
随着民主党在本周中期选举中以“蓝色浪潮”横扫美国赢得胜利,世界的目光转向国会,以及国会从1月份起将如何应对伊朗、加沙和乌克兰的冲突。
As Democrats swept to victory in a blue wave across the United States in this week’s midterm elections, the world’s eyes turned to Congress and how it is likely to address conflicts in Iran, Gaza and Ukraine from January.
中期选举在很大程度上被视为对唐纳德·特朗普总统政策的公投,特别是他在2月份决定对伊朗发动战争。
The midterms have largely been viewed as a referendum on President Donald Trump’s policies, particularly his decision to start a war with Iran in February.
这场战争在美国极不得人心,因为霍尔木兹海峡的关闭导致燃料价格飙升,且据估计迄今已耗费美国纳税人470亿美元。包括副总统JD·万斯在内的几位知名共和党人已经采取行动,试图与这场冲突划清界限。欧洲领导人周三谨慎地欢迎选举结果,表达了希望1月上任的民主党主导的立法者能帮助修复破裂的跨大西洋关系,并在俄罗斯入侵之际提振华盛顿对乌克兰日益减弱的支持。
The war has proved deeply unpopular in the US, as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz caused fuel prices to soar, and as it has cost US taxpayers an estimated $47bn so far. Several prominent Republicans, including Vice President JD Vance, have already made moves to distance themselves from the conflict European leaders cautiously welcomed the results on Wednesday, voicing hopes that the Democrat-led lawmakers taking office in January would help mend fractured transatlantic ties and boost Washington’s waning support for Ukraine amid Russia’s invasion. Trump has withdrawn support for Ukraine, blaming strikes on Russian oil facilities for the fuel crisis, calling for the resignation of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and suspending sanctions on Russian oil.
特朗普已撤回对乌克兰的支持,将燃料危机归咎于对俄罗斯石油设施的打击,呼吁乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基辞职,并暂停了对俄罗斯石油的制裁。
As well as largely supporting Ukraine, Democrats have also been strongly opposed to the US war on Iran since it began, unlike the Trump administration.
除了在很大程度上支持乌克兰外,民主党还从一开始就强烈反对美国对伊朗的战争,这与特朗普政府形成鲜明对比。虽然之前的拜登政府几乎没有采取行动遏制以色列在加沙的种族灭绝战争,但中期选举中当选的一批新进步派民主党人大声疾呼反对这场战争,以及以色列定居者在被占领的约旦河西岸对巴勒斯坦社区发动的屠杀。
While the previous Biden administration did little to deter Israel in its genocidal war on Gaza, a new wave of progressive Democrats elected to office in the midterms has loudly opposed it, as well as the pogroms against Palestinian communities by Israeli settlers in the occupied West Bank. On Tuesday, as defeats to Republican candidates flooded in, Trump promised to use his presidential veto power to push back against any “insane” policies from Democrats in Congress.
周二,随着共和党候选人接连败北,特朗普承诺将动用总统否决权,抵制国会民主党推出的任何“疯狂”政策。总统否决只能由参众两院三分之二多数票推翻。
Presidential vetoes can only be overturned by a two-thirds majority in both houses of Congress. So what’s likely to change and what does this mean for conflicts in Iran, Gaza and Ukraine?
那么,什么可能会改变,这对伊朗、加沙和乌克兰的冲突意味着什么?以下是我们已知的情况:伊朗人在德黑兰前美国大使馆前的集会上举着本国巨大的国旗,以纪念1979年伊朗人质危机周年,时间为2026年11月4日。1979年,52名大使馆工作人员被伊朗学生扣为人质长达444天,这些学生要求华盛顿移交刚刚被推翻的伊朗国王[阿塔·克纳雷/法新社] 选举结果如何?
Here’s what we know: Iranians carry their country’s giant national flag during a rally in front of the former US embassy to mark the anniversary of the 1979 Iran hostage crisis, in Tehran, on November 4, 2026. In 1979, 52 embassy staff were held hostage for 444 days by Iranian students, who demanded that Washington hand over Iran’s recently toppled shah [Atta Kenare/AFP] What were the election results?
共和党周二遭遇惨败,失去了对众议院和参议院的控制权,两院均落入民主党手中,包括一些传统保守州,如得克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、爱荷华州、堪萨斯州等,这些州在2024年总统选举中支持了特朗普。
Republicans suffered a crushing defeat on Tuesday, losing control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate to the Democrats, including in some traditionally conservative states like Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and others which backed Trump in the 2024 presidential election.

在100个席位的参议院,民主党目前拥有54个席位,共和党拥有44个席位,还有两个席位尚未公布。在众议院,民主党已赢得242个席位,远高于控制议院所需的218个席位门槛,而共和党已赢得151个席位。
In the 100-seat Senate, Democrats now have 54 seats while Republicans have 44, with two more to be declared. In the House of Representatives, Democrats have won 242 seats, well above the 218 threshold needed to control the chamber, while Republicans have won 151 seats.
民主党在28个州拥有州长,而共和党为20个,还有两个州尚未公布。
Democrats have governors in 28 states, compared with the Republicans’ 20, with two yet to be declared.
