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伊朗革命卫队公布新地下导弹基地Iran's Revolutionary Guards unveil new underground missile site

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美国中央司令部3月5日发布的一段视频截图显示,美军称其为伊朗导弹发射车的车辆。A still from a CENTCOM video posted March 5 shows a vehicle the US military described as an Iranian missile launcher.

伊朗革命卫队周二揭晓了他们描述为一处新的地下导弹设施,并发布了高级军事指挥官参观该综合体的画面。

Iran's Revolutionary Guards unveiled what they described as a new underground missile facility on Tuesday, releasing footage of senior military commanders touring the complex.

伊朗国家媒体展示了伊朗武装部队总参谋长阿里·阿卜杜拉希和革命卫队航空航天部队司令马吉德·穆萨维参观地下综合体部分区域的画面。当局未披露该设施的位置,也未说明此次参观具体发生时间。

Iranian state media showed Ali Abdollahi, chief of staff of Iran's armed forces, and Majid Mousavi, commander of the Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Force, touring sections of the underground complex. Authorities did not disclose the facility's location or specify when the visit took place.

参观期间,阿卜杜拉希警告称,如果伊朗再次遭到攻击,其报复行动可能扩展到中东地区之外。

During the visit, Abdollahi warned that Iran could expand its retaliation beyond the Middle East if it came under renewed attack.

“如果敌人再次对我们采取行动,我们的回应将超出该地区,”他说。

"If the enemy makes another move against us, our response will extend beyond the region," he said.

革命卫队发言人侯赛因·莫赫比周六曾宣布,卫队将揭晓一处新的地下导弹设施。

IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi had announced on Saturday that the Guards would unveil a new underground missile facility.

莫赫比表示,卫队已将部分导弹生产转移至地下,以防空袭并保持战时运作。他还警告称,如果与美国和以色列的战斗加剧,伊朗可能部署此前未披露的武器。

Mohebbi said the Guards had moved some missile production underground to protect it from airstrikes and maintain operations during wartime. He also warned that Iran could deploy previously undisclosed weapons if fighting with the United States and Israel intensified.

此次宣布之际,华盛顿正在权衡对伊朗采取进一步军事行动,此前美国本月早些时候对其霍姆什岛发动了打击。

The announcement comes as Washington weighs further military action against Iran following US strikes on Qeshm Island earlier this month.

伊朗的地下导弹网络 伊朗多年来一直在发展地下导弹储存和发射设施,即其所称的“导弹城”,作为保护其武器免受空袭努力的一部分。

Iran's underground missile network Iran has spent years developing underground missile storage and launch facilities, which it calls "missile cities," as part of efforts to protect its weapons from airstrikes.

这些设施一直是以色列军事行动的目标。去年战争期间,以色列打击了伊朗的导弹发射装置、储存地点及相关基础设施,旨在削弱德黑兰发动报复攻击的能力。

The facilities have been targets of Israeli military operations. During last year’s war, Israel struck Iranian missile launchers, storage sites and associated infrastructure in an effort to weaken Tehran's ability to launch retaliatory attacks.

路透社二月审查的卫星图像显示,伊朗正在修复该冲突中受损的导弹基地,同时还在加固或隐藏敏感军事和核设施。

Satellite imagery reviewed by Reuters in February showed Iran repairing missile bases damaged during that conflict, alongside work to reinforce or conceal sensitive military and nuclear facilities.

《华尔街日报》报道,美国军方周一因伊朗威胁,将油轮和倾转旋翼机从英格兰东部的米尔登霍尔皇家空军基地撤出,这是自去年9月费尔福德皇家空军基地疑似伊朗相关阴谋以来,美国第二次精简英国基地。

The US military moved tankers and tiltrotor aircraft out of RAF Mildenhall in eastern England on Monday over a threat from Iran, the Wall Street Journal reported, the second British base it has thinned out since a suspected Iran-linked plot at RAF Fairford in September.

天空新闻报道,飞行追踪数据显示,周一下午和傍晚,九架KC-135加油机和三架V-22鱼鹰倾转旋翼机从萨福克郡米尔登霍尔起飞。大部分加油机飞往德国和西班牙的基地,一架飞往苏格兰的普雷斯特威克。鱼鹰倾转旋翼机转移到附近的莱肯希思皇家空军基地。

Flight-tracking data showed nine KC-135 refueling tankers and three V-22 Ospreys leaving Mildenhall in Suffolk on Monday afternoon and evening, Sky News reported. Most of the tankers went to bases in Germany and Spain and one to Prestwick in Scotland. The Ospreys moved to nearby RAF Lakenheath.

《华尔街日报》称,威胁的具体性质仍在美方官员之间讨论。华盛顿将米尔登霍尔和莱肯希思的安全级别提升至FPCON查理级,这是五角大楼等级中的第二高级别,适用于情报显示某种形式的恐怖行动可能发生的情况。

The exact nature of the threat was still under discussion among US officials, the Journal said. Washington raised the security level at Mildenhall and Lakenheath to FPCON Charlie, the second-highest on the Pentagon’s scale, which applies when intelligence indicates that some form of terrorist action is likely.

