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华尔街日报

大胜对哈基姆·杰弗里斯来说是件乐事,但管理分裂的民主党可能就没那么轻松了The Big Win Was Fun for Hakeem Jeffries. Managing Divided Democrats Might Not Be.

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杰弗里斯的二号人物、众议员凯瑟琳·克拉克在选举之夜迎接他。(André Chung 摄/《华尔街日报》)Rep. Katherine Clark, Jeffries’s No. 2, greeted him on election night. (André Chung for WSJ)

大选日次日清晨,众议院民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(Hakeem Jeffries)带领其领导团队成员走进新闻发布会,试图将焦点集中在经济问题上。

The morning after Election Day, House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries strode into a news conference with members of his leadership team and tried to keep the focus on the economy.

“我们对结果心怀敬畏,深知必须以严肃的态度,不懈努力,让普通美国人、工薪阶层美国人、中产阶级美国人以及所有渴望进入中产阶层的人们的生活更加负担得起,”这位众议院议长的有力竞选者对在场记者表示。

“We’re humbled by the outcome and we know we have to undertake with the seriousness of purpose a relentless effort to make life more affordable for everyday Americans, for working-class Americans, for middle-class Americans and for all those who aspire to be part of the middle class,” the presumptive speaker of the House told the assembled reporters.

幕后,党内普通议员已开始为争取自身优先事项和委员会席位而奔走。一群获得美国民主社会主义者组织(Democratic Socialists of America)和其他进步派背书的新当选议员正在拟定一份议程,这将在杰弗里斯新近壮大的党团内部引发深刻分歧——且难以驾驭:增加对富人的税收、推行全民医保、对以色列实施武器禁运以及废除移民与海关执法局(ICE)。

Behind the scenes, rank-and-file members of his party were already jockeying to secure their own priorities and committee seats. A group of freshmen endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America and other progressives are compiling an agenda that will be deeply divisive—and hard to manage—within Jeffries’s newly empowered caucus: expanding taxes on the wealthy, advancing Medicare for All, implementing an arms embargo on Israel and abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

杰弗里斯将主持至少254个席位,这是自贝拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)总统上任第一年以来,民主党在众议院拥有的最大多数优势。这场大胜如此出人意料,以至于当印第安纳州早期出炉的结果显示民主党拥有如此巨大优势时,聚集在民主党众议院竞选委员会(Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee)总部的助手们一度以为他们的数据追踪器出了故障,现场人士透露。

Jeffries will preside over at least 254 seats, the largest majority in the House of Representatives since President Barack Obama’s first year in office. The landslide was so unexpected that when an early batch of results from Indiana showed such wide Democratic margins, aides huddled at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee headquarters thought their data tracker was glitching, people inside the room said.

杰弗里斯的二号人物、众议员凯瑟琳·克拉克(Katherine Clark)在大选之夜迎接了他。(André Chung/WSJ摄)该党团还包含近年来立场差异最大的成员——包括与民主社会主义者组织有关联的新当选议员,以及数十名来自特朗普深度红区选区的议员。

Rep. Katherine Clark, Jeffries’s No. 2, greeted him on election night. (André Chung for WSJ) The caucus also contains some of the widest variations in positions in recent years—including the incoming freshmen linked to the DSA and dozens of lawmakers from deep-red Trump districts.

杰弗里斯面临的挑战——他将成为首位黑人议长——是驾驭这些极端派系,以兑现民主党的议程:为美国人降低成本、结束伊朗战争,并在特朗普总统任期最后两年对其起到制约作用。

The challenge now facing Jeffries—who would be the first Black speaker—is managing those extremes to deliver on the Democrats’ agenda of cutting costs for Americans, ending the war in Iran and acting as a brake on President Trump during his final two years in the White House.

该党也将于1月控制参议院,计划利用其权力调查那些似乎违法或谋取私利的人——包括总统及其家人。

The party, which will also control the Senate in January, plans to use its power to investigate those who appear to have bent the law or enriched themselves—including the president and his family.

