跨大西洋联盟濒临崩溃近两年后，美国中期选举中民主党的压倒性胜利于周三在欧洲受到欢迎，尽管很少有人相信这会是修复受损关系的灵丹妙药。
After almost two years in which the transatlantic alliance verged on collapse, a Democratic landslide in the US midterm elections was welcomed in Europe on Wednesday, even if few believed it would be a panacea for ailing ties.
民主党横扫美国国会两院，是对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普两年执政记录的沉重打击。对欧洲而言，这段时期导致战后秩序破碎，西方联盟内部出现严重裂痕。
The Democratic Party swept both chambers of the US Congress in a crushing rebuke of US President Donald Trump’s two-year record. For Europe, that period has led to a shattering of the post-war order and deep schisms in the Western coalition.
特朗普撤回了美国对乌克兰的支持，并向俄罗斯靠拢，威胁要夺取丹麦领土格陵兰，并明确表示欧洲必须为自己的防务买单，使北约的未来充满不确定性。
Trump has pulled US support for Ukraine and moved closer to Russia, threatened to seize the Danish territory of Greenland and made clear that Europe must pay for its own defence, leaving the future of Nato uncertain.
他还让欧洲人的钱包受损。贸易摩擦导致欧盟商品被加征关税，同时特朗普试图迫使布鲁塞尔放弃影响美国公司的绿色和数字法律。
He has also hit Europeans in their pockets. Trade frictions have seen tariffs slapped on EU goods, while Trump has attempted to force Brussels to abandon green and digital laws affecting US companies.
欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩周二表示，特朗普今年与以色列联手对伊朗发动的战争，导致欧盟额外进口了1270亿欧元（1430亿美元）的化石燃料，“却没有多出一分子能源”。这一数额相当于每个欧盟居民约281欧元，或欧盟全年总预算的67%。
Trump’s war against Iran, launched together with Israel this year, has led the European Union to import €127 billion (US$143 billion) in additional fossil fuels “without a single molecule of energy in addition”, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Tuesday. That sum is equivalent to roughly €281 per EU resident, or 67 per cent of the bloc’s entire annual budget.
尽管如此，很少有人对选举结果感到欢欣鼓舞。反应平淡反映出，自去年年初以来，这一关系遭受了多么严重的损害。
Nonetheless, few were rejoicing over the results. The muted reaction reflected just how much damage the relationship has endured since the beginning of last year.
“我们有点对美国作为救世主失去了希望……几乎所有人都认为这不会带来多大改变，这一事实本身就说明了欧美关系的现状，”一位要求匿名的欧盟外交官表示。
“We kind of lost hope in the US being the saviour … the fact that pretty much everyone doesn’t think it’s going to move the needle much says a lot about the EU-US relationship,” said an EU diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity.
许多观察人士警告说，在所属政党遭遇惨败后，受挫的特朗普可能会让欧洲的日子更加难过。
Many observers warned that a wounded Trump could make life even worse for Europe after his party’s humiliating losses.
华盛顿战略与国际研究中心欧洲问题分析师马克斯·伯格曼表示：“跛脚鸭总统在最后两年会把注意力转向外交政策。特朗普政府对待世界的方式很激进。他们想扰乱现有的世界秩序，而且还有两年时间来做这件事。我预计未来会与欧洲发生很多碰撞。”
“Lame-duck presidents in their final two years shift their focus to foreign policy. The Trump administration has a radical approach to the world. They want to disrupt the existing world order and they have two more years to do that. I expect a lot of collisions with Europe ahead,” said Max Bergmann, a Europe analyst at Washington’s Centre for Strategic and International Studies.
这名外交官也认为，特朗普可能会对欧洲变得更加咄咄逼人。这名外交官说：“他会有很多空闲时间，因此他会更加猛烈地抨击……所以我认为这对我们不利，因为欧洲显然是他的主要目标之一。贸易和外交政策是他仍然有一定影响力的领域。”
The diplomat agreed that Trump might become more aggressive towards Europe. “He’s going to have a lot of free time, and because of this he’s going to lash out more … so I don’t think that’s good for us because obviously Europe is one of his main targets. Trade, foreign policy is where he still has a bit of clout,” the diplomat said.
欧洲政策中心首席执行官法比安·祖莱格警告说，特朗普对欧洲“可能变得更加危险”。他说：“他将在国内外寻找替罪羊，尽管经济现实可能会限制进一步对抗。欧洲和乌克兰必须为与俄罗斯达成妥协的可能性做好准备，以柴油协议为基础。”
Fabian Zuleeg, chief executive at the European Policy Centre, warned that Trump “could become more dangerous” for Europe. “He will seek scapegoats, at home and abroad, although economic realities might limit further confrontation. Europe and Ukraine must prepare for the possibility of an accommodation with Russia, building on the diesel deal.”
尽管共和党在选举中惨败，但特朗普仍控制着美国的外交政策，并对议员的提议拥有否决权——随着失败的程度变得明朗，他在媒体露面时热衷于鼓吹这一点。
Despite the Republicans’ electoral thrashing, Trump retains control of US foreign policy and holds veto power over proposals from legislators – a point he was keen to trumpet in media appearances as the scale of the defeat became clear.
海牙战略研究中心高级研究员保罗·弗哈根说：“虽然民主党横扫众议院和参议院是一件好事，整个欧洲都会庆祝，但这不应被误认为美国外交政策的根本改变。”弗哈根说：“对特朗普的强烈抵制产生了‘蓝色浪潮’，这是由国内问题驱动的。这本身并不是对特朗普外交政策的拒绝，而是对加油成本的拒绝。”弗哈根是最近出版的《》一书的作者。
“While the Democratic sweep of the House and the Senate is a good thing that will be celebrated across Europe, it should not be mistaken as a fundamental change in US foreign policy,” said Paul Verhagen, a senior fellow at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. “The backlash against Trump that produced the blue tsunami is driven by domestic concerns. It is not a rejection of Trump’s foreign policy per se, it’s a rejection of the price at the pump,” said Verhagen, author of the recent book . Observers said the “blue wave” was therefore unlikely to result in a major shift in the US retrenchment from Ukraine, while Europe would remain on the hook for its own security needs.
观察人士说，因此“蓝色浪潮”不太可能导致美国从乌克兰收缩的战略发生重大转变，而欧洲仍将为自己的安全需求承担责任。
“Pressure for Europe to carry more of its defence burden will continue, as will trade disputes,” wrote J.C.
美国智库德国马歇尔基金会的访问学者J·C·林岑尼希写道：“要求欧洲承担更多防务负担的压力将持续存在，贸易争端也将继续。”
Lintzenich, a visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, a US think tank.
“国会的支持可能使对乌克兰的援助更加持久，尽管拨款在转化为军事能力之前，仍必须克服生产、批准和交付方面的障碍。”观察人士认为，对欧洲而言，最坏的情况将是特朗普加倍推行一些已在该集团内引起震惊的外交政策。
“Congressional support may make assistance to Ukraine more durable, although appropriations must still overcome production, approval and delivery hurdles before they become military capability.”A worst-case scenario for Europe, according to observers, would be Trump doubling down on some of the foreign policies that have caused consternation in the bloc.
“我真的很担心俄罗斯，”这位外交消息人士说。“我担心他会开始重新与俄罗斯开展业务，而完全不顾欧洲的利益。”
“I’m really worried about Russia,” the diplomatic source said. “I’m worried he’s going to start reopening business with Russia, not taking into account at all European interests.”