美国欧洲司令部表示,飞机在不同地点之间移动“出于各种原因”,且无法讨论兵力保护措施。

US European Command said aircraft move between locations “for a variety of reasons” and that it could not discuss force protection measures.

英国国防部表示,不评论其他国家的活动。内阁部长露西·鲍威尔对天空新闻表示:“我们一直在不断审查我们基地的安全状况,”“正如我们最近在其他案例中看到的,我们会在必要时采取坚决迅速的行动。”此次转移发生在六周前,即9月27日凌晨,格洛斯特郡费尔福德皇家空军基地附近警方逮捕了五名男子。当地农民报告称看到三辆白色货车和一群男子,其中一些人脸部遮盖。美国轰炸机曾使用该基地对伊朗进行打击。美国于10月4日将其全部12架B-1B轰炸机从费尔福德撤出。

Britain’s Ministry of Defense said it did not comment on other nations’ activity. “We’re constantly keeping the security of our bases under review,” cabinet minister Lucy Powell told Sky News, “and as we’ve seen with other cases recently, we take firm and quick action where we need to.”The move comes six weeks after police arrested five men in the early hours of September 27 near RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire, which US bombers used to strike Iran during the war, after a local farmer reported three white vans and a group of men, some with their faces covered. The United States pulled all 12 of its B-1B bombers from Fairford on October 4.

两名男子上月根据国家安全法被起诉。检方称,其中一人是英伊双重国籍人士,他奉一名仅被称为“阿里”的人之指示,安排这些男子驱车前往该基地,并被指控协助外国情报机构;警方表示,他们认为该国是伊朗。其余六人仍保释候审。首相安迪·伯纳姆称,该阴谋“几乎可以肯定”是由伊斯兰革命卫队指挥的。

Two men were charged last month under the National Security Act. Prosecutors said one, a British-Iranian dual national, had arranged for the men to drive to the base on the instructions of a man known only as “Ali,” and accused him of assisting a foreign intelligence service; police said they believed that country to be Iran. Six others remain on bail. Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the plot was “almost certainly” directed by the Revolutionary Guards.

伊朗驻伦敦大使否认任何参与。伊斯兰革命卫队去年7月曾警告英国,费尔福德及任何其他用于攻击伊朗的基地都将是合法目标。

Iran’s ambassador in London has denied any involvement. The Revolutionary Guards warned Britain in July that Fairford and any other base used to attack Iran would be a legitimate target.

美国中央司令部2026年11月7日发布的一张图表,概述了“铁门特遣部队”对伊朗陆地边界和里海的关注,以及现有的美国海上封锁。A graphic released by CENTCOM on November 7, 2026, outlining Task Force Iron Gate’s focus on Iran’s land borders and the Caspian Sea alongside the existing US naval blockade.

据伊拉克和伊朗媒体报道,伊朗已选定伊斯兰革命卫队圣城旅另一名指挥官阿卜杜尔礼扎·马兹加里安,担任其下一任驻伊拉克大使,延续了军事人物担任对德黑兰地区影响力至关重要的外交职务的模式。

Iran has selected Abdolreza Masgarian, another IRGC Quds Force commander, as its next ambassador to Iraq, according to Iraqi and Iranian reporting, extending a pattern of military figures holding a diplomatic post central to Tehran’s regional influence.

这位准将据称的任命,是在前外交部长穆罕默德·贾瓦德·扎里夫批评该做法的言论数周后重新浮现,他质疑为何伊朗向邻国派遣伊斯兰革命卫队海外行动部门的代表,而非外交官和商人。

The brigadier general’s reported appointment comes weeks after former foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif’s criticism of that approach resurfaced, questioning why Iran sends representatives of the Guards’ overseas operations arm to neighboring countries rather than diplomats and businesspeople.

美国政府资助的广播电视台“自由电视台”周一率先报道了这一提名,引述一名伊拉克外交部消息人士的话说,巴格达已收到马兹加里安的名字,作为穆罕默德·卡齐姆·阿勒·萨德赫的拟议继任者。

US government-funded broadcaster Al-Hurra first reported the nomination on Monday, citing an Iraqi Foreign Ministry source who said Baghdad had received Masgarian’s name as the proposed replacement for Mohammad Kazem Al-e Sadegh.

伊朗半官方伊斯兰学生新闻社首席外交政策记者阿克拉姆·埃赫加奇随后在X上发布的一篇人物简介中,将马兹加里安描述为新选定的大使,称他将在阿勒·萨德赫四年任期结束后接任。

Akram Ehghaghi, chief foreign policy correspondent for Iran’s semi-official ISNA news agency, subsequently described Masgarian as the newly selected ambassador in a profile posted on X, saying he would succeed Al-e Sadegh after his four-year tenure.

