民主党浪潮已经来临——现在，随着关键州的选票计票，问题在于它将淘汰多少名共和党人。
The Democratic wave is here — and now, as votes are counted in key states, the question is how many Republicans it will wipe out.
在政治版图上，蓝色转向巨大，CNN预测民主党已重新夺回众议院控制权。
Across the political map, the blue shift has been enormous, with CNN projecting Democrats have retaken control of the House.
在美国中西部农村地区，特朗普两年前取得的巨大胜选优势已大幅下降。在拉丁裔占比高的国会选区，总统2024年的进展已荡然无存。
In rural Middle America, the enormous margins of victory that Donald Trump posted two years ago have plummeted. In heavily Latino congressional districts, the president’s 2024 gains have evaporated.
尽管白宫已开始推卸责任，但特朗普在其党内争取保持众议院和参议院多数席位的努力中的干预，似乎只会损害共和党的胜选机会。
And though the White House is already deflecting blame, Trump’s interventions in his party’s attempts to hold its House and Senate majorities seem to have only hurt the GOP’s chances.
特朗普的招募努力和背书正在适得其反。他在参议院选举中支持的候选人，在北卡罗来纳州、佐治亚州、得克萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州的选举中落败或落后，这些候选人原本是他优于其他知名共和党人选择的人选。他的重新划区策略也似乎落空了。在佛罗里达州，民主党赢得了几个原本重新划区以确保共和党胜选的选区。
Trump’s recruiting efforts and endorsements were backfiring. Candidates he’d backed over other prominent Republicans had lost or were trailing in Senate races in North Carolina, Georgia, Texas and South Carolina. His redistricting gambit also appears to have fallen flat. In Florida, Democrats won several districts that were redrawn to guarantee Republican victories.
在得克萨斯州，这个长期以来美国最大的红州，民主党有望打破其数十年来在州级职位上的垄断——不仅在备受瞩目的参议院选举中，还可能在州长选举和其他州级选举中取得突破。
In Texas, long the country’s biggest red state, Democrats are in contention to break their decadeslong lockout from statewide office — not just in the high-profile Senate race, but also potentially in the gubernatorial contest and other statewide races.
数百万选票尚未计票，周二选举的全部影响还为时过早。但已经清楚的是，美国人普遍拒绝了特朗普——而民主党因此有望取得巨大进展。
Millions of votes remain to be counted, and it’s far too early to know the full implications of Tuesday’s elections. What’s clear already, though, is that Americans broadly rejected Trump — and Democrats stand to make huge gains because of it.
民主党已经翻转了四个共和党持有的参议院席位中的两个，赢得了北卡罗来纳州和南卡罗来纳州的选举——并且是通过击败特朗普亲自挑选的候选人实现的。
Democrats have already flipped two of the four Republican-held Senate seats the party needs to claim the majority, winning races in North Carolina and South Carolina — and doing so by defeating candidates who were hand-picked by Trump.
在北卡罗来纳州，前民主党州长罗伊·库珀大胜前共和党全国委员会主席迈克尔·何特利——这一结果在两党策略师中广为预料。
In North Carolina, former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper trounced former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley — an outcome that was widely expected by strategists in both parties.
不过，南卡罗来纳州令人震惊。民主党人安妮·安德鲁斯击败了已故参议员林赛·格雷厄姆的妹妹达琳·格雷厄姆，夺得了自1964年斯特罗姆·瑟蒙德转换党派以来一直由共和党掌控的席位。自1998年以来，民主党人在棕榈树州尚未赢得过参议院选举。
South Carolina, though, was a stunner. Democrat Annie Andrews defeated Darline Graham, the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham — claiming a seat that’s been in GOP hands since Strom Thurmond switched parties in 1964. A Democrat hasn’t won a Senate race in the Palmetto State since 1998.
林赛·格雷厄姆今年7月去世后，一批南卡罗来纳州政坛老将曾有意竞逐该席位。但特朗普首先请格雷厄姆的妹妹——一位政治新手——暂时担任该席位，随后又施压让她竞选完整任期。她在辩论和竞选活动中表现挣扎。
A roster of South Carolina political veterans had been interested in running for the seat after Lindsey Graham’s death in July. But Trump asked Graham’s sister — a political novice — first to occupy the seat temporarily and later pressured her to run for a full term. She struggled in debates and on the campaign trail.