特朗普周五宣布,白宫高级顾问斯蒂芬·米勒将出任下一任白宫幕僚长后,杰弗里斯称米勒“是一个危险的排外主义者和鲁莽的极端分子,手上沾有美国人的鲜血。他在政府中的存在应像恶性肿瘤一样被根除。立即解雇他”,他在X平台上写道。

After Trump announced Friday that top White House adviser Stephen Miller would become his next chief of staff, Jeffries called Miller “a dangerous xenophobe and reckless extremist who has American blood on his hands. His presence in government should be eradicated like a malignant tumor. Fire him today,” he wrote on X.

“这是一个庞大且有时难以管控的党团,”众议员贾里德·哈夫曼(民主党-加利福尼亚州),国会进步党团副主席说,“将其维系在一起,让所有人朝同一个方向努力,是一项极其艰巨的任务。”他说,未来几个月“将显示他在必要时愿不愿充当‘恶人’以约束党内成员。”

“This is just a big and sometimes unruly caucus,” said Rep. Jared Huffman (D., Calif.), a vice chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, “and holding it together, keeping everybody rowing in the same direction is just an enormously difficult job.”The coming months, he said, “will show how much he’s willing to play the heavy when that is needed to keep folks in line.”

新民主党联盟的成员——这个预计将拥有约140个众议院席位、希望优先解决通胀和高物价的温和派团体——表示,他们拥有更大的授权,成员也比党内左翼多出数十人。

Members of the New Democrat Coalition, a moderate group expected to have about 140 House seats that wants to prioritize tackling inflation and high costs, say they have a bigger mandate—and scores more members—than the party’s left flank.

当选众议员梅拉特·基罗斯(左)是美国民主社会主义者组织成员,选举之夜在丹佛与支持者在一起。(Rebecca Slezak 摄/《华尔街日报》)Representative-elect Melat Kiros, a DSA member, with supporters in Denver on election night. (Rebecca Slezak for WSJ)

当选众议员、美国民主社会主义者成员梅拉特·基罗斯在选举之夜与支持者在丹佛合影。(Rebecca Slezak for WSJ摄)进步派支持者,包括新当选的众议员克莱尔·瓦尔德兹(中)和克里斯·拉布(右二),6月合影。(Adam Gray/Bloomberg News摄)杰弗里斯与这个不断壮大的进步派派系关系紧张。他过去对以色列的支持,使他与数十名希望美国因加沙战争切断对以军事援助的国会民主党人产生分歧,特朗普最近表示,这种改变应在年底前实现。

Representative-elect Melat Kiros, a DSA member, with supporters in Denver on election night. (Rebecca Slezak for WSJ) Progressive supporters, including newly elected representatives Claire Valdez, center, and Chris Rabb, second from right, in June. (Adam Gray/Bloomberg News) Jeffries has had an uneasy relationship with that expanding progressive wing. His past support of Israel has put him at odds with scores of congressional Democrats who want the U.S. to cut off military aid to the country over the war in Gaza, a change Trump recently said should happen by year’s end.

进步派支持者,包括新当选的众议员克莱尔·瓦尔德兹(中)和克里斯·拉布(右二),6月时的合影。(Adam Gray/Bloomberg News 摄)Progressive supporters, including newly elected representatives Claire Valdez, center, and Chris Rabb, second from right, in June. (Adam Gray/Bloomberg News)

“如果领导层不听取民粹主义议程,我们作为一个党将承担后果,”民主社会主义者组织(DSA)背书的当选众议员、宾夕法尼亚州的克里斯·拉布周四表示。

“If leadership doesn’t listen to the populist agenda, there will be consequences that we suffer as a party,” said DSA-endorsed incoming Rep. Chris Rabb of Pennsylvania on Thursday.

这种张力在杰弗里斯自己的地盘上就有表现。作为布鲁克林土生土长、代表纽约市该区中部一大片选区的议员,杰弗里斯面临着新当选的社会主义者的要求,他们的选区离他自己的选区很近。杰弗里斯对该派系的不适感去年显现出来,当时他等了几个月才背书现任纽约市长佐赫兰·马姆达尼,理由是存在“原则性分歧领域”。

The tensions have been on display in Jeffries’s own backyard. A native of Brooklyn who represents a central swath of the New York City borough, Jeffries is facing demands from newly elected socialists whose districts are close to his own. Jeffries’s discomfort with that faction emerged last year, when he waited months to endorse New York’s now-mayor Zohran Mamdani, citing “areas of principled disagreement.”

