尽管在中期选举中大胜美国总统唐纳德·特朗普领导的共和党，民主党人依然对过早断定这对下一届总统大选意味着什么保持谨慎。
Although thrilled by their sweeping defeat of U.S. President Donald Trump's Republican Party in the midterms, Democrats remain cautious about jumping to conclusions of what it could mean for the next presidential election campaign.
不过，胜利的巨大规模让一些人看到了2028年重返白宫的潜在路径。
Still, the dramatic scale of the victory has some seeing a potential path back to the White House in 2028.
民主党在众议院选区的普选票中以13个百分点的优势获胜，这是50年来任何一方获得的最大优势。
The Democrats won the popular vote for House districts by 13 percentage points, the biggest margin for either party in 50 years.
他们在南卡罗来纳州、得克萨斯州和堪萨斯州这三个红州的参议院竞选中击败了共和党人，这三个州分别自1998年、1988年和1932年以来就未曾派出过民主党参议员进入华盛顿。
They ousted Republicans in Senate races in the red states of South Carolina, Texas and Kansas, which haven't sent a Democratic senator to Washington since 1998, 1988 and 1932, respectively.
策略师们正忙着分析共和党究竟哪里出了问题，民主党又哪里做对了。如果这场中期选举复盘中有一条贯穿始终的主线，那就是生活成本担忧起了决定性作用。
Strategists are busy analyzing both what went so wrong for the Republicans and what went right for the Democrats. If there's one consistent thread in this midterm post-mortem, it's that cost of living concerns made all the difference.
这就是为什么主要民主党人认为，在中期选举中无论在摇摆州还是红州都奏效的“钱包民粹主义”，是一个在下一届总统大选中也可能奏效的信息。
That's why leading Democrats believe the pocketbook populism that worked at the midterms in both swing states and red states is a message that could work in the next presidential election.
民主党准备施展新权力——不仅在华盛顿 11月5日 时长 莫·埃利西，前民主党全国委员会（DNC）发言人，表示他的党派“并不总是擅长信息纪律”，但其候选人在中期竞选中始终坚定地紧扣主题。“一个接一个候选人，从最进步到最温和，从堪萨斯州和得克萨斯州到缅因州和密歇根州，每一位民主党候选人都在谈论生活成本和腐败，并在许多情况下将这两者联系在一起，”埃利西对PBS《新闻一小时》节目表示。
Democrats prepare to flex new power — not just in Washington November 5 Duration Mo Elleithee, former spokesperson for the Democratic National Committee (DNC), says his party "isn't always the best at message discipline," but its candidates stayed solidly on-message in the midterm campaign. "Candidate after candidate, the most progressive to the most moderate, from Kansas and Texas to Maine and Michigan, every Democratic candidate was talking about cost of living and corruption, and, in many cases, tying those two things together," Elleithee told PBS News Hour.
“未来的模样”埃利西说，想要竞选总统的民主党人需要向选民展示他们对后特朗普时代的愿景。
'What the future looks like' Democrats who want to run for president will need to show voters their vision for the post-Trump era, Elleithee said.
“过去十年，我们主要做的就是对唐纳德·特朗普进行反对，”他说。“现在我们可以描绘一幅未来的图景。”十年来，民主党一直在寻找方法，赢回许多弃而投向特朗普的工薪阶层选民。
"For the past decade, what we have mainly been doing is playing opposition to Donald Trump," he said. "Now we can paint a picture of what the future looks like." For a decade, Democrats have been searching for ways to win back the many working-class voters who had abandoned them in favour of Trump.
他们在红州和摇摆州的中期选举获胜候选人，始终聚焦民生议题，以此从特朗普领导的共和党手中夺回经济民粹主义的阵地。
Their winning candidates in the midterms in red and swing states focused relentlessly on pocketbook issues in a way that could seize the terrain of economic populism back from the Trump GOP.
“这个国家最大的分歧不是左派对右派，而是上层对下层，”得克萨斯州民主党籍参议员当选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科从竞选伊始就频频这样说。民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁表示，中期选举的胜利部分是对特朗普的否定，也是民主党谈论可负担性的结果。
"The biggest divide in this country is not left versus right. It's top versus bottom," the Texas Democrat senator-elect James Talarico said frequently from the very launch of his campaign DNC chairman Ken Martin says the midterm victories were in part a repudiation of Trump, but also a consequence of Democrats talking about affordability.
“我们的候选人全线都是为某些主张而战，而非反对某些东西，”他对美国国家公共电台（NPR）表示，“他们让人们看到了民主党执政后将采取何种作为的积极愿景。”民主党领袖表示，新一届国会于1月3日宣誓就职后，他们打算立即推进的三大优先事项，都旨在为美国人降低成本：废除特朗普的关税、恢复共和党削减的医保补贴、结束导致燃油价格大幅上涨的伊朗战争。
"Our candidates across the board ran for something, not against something," he told NPR "They gave people a sense of a positive vision of what Democrats would do while we're in power." The three priorities that Democrat leaders have said they intend to pursue immediately once the new Congress is sworn in on Jan. 3 are all aimed at bringing down costs for Americans: repealing Trump's tariffs, restoring health insurance subsidies cut by the Republicans and ending the war in Iran that triggered big jumps in fuel prices.
