
在周二的中期选举取得压倒性胜利后,没有任何单一的民主党阵营能独揽功劳——因为民主党阵营的所有派别都可以。
No single Democratic coalition can claim victory after Tuesday's resounding midterm results – all parts of the Democratic coalition can.
他们的胜利是如此全面、如此响亮,以至于派系分歧都无法解释它们。今年,民主党想要获胜最重要的条件,简单来说就是:不是共和党人。
Their wins were so sweeping, so resounding, that factional divisions fail to explain them. This year, the most important thing Democrats had to be to win was, simply, not Republicans.
特朗普给民主党送上了政治大礼:一场极不受欢迎的对伊朗战争导致物价上涨;混乱的关税重创了小企业、农民和国际联盟;削减医疗保健;致命的驱逐计划;中饱私囊;腐败;以及关于倒影池翻修没完没了的闹剧。
Trump gave Democrats the political gifts of a deeply unpopular war against Iran that led to rising prices, chaotic tariffs that devastated small businesses, farmers and international alliances, healthcare cuts, a deadly deportation scheme, self-enrichment, corruption, a never-ending debacle over a reflecting pool renovation.
民主党顺势而为,并在特朗普人气持续下滑之际向他发起挑战。这不仅仅是执政党通常会面临的中期选举反弹,而是对总统“让美国再次伟大”运动的全面痛斥,这是选民受够了特朗普主义最清晰的信号。
Democrats took the ball and ran with it, taking on Trump as popularity continued to slide. It wasn't just the typical midterm backlash a sitting president's party faces; it was a wholesale rebuke of the president's Make America Great Again movement, the clearest sign yet that voters have had enough of Trumpism.
周二晚间,各派别的民主党人都宣布获胜:温和派、进步派、民粹主义派、民主社会主义者。他们在选票上下全面获胜,一举夺下国会两院控制权、数个州长职位,并在多个州实现了新的立法“三连胜”。这些胜利将为民主党追究特朗普责任、使其成为一个运转正常的政府部门提供途径,而这正是选民表示在特朗普2.0时代所缺失的东西。
Democrats of all stripes declared victory on Tuesday night: moderates, progressives, populists, Democratic socialists. And they won up and down the ballot, flipping both chambers of Congress, several governor's mansions and delivering multiple new legislative trifectas in the states. These victories will provide avenues for Democrats to hold Trump accountable and act as a functioning branch of government, something voters have said they've been missing in Trump 2.0.
民主党人在共和党腹地深处展开竞争——这些地方在短短六个月前甚至都不会出现在地图上。来自堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州的民主党人将加入美国参议员行列。得克萨斯州变蓝了,而且不仅仅是在一场竞选中。民主党人此前曾放弃的农村地区选民也表明,他们是可以被说服的。尽管候选人丑闻缠身(后来被替换),缅因州选民还是罢免了一位在任30年的美国参议院老将。
Democrats competed deep in Republican strongholds – places that wouldn't have made the map even six months ago. US senators will join Democratic ranks from Kansas and South Carolina. Texas went blue, and not just in one race. Voters in rural districts that Democrats had previously written off showed they could be persuaded. Maine voters ousted a 30-year veteran of the US Senate despite a scandal-plagued Democratic candidate, who was eventually replaced.
在艾奥瓦州得梅因的民主党选举之夜集会上,兴奋之情近乎难以置信,民主党人在该州赢得了州长办公室、美国参议院以及四个国会选区中的三个。
At the Democratic watch party in Des Moines, Iowa, where Democrats flipped the governor's office, US Senate and three of four congressional districts, the excitement neared a level of disbelief.
“对于艾奥瓦州的民主党人来说,我们在艾奥瓦州度过了艰难的几年,但平衡的政府已经恢复了,”当选该州下一任州长的罗布·桑德在胜利感言中对支持者说。
"To Iowa Democrats, we've had a hard few years here in Iowa, but balanced government has been restored," Rob Sand, elected the state's next governor, told supporters in his victory remarks.
这些胜利将赋予民主党人在各级政府追究特朗普责任的机会——如果他们能利用好这股势头,还能向选民证明他们有能力进行善治。
These wins will give Democrats a chance to hold Trump accountable at all levels of government – and to prove to voters that they can competently govern, should they harness the momentum.
民主党胜利的深度凸显了共和党极不受欢迎,全国选民一整年都在发出这种信号。在过去一年与选民的交谈中,我感受到了他们内心深处的不满,这种愤怒激发了他们的选票,达到了我前所未见的程度。在竞选活动中,各政治派别的选民都厌倦了现状,他们对现状的愤怒跃居其投票首要事项清单的最顶端。
The depth of the Democratic wins underscore the unpopularity of the Republicans, something voters around the country have been signaling all year. In talking to voters over this past year, I felt their deep discontent, an anger that animated their votes, on a level I hadn't seen before. On the campaign trail, voters of all political stripes were fed up their fury at the status quo rose above all else on their list of voting priorities.