与杰弗里斯共事过的人将这位56岁的前公司律师描述为极其谨慎、防备心强,且在公开阐述观点时极具战略性。在众议院议场上,他习惯用三段式排比的方式发言。

Those who have worked closely with Jeffries describe the 56-year-old former corporate lawyer as deeply cautious, guarded and strategic in how he presents his ideas in public. On the House floor, he is known to speak alliteratively in three-part lists.

随着民主党大获全胜,杰弗里斯录制了一段Instagram视频,身穿一件绣有美国众议院徽章的黑色四分之一拉链衫,宣称:“唐纳德·特朗普现在吓坏了。皮特·赫格塞斯现在吓坏了。所谓的司法部长托德·布兰奇现在吓坏了。他们理应如此。”

As Democrats swept to victory, Jeffries taped an Instagram video wearing a black quarter-zip adorned with the U.S. House seal, declaring, “Donald Trump is shook right now. Pete Hegseth is shook right now. Todd Blanche, the so-called attorney general, is shook right now. And they should be.”

同事们透露,在幕后,杰弗里斯倾向于寻求共识而非对抗,在棘手问题上倾向于推诿,这些特质将迫使他证明自己有能力驾驭组成民主党党团的近十几个不同群体。

Behind the scenes, colleagues say, Jeffries prefers consensus over confrontation and punts on thorny issues, qualities that will force him to prove he’s equipped to wrangle nearly a dozen different groups that form the Democratic caucus.

在大选前几天,他面临了一场风波:即将离任的众议员海利·史蒂文斯(民主党-密歇根州)在该州备受瞩目的参议院竞选中背书前共和党众议员迈克·罗杰斯——结果眼睁睁看着罗杰斯大败给民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德。杰弗里斯指责史蒂文斯做出了“一个糟糕的决定”,让“大家措手不及”。他将对她背叛行为的任何惩处推迟到中期选举之后。

He faced drama in the days leading up to the election when outgoing Rep. Haley Stevens (D., Mich.) endorsed former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers in her state’s high-profile Senate contest—only to watch Rogers lose handily to Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. Jeffries accused Stevens of “a terrible decision” that “blindsided everyone.”He pushed off any punishment for her defection until after the midterms.

在上周接受《华尔街日报》采访时,杰弗里斯淡化了党内的分歧。此后,他公开对马姆达尼表示欢迎,并与一批即将入主众议院的民主党人进行了交谈,其中包括与美国民主社会主义者组织(DSA)有关联的六人中的大多数。

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal last week, Jeffries downplayed divisions within his party. He has since warmed publicly to Mamdani and has spoken to an array of incoming House Democrats, including most of the six who are tied to the DSA.

“我们非常努力地工作,以真正保持重要的团结,我们在面临来自外部巨大的分裂压力时,成功做到了这一点,”杰弗里斯说。“言语燃烧瓶”民主党意外获得的宽幅多数意味着,吵闹的派系(如社会主义者)将对杰弗里斯的议程构成较小的阻碍,因为他不需要他们的选票就能通过基本上得到党团其他成员支持的措施。

“We’ve worked very hard in order to actually maintain significant unity, which we’ve managed to do in the face of tremendous pressure from the outside to try to divide us,” Jeffries said. ‘Verbal Molotov cocktails’The Democrats’ unexpectedly wide margin means that noisy factions, such as the socialists, will pose less of a hindrance to Jeffries’s agenda, since he won’t need their votes to pass measures that are largely supported by the rest of the caucus.

