
华盛顿/基辅,11月6日——美国民主党在国会选举中取得全面胜利的潜在受益者之一,身在数千英里之外:乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基,其政府自2025年1月起在美方支持日益减少的情况下,一直与俄罗斯的入侵作斗争。
WASHINGTON/KYIV, Nov 6 - One potential beneficiary of the US Democratic Party's sweeping wins in congressional elections sits thousands of miles away: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, whose government has fought Russia's invasion with dwindling US support since January 2025.
参议院和众议院的民主党助手告诉路透社,在新国会——拥有庞大的民主党多数席位——于1月就职后,加强对乌克兰的援助将成为首要任务。
Democratic aides in the Senate and House of Representatives told Reuters that beefing up assistance for Ukraine will be a top priority after the new Congress — with large Democratic majorities — is seated in January.
面对仍拥有否决权且有无视国会历史的总统唐纳德·特朗普的抵制,他们能否做到这一点,仍是一个悬而未决的问题。
Whether they can do so in the face of resistance from President Donald Trump, who still has a veto and a history of ignoring Congress, is an open question.
自特朗普于2025年1月开始其第二个任期,其共和党人控制了立法机构的两个议院以来,国会尚未通过重大的乌克兰援助立法。而他的政府还放慢了甚至有时阻止了他在就职前已通过的援助。民主党表示,他们将改变这一状况。
Congress has not passed significant Ukraine aid legislation since Trump began his second term in January 2025 and his Republicans took control of both chambers in the legislature. And his administration has slowed and even at times blocked aid that passed before he took office. Democrats have said they will change that.
“特朗普政府在承诺这些拯救乌克兰生命的资金方面一直含糊其辞,这种情况越早改变越好……如果他继续走这条路,我们必须找到其他办法,让他遵守法律和宪法,”伊利诺伊州民主党参议员、参议院乌克兰党团创始人迪克·德宾在一次电话采访中对路透社表示。
"The Trump administration has been coy in committing to these life-saving funds in Ukraine and the sooner that changes the better... If he is going to continue on this path, we've got to find other ways to make him follow the law and the Constitution," Democratic Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, a founder of the Senate Ukraine caucus, told Reuters in a telephone interview.
当被问及总统是否有计划进一步援助乌克兰时,一名白宫官员在电子邮件声明中表示,特朗普希望结束这场战争,“从而停止无谓的杀戮”。这名官员还说:“总统及其团队仍致力于继续发挥建设性作用,结束俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的战争,他仍然乐观地认为,我们最终会达成和平协议。”美国总统对外交政策拥有广泛控制权,而特朗普经常无视国会,通过行政命令治国,或下令采取行动而无需寻求议员批准,比如引发美国-以色列对伊朗战争的袭击。
Asked about the president's plans for further Ukraine aid, a White House official said in an emailed statement that Trump wants the war settled "so that the senseless killing ends." The official added: "The President and his team remain committed to continuing to play a constructive role in ending the war between Russia and Ukraine, and he remains optimistic that we'll ultimately get a peace deal done." US presidents have extensive control over foreign policy and Trump has frequently disregarded Congress by governing via executive orders or ordering actions, such as the attacks that started the US-Israeli war with Iran, without seeking lawmakers' approval.
反对党的力量尽管预计这一点不会改变,但反对党民主党可以利用其在国会中的多数地位施加压力。众议院和参议院可以在更广泛的法案中加入向基辅提供援助或对俄罗斯实施更严厉制裁的条款,例如为五角大楼制定年度政策的《国防授权法案》,或被视为“必须通过”的立法预算措施。他们还可以阻止特朗普的提名、举行听证会、发起调查,并利用宪法赋予立法机构对支出的控制权,让政府官员的日子更难过,例如削减他们的差旅预算。
OPPOSITION POWER While that is not expected to change, opposition Democrats can use their congressional majorities to exert pressure. The House and Senate can include provisions providing aid to Kyiv or imposing tougher sanctions on Russia in broader bills such as the National Defense Authorization Act setting Pentagon policy for the year, or budget measures seen as "must-pass" legislation. They can also block Trump's nominations, call hearings, launch investigations and use the legislature's constitutionally mandated control over spending to make life more difficult for administration officials, such as by trimming their travel budgets.
泽连斯基周三表示,他希望民主党的胜利能为他的国家在与俄罗斯的战争中带来更多帮助。泽连斯基对德国电视二台表示:“我也感谢共和党人,但民主党人非常明确地表示支持乌克兰并向乌克兰提供援助。”曾担任美国官员、现为总部位于伦敦的战略传播公司Argyll Strategy高级顾问的普莱斯·弗洛伊德警告不要过于乐观,因为特朗普专注于自己的政治遗产,而他的任期只剩两年。他说:“我只是不认为特朗普会在意国会说什么或做什么。”
Zelenskiy said on Wednesday he hoped the Democrats' gains would generate more help for his country in its war with Russia. "I am also grateful to the Republicans, but the Democrats speak very clearly about supporting Ukraine and providing assistance to Ukraine," Zelenskiy told Germany's ZDF television. Price Floyd, a former US official and senior adviser with Argyll Strategy, a London-based strategic communications firm, warned against being overly optimistic, given Trump's focus on his legacy, with just two more years in office. "I just don’t think Trump cares what Congress says or does," he said.
