2026年10月25日，在得克萨斯州韦斯拉科，参加“拉丁裔投票”集会的民众聆听演讲者发言。该集会为中期选举前的民主党人造势，支持吉娜·伊诺霍萨竞选得州州长、詹姆斯·塔拉里科竞选美国参议员、博比·普利多竞选美国众议员。
Attendees listen to speakers at the Voto Latino rally for Democrats Gina Hinojosa for Texas governor, James Talarico for the US Senate, and Bobby Pulido for the US House ahead of the midterm elections on 25 Octotober 2026 in Weslaco, Texas.
得州一名企业主表示，他原以为移民及海关执法局的突袭行动会针对有犯罪记录的人，而不是他的亲属和员工。周二晚间共和党遭遇的爆炸性惨败，因拉美裔美国人的愤怒而进一步加剧——他们在关键战场州以创纪录的人数出来投票，抗议特朗普政府对其社区的反移民攻击。
Texas business owner says he expected ICE raids to focus on those with criminal records not his relatives and employees uesday night’s explosive rout of the Republican party was supercharged by the fury of Hispanic Americans who turned out in record numbers in key battlegrounds to protest the Trump administration’s anti-immigrant assault on their communities.
“特朗普跟我们作对，”来自得克萨斯州韦斯拉科的贝尼·梅伦德斯说，“他让我们成为移民及海关执法局行动的目标，所以我们决定通过投票反对他的政党来惩罚他。事情就是这样。”梅伦德斯是得州南部一家小型房屋建筑公司的老板，两年前的大选中他把票投给了唐纳德·特朗普，吸引他的是特朗普保障墨西哥边境安全 and 改善经济的承诺。但周二，他纯粹出于愤怒把票投给了民主党。
“Trump went against us,” said Benny Melendez from Weslaco, Texas“He made us the target of ICE operations, so we decided to punish him by voting against his party. That’s what happened.”Melendez, the owner of a small housebuilding company in south Texas, voted for Donald Trump in the presidential election two years ago, attracted by his promise to secure the Mexican border and improve the economy. But on Tuesday, he cast his vote for the Democrats in a display of pure anger.
他的两个表亲和多达15名建筑工人已被移民及海关执法局抓走并驱逐到墨西哥。梅伦德斯说，2024年他投票给特朗普时，以为移民突袭行动会针对有犯罪记录的人，而不是他的亲属和员工。
Two of his cousins and up to 15 of his building workers have been picked up and deported to Mexico by When Melendez voted for Trump in 2024 he expected the immigration raids would focus on those with criminal records, he said, not his relatives and employees.
“他们在抓走我们的邻居。他们在抓走我们的朋友。他们在抓走我们的工人，他们在抓走我们的家人。这是对我们社区的袭击。”梅伦德斯的愤怒在得克萨斯、佛罗里达和其他关键摇摆州数以百万计的人身上重演，这本身就说明了一个问题。它说明了特朗普如何先是争取到、随后又失去了许多拉丁裔选民的支持，实际上是搬起石头砸了自己的脚。
“They’re taking our neighbors. They’re taking our friends. They’re they’re taking our workers, and they’re taking our family members. This is an attack against our community.”Melendez’s rage, replicated in the millions across Texas, Florida and other critical swing states, itself tells a story. It speaks to how Trump first wooed, and then alienated, the backing of many Latino voters, effectively shooting himself in the foot.
在2024年总统竞选最后阶段，特朗普专门向拉美裔选民示好。“我爱拉美裔，”他告诉他们，“拉美裔也爱特朗普。”
In the closing days of the 2024 presidential race, Trump made a special pitch to Hispanic voters. “I love Hispanics,”he told them“and Hispanics love Trump.”
某种程度上，这一大胆的诉求奏效了：皮尤研究的数据显示，2024年特朗普赢得了48%的拉丁裔选票，比四年前上升了12个百分点。
To some extent, that audacious appeal worked: in 2024 Trump garnered 48% of the Latino vote, according to Pew Research 12 points up from four years previously.