“任何一个集团,在任何单一议题上,都无法像我们在共和党那边看到的那样拖延进程,过去两年里,三名共和党人就能让国会瘫痪,”领导新民主党联盟的众议员布拉德·施奈德(民主党-伊利诺伊州)说。“希望不会有人……投掷言语燃烧瓶,试图搞破坏。”

“One bloc, on any one issue, isn’t going to be able to hold things up like we’ve seen on the Republican side, where for the last two years, three Republicans can shut down Congress,” said Rep. Brad Schneider (D., Ill.), who leads the New Democrat Coalition. “Hopefully, there won’t be folks…throwing verbal Molotov cocktails and trying to burn things down.”

据知情人士透露,在民主党争取多数席位的今年,杰弗里斯刻意抵制了提出具体议程的呼吁——这让人联想到纽特·金里奇1994年的“与美国的契约”——因为他想避免竞选期间因政策引发党内斗争。

As Democrats pursued a majority this year, Jeffries purposely resisted calls to offer a specific agenda—reminiscent of Newt Gingrich’s “Contract with America” in 1994—because he wanted to avoid the potential for intraparty fights over policy during the campaign, according to people familiar with the planning.

在他的竞选团队内部,杰弗里斯告诉盟友,要从三个独立类别来思考民主党控制众议院的局面:前100小时、前100天和第一年。目标是展示众议院民主党人迅速采取行动,在重掌大权后立即解决通胀和高物价问题。

Inside his campaign operation, Jeffries has told allies to think about Democratic control of the House in three separate categories: the first 100 hours, the first 100 days and the first year. The goal is to show House Democrats acting swiftly to address inflation and high costs as soon as they return to power.

“我们要迅速投入工作,快速猛烈地推出举措,以便清楚地表明,这是美国前进方向的剧烈变革,”杰弗里斯上周在奥马哈的一次竞选集会上对一群牧师和当地活动人士说。

“We want to hit the ground running and come out fast and furious so that it is clear this is a dramatic change in the direction for America,” Jeffries told a group of pastors and local activists during a campaign stop in Omaha last week.

他接着告诉听众,他们应该预期“非常早”就会出台立法,以扭转对医疗补助和补充营养援助计划福利的削减,以及立法延长去年到期的《平价医疗法案》增强版税收抵免,民主党在这些措施上基本团结一致。他说,众议院将迅速行动“终止特朗普关税”,并“制止这场针对伊朗的战争”。“这就是五件事,”他说。

He went on to tell the audience that they should expect “very early on” legislation to reverse cuts to Medicaid and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits and legislation to extend the enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits that lapsed last year, measures on which Democrats are largely united. He said the House would move quickly to “end the Trump tariffs,” and “stop this war in Iran.”“Those are five things,” he said.

杰弗里斯10月与凯特·康利在一起,后者赢得了众议院选举。(WSJ 摄:Paola Chapdelaine)上周,支持者在奥马哈聆听杰弗里斯演讲。(WSJ 摄:Rebecca S. Gratz)这位民主党领袖还承诺将以特朗普的国防部长为目标,他对该团体表示:“我相信,一旦我们成为多数党,我们的首要行动之一将是把皮特·赫格塞斯赶下台。”共和党众议员托马斯·马西已针对这位国防部长提出弹劾条款,指控赫格塞斯无视国会要求从伊朗撤军的指示,以及旨在最大限度减少平民伤亡的法律。

Jeffries in October with Cait Conley, who won her race for the House. (Paola Chapdelaine for WSJ) Supporters listened to Jeffries speak in Omaha last week. (Rebecca S. Gratz for WSJ) The Democratic leader also promised to target Trump’s defense secretary, telling the group, “I believe that in the majority, one of our first acts will be to run Pete Hegseth out of town.”Articles of impeachment have already been introduced against the defense secretary by Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky, alleging Hegseth ignored Congress’s direction to withdraw U.S. forces from Iran and laws intended to minimize civilian casualties.