美国总统最近采取了多项有利于俄罗斯的举措,包括一项进口俄罗斯柴油的协议,这激怒了国会中的共和党人以及在野的民主党人。
The US president recently has made several moves favorable to Russia, including a deal to import Russian diesel, which angered Republicans in Congress as well as opposition Democrats.
在一项对俄罗斯实施制裁的法案于数周前获得国会压倒性两党支持并签署成为法律后,他豁免了这些制裁。
Weeks afterg into law a bill imposing sanctions on Russia that passed Congress with overwhelming bipartisan support, he waived those sanctions.
国会助手表示,负责国家安全事务的委员会中的民主党人已经向参与与俄罗斯开展业务的公司和其他实体发出信函,要求保存文件,以备调查之用。克服“否决先生”特朗普曾誓言,如果民主党控制国会并通过他不支持的立法,他将成为“否决先生”。但民主党的胜利程度——他们可能最终获得100个参议院席位中的56个,以及众议院435个席位中接近260个,其中数十场竞选仍未定出胜负——使得在一些共和党人支持下,更容易凑齐推翻总统否决所需的三分之二多数票。
Congressional aides said Democrats on national security committees had already sent letters to companies and other entities involved in business with Russia to preserve documents in case of investigations. OVERCOMING 'MR VETO' Trump vowed to become "Mr Veto" if Democrats took control of Congress and passed legislation he does not support. But the extent of the Democrats' victories — they may end up with 56 of the 100 Senate seats and close to 260 of the 435 in the House, where dozens of races are still undecided — makes it easier, with some Republican votes, to amass the two-thirds majorities needed to override vetoes.
过去,数十名共和党人曾与民主党人一道支持对乌克兰的援助,称其对抗俄罗斯的战斗是西方更广泛的战斗。
Dozens of Republicans have joined Democrats in the past to support aid for Ukraine, calling its fight against Russia a broader battle for the West.
大西洋委员会地缘经济中心高级研究员查尔斯·利奇菲尔德表示,民主党胜利的程度意味着,要打破特朗普的否决并形成否决无效的多数票,不需要那么多共和党人背叛特朗普。
Charles Lichfield, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's GeoEconomics Center, said the extent of the Democratic victories meant it wouldn't take as many Republicans to break with Trump to create veto-proof majorities.
美国主导的乌克兰与俄罗斯三方会谈预计将在间隔数月后于下周恢复。如果民主党重新掌控国会并为乌克兰提供更多援助,这可能会给俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京施压,迫使他结束冲突。
US-led trilateral talks with Ukraine and Russia are due to resume next week after a gap of several months. If the Democrats' return to power in Congress leads to more help for Ukraine, it could put pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the conflict.
位于伦敦的智库查塔姆研究所乌克兰论坛负责人奥尔西娅·卢采维奇表示,民主党占多数可能会限制特朗普推动与俄罗斯和解的努力。
Orysia Lutsevych, head of the Ukraine Forum at the London-based Chatham House think tank, said a Democratic majority could constrain Trump's push for rapprochement with Russia.
“据我所知,这既不受美国公众欢迎,也不受高级共和党人欢迎,”她说。
"As we know it, it's not popular, neither among the American public, nor among the senior Republicans," she said.
乌克兰驻美国最高外交官杰尼斯·谢尼克表示,该国的优先事项保持不变。谢尼克说:“我们希望在美国国会两院保持对乌克兰的强有力的两党支持,我们欢迎任何能够帮助拯救更多乌克兰生命的倡议。”
Denys Sienik, Ukraine's top diplomat in the US, said the country's priorities remained unchanged. "We hope to keep strong bipartisan support for Ukraine in both chambers of the US Congress, and we welcome any initiative that can help save more lives in Ukraine," Sienik said.
乌克兰可能不会很快看到美国政策的改变——新一届国会要到明年1月才上任。
Ukraine may not see changed US policy soon — the new Congress doesn't take over until January.
与此同时,利奇菲尔德说,乌克兰的局势日益严峻,俄罗斯对基辅和乌克兰能源基础设施的袭击不断增加,残酷的冬季即将来临。
In the meantime, the situation in Ukraine grows more dire daily, with increasing Russian attacks on Kyiv and Ukrainian energy infrastructure and a brutal winter looming, Lichfield said.
他说:“乌克兰将度过这个冬天,因为他们打破了所有预期,但情况真的很糟糕。”
"Ukraine will get through this winter because they defy all expectations, but it's really bad," he said.