伊拉克媒体“沙法克新闻”另引述一名知情人士的话说,马兹加里安将以其全名阿卜杜尔礼扎·诺巴赫特于2027年初履新。

Iraqi outlet Shafaq News separately cited an informed source as saying Masgarian would take up the post at the beginning of 2027 under his full name, Abdolreza Nobakht.

伊朗尚未正式确认该任命。“自由电视台”称,两国外交部均未宣布这一提名。

Iran has not yet officially confirmed the appointment. Al-Hurra said neither country’s foreign ministry had announced the nomination.

据报道,马斯加里安的职责已使他处于伊朗与伊拉克在军事、政治和外交事务上的交汇点。

Masgarian’s reported responsibilities already place him at the intersection of Iran’s military, political and diplomatic dealings with Iraq.

据自由电视台报道,他负责德黑兰、巴格达和埃尔比勒之间的联合安全协调,此前曾负责伊朗与伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区之间的安全协调。

According to Al-Hurra, he oversees joint security coordination between Tehran, Baghdad and Erbil, having previously handled security coordination between Iran and Iraq’s Kurdistan Region.

美国倡导团体“反对核伊朗”将其认定为伊朗革命卫队斋月总部指挥官,其职责包括与伊拉克什叶派武装派别协调。

The US advocacy group United Against Nuclear Iran has identified him as commander of the IRGC’s Ramadan Headquarters, with responsibilities that include coordinating with Iraqi Shiite armed factions.

埃格奇的叙述强调了他长期参与伊拉克事务以及与该国政治光谱各方的关系。

Ehghaghi’s account emphasized his longstanding involvement in Iraqi affairs and his relationships across the country’s political spectrum.

她称他是来自伊朗西部城市克尔曼沙的库尔德人,与库尔德官员关系密切,他对伊拉克的详细了解是其被选中的原因之一。

She described him as a Kurd from the western Iranian city of Kermanshah with close ties to Kurdish officials, saying his detailed knowledge of Iraq was among the reasons for his selection.

外交接触已经开展。这些联系在周日展现出来,据埃格奇称,马斯加里安当天访问了埃尔比勒,并会见了库尔德斯坦地区总统内奇尔万·巴尔扎尼。

Diplomatic outreach already underway Those contacts were on display on Sunday, when, according to Ehghaghi, Masgarian visited Erbil and met Kurdistan Region President Nechirvan Barzani.

巴尔扎尼办公室确认了11月8日与一个伊朗代表团的会面,尽管其发布的会谈纪要没有提及马斯加里安的名字。会谈内容涉及与伊朗的关系、安全合作以及涉及巴格达和库尔德斯坦地区的安全协议。双方都强调外交和和平解决争端的方式。

Barzani’s office confirmed a meeting with an Iranian delegation on November 8, although its published readout did not name Masgarian. It said discussions covered relations with Iran, security cooperation and security agreements involving Baghdad and the Kurdistan Region. Both sides emphasized diplomacy and peaceful approaches to resolving disputes.

据报道的选举将延续德黑兰的做法,即派驻具有伊拉克经验的指挥官担任驻巴格达大使,在那里,与中央政府的关系与与库尔德领导人和伊朗支持的武装团体的联系相互交织。

The reported selection would continue Tehran’s practice of assigning commanders with experience in Iraq to its embassy in Baghdad, where relations with the central government overlap with ties to Kurdish leaders and Iran-backed armed groups.

一位著名的前任是伊拉杰·马斯杰迪,他是圣城军高级军官,也是该部队前指挥官卡西姆·苏莱曼尼的亲密顾问。

One prominent predecessor, Iraj Masjedi, was a senior Quds Force officer and close adviser to its former commander, Qassem Soleimani.

美国财政部于2020年10月在马杰迪担任大使期间对其实施制裁,指控他监督对伊拉克民兵组织的支持,并利用其外交职务为圣城军的资金转移提供便利。这些指控说明了华盛顿的担忧,即该大使馆在履行外交职能的同时,还服务于军事网络。扎里夫的批评针对这类任命背后的思路。

The US Treasury sanctioned Masjedi while he was ambassador in October 2020, accusing him of overseeing support for Iraqi militias and using his diplomatic position to facilitate financial transfers for the Quds Force. Those allegations illustrated Washington’s concern that the embassy served military networks alongside its diplomatic functions. Zarif’s criticism addressed the thinking behind such appointments.

在一段2025年演讲的录像中,该录像上个月再次流传,他主张,将邻国主要视为安全威胁,既影响了伊朗大使的选择,也影响了其所追求的关系。

In footage from a 2025 speech that circulated again last month, he argued that treating neighboring countries primarily as security threats shaped both Iran’s choice of ambassadors and the relationships it pursued.