杰弗里斯10月与凯特·康利在一起,后者赢得了众议院议员选举。(Paola Chapdelaine 摄/《华尔街日报》)Jeffries in October with Cait Conley, who won her race for the House. (Paola Chapdelaine for WSJ)
上周,支持者在奥马哈聆听杰弗里斯演讲。(Rebecca S. Gratz 摄/《华尔街日报》)Supporters listened to Jeffries speak in Omaha last week. (Rebecca S. Gratz for WSJ)

杰弗里斯周三表示,党团内没有成员向他提出过弹劾特朗普的事宜。但成员们存在分歧:一方认为特朗普已犯下可弹劾的罪行,应被追责;另一方则担心此举会疏远摇摆选民,并让新一届国会显得心不在焉、倒行逆施。

Jeffries said Wednesday that no member of the caucus had raised impeaching Trump with him. But members are divided between those who believe Trump has already committed impeachable offenses and should be held responsible, and those who worry the move would alienate swing voters and paint the new Congress as distracted and backward-looking.

众议员罗伯特·加西亚(民主党-加利福尼亚州),即将出任众议院监督委员会主席,已概述计划,将调查特朗普家族成员和关键顾问的商业往来、向白宫舞会捐款的企业捐赠者及其他问题。

Rep. Robert Garcia (D., Calif.), the incoming chairman of the House Oversight Committee, has outlined plans to investigate business dealings of Trump family members and key advisers, corporate donors to the White House ballroom and other issues.

特朗普任命新任幕僚长后,加西亚表示,他委员会的民主党人“将继续调查米勒的不当行为,并将在国会和法院对抗他的仇恨政策。”加西亚补充道:“斯蒂芬·米勒最好请律师了。”

After Trump named his new chief of staff, Garcia said Democrats on his committee “will continue to investigate Miller for his misconduct, and we will fight against his hateful policies in Congress and the courts.”Garcia added: “Stephen Miller should lawyer up.”

杰弗里斯的经济计划与参议院民主党领袖舒默(民主党-纽约州)保持一致,民主党在参议院将占据54个席位,并正在等待两场胶着选举的结果,明年可能达到56个席位。

Jeffries’s economic plans are in alignment with Democratic leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) in the Senate, where Democrats will hold 54 seats and are awaiting calls on two close elections, potentially reaching 56 seats next year.

过去几个月,议员们一直在与杰弗里斯沟通,以影响明年1月哪些立法优先事项将被列为重中之重。杰弗里斯尚未承诺支持的热门提案——最著名的是“全民医保”——一直是进步派议员的核心诉求。

Over the past few months, lawmakers have been speaking with Jeffries to sway which legislative priorities will be top-of-ticket in January. Popular items that Jeffries hasn’t committed to—most notably Medicare for All—have been key asks by progressive members.

进步派核心小组领袖、众议员普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔(民主党-华盛顿州)表示:“他一直非常谨慎,部分原因是为了让一个多元化的核心小组团结在他周围,但当国家渴望真正大胆的领导力时,这种做法行不通。”

“He has been very cautious, in part, to keep a diverse caucus with him, but that does not work in a moment when the country is desperate for real bold leadership,” said Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D., Wash.), a leader in the progressive caucus.

她批评杰弗里斯在她提出的“全民医保”法案上避而不谈,尽管他曾支持该法案。“他可以站在最前沿推动此事,我希望他能这么做,否则这将演变成一场斗争,”她说。特朗普的劲敌杰弗里斯在布鲁克林极具政治影响力的基石浸信会长大,并在纽约州众议院开启了政治生涯。

She criticized Jeffries for demurring on her Medicare for All bill, which he once supported. “He can be at the front of that and I hope he is, otherwise it will turn into a fight,” she said. Trump foil Jeffries grew up in Brooklyn’s politically influential Cornerstone Baptist Church and got his start in the New York state assembly.

2012年,他赢得了一个空缺的联邦众议院席位。作为一名42岁的新任议员进入国会后,杰弗里斯推动刑事司法改革,并与共和党人合作改革联邦监狱制度,帮助艺术家解决版权纠纷。

He clinched an open House of Representatives seat in 2012. Entering Congress as a 42-year-old freshman, Jeffries pushed for criminal justice reform and teamed with Republicans to overhaul federal prisons and help artists fight copyright disputes.

国会黑人核心小组的成员迅速推举他,前议长佩洛西(民主党-加利福尼亚州)最终将他纳入核心圈子。他倾向于担任传声筒式角色,在核心小组内承担政策和传播工作。

Members of the Congressional Black Caucus moved quickly to elevate him, and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) eventually took him under her wing. He gravitated toward roles as a messenger, taking on policy and communications jobs within the caucus.