中期选举结果改写选举人团版图 州级层面的中期选举胜利意味着，明年将有民主党州长掌管特朗普2024年赢下的所有七个摇摆州：亚利桑那州、佐治亚州、密歇根州、内华达州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康星州。
Midterm results shift electoral college map Midterm wins at the state level mean next year will see Democrat governors in power in all seven swing states that Trump won in 2024: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
民主党现在还设想，俄亥俄州——该州已连续三次大选坚定支持特朗普——在州长和参议员双双赢得中期选举后，可能成为2028年的潜在目标。特朗普为赫格塞斯辩护，民主党准备迎接政治大战一些人甚至梦想，得克萨斯州凭借其不断变化的人口结构和38张选举人票，或许不再是无望之地，因为民主党在全州范围的选举中实现了横扫。民主党在中期选举中形成的团结能维持多久，还有待观察，一旦2028年提名之争开启，局面可能生变。
Democrats also now envision Ohio, which has voted solidly for Trump in three straight elections, to be a potential target in 2028 after midterm wins for both governor and Senate. Trump defends Hegseth as Democrats prepare for political war Some are even dreaming that Texas, with its shifting demographics and its 38 electoral college votes, may no be longer a lost cause, after a Democrat sweep of statewide races It remains to be seen how long the Democratic Party's midterm-fuelled unity will last once the fight for the 2028 nomination begins. That could start as soon as next spring, given the track record of would-be presidential candidates announcing their intentions roughly a year and a half before election day.
考虑到有意角逐总统的候选人通常会在大选日前约一年半宣布参选意向，这场竞争最早可能于明年春天拉开帷幕。
Trump names Stephen Miller as new chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles after midterm defeat Analysis JD Vance blames Iran war for midterm thumping. Is he really blaming Trump?
提名之争的主导主题可能是中间派与进步派民主党人相互竞争的愿景。
The dominant theme in the nomination race could be the competing visions of centrist and progressive Democrats.
进步派标志性人物伯尼·桑德斯——这位来自佛蒙特州的独立联邦参议员，在2016年被民主党拒之门外，未能获得总统提名，提名反而给了建制派候选人希拉里·克林顿——认为，中期选举结果表明，只有一条通往胜利的道路。
Progressive icon Bernie Sanders — the independent U.S. senator from Vermont who the Democratic Party spurned in 2016 as presidential nominee in favour of establishment candidate Hillary Clinton — argues the midterm results show there's only one route to victory.
桑德斯本周对《政治剧本》（Politico Playbook）表示：“如果我们聚焦于重要议题，就能赢过数百万在经济上挣扎的共和党人和独立人士。”
"We can win over millions of Republicans and independents who are struggling economically if we focus on the issues that are important," Sanders told Politico Playbook this week.
桑德斯说，民主党需要有勇气告诉大额捐赠者：“非常感谢你们的帮助，但现在我们将聚焦于这个国家劳动家庭的需求，无论你们喜不喜欢。”关于民主党该从中期选举结果中汲取什么教训、不该汲取什么教训，以及这些教训如何适用于2028年，警告声四起。
Sanders said Democrats need to have the courage to tell big-money donors, "Thank you very much for your help, but right now we are going to focus on the needs of the working families of this country, whether you like it or not." Warnings abound for the Democrats about what lessons they should and shouldn't draw from the midterm result and how it may apply to 2028.
曾任奥巴马2008年竞选经理、并在2024年为哈里斯提供建议的大卫·普卢夫表示，民主党不能指望明年总统大选时的选民情绪会与今年中期选举时相同。
David Plouffe, who served as Barack Obama's campaign manager in 2008 and advised Kamala Harris in 2024, says the Democrats can't count on voter sentiment in this year's midterms being the same in the next presidential election.
“我要说，这更多是一场反对特朗普的投票，而不是支持民主党的投票。我们的品牌依然相当疲软，”普卢夫在哈佛大学政治学院举行的中期选举后论坛上表示。
"I would say this was a vote against Trump more than a vote for the Democratic Party. Our brand is still quite weak," Plouffe told a post-midterm forum at Harvard University's Institute of Politics.
战略家称，美国中期选举结果不会阻止特朗普采取“夸夸其谈、过火”的风格。俄亥俄州和得克萨斯州在中期选举中由红转蓝，但在2028年可能无法保持这种局面。曾广泛报道该党在特朗普时代挣扎的记者马克·莱博维奇传达了与普卢夫类似的信息。
U.S. midterm results won't deter Trump from 'bombastic, over-the-top' style, says strategist Ohio and Texas went from red to blue in the midterms but may not stay that way in 2028 Mark Leibovich, a journalist who has extensively covered the party's Trump-era struggles, has a message similar to Plouffe's.
“民主党人应避免陷入一个显而易见的陷阱，即认为他们的胜利意味着他们神奇地解决了‘品牌问题’、‘信任问题’或‘工薪阶层选民问题’等诸多问题，”莱博维奇在《大西洋月刊》上写道。
"Democrats should avoid the obvious trap of thinking that their victory means they've magically solved their 'brand problem,' 'trust problem,' or 'working-class-voter problem,' among various others," Leibovich wrote in the Atlantic