但在周二晚上，拉丁裔选民向特朗普传递了一个截然不同的、响亮的信号。在一场令人眼花缭乱的党派归属转变中，西班牙裔美国人对共和党的支持率从两年前近半数支持特朗普骤降至如今的30%。
But on Tuesday night, Latino voters delivered Trump a resounding message of a very different sort. In a dizzying switch in affiliation, Hispanic American support for Republicans plummeted from the almost half who backed Trump just two years ago to 30% today.
根据《纽约时报》对选民趋势的分析，选举之夜标志着全国范围内拉丁裔对民主党的支持较2024年出现了28个百分点的转变。这一戏剧性转变比其他任何人口投票群体都更为显著，第二大转变来自亚裔美国人，为17%。
According to the New York Times analysis of voter trends, election night marked a 28 point shift from 2024 in Latino allegiance toward Democrats nationwide. The dramatic turn was more notable than any other demographic voting group, with the next largest shift of 17% coming from Asian Americans.
这一转变助推了民主党在众议院和参议院的胜利，以及在得克萨斯州、佐治亚州、亚利桑那州和内华达州等州的州长席位胜利。
The shift helped propel Democratic wins in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, as well as governor’s seats in states like Texas, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
如果特朗普和共和党曾以为他们已经与西班牙裔选民建立了新的联盟，他们现在必须重新思考了。任何此类联盟都在周二被突然而惊人地瓦解了。
If Trump and the Republican party had assumed they had forged a new alignment with Hispanic voters, they must now think again. Any such alliance was abruptly and spectacularly uncoupled on Tuesday.
“很长一段时间以来，人们一直称我们为‘沉睡的巨人’，而现在我们真正成为了‘摇摆的巨人’，”拉丁裔民调专家机构Equis Research的联合创始人斯蒂芬妮·瓦伦西亚说。
a chart“People have called us the sleeping giant for a long time, and now we’re really the swinging giant,” said Stephanie Valencia, co-founder of the Latino polling experts, Equis Research.
“选民昨晚发出的响亮信息，是对特朗普和共和党人及其错位的优先事项和破碎承诺的一记F-U（去你的）。”这是一个充满惊人意外和诸多“首次”的夜晚。得克萨斯州是西班牙裔人口仅次于加利福尼亚州的州，它选出了首位拉丁裔州长——民主党人吉娜·伊诺霍萨，她是里奥格兰德河谷的本地人，母亲是来自墨西哥的移民，这是对数十年来主要由白人主导的共和党统治的惊人回击。
“The vociferous message that voters sent last night was an F-U to Trump and Republicans and their misplaced priorities and broken promises.”It was a night of stunning surprises, and of firsts. Texas, the state with the second largest Hispanic populace after California, elected its first Latino governor, Democrat Gina Hinojosa a native of the Rio Grande Valley whose mother is an immigrant from Mexico, in an astounding rebuke to decades of largely white Republican rule.
民主党人泽维尔·贝塞拉是来自墨西哥的移民之子，他将成为加利福尼亚州——世界第四大经济体——首位民选拉丁裔州长。
Democrat Xavier Becerra, the son of immigrants from Mexico, will become the first elected Latino governor in California, the world’s fourth largest economy.
在这里，同样的选民怒火也得到了强有力的宣泄。“没有人比我们更清楚过去两年是什么样子，”加利福尼亚州参议员亚历克斯·帕迪利亚——墨西哥移民之子——周日在对贝塞拉于洛杉矶帕拉迪姆举行的最后一场竞选活动上对人群说道。“我们忍受了唐纳德·特朗普和他那些胡作非为的移民及海关执法局探员对我们社区的无情攻击。”领导洛杉矶人道移民权利联盟的移民活动人士安吉莉卡·萨拉斯称贝塞拉为“家人”。“哈维尔·贝塞拉的梦想就是我们的梦想，”她说。
Here too the same voters’ fury was powerfully vented. “We’ve known better than anybody what these last two years have been like,” California senator Alex Padilla, the son of Mexican immigrants, told the crowd at Becerra’s closing campaign stop at the Palladium in Los Angeles on Sunday. “We have endured relentless attacks on our communities by Donald Trump and his rogue ICE agents.”Angelica Salas, an immigration activist who leads the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights of Los Angeles, called Becerra “familia”. “Xavier Becerra dreams the way we dream,” she said.