民主党有许多首次:密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛德成为第一位穆斯林参议员;佐治亚州选举基莎·兰斯·巴特姆斯为第一位黑人女性州长;吉娜·希诺霍萨成为得克萨斯州第一位拉丁裔女性州长;在新墨西哥州,德布·哈兰成为第一位女性原住民州长。这对伊朗战争意味着什么?
There were many firsts for the Democrats Abdul El-Sayed of Michigan became the first Muslim senator; Georgia voted in Keisha Lance Bottoms as the first Black female governor; Gina Hinojosa became the first Latina governor in Texas, and in New Mexico, Deb Haaland became the first female Native American governor. What does this mean for the Iran war?
美国-以色列对伊朗的战争是选民在这次选举中最关心的问题。周三,总统唐纳德·特朗普承认这在很大程度上导致了共和党的惨败,但坚称这是值得的。
The US-Israel war on Iran was top of voters’ minds in this election. On Wednesday, President Donald Trump admitted it had contributed largely to the Republicans’ spectacular losses but maintained it was worth it.
他告诉记者:“这短期内稍微推高了汽油价格……但与此同时,如果我必须再做一次,我就必须再做一次,因为从长远来看,这是唯一的答案——你不能让伊朗拥有核武器。”特朗普竞选总统时曾承诺结束美国参与外国战争并降低生活成本。
It “drove the price of gasoline up a little bit short term … but at the same time if I had to do it again I’d have to do it again because long term it’s the only answer – you can’t let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” he told reporters. Trump had campaigned for the presidency on promises to end US involvement in foreign wars and to lower the cost of living.
自2025年1月就职以来,特朗普未经国会批准,将美国拖入两场针对伊朗的战争。民主党试图反击,但收效甚微,因为特朗普大量依赖行政命令绕过他们。民众对其政府的愤怒显而易见,其支持率持续下滑。路透社/益普索民调显示,在选举前夕,只有32%的受访者表示赞同特朗普的政策。
Since he took office in January 2025, Trump has dragged the US into two wars on Iran without seeking Congress’s approval. Democrats attempted to push back with little success, as Trump relied heavily on executive orders to bypass them. Popular anger at his administration is clear in his plunging ratings. On the eve of the election, only 32 percent of respondents said they approved of Trump’s policies, a Reuters/Ipsos poll suggested.
尽管如此,特朗普仍保留对伊朗进一步打击以及外交对话的选项。他还威胁要动用否决权来挫败民主党。
Still, Trump has kept the option of further strikes on Iran, as well as diplomatic talks, open. He has also threatened to use his veto powers to frustrate Democrats.
民主党参议员查克·舒默周三对记者表示,立法者在财政方面占据上风。
Democrat Senator Chuck Schumer told reporters on Wednesday that lawmakers have the financial upper hand.
“我们将结束战争……开国元勋将掌握财政大权作为制止未经美国人民同意就发动战争的总统的一种方式。”然而,尽管由民主党主导的国会很可能掌握财政大权,但限制战争资金可能并非易事。
“We are going to end the war … the founding fathers had the power of the purse as one of the ways of deterring a president who does war without the consent of the American people.”However, although a Democrat-led Congress may well control the purse strings, restricting funding for the war may not be straightforward.
伦敦大学学院美国政治中心研究员詹姆斯·博伊斯周三告诉半岛电视台:“在战区部署有军队,这将证明是非常棘手的,并会被视为危及美国人的生命。”分析人士还表示,《战争权力法案》不太可能成功约束特朗普。此前利用这部1973年联邦法律的尝试均已失败或被证明无效。
James Boys, research fellow at the Centre on US Politics at University College London, told Al Jazeera on Wednesday: “With troops in theatre, this would prove to be highly problematic and be seen to be placing American lives at risk.”Analysts also said the War Powers Resolution is unlikely to succeed in reining Trump in. Previous attempts to use the 1973 federal law have been defeated or rendered ineffective.
《战争权力法案》规定,总统可以击退迫在眉睫的袭击,但军事行动必须在60天内结束,除非国会宣战。总统随后可以行使否决权,而该否决权只有在众议院和参议院三分之二超级多数票下才能推翻,而民主党并不具备这一优势。
The War Powers Resolution states that a president can repel an imminent attack, but military actions must end within 60 days unless Congress declares war. The president can then issue a veto, which can only be overturned by a two-thirds supermajority in both the House and Senate, something the Democrats do not have.
鉴于共和党在这次选举中削弱,伊朗现在可能会更加强力地要求美国同意其结束战争的条件。共和党的失利会影响加沙地带吗?
Iran may now press harder for the US to agree to its conditions for ending the war, given the weakening of the Republican Party in this election. Will the Republicans’ losses affect Gaza?
民主党长期以来以其亲以色列立场著称。前总统乔·拜登政府在以色列于2023年10月发动加沙战争后,继续向以色列提供军事支持,即使当时加沙已有数千巴勒斯坦人被屠杀。
Democrats have long been known for their pro-Israel stance. Former President Joe Biden’s administration continued military support for Israel after it launched its war on Gaza in October 2023, even as thousands of Palestinians were being slaughtered in Gaza.
