2026年11月3日，在得克萨斯州奥斯汀市奥斯汀公共图书馆卡弗分馆的投票站，一名选举工作人员使用移动投票单元帮助一名残障人士在车内投票。—法新社华盛顿：唐纳德·特朗普总统的第二个任期可谓跌宕起伏，但如果共和党在周二的美国中期选举中失去对国会的控制，他执政的最后两年可能会更加动荡。
A poll worker uses a mobile voting unit to help a handicapped person cast their ballot from their car on Election Day at a polling location at the Austin Public Library Carver Branch on November 03, 2026 in Austin, Texas. —AFP WASHINGTON: President Donald Trump's second term has been a wild ride, but his last two years in power could be wilder still if Republicans lose control of Congress in Tuesday's US midterm elections.
从重启对伊朗的军事行动，到挑战选举结果、反击民主党的调查，特朗普在中期选举后的策略可能涉及各条战线的搅局。
From renewed military action against Iran to election challenges and fightbacks against Democratic investigations, Trump's post-midterms playbook could involve disruption on all fronts.
分析人士警告，作为“跛脚鸭”总统的特朗普，可能是所有特朗普中最具报复心的一个。
Analysts warn that Trump as a "lame duck" president could be the most vengeful Trump of all.
乔治·华盛顿大学媒体与公共事务学院院长彼得·洛格表示：“我怀疑特朗普总统会安静地步入那个良夜。”“历史上没有任何迹象表明他会说‘我被击败了，我的时代结束了’。每次特朗普被逼到墙角，他都会喊得更响，并奋起反击。”否决与报复特朗普一直视自己为斗士。他已明确表示，如果民主党赢得国会一院或两院的控制权，他将采取同样的做法。
"I'm skeptical that President Trump will go quiet into that good night," Peter Loge, director of George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, told "There is nothing in history that says he will say 'I've been beaten, my time is over.' Every time Trump has been backed into a corner, he has shouted more and come out fighting." Vetoes and vengeance Trump has always viewed himself as a fighter. He has been clear he will take the same approach if Democrats win one or both chambers of Congress. "If we didn't win, I veto everything" in any Democratic legislative agenda, Trump told the New York Post.
特朗普对《纽约邮报》说：“如果我们没赢，我就否决一切”，否决任何民主党的立法议程。
The White House says it is also ready to fight back against whatever investigations — or impeachment proceedings — Democrats throw at them.
白宫表示，他们也准备好反击民主党抛出的任何调查——或弹劾程序。
Voters participate in the US midterm elections on Election Day, in Bangor, Maine, US, on November 3, 2026. — Reuters "They'll probably go after me, and I'll go after them," Trump said in a Time magazine interview.
特朗普在接受《时代》杂志采访时说：“他们可能会针对我，我也会针对他们。”特朗普甚至可能指示司法部调查那些正在调查他的民主党人。
Trump could even direct the Justice Department to investigate Democrats who are probing him.
特朗普曾毫无根据地质疑自己在2020年总统选举中的失利，他也可能通过质疑计票结果或推迟对有争议选举的认证来干预中期选举。伊朗外交是美国跛脚鸭总统仍拥有广泛权力的一个领域。
Trump, who baselessly disputed his 2020 presidential election loss, could also interfere in the midterms by challenging counts or delaying the certification of disputed races. Iran Foreign policy is the one area in which lame-duck US presidents still have wide-ranging powers.
特朗普可能重启对伊朗的大规模军事行动，尽管他在中期选举前夕似乎表示，新的谈判可能达成协议。
Trump may renew large-scale military operations against Iran, although he appeared to indicate on the eve of the midterms that fresh talks could produce a deal.
布鲁金斯学会的瑞安·哈斯表示：“我认为他并不希望自己的政治遗产是好战分子。他希望自己的遗产是让美国变得更强大。”外界纷纷猜测，随着伊朗战事持续，特朗普可能解雇五角大楼负责人皮特·赫格塞斯——对于一位从不喜欢承担责任的总统来说，这是熟悉的做法。
"I don't think he wants his legacy to be a warmonger. He wants his legacy to have left America stronger," Ryan Hass of the Brookings Institution told Speculation has swirled that Trump could fire Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth as the Iran war drags on — a familiar move for a president who never likes to take the blame.