在关键的摇摆州，拉丁裔选民在本次中期选举周期中展示了其选举力量，其程度可以说是前所未有的。得克萨斯州因席卷全州的剧烈震荡而拔得头筹。
In key battleground states, Latino voters flexed their electoral muscle in this midterm cycle to a degree arguably never seen before. Texas took the prize for the seismic jolt that shot across the state.
在拉丁裔占多数的得克萨斯州南部——两年前特朗普在此取得了部分最大幅度的进展——民主党人赢得了沿墨西哥边境的全部四个国会选区。其中包括共和党人曾为巩固其对美国众议院的控制而进行不公正划分的三个选区——这一举动适得其反。
In Hispanic-dominated south Texas where Trump made some of his greatest gains two years ago, Democrats won all four congressional districts along the border with Mexico. That included the three districts that Republicans had gerrymandered in an attempt to bolster their control of the US House – a move that backfired.
其中两个选区由民主党现任议员守住，分别是得克萨斯州第28选区的亨利·奎利亚尔和第34选区的维森特·冈萨雷斯。第三个被不公正划分的选区——拉丁裔占81%的得克萨斯州第15选区——被民主党候选人、特哈诺音乐明星鲍比·普利多翻转。尽管特朗普曾在2024年赢下这里，普利多在与共和党现任议员莫妮卡·德拉克鲁兹的较量中始终看来表现良好。
Two of those districts were held by their Democratic incumbents, Henry Cuellar in Texas 28 and Vicente Gonzalez in Texas 34. The third gerrymandered district, 81% Hispanic Texas 15, was flipped by the Democratic candidate, the Tejano music star Bobby Pulido Pulido always looked to be doing well against the Republican incumbent, Monica De La Cruz, even though Trump had prevailed here in 2024.
最终，在95%的选票清点完毕后，普利多的胜利是压倒性的，以惊人的24个百分点胜出。“对一个十五岁生日庆典歌手来说，这成绩不错，”普利多在胜选活动上说。
In the end, Pulido’s victory was overwhelming, by an astonishing 24 percentage points with 95% of the ballots counted“Not bad for a quinceañera singer,” Pulido said at his victory event.
普利多的竞选经理阿贝尔·普拉多对《卫报》表示，这一出人意料的结果部分反映了特朗普的大规模驱逐行动——在得克萨斯州，已有数千名无证拉美裔人被移民及海关执法局拘留并驱逐出境。“当你以如此残忍和恶意的方式实施政策时，这就是你得到的结果，”普拉多说。
Pulido’s campaign manager Abel Prado told the Guardian that the outstanding result was in part a reflection of Trump’s mass deportation drive that has seen thousands of undocumented Hispanic people detained and deported by ICE in Texas. “When you implement policies with such cruelty and malice, then this is what you get,” Prado said.
在普利多竞选团队在其选民数据库中汇总的4.8万人中，他们发现近40%来自混合身份家庭。“这些人的父母无法投票，但他们可以，所以当我父亲被驱逐出境，或者我母亲被驱逐出境时，那成了一个关键时刻。”
Among the 48,000 individuals that the Pulido campaign assembled in its voter database, almost 40% they found were members of mixed-status families. “These are people whose parents couldn’t vote, but they could, and so when my dad got deported, or my mom got deported, that became a crystallizing moment.”
普拉多说，该选区许多在2024年投票给特朗普的人“醒悟过来，意识到了他们之前投票的后果。周二晚上是对一种情况的纠正——当一个政党被允许肆意妄为、为所欲为而无需担心后果时，就会发生这种情况。”3000万登记在册的拉美裔选民在政治、文化和经济上与其他任何群体一样多元。多年来，关于拉美裔铁板一块的说法导致分析人士对他们的投票模式得出简单化且不准确的结论。
Prado said that many people in the district who had voted for Trump in 2024 “came to their senses and realized the consequences of their previous vote. Tuesday night was a correction to what happens when one party is allowed to run rampant and do whatever they want without fear of consequences.”The 30 million registered Latino voters are as diverse politically, culturally and economically as any other group. Talk of a Latino monolith has for years led analysts to reach simplistic and inaccurate conclusions about their voting patterns.