众议员詹姆斯·克莱伯恩2023年在众议院会议厅拥抱杰弗里斯。(Alex Brandon 摄/美联社)Rep. James Clyburn hugged Jeffries in the House chamber in 2023. (Alex Brandon/Associated Press)

2023年,众议员克莱伯恩在众议院会议厅拥抱杰弗里斯。(亚历克斯·布兰登/美联社)2023年,杰弗里斯与前议长佩洛西在一起。

Rep. James Clyburn hugged Jeffries in the House chamber in 2023. (Alex Brandon/Associated Press) Jeffries with former Speaker Nancy Pelosi in 2023.

杰弗里斯与前议长南希·佩洛西,2023年合影。Jeffries with former Speaker Nancy Pelosi in 2023.

“我记得当时我担任党团主席,吉姆·克莱伯恩第一次在党团会议上发言时,我对吉姆说:‘吉姆……你将成为首位非裔众议院议长,’”即将离任的康涅狄格州众议员约翰·拉尔森回忆了他与当时身为众议院高层非裔领袖的克莱伯恩的对话。“你能看到屋里每个人都在想,‘哇,他不一样。’”2018年,杰弗里斯因反对民主党领袖们的呼吁、拒绝反对旨在减少囚犯人数的监狱改革法案《第一步法案》而声名大噪。他在一封长达七页的信中抨击民主党同僚,将反对这项两党法案的立场描绘为不切实际。

“I can remember saying to Jim Clyburn when I was caucus chair, the first time he got up and spoke before the caucus, I said, ‘Jim…that’s going to be the first Black speaker of the House,’” said outgoing Rep. John Larson of Connecticut, describing his conversation with Clyburn, then a high-ranking Black House leader. “You could see that everybody in the room was going, ‘Wow, he’s different.’”The fight that raised Jeffries’s profile came in 2018 when he defied calls from leading Democrats to oppose the prison-overhaul First Step Act, which aimed to reduce the prison population. In a seven-page letter, he bashed Democratic colleagues, painting opposition to the bipartisan bill as unrealistic.

在众议院议场上,三分之二以上的民主党议员站在他身后支持该法案通过,特朗普后来签署了该法案的最终版本,使其成为法律。

On the floor, more than two-thirds of Democrats stood behind him to pass the bill, the final version of which Trump later signed into law.

随着杰弗里斯地位的上升,他在担任党内分散诉求的稳定器的同时,把自己定位为众议院中特朗普最大的对手之一。杰弗里斯与特朗普总统在2025年1月的就职典礼上。

As Jeffries has grown in stature, he has positioned himself as one of Trump’s biggest foils in the House while serving as a ballast for the party’s scattered demands. Jeffries with President Trump at the inauguration in January 2025.

杰弗里斯与特朗普总统,2025年1月就职典礼上合影。Jeffries with President Trump at the inauguration in January 2025.
杰弗里斯2025年在众议院会议厅发表最长议程演说。(Rod Lamkey 摄/美联社)Jeffries delivering the longest floor speech in the House chamber in 2025. (Rod Lamkey/Associated Press)

杰弗里斯在2025年于众议院会议厅发表了最长的议场演说。(罗德·兰基/美联社)普通众议院民主党议员认为,杰弗里斯在漫长的2025年联邦政府停摆期间维持了党团团结,并给予他肯定。他们指出,他坚持让党团将斗争焦点放在医疗福利上。他让党团保持了团结,而舒默因难以让参议院同僚保持一致而遭到严厉批评。杰弗里斯“在这方面非常有纪律性,”众议员马德琳·迪恩(民主党-宾夕法尼亚州)说。

Jeffries delivering the longest floor speech in the House chamber in 2025. (Rod Lamkey/Associated Press) Rank-and-file House Democrats give Jeffries credit for maintaining unity during the lengthy 2025 federal government shutdown, noting that he was adamant that the caucus make the fight about healthcare benefits. He held his caucus together, while Schumer took heavy criticism as he struggled to keep his Senate colleagues on the same page. Jeffries “was very disciplined on that,” said Rep. Madeleine Dean (D., Pa.).