“为什么我们在阿富汗、叙利亚和伊拉克的大使是圣城军的代表?”他问道。“因为我们把它们视为威胁。”他主张,以机遇为中心的做法将倾向于支持商人和外交官,使经济合作在伊朗的地区政策中发挥更大作用。

“Why are our ambassadors in Afghanistan, Syria and Iraq representatives of the Quds Force?” he asked. “Because we see them as threats.”He argued that an approach centered on opportunities would instead favor businesspeople and diplomats, allowing economic cooperation to play a larger role in Iran’s regional policy.

这些言论引发了强硬派《凯汉报》的愤怒回应,该报指责他破坏伊朗的安全机构,并帮助华盛顿。扎里夫于2013年至2021年担任外交部长,他一直为伊朗的地区军事能力辩护,同时主张更多依赖外交和经济联系。

The remarks drew an angry response from the hardline Kayhan newspaper, which accused him of undermining Iran’s security institutions and helping Washington. Zarif, who served as foreign minister from 2013 to 2021, has defended Iran’s regional military capabilities while advocating greater reliance on diplomacy and economic ties.

据报道,巴格达的这一变动也发生在美方努力限制伊朗通过伊拉克进入贸易路线之际。

The reported change in Baghdad also comes amid friction over US efforts to restrict Iran’s access to trade routes through Iraq.

《自由电视台》将此次提名与伊拉克10月21日关闭迈桑省谢布边境口岸后的紧张局势联系起来。此前,该电视台曾援引伊拉克政府消息人士的话报道称,阿勒-萨迪格正鼓动部落领袖向巴格达施压,要求重新开放该口岸。

Al-Hurra linked the nomination to tensions following Iraq’s October 21 closure of the al-Sheeb border crossing in Maysan province. It previously cited Iraqi government sources alleging that Al-e Sadegh was encouraging tribal leaders to pressure Baghdad to reopen it.

然而,埃格吉将此次继任描述为现任大使任期届满。两种说法都未能证实边境争端促使其被替换。

Ehghaghi, however, presented the succession as the end of the incumbent’s term. Neither account establishes that the border dispute prompted his replacement.

伊朗周一表示愿意谈判,结束其与美国的对抗,但坚持华盛顿必须首先解除自伊斯兰堡谅解以来实施的措施,因为围绕核活动和霍尔木兹海峡控制权的争端仍在继续。

Iran signaled a willingness to negotiate an end to its confrontation with the United States on Monday, but insisted Washington must first lift measures imposed since the Islamabad understanding, as disputes over nuclear activities and control of the Strait of Hormuz continued.

总统马苏德·佩泽什基安表示,前最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊已指示官员结束该国长期处于战争与和平之间的不确定状态,为谈判敞开大门。

President Masoud Pezeshkian said former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had instructed officials to end the country's prolonged state of uncertainty between war and peace, opening the door to negotiations.

“最高领袖命令我们结束‘不战不和’的局面,”佩泽什基安说。“我们可以以尊严进行谈判,并以尊严结束此事。”总统还呼吁改变伊朗的治理方式,称该国的资源不应让民众为满足基本需求而苦苦挣扎。“我无法接受该国任何人挨饿睡觉,”佩泽什基安说。

"The supreme leader ordered us to end the no-war, no-peace situation," Pezeshkian said. "We can hold talks with dignity and bring the matter to an end with dignity." The president also called for changes in how Iran is governed, saying the country's resources should not leave its people struggling to meet basic needs. "I cannot accept that anyone in the country goes to bed hungry," Pezeshkian said.

伊朗为两天期提议设定条件 总统的言论发表之际,外交部阐述了一项拟议外交安排的条件,称该安排可在两天内恢复地区安全。

Iran sets conditions for two-day proposal The president's remarks came as the foreign ministry outlined conditions for a proposed diplomatic arrangement that it said could restore regional security within two days.

外交部发言人埃斯梅尔·巴盖伊表示,如果华盛顿解除自伊斯兰堡谅解以来实施的制裁、海上封锁和其他措施,伊朗将履行该提议下的承诺。

Iran would fulfill its commitments under the proposal if Washington lifted sanctions, the naval blockade and other measures imposed since the Islamabad understanding, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said.

巴盖伊表示,该提议是早先七天期计划的缩短版,并补充说卡塔尔和巴基斯坦仍与双方保持定期联系。

The proposal was a shortened version of an earlier seven-day plan, Baghaei said, adding that Qatar and Pakistan remained in regular contact with both sides.

这些要求与美国国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥将伊朗条款描述为不可接受后的华盛顿立场形成鲜明对比。巴盖伊驳斥了批评,并指责华盛顿对谈判施加不合理的条件。

The demands drew a sharp contrast with Washington's position after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described Iran's terms as unacceptable. Baghaei rejected the criticism and accused Washington of imposing unreasonable conditions on negotiations.

“我们已非常明确,如果美国满足伊斯兰共和国的要求,安全将在两天内回到该地区,”巴盖伊说。

"We have made it very clear that if the United States meets the Islamic Republic's demands, security will return to the region within two days," Baghaei said.

