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吉姆·克雷默警告:投资者可能对华尔街选后涨势解读过度Jim Cramer warns investors may be reading too much into Wall Street's post-election rally

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CNBC主持人吉姆·克雷默(Jim Cramer)警告称,中期选举后,华尔街可能过于乐观,因为投资者押注,数据中心建设放缓可能重塑人工智能交易。

CNBC’s Jim Cramer warned that Wall Street may be getting ahead of itself following the midterm elections, as investors bet that a slowdown in data center development could reshape the AI trade.

苹果、亚马逊和微软股价上涨,而芯片制造商和数据中心开发商承压,但克雷默提醒称,选举结果未必会从根本上改变推动股市的经济力量。

Apple, Amazon and Microsoft rallied while chipmakers and data center developers came under pressure, but Cramer cautioned that the election results may not fundamentally change the economic forces driving stocks.

CNBC的吉姆·克雷默周三警告称,中期选举后,华尔街可能过于乐观。

CNBC's Jim Cramer warned Wednesday that Wall Street may be getting ahead of itself following the midterm elections.

民主党在中期选举中取得决定性胜利后,股市上涨,但涨幅掩盖了科技领域内部的分歧。超大规模云服务商股价飙升,因为投资者预期,对数据中心建设的更大反对可能放缓人工智能建设并缓解支出压力。与此同时,半导体股票和数据中心开发商承压。克雷默提醒称,投资者可能对选举的经济影响得出了过早的结论。

Stocks rallied after Democrats scored a decisive victory in the midterms, but the gains masked a divide within technology Hyperscalers surged as investors anticipated that greater opposition to data center development could slow the AI buildout and ease spending pressures. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks and data center developers came under pressure. Cramer cautioned that investors may be drawing premature conclusions about the election's economic implications.

“中期选举结果主导了今日的交易,但到周五,我们将谈论劳工部的非农就业报告,我们可能会看到这次涨势的大部分被逆转,我不敢猜测接下来会走向何方,”《疯钱》(Mad Money)主持人说。

"The midterm results controlled today's trading, but by Friday we will be talking the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report, and we could see a repeal of so much of this move that I hesitate to guess where we go next," the " Mad Money " host said.

“但我确实喜欢‘猜测’这个词,”他补充道。“因为这概括了我今日交易时段所见的一切,这不是我希望用来做投资决策的东西,尽管它对于一场千载难逢的单日交易来说非常棒。”周三,苹果股价创下历史新高,因为投资者押注,数据中心建设放缓可能缓解内存芯片价格,而这些价格一直在压缩该公司的利润率。微软和亚马逊也因预期人工智能建设放缓可能降低数据中心成本并抑制其巨额资本支出而上涨。

"But I do like the word guess," he added. "Because that sums up what I saw throughout today's session and it's not the stuff I want to base investment decisions on, even as it's terrific for a one-day trade for the ages." Apple shares hit an all-time high Wednesday as investors bet that a slowdown in data center construction could ease memory chip prices, which have been pressuring the company's margins Microsoft Amazon also rallied on expectations that a slower AI buildout could reduce data center costs and rein in their massive capital spending.

相反,投资者抛售了那些增长依赖于持续的人工智能基础设施投资的公司股票,包括芯片制造商英伟达以及数据中心开发商CoreWeave、Nebius和Iren。但克雷默质疑,单次选举是否能从根本上改变推动市场的力量。“我希望你们明白,中期选举固然重要,这次选举也很重要,但选举并未颠覆商业周期,”克雷默说。

Conversely, investors sold shares of companies whose growth depends on continued AI infrastructure investment, including chipmakers Nvidia and data center developers CoreWeave Nebius Iren But Cramer questioned whether a single election could fundamentally alter the forces driving the market. "I want you to understand that, as important as a midterm election can be, and this one is important, the elections did not upend the business cycle," Cramer said.

克雷默表示,他与摩根大通策略师迈克尔·塞梅拉斯特观点一致,后者发布的备受关注的《市场观察》评论广受关注。

Cramer noted that he's aligned with JPMorgan strategist Michael Cembalest, who publishes the closely followed Eye on the Market commentary.

塞梅拉斯特周三在最新文章中写道:“商业周期驱动市场,而重要的组成部分是中期选举不影响的因素:10年期利率、大宗商品价格、美联储政策、企业利润、预算赤字、国防开支、未来12个月的人工智能投资步伐、人工智能公司猛烈的借贷需求及其对信用利差的影响等。”克雷默说,投资者理解短期市场波动不一定总是与实际基本面保持一致非常重要。“永远不要把股市发生的事情与现实中发生的事情混淆,”他说。

In his latest piece Wednesday, Cembalest wrote, "The business cycle drives markets, and the important components are things that midterms do not affect: 10 yr interest rates, commodity prices, Fed policy, corporate profits, budget deficits, defense spending, the pace of AI investment over the next 12 months, the ferocious borrowing needs of AI companies and the impact on credit spreads, etc." Cramer said it's important that investors understand that short-term market moves may not always align with the actual fundamentals. "Never confuse what happens in the stock market with what happens in reality," he said.

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