几个月前,当我向进步派政治顾问阿纳特·申克尔-奥索里奥询问此事时,她预测中期选举将由“气炸了、再也忍受不了了”的选票决定,中期选举往往如此。她说,这不会是对民主党人的突然拥护,而是一场“瘟疫降临在你们两家头上”。民主党浪潮的规模将取决于他们说服愤怒且幻灭的选民出来投票的力度有多大。鉴于这股蓝色海啸,他们似乎确信自己的投票是值得的。
When I asked progressive political consultant Anat Shenker-Osorio about this months ago, she predicted that the midterms would be decided by the "mad as hell, ain't going to take it any more" vote, as midterms often are. It would not be a sudden embrace of Democrats, but a "plague on both your houses", she said. The size of Democrats' wave would depend on how persuasive they were at convincing angry and disillusioned voters to turn out. Given the blue tsunami, it seems they were convinced their vote was worth it.
在大多数情况下,民主党候选人都出席并倾听了选民的心声。他们在各自选区举行了多场市民大会,倾听了贯穿政治的愤怒。民主党人发出了垂直的怒吼,怒火指向统治美国政治体系的亿万富翁和精英阶层,指责他们导致了日益严重的收入不平等,让美国人觉得出头无望。
In most instances, Democratic candidates showed up and listened. They held town halls all over their districts, hearing the anger that punctuated politics. The Democrats raged vertically, at the billionaires and elites who rule the US political system, blaming them for rising income inequality that leaves Americans feeling like it's impossible to get ahead.
选举结果表明,选民已经受够了特朗普的共和党。特朗普的联盟几乎已经排挤掉了所有公开不同意总统意见的剩余派别。现在的共和党人需要面对他们在特朗普之后会变成什么样的问题。
Voters, the results showed, are done with Trump's Republican party. Trump's coalition has all but driven out any remaining factions that publicly disagreed with the president. The Republicans, now, need to contend with what they will become after Trump.
会不会有一条属于共和党人的道路,让他们明确反对特朗普的议程,表示自己将努力遏制行政权并追究其责任?我们不知道。没有人真正尝试过。
Could there have been a lane for Republicans who explicitly ran against the Trump agenda, saying they would work to rein in the executive and hold him accountable? We don't know. No one really tried.
贩卖恐惧的尝试——针对跨性别者、阿拉伯裔美国人或哈桑·皮克尔——并没有奏效。美国人生活的根本基础变差了。选民认为,这是共和党人的错。
The attempts at fearmongering – over trans people, or Arab Americans, or Hasan Piker – didn't work. The fundamentals of Americans' lives were worse. It was Republicans' fault, voters decided.
由于一场他们并不支持的战争,他们支付了高昂得多的汽油费。在国会允许补贴失效后,由于负担不起,他们放弃了医疗保险。他们眼睁睁地看着数据中心搬进他们的城镇,这是人工智能给他们的生活带来的颠覆的实体体现。特朗普对他们对这些问题的担忧不屑一顾,声称这些事情基本上没有发生,或者是实现更伟大目标的必要步骤。选民甚至反抗共和党人为了让席位对本党更有利而进行选区划分重组的企图,在那些本该以两位数优势轻松取胜的席位上遭遇了重大惨败。
They paid far more for gas because of a war they didn't support. They dropped their healthcare because they couldn't afford it after Congress allowed subsidies to expire. They watched as data centers moved into their towns, a physical manifestation of the disruption artificial intelligence could bring to their lives. Trump dismissed their concerns over these issues, claiming they essentially weren't happening, or were a necessary step toward greater goals. Voters even rebelled against Republican attempts to gerrymander seats more favorable to their party, with major defeats in seats that the party should have easily carried by double digits.
特朗普多次告诉选民假装他本人在选票上,他相信这会凝聚他的基本盘,并有助于避免共和党的巨大损失。但正如一些选民今天所说的那样,他的存在感很强——反而适得其反。在新罕布什尔州罗切斯特,独立选民丽贝卡·康纳斯表示,她投票给民主党是为了向特朗普发出一个信息,即“他在大肆破坏”。
Trump repeatedly told voters to pretend he was on the ballot, believing it would rally his base and help stave off huge losses for Republicans. But, as some voters said today, his presence was clear – and it backfired. In Rochester, New Hampshire, independent voter Rebecca Connors said she voted for Democrats to send a message to Trump that "he's wreaking havoc".
“在全州上下和全国各地,人们都在说,‘够了,真的够了,’”明尼苏达州当选美国参议员的佩吉·弗拉纳根在获胜后表示。“你们刚刚击败了唐纳德·特朗普。美国也做到了。”尽管人们的目光将迅速转向2028年,但民主党现在有机会抓住选民托付给他们的权力,并用它来重建他们的党派。然而,随着中期选举结果历历在目,共和党需要进行更深刻的反思。
"All across the state and all across this country, people are saying, 'Enough is enough,'" Minnesota Democratic US senator-elect Peggy Flanagan said after her victory. "You just beat Donald Trump. America did too." Though eyes will quickly shift toward 2028, Democrats now have an opportunity to seize the power voters have entrusted them with and use it to rebuild their party. The Republicans, though, have even more soul-searching to do, with the midterm results fresh in the rearview mirror.