核争议仍未解决。伊朗不会将其浓缩铀转移到国外,且在现有条件下,对美国袭击造成损坏的核设施进行检查无法进行,巴盖伊在接受黎巴嫩“梅亚丁”电视台采访时如是说。

Nuclear disputes remain unresolved Iran will not transfer its enriched uranium abroad, and inspections of nuclear facilities damaged by US attacks cannot proceed under existing conditions, Baghaei said separately in an interview with Lebanon's Al Mayadeen television.

发言人表示,国际原子能机构检查员数天前曾访问布什尔核电站,伊朗仍与联合国核监督机构保持联系。不过,他辩称,袭击使伊朗履行保障监督义务的能力变得复杂。这些言论与伊朗议员们关于该国核能力和未来政策的评论相吻合。

The spokesman said International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors had visited the Bushehr nuclear power plant several days earlier and that Iran remained in contact with the UN nuclear watchdog. However, he argued that the attacks had complicated Iran's ability to fulfill its safeguards obligations. The remarks coincided with comments from Iranian lawmakers about the country's nuclear capabilities and future policy.

埃斯迈尔·库萨里表示,美国在为期12天的战争中,对福尔多、纳坦兹和伊斯法罕核设施附近的地上建筑造成了破坏,但并未损坏离心机或浓缩至60%的铀。

Esmail Kowsari said US strikes during the 12-day war had destroyed aboveground buildings near nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan but had not damaged centrifuges or uranium enriched to 60%.

另一位议员哈米德雷扎·古达尔齐认为,伊朗应当拥有核武器以威慑未来威胁,同时承认,该国核学说的变更决定权掌握在高层当局手中。

Another lawmaker, Hamidreza Gudarzi, argued that Iran should acquire nuclear weapons to deter future threats, while acknowledging that decisions on changes to the country's nuclear doctrine rested with senior authorities.

霍尔木兹海峡争端与地区外交。核问题之外,伊朗和美国继续就霍尔木兹海峡的安全局势存在分歧。伊斯兰革命卫队否认美军已清除该战略水道中的任何水雷。

Hormuz dispute and regional diplomacy Beyond the nuclear issue, Iran and the United States continued to dispute the security situation in the Strait of Hormuz. The Revolutionary Guards denied that US forces had cleared any naval mines from the strategic waterway.

“霍尔木兹海峡没有清除任何战争水雷,这一说法完全是谎言,”伊斯兰革命卫队发言人侯赛因·莫赫比表示。这一分歧发生在地区各国政府寻求防止进一步军事升级之际。

"No war mines have been cleared from the Strait of Hormuz, and this claim is an outright lie," Revolutionary Guards spokesperson Hossein Mohebi said. The disagreement came as regional governments sought to prevent further military escalation.

土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安表示,他在最近与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的一次电话通话中告诉对方,安卡拉反对再次对伊朗发动袭击,并支持外交解决方案。

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he had told US President Donald Trump during a recent telephone conversation that Ankara opposed another round of attacks on Iran and favored a diplomatic solution.

阿拉伯联合酋长国也警告称,华盛顿与德黑兰之间达成全面解决方案仍然困难。

The United Arab Emirates also warned that a comprehensive settlement between Washington and Tehran remained difficult.

战争的后果可能持续数年,需要更强的国防能力和持续的外交接触,阿联酋总统顾问安瓦尔·加尔加什表示。

The consequences of the war could persist for years, requiring stronger defense capabilities and sustained diplomatic engagement, UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said.

中国开展了自身的外交接触,特别代表翟俊在包括阿曼和沙特阿拉伯在内的地区之行中,会见了伊朗安全官员阿里·巴盖里·卡尼。北京强调,日益扩大的中东冲突无法通过军事力量解决。

China pursued its own diplomatic contacts, with special envoy Zhai Jun meeting Iranian security official Ali Bagheri Kani during a regional tour that also includes Oman and Saudi Arabia. Beijing emphasized that the widening Middle East conflict could not be resolved through military force.

周一的事态发展使伊朗和美国对结束对抗的条件表达出截然不同的立场,核争端、制裁和海上安全仍然是谈判达成和解的核心障碍。

Monday's developments left Iran and the United States expressing sharply different conditions for ending their confrontation, with nuclear disputes, sanctions and maritime security remaining central obstacles to a negotiated settlement.

“铁门”特遣队是一支新的美国团队,旨在打击跨越伊朗陆地边境和里海的武器运输及其他非法流动,可能无法完全封锁伊朗的北部供应路线,但可能使德黑兰所需的武器和装备更难获得。

Task Force Iron Gate, a new US team targeting weapons shipments and other illicit flows across Iran’s land borders and the Caspian Sea, may not fully close Iran’s northern supply routes but could make the arms and equipment Tehran needs harder to obtain.

成功与否,与其说取决于华盛顿追踪货运的能力,不如说取决于说服政府、银行和供应商停止这些货运。

Success will depend less on Washington’s ability to track shipments than on persuading governments, banks and suppliers to stop them.