但周二当选的几位所谓“进步派”民主党候选人脱颖而出,他们批评以色列对加沙发动的种族灭绝战争、以色列非法定居者在被占领约旦河西岸发动的暴行,以及美国长期以来对以色列坚定不移的财政和军事支持。
But several so-called “progressive” Democratic candidates elected on Tuesday stood out for their criticism of Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza, the illegal Israeli settler pogroms in the occupied West Bank, and the US’s longstanding unwavering financial and military support for Israel.
阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德周二在密歇根州赢得参议员席位,尽管共和党和亲以色列的AIPAC超级政治行动委员会对他发动了恶毒的竞选攻击。他抨击特朗普政府,并承诺将推动撤回美国对以色列的援助。
Abdul El-Sayed, who won a seat in the Senate for Michigan on Tuesday despite a vicious campaign against him by Republicans and the pro-Israel AIPAC super PAC railed against the Trump administration and pledged to press for the withdrawal of US aid to Israel. In an apparent attempt to appease voters on election day, Trump announced on Fox News that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had suggested the US should cease its $4bn annual aid to the country.
在一个试图在选举日安抚选民的明显举动中,特朗普在福克斯新闻上宣布,以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡建议美国应停止每年40亿美元对以色列的援助。
“We’ve already agreed that by the end of this year we won’t be paying Israel,” he said, adding that “we’ll help Israel if they need it.”
“我们已经同意,到今年年底我们将不再向以色列付款,”他说,并补充道,“如果他们需要,我们会帮助以色列。”内塔尼亚胡办公室未予置评。美国会再次支持乌克兰吗?
Netanyahu’s office did not comment. Will the US support Ukraine again?
特朗普上台时承诺在“几天内”结束俄乌战争。然而他未能做到这一点,反而越来越多地将怒火转向乌克兰及其欧洲盟友,称他们应该承担财政和军事支持的主要负担。今年早些时候,特朗普似乎暗示乌克兰应放弃已被俄罗斯夺取的领土,以结束战争并达成和平协议。
Trump came to power promising to end the Russia-Ukraine war in “days”. He has failed to do this, however, and has increasingly turned his ire on Ukraine and its European allies, who he says should be bearing the brunt of financial and military support. Earlier this year, Trump appeared to suggest that Ukraine should give up territory already seized by Russia in order to end the war and get a peace deal in place.
去年2月,当弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基访问白宫时,特朗普在一场激烈的交锋中称这位乌克兰总统“忘恩负义”。
Last February, when Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited the White House Trump called the Ukrainian president “ungrateful” in a heated exchange.
最近,特朗普指责泽连斯基打击俄罗斯石油设施,导致全球柴油价格上涨,严重冲击美国农民和卡车司机。他还暂停了国会两党支持、于9月通过的对俄石油制裁,引发其所在共和党内部愤怒。
Most recently, Trump has blamed Zelenskyy for causing the rise in global diesel prices, which have badly affected farmers and truckers in the US, by striking Russian oil facilities. He also suspended sanctions on Russian oil, which were passed in September following bipartisan support in Congress, causing anger from within his own Republican Party.
在俄罗斯近期对基辅的袭击期间,乌克兰指责美国扣留有关来袭导弹的情报,并限制乌克兰使用埃隆·马斯克旗下“星链”卫星网络,而乌军依靠该网络制导导弹。
During recent strikes by Russia on Kyiv, Ukraine accused the US of withholding intelligence about incoming missiles and restricting Ukraine’s access to the Starlink satellite network owned by Elon Musk, which it uses to guide its missiles.
特朗普政府还推迟移交乌克兰称急需的武器,而特朗普呼吁泽连斯基辞去总统职务,声称乌克兰“不想结束这场战争”。去年10月,华盛顿豁免对俄制裁并开始购买俄罗斯石油,令欧洲领导人感到不安,招致乌克兰谴责。
Trump’s administration has also delayed the transfer of weapons Ukraine says it desperately needs, while Trump has called for Zelenskyy to step down as president, claiming Ukraine “does not want to end this war”. Washington, in October, waived sanctions on Russia and began buying Russian oil, alarming European leaders and drawing rebuke from Ukraine.
所有这些与前任拜登政府形成彻底反差,后者曾承诺华盛顿“不会抛弃”乌克兰。如今,乌克兰希望在新国会1月召开时重回议程。
All of this is a complete change since the previous Biden administration, which promised Washington “will not walk away” from Ukraine. Now, Ukraine hopes it will be back on the agenda in January when the new Congress convenes.
“民主党人对支持乌克兰、向乌克兰提供援助表态非常明确,”泽连斯基对德国ZDF电视台表示。“他们谈论恢复美国与欧洲之间的联系……因此,有望出现力量平衡,我们将获得更多支持。”
“The Democrats speak very clearly about supporting Ukraine and providing assistance to Ukraine,” Zelenskyy told German broadcaster ZDF. “They speak about renewing the connection between the United States and Europe … Therefore, there is hope that a balance of power will emerge, and that we will receive more support.”