目前还为时过早，无法断言民主党是否将赢得参议院多数席位。不过可以肯定的是，南卡罗来纳州远非民主党认为最有可能夺取的共和党席位名单上的首选。而在那里取得胜利，对民主党在预计竞争更激烈的州——包括缅因州、俄亥俄州、爱荷华州、得克萨斯州和阿拉斯加州——的胜算是个好兆头。
It’s too early to say whether Democrats will win a Senate majority. What is clear, though, is that South Carolina was nowhere near the top of the Democrats’ list of the most winnable GOP-held seats. And a victory there is a good sign for its chances in states that were expected to be more competitive — including Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Texas and Alaska.
进一步提振民主党赢得参议院多数席位希望的是，佐治亚州参议员乔恩·奥索夫取得了早期的决定性胜利。这场竞选是特朗普中期选举操作失败的又一例证：他的背书帮助众议员迈克·柯林斯在初选中击败了更温和的替代者，后者获得了两届共和党州长布莱恩·坎普的支持。奥索夫的优势和柯林斯的挣扎也帮助民主党赢得了佐治亚州的州长选举，基莎·兰斯·博顿斯将成为美国首位黑人女性州长。在佛罗里达州，结果显示拉丁裔选民可能向民主党出现巨大转向。
Further buoying the Democrats’ hopes of a Senate majority was an early, decisive win by Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff. The race was another example of Trump’s failed midterm maneuvering: His endorsement boosted Rep. Mike Collins to a primary win over a more moderate alternative backed by popular two-term Republican Gov. Brian Kemp. Ossoff’s strengths and Collins’ struggles helped Democrats win the governor’s race in Georgia, as well, with Keisha Lance Bottoms now set to become the nation’s first Black female governor. In Florida, the results offered evidence of a potentially enormous swing among Latino voters in Democrats’ favor.
民主党保住了三个席位，这些席位是共和党为了确保今年秋天胜利而重新划分的。CNN预测，众议员凯西·卡斯托和贾里德·莫斯科威茨将在重新划分的选区获胜，民主党人皮娅·丹迪亚在第22选区也将获胜。
Democrats held onto three seats that Republicans had redrawn in an effort to guarantee victories this fall. CNN has projected that Reps. Kathy Castor and Jared Moskowitz will win in redrawn districts, as will Democrat Pia Dandiya in the 22nd District.
在佛罗里达州中部另一个共和党重新划分的高度西班牙裔选区，民主党众议员达伦·索托在选区第九选区以微弱优势领先于他的共和党挑战者。
In another heavily Hispanic district in central Florida the GOP had redrawn, Democratic Rep. Darren Soto narrowly leads his Republican challenger in the 9th District.
但最大的意外可能来自佛罗里达州南部的第27选区，该选区位于拉丁裔占绝大多数的迈阿密-戴德县。
But the biggest eye-opener might come in South Florida’s 27th District, which is based in the overwhelmingly Latino Miami-Dade County.
共和党众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉扎今年发布了一支引人关注的广告，她站在白宫前，批评特朗普的移民政策。她两年前以20个百分点的优势获胜。她今年可能保住席位——但她领先民主党挑战者埃利奥特·罗德里格斯仅一千多票。但如此规模的波动意味着，特朗普在2024年赢得的拉丁裔选民支持在佛罗里达州实际上已经荡然无存。
Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar released a buzzy ad this year standing in front of the White House, criticizing Trump’s immigration policy. She won by 20 percentage points two years ago. She might hold on this year — but she leads Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez by just over a thousand votes. But a swing of that size means the gains Trump made with Latino voters in 2024 have effectively evaporated, at least in Florida.