根据美国中央司令部11月7日的公告,“铁门”特遣队由大约20名平民和军事人员组成,驻扎在坦帕,与其他美国机构协调。

According to CENTCOM’s November 7 announcement, Iron Gate consists of roughly 20 civilian and military personnel based in Tampa, coordinating with other US agencies.

此举紧随美国中央司令部估计已阻止超过250亿美元原油出口的海上封锁之后,这使德黑兰更有动力发展替代供应路线。

It follows a naval blockade that CENTCOM estimates has prevented more than $25 billion in crude exports, giving Tehran greater incentive to develop alternative supply routes.

该特遣队增加了协调能力,但其公告并未透露在里海登船检查或进入邻国港口的新授权。

The task force adds coordination capacity, but its announcement offers no indication of new authority to board vessels in the Caspian or access neighboring countries’ ports.

华盛顿的影响力在于上游。一份6月份的战略与国际研究中心评估认为,伊朗需要进口机床、电子产品和发动机来重建其军事工业。该评估指出,里海和巴基斯坦可能是阿联酋采购渠道中断后的替代选择。

Washington’s leverage lies upstream A June CSIS assessment argues that Iran needs imported machine tools, electronics and engines to rebuild its military industries. It identifies the Caspian and Pakistan as possible alternatives to disrupted procurement through the United Arab Emirates.

华盛顿最强的筹码可能在于那些货物抵达该地区之前的供应商。与欧洲有客户或能获得美国融资的分销商,比已经受制裁的伊朗航运公司有更多需要失去的东西。

Washington’s strongest leverage may lie with suppliers before those goods reach the region. A distributor with customers in Europe or access to American finance has more to lose than an Iranian shipping company already under sanctions.

找到该分销商,并向其政府提供禁止销售的证据,可能比追踪运载货物的船只取得更多成效。

Finding that distributor and giving its government evidence of a prohibited sale may achieve more than tracking the vessel carrying the goods.

2024年9月,美国国务院指定了俄罗斯航运公司,并认定某些船只将伊朗军事装备经里海运往俄罗斯。

In September 2024, the State Department designated Russian shipping companies and identified vessels it said transported Iranian military equipment across the Caspian to Russia.

这些措施针对的是离开伊朗而非进入伊朗的供应,但提供了执法先例。它们可以曝光供应商,劝阻企业处理其货物,而对那些船东和东道国政府愿意承担后果的运营商,则影响力较小。

Those measures targeted supplies leaving Iran rather than entering it, but provide an enforcement precedent. They can expose suppliers and discourage businesses from handling their cargo, while offering less leverage over operators whose owners and host governments accept the consequences.

Iron Gate更好的机会在于伊朗难以替换的设备。一家等待关键部件的工厂,即使在食品进口增长的情况下,也可能长期闲置。

Iron Gate’s better opportunity lies in equipment Iran struggles to replace. A factory awaiting an essential component may remain idle even while food imports grow.

这一区别很重要:限制军事采购不需要切断普通商业,贸易量上升也不一定意味着特遣部队失败了。

The distinction matters: restricting military procurement does not require closing ordinary commerce, and rising trade volumes would not necessarily mean the task force had failed.

俄罗斯的角色限制了美国的选择。俄罗斯是最棘手的问题。其与伊朗的军事关系给莫斯科提供了保持运输连接畅通的理由,限制了华盛顿在一条主要北线上争取合作的前景。

Russia’s role limits US options Russia poses the hardest problem. Its military relationship with Iran gives Moscow reasons to keep transport connections open, limiting Washington’s prospects of securing cooperation along a major northern route.

Nikita Smagin在为约克镇研究所撰写的一份10月分析中描述了里海商业的扩张,以及航运短缺、港口限制和运费上升的情况。

In an October analysis for the Yorktown Institute, Nikita Smagin describes expanding Caspian commerce alongside shipping shortages, port limitations and rising freight costs.

该走廊为德黑兰提供了喘息之机,但缺乏取代其南部门户的能力。这并不意味着它不能运输较小数量的军事重要设备和部件。

The corridor offers Tehran relief but lacks the capacity to replace its southern gateways. That does not mean it cannot carry smaller volumes of militarily important equipment and components.

这些限制可能使单批货物更容易受到中断的影响。它们也使任何执法评估变得复杂:拥堵、浅水和季节性条件都可能延误交付,而无需美国干预。

These constraints could make individual shipments more vulnerable to disruption. They also complicate any assessment of enforcement: congestion, shallow water and seasonal conditions can slow deliveries without American intervention.

如果其他供应商撤出而俄罗斯路线保持开放,压力可能使德黑兰更加依赖莫斯科。

Pressure could leave Tehran more reliant on Moscow if other suppliers withdraw while Russian routes stay open.