2025年秋天,杰弗里斯与特朗普进行了首次——也是唯一一次——椭圆形办公室会面,特朗普发布戴着假草帽和假胡子嘲讽杰弗里斯的表情包来纪念这次会面。在众议院台阶上举行的民主党集会上,杰弗里斯称该视频带有种族歧视色彩,并警告特朗普:“当我回到椭圆形办公室时,有本事当面说。”

In the fall of 2025, Jeffries had his first—and only—Oval Office encounter with Trump, who memorialized it by posting memes that mocked Jeffries with a fake sombrero and mustache. During a rally with Democrats on the House steps, Jeffries called the video racist, warning Trump, “when I’m back in the Oval Office, say it to my face.”

杰弗里斯一直致力于维护形象,通过避开政治烫手山芋来规避风险。今年众议院就削减对以色列援助进行表决时,杰弗里斯及其领导团队选择不试图影响投票向某一方向倾斜,尽管部分议员在寻求指引。

Jeffries has worked to protect his image by sidestepping political hot potatoes rather than risk a burn. When the House voted on whether to cut aid to Israel this year, Jeffries and his leadership team opted not to try to influence votes to swing a particular way even as some members looked for guidance.

作为亲以色列游说团体美国以色列公共事务委员会(AIPAC)的长期竞选捐款接受者,杰弗里斯投票反对马西牵头的旨在大幅削减对以援助的修正案,而即将出任众议院多数党领袖、杰弗里斯的二号人物、众议员凯瑟琳·克拉克(民主党-马萨诸塞州)则投票支持削减。约48%的民主党人投票支持削减援助方案,这使杰弗里斯与党内一个以对以色列支持作为候选人考验标准的日益壮大的派别背道而驰。

A longtime recipient of campaign donations from Aipac, a top Israeli-American lobbying group, Jeffries voted against the amendment led by Massie that aimed to slash Israel aid, while Rep. Katherine Clark (D., Mass.), the incoming House majority leader and Jeffries’s No. 2, voted for the cuts. About 48% of Democrats voted to cut the aid package, putting Jeffries out of step with a growing faction of the party that is using support for Israel as a test for candidates.

“他必须彻底重置与AIPAC和以色列的关系,”贾亚帕尔说,“否则,我们的民主党基本盘将继续难以信任他。”杰弗里斯在选举之夜。(安德烈·钟摄/WSJ)杰弗里斯辩称该修正案过于宽泛,会影响人道主义工作和难民安置,同时仍主张需要进行“重大重置”,并称以色列“严重损害了其在美国的地位”。佩洛西的强硬手腕部分进步派质疑杰弗里斯能否应对竞争性诉求、派系和斗争——议长一职要求交易、组织和迅速决断。佩洛西曾在特朗普和拜登总统任内两度担任议长,以强硬手腕著称。

“He’s gonna have to reset completely the relationship with Aipac” and Israel, said Jayapal. “Otherwise, it’s gonna continue to be a problem for our Democratic base to have trust in him.”Jeffries on election night. (André Chung for WSJ) Jeffries argued the amendment was too broad and would impact humanitarian efforts and refugee resettlement, while still arguing that there is a need for a “major reset” and that Israel has “severely damaged its standing in the U.S.”Pelosi’s heavy hand Some progressives have questioned if Jeffries can manage competing demands and factions—and fights—in a speakership role that demands transactions, organization and swift decisions. Pelosi, who served two stints as speaker during the Trump and Biden presidencies, was known for having a heavy hand.

选举之夜的杰弗里斯。(André Chung 摄/《华尔街日报》)Jeffries on election night. (André Chung for WSJ)

据一位了解他们交流情况的民主党人士透露,杰弗里斯在众议院议场或通过电话与佩洛西进行非正式交谈,或每隔几个月安排会面,该人士指出,这位名誉议长在本届任期结束后将卸任加利福尼亚州众议员职务,她不提供未经请求的建议。

Jeffries has informal chats with Pelosi on the House floor or by phone, or has arranged meetings every few months, according to a Democrat familiar with their exchanges, who noted that the speaker emerita, who is retiring from her California seat after this term, doesn’t offer unsolicited advice.

