澳大利亚储备银行副行长安德鲁·豪泽表示惊讶，尽管该行大幅加息以试图抑制顽固的高通胀，公众对该机构的信任依然保持稳固。
Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser expressed surprise that public trust in the institution has stayed solid after it aggressively raised interest rates to try to rein in stubbornly strong inflation.
“过去18个月里，我们的整体信任指标大体稳定，甚至略有上升，”豪泽周四在堪培拉的一次演讲中说。“在利率上升、通胀远超目标区间的一段时间里，这是一个受欢迎的、但坦率地说相当令人惊讶的结果，”他指的是澳储行2%-3%的通胀目标区间。
“Our overall trust measure has been broadly stable, or even slightly up, over the past 18 months,” Hauser said Thursday in a speech in Canberra. “That’s a welcome, but frankly quite surprising, result over a period in which interest rates rose, and inflation rose well above the target range,” he said, referring to the RBA’s 2-3% inflation band.
澳储行本周实施了2026年的第五次加息，将现金利率推高至4.85%的18年高位。随着抵押贷款持有者应对更高的燃油价格、生活成本压力、失业率上升和房地产市场降温——所有这些都将消费者信心推向深度悲观区域——这一举措可能会进一步挤压他们的财务状况。
The RBA this week delivered its fifth hike of 2026 to take the cash rate to an 18-year high of 4.85%. That’s likely to squeeze mortgage holders as they grapple with higher fuel prices, cost-of-living pressures, rising unemployment and a softening housing market — all of which are driving consumer sentiment deep into pessimistic territory.
豪泽表示，自去年初以来，澳储行通过调查收集了1.2万名澳大利亚人的反馈，他承认积极的结果也可能反映了央行在早期时期积累的信任。
The RBA has drawn on feedback from 12,000 Australians via surveys since early last year, Hauser said, acknowledging that the positive results may also reflect trust built up by the central bank over earlier periods.
这位央行二号官员警告说，“这些储备可能在一段时间内保护信任免受不良经济结果的冲击。但这可能会耗尽。”澳储行于2月开始加息以防范通胀，通胀在美国-伊朗战争引发全球油价冲击之前就已开始加速。自2021年底以来，澳储行未能达到其通胀目标2.5%的中点。
The central bank’s No. 2 official cautioned that “those reserves may protect trust against poor economic outcomes for a time. But that may run out.”The RBA began raising rates in February to head off inflation, which started accelerating even before the US-Iran war unleashed a global oil-price shock. It has failed to hit the 2.5% midpoint of its inflation target since late 2021.
“不出所料，公众对我们近期实现目标能力的信任——回顾过去一年和展望未来一年——已大幅下降，”豪泽说。澳储行在双重使命下运作，旨在实现物价稳定和充分就业。
“Unsurprisingly, trust in our near-term ability to achieve our objectives, looking one year back and one year forward, has fallen materially,” Hauser said. The RBA operates under a dual mandate that aims to achieve price stability and full employment.
豪泽的言论正值澳储行官员担忧更高的通胀预期可能变得根深蒂固之际。上个月，他指出，越来越多的企业认为3%-3.5%的通胀是“新常态”。
Hauser’s remarks come as RBA officials fret over the increasing risk that higher inflation expectations could become embedded. Last month, he noted that a growing share of firms think 3-3.5% inflation is “a new normal.”