伊朗的谈判空间将随之缩小,而华盛顿希望削弱的军事伙伴关系可能得以幸存。经济依赖和军事供应不一定会朝着华盛顿期望的方向发展。

Iran would then have less room to bargain, while the military partnership Washington hopes to weaken could survive. Economic dependence and military supply would not necessarily move in the direction Washington intends.

邻国需要不同的交易。哈萨克斯坦说明了金融压力与区域运输雄心之间的张力。五月,副总理塞里克·朱曼加林表示,付款风险已使与伊朗的合同搁浅。

Neighbors need different bargains Kazakhstan illustrates the tension between financial pressure and regional transport ambitions. In May, Deputy Prime Minister Serik Jumangarin said payment risks had stalled contracts with Iran.

一个月后,哈萨克斯坦签署了一项协议,在伊朗的沙希德·拉贾伊港建立一个物流终端。

A month later, Kazakhstan signed an agreement for a logistics terminal at Iran’s Shahid Rajaee port.

尽管该港位于伊朗南部海岸,但该项目表明阿斯塔纳有意保持通过伊朗的运输联系。金融压力可能会阻止贸易商,即使他们的政府正在追求更紧密的联系。

Although the port is on Iran’s southern coast, the project demonstrates Astana’s wider interest in maintaining transport links through Iran. Financial pressure can discourage traders even while their government pursues closer connections.

因此,华盛顿可能对特定被禁止的交易有更多影响力,而非对哈萨克斯坦维持这些联系的更广泛承诺。

Washington may therefore have more influence over specific prohibited transactions than over Kazakhstan’s broader commitment to those links.

阿塞拜疆于2026年3月5日暂停了货物通行,此前该国指责伊朗在其领土发动无人机袭击,随后于3月9日重新开放。

Azerbaijan suspended cargo crossings on March 5, 2026, after accusing Iran of a drone attack on its territory, then reopened them on March 9.

那次事件是一场安全争端,而非制裁执法测试,因此不能确定巴库将如何回应美国的请求。

That episode was a security dispute rather than a sanctions-enforcement test, so it does not establish how Baku would respond to US requests.

尽管如此,短暂的关闭仍警示不要假设阿塞拜疆会持续中断广泛的贸易。对特定可疑货物进行检查的请求,可能比要求无限期关闭一条主要路线的要求更有希望。

The brief closure nevertheless cautions against assuming Azerbaijan would sustain a broad interruption of trade. Requests to inspect specific suspect shipments may have better prospects than demands to shut a major route indefinitely.

土库曼斯坦也认为保持伊朗航线畅通具有价值。其外交部报告称,2025年9月举行了关于增加过境货运和发展中国—哈萨克斯坦—土库曼斯坦—伊朗铁路的会谈。

Turkmenistan also sees value in keeping Iranian routes open. Its foreign ministry reported talks in September 2025 on increasing transit cargo and developing the China–Kazakhstan–Turkmenistan–Iran railway.

这些项目并非不当行为的证据,但有助于解释为什么阿什哈巴德可能抵制全面限制。

These projects are not evidence of wrongdoing, but they help explain why Ashgabat might resist sweeping restrictions.

基于确凿证据要求停止武器运输的请求可能会得到更积极的回应,尽管特遣组的公告并未表明土库曼斯坦已同意合作。

Requests to stop weapons shipments backed by clear evidence may find a more receptive audience, although the task force announcement offers no indication that Turkmenistan has agreed to cooperate.

关键在于军事生产。伊朗买家更容易更换中介,而非替代稀缺设备或技术专长。执法应追踪这些依赖关系,而非仅仅将名字加入制裁名单。

The test is military production Iranian buyers can change intermediaries more easily than they can replace scarce equipment or technical expertise. Enforcement needs to follow those dependencies rather than simply add names to sanctions lists.

成功的有用衡量标准包括有记录的采购失败、付款中断、关键部件等待时间延长以及被拦截的违禁运输。最终考验是这些障碍是否会限制伊朗军事生产的恢复。

Useful measures of success would include documented procurement failures, interrupted payments, longer waits for critical components and confirmed interceptions of prohibited shipments. The ultimate test is whether those obstacles constrain the restoration of Iranian military production.

铁门行动最好的机会在于限制难以替代的军事投入品,同时争取邻国政府能够持续的合作。

Iron Gate’s best chance lies in restricting difficult-to-replace military inputs while securing cooperation neighboring governments can sustain.

否则,华盛顿可能会使贸易更加繁琐,并让伊朗更加依赖俄罗斯,同时仍保留其基本的军事供应关系。

Otherwise, Washington risks making trade more cumbersome—and Iran more dependent on Russia—while leaving its essential military supply relationships intact.

伊朗革命卫队周日警告船只不要与美军合作,此前该组织报告称霍尔木兹海峡有三艘油轮起火,而胡塞武装袭击了沙特阿拉伯,以色列则警告称针对伊朗的行动尚未结束。

Iran's Revolutionary Guards warned ships against cooperating with US forces after reporting three tankers on fire in the Strait of Hormuz, while Houthis targeted Saudi Arabia and Israel warned of unfinished operations against Iran on Sunday.

