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特朗普暂停对伊朗打击,欧洲天然气价格触及一个月来最低点European gas prices hit 1-month lows as Trump pauses Iran strikes

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Investing.com ——欧洲批发天然气价格周二跌至一个月来的最低点,跟随整个广义能源板块的一波持续通缩浪潮,此前美国总统唐纳德·特朗普调低了对伊朗进一步军事打击的威胁,并斡旋了俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的新一轮和平谈判。

Investing.com - European wholesale natural gas prices slipped to one-month lows on Tuesday, tracking a relentless deflationary wave across the broader energy complex as U.S. President Donald Trump dialed back the threat of further military strikes against Iran and brokered fresh peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.

作为基准的荷兰产权转让设施(TTF)近期合约下跌0.45%,交投于每兆瓦时82欧元,触及一个月来的最低水平。英吉利海峡对岸的英国同类国家平衡点(NBP)合约同步下挫,跌至每热量单位205便士的一个月低点。

The benchmark Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) front-month contract dropped 0.45% to trade at 82 euros per megawatt-hour, touching its lowest level in a month. Across the Channel, the British equivalent National Balancing Point (NBP) contract moved in lockstep, tumbling to a one-month low of 205 pence per therm.

欧洲天然气期货收益率曲线的持续走低,继全球原油基准价格的又一次激进抛售之后发生,切断了整个秋季主导能源交易所的通胀反馈循环。

The continued cheapening of European forward gas curves followed another aggressive sell-off in global crude benchmarks, severing the inflationary feedback loop that had dominated energy bourses throughout the autumn.

布伦特原油期货暴跌2.39美元,跌幅达2.58%,至每桶90.18美元;美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货下跌2.11美元,跌幅达2.43%,至84.74美元。

Brent crude futures slumped $2.39, or 2.58%, to $90.18 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures dropped $2.11, or 2.43%, to $84.74.

盘中暴跌延续了石油板块历史性的清算阶段。布伦特原油自10月30日触及每桶118美元的六个月峰值以来,目前已暴跌约23%。

The intraday plunge extends a historic liquidation phase for the petroleum complex. Brent has now plummeted roughly 23% from the six-month peak of $118 a barrel it touched on October 30.

快速的通货紧缩从根本上将市场焦点从严重的供应短缺恐慌,转向了迈向新的一年之际迫在眉睫的实物供应过剩前景。

The rapid deflation has fundamentally shifted market focus from acute supply-shortage panic to the looming prospect of physical oversupply heading into the new year.

特朗普暂停对伊朗打击 从能源市场剥离地缘政治风险溢价的主要催化剂,来自华盛顿明确的言论转变。

Trump pauses Iran strikes The primary catalyst draining the geopolitical risk premium from energy markets was a distinct rhetorical pivot from Washington.

特朗普总统周二表示,他计划暂缓下令对伊朗开展新的军事进攻。采取暂缓军事行动的决定,是在中东各国直接呼吁之后作出的,其中包括卡塔尔首相参与的一场备受期待的斡旋努力。

President Trump stated on Monday that he plans to hold off on ordering new military offensives against Iran. The decision to pause kinetic action followed direct appeals from countries across the Middle East, including a highly anticipated mediation effort involving Qatar’s prime minister.

这场外交干预显著缓解了市场对波斯湾能源供应和基础设施持续中断的恐惧。

The diplomatic intervention significantly eased market fears of a sustained disruption to energy supplies and infrastructure in the Persian Gulf.

交易台此前曾担心白宫可能会在美国中期选举后升级袭击,不过随着霍尔木兹海峡附近的海上袭击使基本的供应担忧保持在视线之内,资金配置者仍在继续监控局部航运中断情况。

Trading desks had previously feared that the White House might escalate attacks following the U.S. midterm elections, though energy allocators continue to monitor localized shipping disruptions as maritime attacks near the Strait of Hormuz keep baseline supply concerns on the radar.

欧洲天然气枢纽的看跌势头因东欧意外的外交进展而进一步放大,东欧是欧洲大陆能源安全的关键焦点。

The bearish momentum across European gas hubs was further amplified by unexpected diplomatic developments in Eastern Europe, a critical focal point for continental energy security.

俄罗斯与乌克兰官员原定于周二举行美国斡旋的谈判,这是双方自2月以来的首次直接会谈。在特朗普上周暗示有可能达成广泛和平协议以结束这场历时四年半的冲突后,这一外交推动迅速成为现实。

Russian and Ukrainian officials were scheduled to meet on Tuesday for U.S.-brokered negotiations, marking their first direct talks since February. The diplomatic push materialized rapidly after Trump suggested last week that a broad peace agreement was possible to conclude the four-and-a-half-year conflict.

对于欧洲天然气和公用事业买家而言,欧洲大陆东部边境局势降级的前景大幅降低了嵌入冬季供应合约中的长期地缘政治溢价,为机构配置者提供了信心,以解除防守型对冲并允许基准价格向夏末低谷回落。

For European gas and utility buyers, the prospect of a de-escalation on the continent’s eastern border drastically reduced the long-term geopolitical premium embedded in winter supply contracts, providing institutional allocators with the confidence to unwind defensive hedges and allow benchmark prices to drift toward late-summer troughs.

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