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斯蒂芬·米勒中期选举后的重点:MAGA与男性Stephen Miller's post-midterm focus: MAGA and men

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11月6日,白宫办公厅主任斯蒂芬·米勒出现在佛罗里达州棕榈滩国际机场的总统专车内。照片:Alex Wroblewski/AFP via Getty ImagesWhite House Chief of Staff Stephen Miller is seen in the presidential limousine at Palm Beach International Airport in Florida. on Nov. 6. Photo: Alex Wroblewski/AFP via Getty Images

Stephen Miller 计划利用其新任白宫幕僚长职务,向2024年帮助特朗普当选总统但随后在中间选举中转向民主党的青年男性和少数族裔男性争取支持,两名熟悉白宫计划的人士告诉 Axios。

Stephen Miller wants to use his new role as White House chief of staff to win back young and minority men who helped elect President Trump in 2024 but swung toward Democrats in the midterms, two people familiar with the administration's plans tell Axios.

为何重要: Miller 上周被任命接替 Susie Wiles,计划专注于复兴帮助总统构建 2024 年联盟的民粹主义议程,重点在于争取工薪阶层选民。

Why it matters: Miller, named last week to replace Susie Wiles, plans to focus on reviving the populist agenda that helped the president build his 2024 coalition, with an emphasis on working-class voters.

青年、工薪阶层和少数族裔男性在上周的选举中,因特朗普关税导致的高价、伊朗战争以及人工智能对就业市场的影响,大量少数族裔男性和青年男性涌离共和党。

Young, working-class and minority men fled the GOP in droves in last week's elections amid high prices fueled by Trump's tariffs, the war in Iran, and concerns about AI's impact on the job market.

  • 另一个导致上周投票结果的关键因素:拉丁裔男性也大幅转向民主党,因为政府的强硬移民打压政策日益成为争议性政治议题。

• Another key factor in last week's voting: Latino men also swung sharply toward Democrats, as the administration's hard-line immigration crackdown became an increasingly contentious political issue.

推动新闻报道: Miller 希望花更多时间强调他认为未得到足够关注的政府政策,这些政策将吸引关注经济、就业等问题的工薪阶层选民,内部人士告诉 Axios。

Driving the news: Miller wants to spend more time highlighting administration policies he believes haven't gotten enough attention, and that will appeal to working-class voters concerned about the economy, insiders tell Axios.

  • 他的优先事项将为特朗普支持者所熟悉:取消政府认为的“觉醒”政策在高校和职场,降低处方药价格,并查处政府和医疗保健欺诈行为。

• His priorities will sound familiar to Trump watchers: eliminating what the administration considers "woke" policies from colleges and workplaces, lowering prescription drug prices, and rooting out government and health-care fraud.

  • 他还希望强调削减联邦官僚体系,推动许可改革,并强调这些措施如何帮助解决可负担性问题。

• He also wants to emphasize reducing the federal bureaucracy and push for permitting reform, while highlighting how those efforts could help address affordability.

  • 商业界人士表示,Miller 的意识形态驱动使其基本对典型华盛顿的游说活动免疫。

• Sources in the business community say Miller's ideological drive makes him mostly impervious to typical Washington lobbying.

是的,但:随着民主党在一月取得国会控制权,Miller 将不得不在没有共和党在众议院或参议院多数席位的情况下推进该议程。

Yes, but: With Democrats taking control of Congress in January, Miller will have to advance that agenda without the help of Republican majorities in either the House or Senate.

  • 部分计划可通过特朗普的行政命令实施,其他包括许可改革则需要两党合作。

• Some of his plans could be pursued through executive orders by Trump. Others, including permitting reform, would require bipartisan cooperation.

  • 这可能是一个挑战:Miller 是一位政治战士,被称为特朗普的“战时谋士”,但他并不受到民主党的欢迎。

• That could be a challenge: Miller, a political fighter who's been called Trump's "wartime consigliere," isn't popular among Democrats.

  • 众议院少数党领袖、即将于1月成为众议院议长的黑金·杰弗里斯(D-纽约州)表示,他对与 Miller 合作“零兴趣”,而 Miller 的移民政策使他成为民主党攻击的常客。

• House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), who's in line to become House speaker in January, has said he has "zero interest" in working with Miller, whose immigration policies have made him a frequent target of Democratic attacks.

回顾:根据塔夫茨大学对选举数据的研究,特朗普在2024年选举中以14分优势赢得了30岁以下男性选民。

Flashback: Trump won men under 30 by 14 points in the 2024 election, according to a Tufts University study of election data.

  • 上周,民主党在众议院选举中以22分优势赢得了该年龄段选民,显示出36分的变动。

• Last week, Democrats won that demographic by 22 points in House races — a 36-point shift.

  • 这一变动在年轻拉丁裔男性中更为明显,他们从2024年支持特朗普的2分转变为2026年支持民主党的37分。

• The shift was even more pronounced among young Latino men, who went from backing Trump by 2 points in 2024 to favoring Democrats by 37 points in 2026.

  • 拥有高中学历或以下学历的年轻选民向民主党倒戈了37分,从2024年支持特朗普的12分转为2026年中期选举中支持民主党的25分。

• Young voters with a high school education or less swung 37 points toward Democrats — from backing Trump by 12 points in 2024 to favoring Democrats by 25 points in the midterms.

  • 根据塔夫茨大学的研究,超过半数的30岁以下选民将经济和就业列为该国三大主要问题之一。

More than half of voters under 30 cited the economy and jobs as one of the country's three biggest issues, according to the Tufts study.

  • 在那些表示自己经济状况落后的年轻选民中,73% 支持了民主党众议院候选人。

• Among young voters who said they were falling behind financially, 73% backed Democratic House candidates.

Miller 的关注点针对年轻男性的关注并非新鲜事。他在特朗普2024年竞选期间直接向他们发起呼吁。

Miller's focus on young men isn't new. He made direct appeals to them during Trump's 2024 campaign.

  • 在2024年选举前的福克斯新闻节目中,他敦促年轻男性拥抱对特朗普的支持,告诉他们要“表现出你是真正的男人”,而不是“beta”。

• During a Fox News appearance just before the 2024 election, he urged young men to embrace their support for Trump, telling them to "show that you are a real man" and "not a beta."

  • 2024年选举日,Miller 在 X 上发文:“让你认识的每个男人都去投票站投票。”

• On Election Day 2024, Miller posted on X: "Get every man you know to the polls."

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