与美国民主社会主义者组织(DSA)有关联的新当选议员依然计划在议长选举投票的讨论中向杰弗里斯施压。拉布表示,杰弗里斯仍需争取他的选票,而在该次对话中,杰弗里斯需要向拉布表明,他关注民粹议程,以及帮助民主党赢得大比数多数席位的选民群体,包括黑人女性和年轻选民。拉布说:“我不是任何人的橡皮图章。”

DSA-linked freshmen still plan to pressure Jeffries in discussions on speakership votes. Rabb said Jeffries will still have to ask for his vote, and in that conversation he will need to tell Rabb he has an ear to the populist agenda and the cohorts that boosted Democrats to their large majority, including Black women and young voters. “I’m nobody’s rubber stamp,” Rabb said.

社会主义者计划推动其议程的消息在选举前便招致了中间派成员的抨击。亨利·奎亚尔众议员(民主党-得克萨斯州)表示,他所属的中间派“蓝狗联盟”同样可以轻易行使类似的影响力,但他称各派别应从共和党派系的类似做法如何削弱了前众议院议长凯文·麦卡锡和现任议长迈克·约翰逊那里吸取教训。

Word of the socialists’ plan to push for their agenda drew fire from centrist members before the election. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D., Texas) said his cohort, the centrist Blue Dogs, could easily exercise similar leverage, but said the blocs should draw a lesson from how such moves by GOP factions undermined former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Mike Johnson, the current speaker.

奎亚尔说:“这是个错误。他们削弱了麦卡锡,削弱了约翰逊,而我们比那更聪明。”

“It’s a mistake,” Cuellar said. “They weakened McCarthy. They weakened Johnson, and we’re smarter than that.”

纽约州前众议员、杰弗里斯的盟友史蒂夫·伊斯雷尔表示,这位即将上任的议长有能力维持党团团结。

Former Rep. Steve Israel of New York, a Jeffries ally, said the incoming speaker was up to the task of holding his caucus together.

伊斯雷尔说:“他之所以能成为民主党领袖,并即将成为众议院议长,是因为他善于倾听成员意见,在成员往往相互冲突的诉求和优先事项中理清头绪,并建立联盟——这很难做到。他拥有的优势是,多数优势比我认为大多数人预期的要大得多。”

“The way he became Democratic leader and now soon to be speaker of the House was by listening to members and sifting through their often conflicting desires and priorities and building a coalition—that’s hard to do,” Israel said. “He has the advantage of a much larger margin than I think most people anticipated.”

即使在史蒂文斯背书共和党候选人之前,杰弗里斯就面临如何处理背离民主党议程的成员这一问题。成功连任的玛丽·格鲁森坎普·佩雷斯众议员(民主党-华盛顿州)和即将卸任的贾里德·戈登众议员(民主党-缅因州)——两人均为中间派——曾在9月与共和党人一道投票推进一项规则方案,以支持一项保护龙虾捕捞的法案。

Even before Stevens endorsed the Republican candidate, Jeffries was faced with how to handle members who buck the Democrats’ agenda. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D., Wash.), who won re-election, and retiring Rep. Jared Golden (D., Maine)—both centrists—voted with Republicans to advance a rule package in September to support a bill protecting lobster fishing.

但该投票也让共和党得以推进一项谴责社会主义的决议,该决议旨在让民主党难堪。

But the vote also allowed the GOP to move forward with a resolution condemning socialism that was designed to embarrass Democrats.

杰弗里斯称这是一种背信弃义的行为,并认为他们的行为理应受到回应——但他至今尚未作出回应。“我们将进行一次家庭式的讨论,”当被问及将如何解决这一问题时,他在奥马哈竞选行程中的采访中说道。

Jeffries called it a breach of trust and argued that their actions warranted a response—but he has yet to give one. “We’ll have a family discussion,” he said when asked how he would resolve the issue in the interview during his Omaha campaign stop.

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