上周，美国向国会山传递的不仅仅是一个信号——它投下了一张响亮的选票。民主党将控制第120届国会两院，众议院多数席位超过250个。蓝色浪潮席卷了特朗普总统两年前还曾赢得的选区。共和党人可以归咎于投票率、候选人或选区划分，但对明智的美国人来说，真相更简单：他们在通胀问题上输了，在对伊朗战争问题上输了，在移民问题上输了。
Last week, America sent more than a message to Capitol Hill — it delivered a resounding verdict. Democrats will control both chambers of the 120th Congress, with a House majority exceeding 250 seats. A blue tidal wave swept through districts President Trump carried just two years ago. Republicans can blame turnout, candidates or maps, but for sensible Americans, the truth is much simpler: They lost on affordability, they lost on the war in Iran, and they lost on immigration.
数字在向我们尖叫。据一项选民出口民调，63%的选民认为对伊朗采取军事行动是错误决定，近八成十人表示通胀正在给他们家庭带来困难。还有一组数据，足以让每一位保守派策略师彻夜难眠。2024年，46%的西班牙裔选民支持特朗普；在选举之夜，共和党众议院候选人仅获得了35%的支持率。24个月内下降了11个百分点。
The numbers are screaming at us. According to one exit poll, 63 percent of voters called military action against Iran the wrong decision, and nearly eight in 10 said inflation is causing hardship in their homes. Then there is the data that should keep every conservative strategist awake at night. In 2024, 46 percent of Hispanic voters supported Trump; on Election Night, Republican House candidates won just 35 percent. That is an 11-point collapse in 24 months.
看看德克萨斯州，詹姆斯·塔拉里科成为自1988年以来首位在那里赢得参议院席位的民主党人，他以压倒性优势击败了肯·帕克斯顿。在里奥格兰德河谷，那里的选区被重新划分以让共和党人获得新席位，西班牙裔家庭大幅转向民主党。即使在佛罗里达州，州长选举的胜负也仅相差1.3个百分点。顾问们不会告诉你的是：这并非对边境安全的否决。
Look at Texas, where James Talarico became the first Democrat to win a Senate seat there since 1988, defeating Ken Paxton decisively. In the Rio Grande Valley, where maps were redrawn to hand Republicans new seats, Hispanic families swung hard back toward Democrats. Even in Florida, the governor's race came down to just a 1.3-point margin. Here is what the consultants will not tell you: This was not a rejection of border security.
绝大多数明智的美国人希望每一名帮派成员、贩毒者和暴力罪犯都能尽快被驱逐出境。我也希望如此。我们的教堂也希望如此。出错的地方完全是另一回事。那个严重的错误在于，针对的是一位65岁的祖母，她在这里生活了20年，制作玉米饼或打扫房屋。她在我们的福音派教堂和天主教堂堂区礼拜。她的孩子在这里出生并长大。她从未有过停车罚单，不依赖政府福利，每周工作40到60小时。
The vast majority of commonsense Americans want every gang member, trafficker and violent criminal deported as quickly as possible. I want that. Our churches want that. What went wrong was something else entirely. The grievous error was targeting the 65-year-old grandmother who has lived here for 20 years, who makes tortillas or cleans homes. She worships in our evangelical churches and our Catholic parishes. Her children were born and raised here. She has never had a parking ticket, does not depend on government entitlements, and works 40 to 60 hours a week.
移民政策研究所发现，在美国居住超过10年的移民中，61%的驱逐行动涉及没有犯罪记录的人。在家得宝停车场和餐馆厨房进行突袭，并非美国人应有的样子。这当然也不是保守运动的核心。这是克里斯蒂·诺姆在国土安全部建立的执法机器所结出的果实，也是那些忽视西班牙裔选民的人的政治近视所致。但让我们清醒地看清发生了什么：没有西班牙裔选民，就没有可实现的保守运动。
The Migration Policy Institute found that 61 percent of deportations of immigrants with more than 10 years in this country involved people with no criminal record. Raiding Home Depot parking lots and restaurant kitchens is not who we are as Americans. It’s certainly not the heart and soul of the conservative movement. This is the fruit of the enforcement machine Kristi Noem built at the Department of Homeland Security, and of political myopia among those who neglected the Hispanic electorate. But let’s be clear-eyed about what happened: There is no attainable conservative movement without the Hispanic electorate.
西班牙裔美国人是防火墙。我们是反对社会主义和共产主义、反对对儿童的残害、反对男性参加女子体育比赛、反对反犹主义、反对无法无天和无政府状态的防火墙。但当你闯入我们的厨房、伤害我们的教堂时，就无法进入我们的心。话虽如此，仍有希望的理由。结果公布几小时后，总统在福克斯新闻频道上表示，他可以与民主党合作，包括在移民问题上。
Hispanic Americans are the firewall. We are the firewall against socialism and communism, against the mutilation of children, against men in women's sports, against antisemitism, against lawlessness and anarchy. But you cannot get into our hearts while you are invading our kitchens and harming our churches. All that being said, there is reason for hope. Within hours of the results, the president said on Fox News that he can work with Democrats, including on immigration.
这是明智之举。这也是一种承认：问题从来不在于保守的愿景，而在于执行。如果共和党人和独立思考的美国人本周真正在解读形势，他们将发现，建立持久的联盟需要提拔那些既精通我们祖母的语言，也精通我们宪法语言的领导人。而2028年的一份严肃处方，是一套在不拆散家庭的前提下保障边境安全的移民哲学。
That is wisdom. It is also an acknowledgment that the problem was never the conservative vision — it was the execution. If Republicans and independent-minded Americans are truly reading the tea leaves this week, they will discover that building a lasting coalition requires elevating leaders who are fluent in both the language of our abuelas and the language of our Constitution. And a serious prescription for 2028 is an immigration philosophy that secures the border without breaking families.
防火墙已准备就绪。问题是，该党是否准备好尊重它。塞缪尔·罗德里格斯牧师是加利福尼亚州萨克拉门托新季节教会的主任牧师，也是全国西班牙裔基督教领袖会议的主席。他曾就职于三位美国总统，是首位参加多次总统就职典礼的拉丁裔。
The firewall stands ready. The question is whether the party is ready to honor it. Rev. Samuel Rodriguez is lead pastor of New Season Church in Sacramento, Calif., and president of the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference. He has advised three U.S. presidents and is the first Latino to participate in multiple presidential inauguration ceremonies.