
民主党人翻转了一些长期由共和党把持的席位,并锁定了美国国会两院的多数地位,但桀骜不驯的总统唐纳德·特朗普对此反应复杂,一方面表示愿意接受选举结果并与民主党人合作,另一方面又摆出准备对抗的姿态。
Democrats have flipped some long-held Republican seats and secured a majority in both houses of the US Congress, but a defiant President Donald Trump has given a mixed reaction, expressing his willingness to accept the results and work with the Democrats while also positioning himself to put up a fight.
在周二的期中选举投票后,特朗普在Truth Social上发帖,将败选归因于他本人不在选票上,并强调如果他本人参选,共和党人本会“以压倒性优势获胜!”他在白宫观看选举结果时接受《纽约时报》采访,称他“绝对愿意接受这些结果”,并“与民主党人合作”,但随后又在社交媒体上发布了一张红色MAGA帽子的图片,帽子上的口号被替换成了“否决”一词,指的是他阻止国会通过立法的总统权力。
In posts on Truth Social following Tuesday’s midterm vote, Trump pinned the defeat on the fact that he wasn’t personally on the ballot, stressing that if he had been running, Republicans would have “won IN A LANDSLIDE!”In an interview with The New York Times while watching election returns at the White House, he said he was “absolutely willing to accept those results” and to “work with the Democrats”, only to then post on social media an image of a red MAGA hat with his slogan replaced by the word: “VETO”, referring to his the presidential power he has to block legislation passed by Congress.
但批评人士和评论员已经宣称,随着共和党在中期选举中失利,总统已成“跛脚鸭”。
But critics and commentators are already declaring that, with the Republican midterm losses, the president is “lame duck”.
总统的“跛脚鸭”时期指的是总统任期接近尾声的阶段,通常是在继任者已经当选、但总统尚未离任之前。外界普遍认为,即将离任的政治人物因在任时间所剩无几,影响力会大幅下降。
The ‘lame duck’ period for a president refers to the period at the end of a president’s term, usually after their successor has been elected but before they have left office. An outgoing politician is largely believed to have considerably less influence due to their limited time remaining in office.
这个词的用法已经扩展,也涵盖更长的时间段:当一位政治人物按计划或预期即将离任,导致其影响政策制定的能力贬值时,也可称其为“跛脚鸭”。
The use of the term has expanded to include longer periods when the scheduled or expected departure of a politician results in a depreciation of their ability to influence policymaking.
在特朗普领导共和党、共和党控制国会的情况下,总统对美国立法议程拥有极大的影响力。但如今民主党将领导国会两院,他对该议程的影响力将大大削弱,而民主党对总统反对立场的担忧,可能会因他即将且不可避免地离任而减轻——前提是特朗普找不到寻求第三个任期的办法。
With Trump leading the Republican Party and the Republicans in control of Congress, the president had a great deal of influence over the US legislative agenda. But now that the Democratic Party will lead both houses of Congress, his influence over that agenda will be greatly diminished, and Democratic worries about the president’s opposition may be reduced by his nearing, and unavoidable, departure from office – assuming Trump does not find a way to seek a third term.
此外,由于中期选举的失利在很大程度上被解读为对特朗普政策的否定,加上他离任的日期已经确定——2029年1月——他说服或哄劝共和党同僚支持其政策的能力也可能受到削弱。
Moreover, with the midterm election losses largely being interpreted as a repudiation of Trump’s policies and a date set for his exit from office – January 2029 – his ability to convince or cajole his fellow Republicans to support his policies could also be curtailed.
这促使评论人士提出,特朗普的第二个总统任期虽然还剩两年,但他实际上已经进入了“跛脚鸭”阶段。
This has led pundits to propose that Trump is already entering the lame duck period of his second presidency with two years still remaining in his term.
虽然“跛脚鸭”总统常被视为软弱或无能,但历史表明,他们在推进自身议程方面远非毫无力量。
While “lame duck” presidents are often viewed as weak or ineffective, history shows they are far from powerless in pushing their agenda forward.
这位美国总统正进入一个政府分裂的时期,尽管失去了强大的立法影响力,但他仍拥有行政权力。
The US president is entering a period of divided government but, despite losing his strong legislative influence, he still has executive powers.
特朗普过去曾以动用行政命令的方式绕过立法僵局,即便在共和党控制国会时,他也将权力集中于白宫。
Trump has been known to use executive orders to bypass legislative gridlock in the past, centralising authority in the White House even when the Republican Party controlled Congress.
