卫星图像分析显示，伊朗似乎正在其至少两处主要导弹基地附近进行大规模新建工程，并修复因数月来美以空袭而受损的基地。
Iran appears to be undertaking significant new construction near at least two of its major missile sites and repairing bases damaged by months of US and Israeli air strikes, analysis of satellite images suggests.
英国情报公司 MAIAR 的分析师在接受 BBC Verify 采访时表示，11 月拍摄的卫星图像显示，在首都德黑兰附近卡拉季的加尔姆达雷军事基地，以及北部的沙赫鲁德基地，均可见挖掘痕迹和新建筑物。
Evidence of digging and new buildings are visible in satellite imagery taken in November at the Garmdareh military base in Karaj near the capital Tehran and the Shahroud base in the north, analysts at British intelligence company MAIAR, who reviewed the photos, told BBC Verify.
至少还有 12 处军事设施（包括导弹基地和空军基地）似乎显示出维修迹象。位于伊朗西部、靠近伊拉克边境的克尔曼沙赫导弹基地，已在被毁建筑上加盖新屋顶；位于首都以东的帕尔钦军事综合体——尽管多次遭空袭仍反复修复——已清理受损建筑和废墟。
At least 12 other military sites, including missile complexes and air bases, appear to show signs of repairs. New roofs have been built on destroyed buildings at the Kermanshah missile base in western Iran, near the border with Iraq, while damaged buildings and debris have been cleared at the Parchin military complex - which has been repeatedly repaired despite a succession of air strikes - east of the capital.
曾专注于伊朗问题的前中情局分析师吉姆·兰姆森表示，沙赫鲁德附近的挖掘工作可能与导弹生产有关。他说，由于沙赫鲁德附近的空军基地近年来多次成为袭击目标，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队（IRGC）很可能正试图寻找将生产设施转移至地下的方法。
The excavations near Shahroud could potentially be related to the production of missiles, said Jim Lamson, a former CIA analyst who focused on Iran. He said that because the nearby air base at Shahroud has been targeted multiple times in recent years, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) is probably trying to find ways to move its production facilities underground.
MAIAR 分析师指出，伊朗“有一种将基础设施转移地下以防止进一步打击的模式”。国防分析师、爱尔兰军方前负责人马克·梅利特表示，建设地下设施还有一个额外好处，即让“外部观察者更难评估其规模和作战状态”。
A MAIAR analyst noted that Iran has "a pattern of moving infrastructure underground to protect them from further strikes". Mark Mellett, a defence analyst and former head of the Irish military, said the construction of underground facilities had the added benefit of making it "harder for outside observers to assess the extent and operational status".
近几周，关于美国可能在本周早些时候举行的中期选举后恢复对伊朗的攻击的猜测不断升温。但副总统JD·万斯周三援引选民对战争的反感来解释共和党在本周选举中的糟糕表现，称这可能让共和党在“未来6年”失去对参议院的控制权。
Speculation has mounted in recent weeks that the US could resume attacks on Iran after the midterm elections held earlier this week. But on Wednesday Vice-President JD Vance cited the war's unpopularity with voters for the Republicans' poor performance in this week's poll, saying that it may have cost his party control of the Senate "for the next 6 years".
在全国多个基地，伊朗部队一直专注于对自美以战争爆发以来遭空袭重创的设施进行小规模修复。
At multiple bases across the country, Iranian forces have focused on carrying-out small-scale repairs to complexes which have been heavily damaged by air strikes since the start of the US-Israeli war.
分析人士称，卫星图像显示，帕尔钦军事基地的塔勒干2号设施已完成大规模建设，受损建筑已被夷平，地下掩体遭袭后的后果已得到修复并用混凝土加固。
Analysts said that satellite images appear to show that significant construction has been completed at the Taleghan 2 facility at the Parchin military complex, with damaged buildings levelled and the aftermath of attacks on an underground bunker repaired and reinforced with concrete.
在卡拉杰和沙赫鲁德，卫星图像显示有大规模挖掘活动。在卡拉杰，卫星图像中可见多辆车辆，附近的空军基地似乎也进行了改进。
At Karaj and Shahroud, satellite images appear to show significant excavation. At Karaj, multiple vehicles were visible in satellite images, while improvements appear to have been carried out to the nearby airbase.
外交政策研究所（FPRI）研究分析师萨姆·莱尔表示，卡拉杰的图像似乎显示“一个地下设施的新入口”，该所一直在深入研究伊朗设施的最新动态。
The images from Karaj appear to show "a new portal for an underground facility", says Sam Lair, research analyst at the Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI), which has looked extensively into recent developments at Iranian sites.
情报公司Janes的分析师肖恩·奥康纳表示，这些建设工作不太可能是欺骗外国情报机构的努力的一部分。他说，这样的项目“成本高昂，收效甚微”。
The construction work is unlikely to be part of an effort to deceive foreign intelligence agencies, said Sean O'Connor, an analyst with the intelligence firm Janes. He said such a project "would be costly and may achieve little".
此前白宫曾多次保证美以袭击已耗尽伊朗武装力量，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将其斥为“一团糟、彻底的烂摊子”。
The developments come after repeated assurances from the White House that US-Israeli attacks have depleted the Iranian armed forces, which US President Donald Trump dismissed as a "complete and total mess".
五角大楼发言人此前表示，美国已“摧毁伊朗多达90%的无人机、弹道导弹和海军工业基础”，并“严重削弱”了该国发动无人机和导弹袭击的能力。
A Pentagon spokesperson previously said that the US had "destroyed up to 90% of Iran's drone, ballistic missile, and naval industrial base" and "significantly degraded" the country's ability to launch drone and missile attacks.
但伊朗声称其仍保留大量导弹库存，而本周国营电视台播出的画面声称显示，数十枚导弹位于伊朗南部一处地下设施的入口处。早在8月，国营电视台的画面也声称显示，“霍尔达德”防空导弹从南部城市阿巴斯港附近的一条隧道中驶出。
But Iran claims it retains large stockpiles of missiles, and footage broadcast on state TV this week claimed to show dozens of missiles at the entrance to an underground facility in southern Iran. Back in August, state TV footage also claimed to show Khordad surface-to-air missiles emerging out of a tunnel near the southern city of Bandar Abbas.
MAIAR的一名分析师还在圣城库姆附近的隧道入口外发现了新的建设和挖掘活动，该地靠近福尔多地下铀浓缩设施，该设施曾多次遭到美国和以色列的轰炸。
A MAIAR analyst also identified new construction and excavations outside tunnel entrances near the city of Qom, close to the Fordo underground uranium enrichment complex, which has been bombed by both the US and Israel multiple times.
国际战略研究中心（CSIS）国际安全项目的军事分析师马克·坎西安表示，与军事资产相关的活动将表明，德黑兰正在为美国和以色列的进一步袭击做准备。
Activity related to military assets would show that Tehran is bracing itself for further attacks by the US and Israel, said Mark Cancian, a military analyst with International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
他说：“目的是为了更好地防御未来的袭击。这也表明，重建军事能力而非振兴经济被置于优先地位。”您想让BBC核查组调查什么？
"The purpose is to better defend itself against future attacks," he said. "It also indicates a priority on rebuilding military capability rather than rehabilitating the economy." What do you want BBC Verify to investigate?
