. Online and telephone interviews using landlines and cell phones were conducted with 1,119 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/-3.9 percentage points.
推荐引用方式：AP-NORC公共事务研究中心。“中期选举前夕，多数选民将经济与生活成本视为首要议题并期待政治变革”（2026年10月）。
Suggested Citation: AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. “Ahead of the midterms, most voters cite the economy and cost of living as top issues and favor political change” (October 2026).