特朗普在白宫东厅观看选举结果，现场气氛被描述为紧张。值得注意的是，周二晚上他连续三小时在Truth Social上保持沉默，直到民主党继续赢得选举，他在晚上10点30分刚过发帖称：“我不在选票上，如果我在，我们将以压倒性优势获胜！感谢您对此事的关注。总统唐纳德·J·特朗普。”未提及的是，特朗普数周来一直告诉他的支持者假装他也在选票上——而且他亲自挑选了今晚许多正在遭遇挫败的候选人。
Trump watched returns come in from the White House East Room, where the mood was described as tense. Notably, he went silent on Truth Social for three hours Tuesday night as Democrats kept winning races before posting just after 10:30 p.m.: “I wasn’t on the Ballot and if I was, we would have won IN A LANDSLIDE! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP.”Left unsaid was that Trump had spent weeks telling his supporters to pretend he was on the ballot — and that he hand-selected many of the candidates who have been suffering tonight.
特别是南卡罗来纳州、北卡罗来纳州和德克萨斯州的候选人薄弱，已成为全国共和党人的一大头痛，他们不得不投入数百万美元争夺本不该接近的选举。
Candidate weakness in South Carolina, North Carolina and Texas in particular became a major headache for national Republicans, who were forced to spend millions contesting races they never expected to be close.
官员们强调，特朗普“竭尽全力”——尽其所能保住国会多数席位，但也为将任何共和党失利归咎于候选人本身埋下了伏笔。
Officials have stressed that Trump “left it on the field” — doing what he could to retain congressional majorities but also seeding the ground to pin any Republican losses on the candidates themselves.
特朗普已经意识到，如果共和党失利，他很可能会受到指责。这也是他在过去一个月里进行疯狂竞选冲刺的理由之一，正如他自己承认的那样，这让他感到疲惫。他说自己曾想缩短行程，但最终被说服在爱荷华和堪萨斯举行最后的活动。特朗普周一在“倒影池”演讲时表示：“我们全力以赴”，并承认历史并未站在他这边。
Trump has been aware that he was likely to catch blame if Republicans lose. That was part of his rationale for carrying out a frenetic campaign blitz over the last month, which by his own admission was exhausting. He says he tried to cut it short, but was convinced to hold final events in Iowa and Kansas. “We gave this a very strong shot,” Trump said Monday at his Reflecting Pool speech, acknowledging history was not on his side.
这些结果对可能在2028年竞选总统的民主党人来说充满了鼓舞人心的信号。
The results were full of encouraging signs for Democrats who may want to run for president in 2028.
至少有两位潜在的白宫竞争者——伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克和宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗——在连任选举中轻松获胜。普里茨克在胜选演讲中点及对其政治前景的猜测，称有人问他“下一步是什么？”
At least two potential White House contenders, Govs. JB Pritzker of Illinois and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, cruised to victory in their reelection bids. Pritzker nodded to speculation about his political future in his victory speech, saying he’s been asked, “What’s next?”
“答案很简单：我会请大家继续保持希望，用希望和勇气包裹自己，”普里茨克说。“我们今晚已经爬上一座山，但我们正坐在另一座山的山脚下。”另一位可能的白宫竞争者——肯塔基州州长安迪·贝希尔，虽然周二未出现在选票上，但当他的前助理扎克·登博在肯塔基中部将一个倾向共和党的众议院选区翻转时，取得了重大胜利。
“The answer is simple: I’m going to ask you to continue to hope, to wrap yourself in hope, in courage,” Pritzker said. “We climbed one mountain tonight, but we are sitting at the base of another.”Another possible White House contender, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, was not on the ballot Tuesday but scored a big win when his former aide, Zach Dembo, flipped a GOP-friendly House district in central Kentucky.
在乔治亚州，奥索夫的决定性胜利可能会提升他在2028年的关注度，尽管他已否认有参选意向。前亚特兰大市长凯莎·兰斯·巴特姆赢得州长选举，这意味着如果奥索夫因总统竞选而腾出参议院席位，另一位民主党人可以挑选他的接替者。
And in Georgia, Ossoff’s decisive victory is likely to increase 2028 buzz surrounding him, even if he has denied interest in running. Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms winning the governor’s race means a fellow Democrat could pick his replacement in the Senate if he were to vacate his seat for a presidential run.