乌克兰、缓和与贸易。特朗普喜欢把自己视为和平协议大师，并可能继续推动乌克兰同意与俄罗斯达成解决方案。新一轮三方会谈定于下周举行。
Ukraine, detente and trade Trump loves to think of himself as a master of peace deals and is likely to continue to push Ukraine to agree to a settlement with Russia. Fresh trilateral talks are set for next week.
与此同时，特朗普将继续寻求与他视为对等大国的领导人——中国国家主席习近平和俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京——缓和关系。
At the same time, Trump will continue to seek detente with the leaders he views as his great power equals — Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
2026年11月3日，美国缅因州赫蒙，选民在选举日于赫蒙高中投票站投票。——法新社。三人可能于本月晚些时候在中国举行的一场峰会上会面。
Voters cast their ballots on Election Day at the Hermon High School polling location on November 03, 2026, in Hermon, Maine, US. — AFP The three will potentially meet at a summit in China later this month.
布鲁金斯学会的哈斯表示，美国也可能继续从部分北约及其他西方盟友中收缩，甚至可能加速这一进程。
The US is also likely to continue its retrenchment from some of its NATO and other Western allies — and may even accelerate it, said Hass of the Brookings Institution.
不过哈斯表示，在贸易方面，特朗普可能仍会“毫不松懈地活跃”，正如他近期对加拿大的敌意所显示的那样。为2028年保持影响力？
On trade, however, Trump would likely remain "unrelentingly active," as shown by his recent hostility towards Canada, Hass said. Staying relevant for 2028?
特朗普喜欢成为关注的中心，不太可能乐见聚光灯转向2028年美国总统选举的潜在继任者。
Trump loves being the center of attention and is unlikely to relish the spotlight turning towards potential successors in the 2028 US presidential election.
曾主持真人秀节目《学徒》的特朗普，对于支持副总统JD·万斯还是国务卿马尔科·卢比奥出任最高职位，一直明显讳莫如深。
Trump — who hosted the reality television show "The Apprentice" — has been notably coy about backing either Vice President JD Vance or Secretary of State Marco Rubio for the top job.
2026年11月3日，美国新罕布什尔州曼彻斯特，新罕布什尔州民主党参议员候选人、美国众议员克里斯·帕帕斯（民主党-新罕布什尔州）在韦伯斯特小学外向媒体讲话时，支持者们欢呼。— 法新社但特朗普已在很大程度上不再暗示要竞选宪法所禁止的第三个任期。
Supporters cheer as as New Hampshire Democratic Senate candidate, US Rep. Chris Pappas (D-NH) speaks to media outside of the Webster Elementary School on November 3, 2026 in Manchester, New Hampshire, US. — AFP But Trump has largely stopped dropping hints at running for a constitutionally-barred third term.
美国大学教授、《伟大的美国总统：改变国家的十二人》一书作者艾伦·利希特曼表示，特朗普肯定会“通过充当造王者，把焦点一直放在自己身上”。为自己立碑像其他准备退休的人一样，特朗普可能选择把重点放在家居改造上。
Allan Lichtman, a professor at American University and author of "Great American Presidents: The Twelve Who Transformed the Nation," said Trump would certainly "keep the focus on himself by being the kingmaker." Monuments to himself Like other people getting ready for retirement, Trump may choose to focus on home improvement.
在中期选举前的最后一场演讲中，特朗普几乎没有提及政策，而是谈到了他对林肯纪念堂倒影池的翻修，以及美化华盛顿的其他计划。
In his closing midterms speech, Trump barely mentioned policy and instead talked about his renovation of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool and other plans to beautify Washington.
2026年11月3日，美国俄亥俄州哥伦布市，选举日当天，选民在投票站排队投票参加美国中期选举。— 路透社特朗普公开表示，他希望亲自在华盛顿留下自己的实体印记，因为他担心别人不会替他这么做。“我们为华盛顿规划了许多很棒的事情，”他周一在倒影池说。
Voters line up at a polling station to cast their ballots in the US midterm elections on Election Day, in Columbus, Ohio, US, November 3, 2026. — Reuters Trump has openly expressed a desire to stamp his own physical mark on Washington because he fears that others will not do it for him. "We have a lot of great things planned for Washington," he said at the Reflecting Pool on Monday.