革命卫队称,三艘油轮在霍尔木兹海峡走他们描述为未经授权的航线后起火。

The Revolutionary Guards said three oil tankers caught fire after taking what they described as an unauthorized route through the Strait of Hormuz.

卫队将火灾与船只关闭导航和识别系统并与美军合作联系起来,警告称违反过境规则并陪同美军的船只将面临类似后果。

The Guards linked the fires to vessels disabling their navigation and identification systems and cooperating with US forces, warning that ships defying transit rules and accompanying the US military would face similar consequences.

英国海事贸易行动中心分别报告称,一艘油轮在周六驶出海峡时遭到不明弹射物击中。所有船员均安全,未报告环境损害。

The UK Maritime Trade Operations center separately reported that a tanker was struck by an unknown projectile while sailing outbound through the strait on Saturday. All crew members were safe, and no environmental damage was reported.

英国海事贸易行动中心还接到另一艘油轮在阿曼穆桑达姆半岛附近起火的报告,导致船员撤离。当局正在调查这两起报告。

UKMTO also received a report of another tanker catching fire near Oman's Musandam Peninsula, prompting the evacuation of its crew. Authorities were investigating both reports.

胡塞武装对沙特阿拉伯的袭击 沙特领导的联盟部队拦截了两枚也门胡塞武装发射的、飞往利雅得的弹道导弹,随后又拦截了两枚瞄准利雅得和沙特南部的巡航导弹,这是联盟声明所说的。联盟还报告称拦截了一架瞄准王国南部地区的胡塞武装无人机。

Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia Saudi-led coalition forces intercepted two ballistic missiles launched toward Riyadh by Yemen's Houthis, followed by two cruise missiles targeting Riyadh and southern Saudi Arabia, according to coalition statements. The coalition also reported intercepting a Houthi drone aimed at the kingdom's southern region.

沙特能源部表示,坠落的碎片损坏了利雅得的一家阿美行政大楼,未造成人员伤亡。路透社报道称,该大楼多层窗户被震碎。

Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry said falling debris damaged an Aramco administrative building in Riyadh without causing casualties. Reuters reported that windows were blown out across several floors of the building.

路透社援引目击者和知情人士的话报道称,利雅得阿卜杜拉国王金融区另一座塔楼也遭到弹射物损坏。

A separate tower in Riyadh's King Abdullah Financial District was also damaged by a projectile, Reuters reported, citing witnesses and people briefed on the matter.

胡塞武装后来宣布,他们瞄准了沙特首都的哈立德国王国际机场、沙特阿美石油储罐和一个金融中心。

The Houthis later announced that they had targeted King Khalid International Airport, Saudi Aramco oil storage tanks and a financial center in the Saudi capital.

以色列就核活动警告伊朗 以色列国防部长以色列·卡茨表示,该国针对伊朗核威胁的行动尚未完成,坚称德黑兰正在重新努力获取核武器。

Israel warns Iran over nuclear activities Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz said the country's mission against Iran's nuclear threat was not yet complete, maintaining that Tehran was renewing efforts to acquire nuclear weapons.

“关于伊朗,行动尚未完成,”卡茨在为参加卡迪什行动阵亡士兵举行的纪念仪式上表示。

"Regarding Iran, the mission is not yet complete," Katz said at a memorial ceremony for soldiers killed in Operation Kadesh.

卡茨还警告真主党不要加入可能针对以色列的伊朗袭击,称该组织将面临严厉的军事回应并失去更多领土。伊朗军方官员也发出了警告。

Katz also warned Hezbollah against joining a possible Iranian attack on Israel, saying the group would face a severe military response and lose additional territory. Iranian military officials issued warnings of their own.

伊斯兰革命卫队航空航天部队的一名顾问表示,伊朗拥有足够的武器储备,可自卫数年,并继续对外国军事装备进行逆向工程。

An adviser to the Revolutionary Guards' aerospace force said Iran had sufficient weapons reserves to defend itself for years and was continuing to reverse-engineer foreign military equipment.

阿里·巴拉利警告称,伊朗对手的任何举动都将引发“毁灭性回应”,并补充说该国武装部队“手指已扣在扳机上”。另据报道,伊斯兰革命卫队发言人侯赛因·莫赫比驳斥了美国一项旨在限制用于转移武器和受制裁货品的陆路通道的新倡议。

Ali Balali warned that any move by Iran's adversaries would trigger a "devastating response," adding that the country's armed forces had "their fingers on the trigger." Separately, Revolutionary Guards spokesman Hossein Mohebi dismissed a new US initiative to restrict overland routes used to transfer weapons and sanctioned goods.

莫赫比表示,美国中央司令部设立的“铁门特遣部队”无法将伊朗与其邻国隔离开来。

Mohebi said Task Force Iron Gate, established by US Central Command, would fail to isolate Iran from its neighbors.

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