
阿布扎比,阿拉伯联合酋长国 —— 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周一在白宫会见了卡塔尔首相穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼,与此同时,旨在结束与伊朗战争的外交努力仍在继续,但国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥警告称谈判距离取得突破仍很遥远,而德黑兰则表示愿意谈判但不向压力屈服。
ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates — President Donald Trump met Qatar's prime minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, on Monday at the White House as diplomatic efforts to end the war with Iran continue, even as Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that negotiations remain far from a breakthrough and Tehran signals a willingness to negotiate without yielding to pressure.
这些相互矛盾的信息发出之际,霍尔木兹海峡仍是全球经济动荡的主要根源,地区各国政府正推动通过外交手段解决一场已使海湾国家遭受数千次伊朗导弹和无人机袭击的冲突。
The competing messages come as the Strait of Hormuz remains a major source of global economic disruption and regional governments push for a diplomatic solution to a conflict that has subjected Gulf countries to thousands of Iranian missile and drone attacks.
鲁比奥周日在前往巴黎出席七国集团外长会议前对记者表示,谈判几乎没有取得进展,并拒绝了德黑兰提出的条件。“我不会说我们即将取得突破,”鲁比奥说。
Speaking to reporters Sunday before departing for a G7 foreign ministers meeting in Paris, Rubio said there had been little progress in negotiations and rejected the terms put forward by Tehran. "I wouldn't say we're on the verge of a breakthrough," Rubio said.
他强调特朗普倾向于通过外交途径解决争端,但形容伊朗的要求不切实际。
He emphasized that Trump prefers a diplomatic settlement but described Iran's demands as unrealistic.
据阿纳多卢通讯社11月9日报道,援引伊朗总统声明,伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬周一表示,德黑兰准备就结束他所描述的“既非战争也非和平”的长期状态进行谈判。
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Monday that Tehran was prepared to negotiate an end to what he described as a prolonged state of neither war nor peace. "We can negotiate with dignity and resolve the issue with dignity.
“我们可以有尊严地谈判,有尊严地解决问题。我们主张对话和谈判,”佩泽希齐扬说。
We favor dialogue and negotiations," Pezeshkian said, according to Anadolu Agency on November 9, citing an Iranian presidential statement.
他说,最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊已指示官员结束这种不确定性,但坚持伊朗不会向胁迫屈服。
He said Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei had instructed officials to end the uncertainty but insisted that Iran would not surrender to coercion.
与此同时,特朗普周日表示他不寻求进一步升级。在接受哥伦比亚广播公司《60分钟》节目采访时,总统说他看不出有理由加剧与伊朗的战争,同时坚持认为霍尔木兹海峡是畅通的。
Trump, meanwhile, signaled Sunday that he was not seeking another escalation. In an interview with CBS' "60 Minutes," the president said he saw no reason to intensify the war with Iran while maintaining that the Strait of Hormuz was open.
据Axios于11月9日报道,调解人一直在讨论一项为期两天的提议,根据该提议,美国将解除海上封锁并释放部分被冻结的伊朗资金。随后德黑兰将采取措施恢复核查验,并在更广泛的谈判恢复前重新开放霍尔木兹海峡。
Mediators have been discussing a two-day proposal under which the United States would lift its naval blockade and release some frozen Iranian funds. Tehran would then take steps toward renewed nuclear inspections and reopen the Strait of Hormuz before broader negotiations resumed, according to Axios on November 9.
该提议尚未获得华盛顿接受,双方在任何协议的条款上仍存在重大分歧。
The proposal has not been accepted by Washington, and significant differences remain over the terms of any agreement.
外交僵局的后果在霍尔木兹海峡表现得最为清晰,这条狭窄的航运走廊连接着波斯湾和阿曼湾。
Nowhere are the consequences of the diplomatic stalemate clearer than in the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow shipping corridor connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman.