2025年1月,当国会仅拨出控制美国南部边境所需资金的一小部分时,特朗普宣布国家紧急状态,以便通过行政命令将数十亿美元转用于修建实体边境屏障。
In January 2025, when Congress allocated only a fraction of the funds requested for controlling the southern US border, Trump declared a national emergency in order to divert billions of dollars toward building a physical border barrier by executive order instead.
当总统宣布国家紧急状态时,国会可以通过联合决议终止该紧急状态,但总统随后可以动用否决权予以阻止。
When a president declares a national emergency, Congress can enact a joint resolution terminating the emergency, but the president can then use his veto power to block that.
总统的否决只能由众议院和参议院各自三分之二的多数推翻,而民主党自身无法达到这一门槛。
Presidential vetoes can only be overturned by a two-thirds majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, which the Democratic Party cannot command by itself.
展望未来——正如特朗普的新服饰上所大胆宣示的那样——这位总统很可能会大量动用他的否决权。
Going forward – as Trump’s new apparel boldly states – the president is likely to make abundant use of his power of veto.
周二,他在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示,他将否决民主党人提出的所有“疯狂”立法。他还说:“经过几个月的否决之后,他们会走出来说,‘我们怎么才能把这些事情办成?’然后我们就会合作。”
On Tuesday, he told Fox News that he would veto all “insane” legislation from Democrats. “And after a couple of months of vetoes, they’ll go out, and they’ll say, ‘How do we get this stuff done?’ And we’ll work together,” he added.
可以。从历史上看,跛脚鸭总统能够实现重大政策目标,但他们往往聚焦于行政部门拥有广泛自主权的领域。
Yes. Historically, lame duck presidents have been able to achieve major policy goals, but they tend to focus on areas where the executive branch has broad autonomous powers.
伦敦大学学院美国政治研究中心研究员詹姆斯·博伊斯告诉半岛电视台:“尽管这对共和党造成了破坏性结果,但许多问题仍超出国会的能力范围。”
“Despite the damaging results for the Republican Party, many issues remain beyond the reach of Congress,” James Boys, research fellow at the Centre on US Politics at UCL, told Al Jazeera.
“美国宪法赋予美国总统在外交政策领域广泛的权力,可以预料,特朗普将把剩余任期的大部分时间花在这方面。”美国历史上已有数位总统选择这样做。例如,前总统巴拉克·奥巴马在2014年中期选举中让共和党夺走国会控制权后,动用行政权力最终敲定了伊朗核协议,即《联合全面行动计划》,并实现了与古巴关系正常化。
“The US Constitution grants the president of the United States wide-ranging powers in the area of foreign policy, and it should be anticipated that this is where Trump will spend much of his remaining time in office.”Several presidents in US history have opted to do just that. After losing control of Congress to the Republicans in the 2014 midterms, for example, former US President Barack Obama used his executive authority to finalise the Iran Nuclear Deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), and to normalise diplomatic relations with Cuba.
前总统巴拉克·奥巴马在跛脚鸭时期成功捍卫了陷入困境的医改法《平价医疗法案》。
President Barack Obama was able to defend the Affordable Care Act (ACA), his embattled health care law, during his lame duck period.
前总统比尔·克林顿在任期的最后几个月专注于外交政策,通过主办2000年戴维营峰会来斡旋以色列与巴勒斯坦人之间的和平。然而,谈判最终破裂。
Former President Bill Clinton spent his final months in office focusing on foreign policy to broker peace between Israelis and Palestinians by hosting the Camp David Summit 2000. The talks eventually collapsed, however.
他还动用行政权力推动了一系列计划:保护5850万英亩林地、限制在指定联邦土地上进行大规模采矿和伐木,以及保护流域资源。
He also used his executive authority to push through plans to protect 58.5 million acres of forestland, restrict large-scale mining and logging on designated federal grounds and preserve watershed resources.
前总统乔·拜登在宣布不参加2024年总统竞选后也进入了跛脚鸭时期。在担任总统的最后日子里,拜登对儿子亨特·拜登发布了广泛的联邦赦免,并对其他家庭成员和工作人员发布了预防性赦免。
Former President Joe Biden also entered a lame duck period after announcing he would not run for the presidential race in 2024. In his last days as president, Biden issued a sweeping federal pardon for his son, Hunter Biden, and preventative pardons for other family members and staff.
扭转此前的美国政策,拜登批准乌克兰使用美方提供的导弹打击俄罗斯纵深目标。他还指示国防部将一项610亿美元援助计划的剩余部分交付乌克兰,以免该援助面临被即将上任的特朗普政府取消的风险。
Reversing prior US policy, Biden granted Ukraine permission to use US-supplied missiles to strike deeper inside Russia. He also directed the Department of Defense to give the remainder of a $61bn aid package to Ukraine to avoid risking it being cancelled by the incoming Trump administration.