然而，周二的结果显示，在截然不同的拉美裔社区中，对特朗普政策的拒绝出奇地相似。在佛罗里达州，迈阿密-戴德县古巴裔和委内瑞拉裔社区的拉美裔选民强力转向民主党候选人，奥兰多周边波多黎各裔人口密集的地区同样如此。
Yet Tuesday’s results showed a surprisingly similar rejection of Trump’s policies across very different Hispanic communities. In Florida, Latino voters swung powerfully toward Democratic candidates in the Cuban and Venezuelan communities of Miami-Dade, and equally in the heavily Puerto Rican areas around Orlando.
在迈阿密-戴德县——特朗普在2024年以15个百分点的巨大优势获胜——共和党现任议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查与她的古巴裔美国同胞、新闻主播出身的民主党候选人埃利奥特·罗德里格斯展开了一场势均力敌的较量。
In Miami-Dade, which Trump won by a whopping 15 points in 2024, the Republican incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar was fighting a neck-and-neck battle with her fellow Cuban American newscaster, the Democratic candidate Eliott Rodriguez.
这场选情如此胶着，恰恰印证了萨拉查最担心的事。去年9月，她在一则竞选广告中警告特朗普，称其大规模驱逐西班牙裔移民的做法“太过分了”，那些曾助他重返白宫的选民如今“感到被背叛”，这番言论随即引来新闻头条的猛烈抨击。
That the race was so tight amounted to the realisation of Salazar’s worst fears. In September she was blasted over news headlines when she warned Trump in a campaign advert that his mass deportation of Hispanic immigrants had “gone too far” and that the very people who had put him back in the White House now “feel betrayed”.
特朗普的反应很能说明问题。他指责萨拉查在背后捅他一刀，声称他的“拉丁裔支持率从未动摇”。选民们并不同意。
Trump’s response was indicative. He accused Salazar of backstabbing him, claiming that his “Latino support hasn’t wavered.”The voters disagreed.
周二的选举结果还将持续发酵一段时间。巴伦西亚表示，民主党领袖在准备接管国会并开始物色总统候选人之际，应当留意到，西班牙裔选民渴望看到能够反映自身需求的政策。
Tuesday’s results will reverberate for some time. Democratic leaders, as they prepare to take control of Congress and begin the search for a presidential nominee, should be mindful that Hispanic voters are hungry for policies that reflect their needs, Valencia said.
“这是选民发出的求救信号，要求把注意力放在正确的事情上：经济和通胀、移民以及海外战争。民主党人正进入选民对他们的考察期，他们不应错误地认为这一转变是永久性的。”此次选举还催生了一批年轻、有抱负的西班牙裔政治人物和组织者，他们决心让自己的声音被听见。普利多整个竞选团队的成员年龄都在25岁以下。
“This was a cry for help from voters to focus on the right things: the economy and inflation, immigration, and wars abroad. Democrats are entering a probationary period with voters, they should not make the mistake of thinking that this swing is permanent.”The election has also ushered in a new generation of young, ambitious Hispanic politicians and organizers determined to be heard. Pulido’s entire campaign staff was aged under 25.
“这些人过去从未在决策桌旁拥有过一席之地，如今他们可以成为我们做事方式中的新声音，”普拉多说，“我们坚决拒绝任何空降该选区的人，拒绝外地人来告诉我们该怎么做。”
“These are people who have never had a seat at the table who can now become a new voice in how we do things,” Prado said. “We absolutely rejected anybody parachuting into the district, out-of-towners telling us how to do things.”
他还说：“如果现在有哪个外国佬操盘手想冒出来，把周二晚上得克萨斯州拉丁裔投票的情况揽为自己的功劳，那就请闭上他妈的嘴。”
He added: “If there’s a gringo operative out there trying to take credit for what happened to the Latino vote in Texas on Tuesday night, please shut the fuck up.”