根据美国能源信息署的数据,冲突爆发前,全球石油液体消费量的大约五分之一、全球液化天然气贸易量的五分之一以上通过该水道,使其成为世界上最具战略重要性的海上航线之一。
Before the war, the equivalent of roughly one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption and more than one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas trade passed through the waterway, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, making it one of the world's most strategically important maritime routes.
冲突爆发以来,伊朗的袭击、航运限制和美国的军事行动严重扰乱了商业航运。尽管有美国海军力量部署,但针对商船的袭击仍在持续。
Since the conflict began, Iranian attacks, shipping restrictions and U.S. military operations have severely disrupted commercial traffic. Despite the American naval presence, attacks on commercial vessels have continued.
路透社周一报道,10月海湾和霍尔木兹海峡的油轮袭击事件急剧增加,并延续至11月。伊朗当局还声称,周日一艘油轮在海峡以东触雷。
Reuters reported Monday that tanker attacks in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz had accelerated sharply in October and continued into November. Iranian authorities also claimed that a tanker had struck a mine east of the strait on Sunday.
在阿布扎比ADIPEC能源会议期间接受Fox News Digital采访时,前拜登总统高级顾问、现TWG Global管理合伙人Amos Hochstein质疑了海峡已有效重新开放的说法。
In an interview with Fox News Digital at the ADIPEC energy conference in Abu Dhabi, Amos Hochstein, a former senior adviser to President Joe Biden and now managing partner at TWG Global, challenged claims that the strait had effectively reopened.

霍赫斯坦表示:“在霍尔木兹海峡,几乎每晚都在发生热冲突。油轮遭到射击,油轮遭到袭击。”
"There has been a hot conflict in the Strait of Hormuz on almost a nightly basis. Tankers are getting fired on, tankers are getting hit," Hochstein said.
他对Fox News Digital说:“如果你需要强大的美国军事存在仅仅是为了让一艘油轮通过,对我来说,这就是未开放的定义。”
"If you need a heavy U.S. military presence just to let an oil tanker go through, to me that's the definition of not open," he told Fox News Digital.
霍克施泰因认为,保护商船所需的非同寻常的安全措施表明,正常航行尚未恢复。
Hochstein argued that the extraordinary security measures required to protect commercial vessels demonstrate that normal navigation has not been restored.
更高的保险费、额外袭击的危险以及海上交通限制,持续给全球经济带来负担。
Higher insurance premiums, the danger of additional attacks and restrictions on maritime traffic have continued to burden the global economy.
他的评估与美国中央司令部提供的较为乐观的图景形成对比。10月下旬,中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀上将表示,美军已清除了伊朗在主要航道布设的水雷,并协助数千艘商船通过该水道。
His assessment contrasts with the more optimistic picture offered by U.S. Central Command. In late October, Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of CENTCOM, said American forces had cleared primary shipping routes of Iranian mines and assisted thousands of commercial vessels transiting the waterway.
据10月25日报道的中央司令部声明,在过去六个月中,已有3000多艘商船在美国军事支持下成功通过霍尔木兹海峡。
According to a CENTCOM statement reported October 25, more than 3,000 commercial vessels had successfully transited Hormuz with American military support over the preceding six months.
但对霍克施泰因而言,军事力量能够护航并不意味着商业风险已经消失。
But for Hochstein, the ability of military forces to escort ships does not mean the commercial risks have disappeared.
他建议谈判可在不同轨道上分别推进,华盛顿专注于伊朗核计划,而海湾国家政府在航行自由和海上安全的讨论中发挥更大作用。
He suggested that negotiations could proceed on separate tracks, with Washington concentrating on Iran's nuclear program while Gulf governments take a greater role in discussions over freedom of navigation and maritime security.
霍克施泰因对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“也许海湾盟友自己应该是管理那部分谈判(关于海峡)的一方,而美国将管理……核问题方面的谈判。”
"Maybe the Gulf allies themselves should be the ones that are managing that part of the negotiation on the [strait] while the United States would manage the negotiations ... on the nuclear front," Hochstein told Fox News Digital.
世界能源理事会首席执行官安吉拉·威尔金森博士表示,霍尔木兹海峡的中断暴露了重新思考全球能源市场的必要性,这些市场传统上优先考虑效率而非韧性。
Dr. Angela Wilkinson, CEO of the World Energy Council, said the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has exposed the need to rethink global energy markets, which have traditionally prioritized efficiency over resilience.

威尔金森在阿布扎比国际石油展(ADIPEC)期间对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“效率是不够的。我们必须拥有韧性。”
"Efficiency is not enough. We have to have resilience," Wilkinson told Fox News Digital at ADIPEC.
她说:“我们世界能源理事会建议的是重新平衡能源,”她主张采取同时解决能源安全、可负担性和可持续性的方案。
"What we at the World Energy Council recommend is that we rebalance energy," she said, advocating solutions that address energy security, affordability and sustainability simultaneously.
“我们面临不断攀升的物流成本,但也面临相互依存带来的新脆弱性。这正是我们正在设法应对的问题。” 对阿联酋而言,此次中断加速了其减少对霍尔木兹海峡依赖的努力。
"We have escalating logistics costs, but we've got new vulnerabilities of interdependency. And that's what we're navigating our way through." For the UAE, the disruption has accelerated efforts to reduce dependence on the Strait of Hormuz.
阿联酋投资建设了替代路线,特别是通往阿曼湾富查伊拉港(位于海峡之外)的管道,使部分石油出口能够绕过这条有争议的航运走廊。努艾米表示,自战争爆发以来,该国已大幅增加石油出口。
The Emirates has invested in alternative routes, particularly its pipeline to Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman, outside the strait, allowing some oil exports to bypass the contested shipping corridor. Al Nuaimi said the country had substantially increased its oil exports since the war began.
“我们希望霍尔木兹海峡保持开放,并依据国际法受到尊重,但我们不会坐以待毙,让本国和本国人民成为他人的人质。…… 2月28日战争爆发前,我们日出口量为310万至320万桶。现在我们日出口量接近440万桶。” 阿联酋能源部长苏海勒·马兹鲁伊也于11月2日在阿布扎比国际石油展(ADIPEC)上表示,该国出口量有时已超过战前水平。
"We want the Strait of Hormuz to be open, to be respected according to international law, but we don't wait and make our country and our people hostages to others. … Before the war started on February 28th, we used to export 3.1, 3.2 million barrels a day. Now we are exporting almost 4.4." UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei also said at ADIPEC on November 2 that the country's exports had, at times, exceeded prewar levels.

该国还在投资新的出口路线、海外储油能力和航运基础设施,以增强抵御未来中断的能力。霍克赞扬阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯预判到了依赖单一海上航线的风险。“可以建设替代通道和基础设施,但那些只是冗余备份,”他说。
The country is also investing in new export routes, overseas storage capacity and shipping infrastructure to strengthen its ability to withstand future disruptions. Hochstein praised the UAE and Saudi Arabia for anticipating the risks associated with dependence on a single maritime route. "You can create alternative pathways and infrastructure, but those are redundancies," he said.
他的意思是,替代基础设施可以减轻霍尔木兹海峡中断造成的经济冲击,但无法完全取代该水道。
His point was that alternative infrastructure can reduce the economic impact of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz but cannot entirely replace the waterway.
更广泛的后果已波及国际能源市场,航运成本上升和供应中断影响的消费者远超中东地区。
The wider consequences have been felt across international energy markets, with increased shipping costs and supply disruptions affecting consumers far beyond the Middle East.
在接受福克斯新闻数字频道独家专访时,阿联酋研究中心B'huth总干事穆罕默德·巴哈伦认为,围绕霍尔木兹海峡的对抗构成了一场单独的经济战,其后果远超该地区。
In a separate exclusive interview with Fox News Digital, Mohammed Baharoon, director general of the Emirati research center B'huth, argued that the confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz amounts to a separate economic war with consequences far beyond the region.
巴哈龙说:“第三场战争是伊朗通过封锁霍尔木兹海峡对全球经济发动的战争。他们影响到了菲律宾、印度、巴西的人民,而这些国家与这场冲突毫无关系。”他认为,这场中断暴露了依赖单一航运走廊的国家的脆弱性,进一步说明有必要建设替代管道、运输网络和供应链。他说:“韧性的部分含义就是,你不能只有一个出口。”
"The third war was Iran's war on global economy by blocking the Strait of Hormuz," Baharoon said. "And they've affected people in the Philippines, in India, in Brazil that has nothing to do with this conflict." He argued that the disruption has exposed the vulnerability of countries dependent on a single shipping corridor, reinforcing the need for alternative pipelines, transportation networks and supply chains. "And part of resilience is that you will not have only one outlet," he said.

巴哈龙强调,这些投资不只是对战争的应急反应,也是加强地区互联互通的长期努力的一部分。他说:“战争可能加速了这些计划,但这些计划一直都有。”
Baharoon stressed that those investments were not simply emergency responses to the war but part of a longer-term effort to strengthen regional connectivity. "The war might have accelerated the plans, but the plans have always been there," he said.
他认为,即便霍尔木兹海峡完全重新开放,该地区仍需要更多国际贸易路线。
Even if Hormuz fully reopens, he argued, the region will still need more routes for international trade.
“我们需要更多通道,我们需要更多供应链。而且我们需要它们不仅持久、有韧性,还要有冗余。”《福克斯新闻数字版》联系白宫请求置评,但在发稿前未收到回复。
"We need more access, we'll need more supply chains. And we need them to be not only durable, resilient, but also redundant." Fox News Digital reached out to the White House for comment but did not receive a response before publication.