英国经济以两年半以来最快速度增长，企业和消费者持续抵御伊朗战争引发的能源冲击。
The UK economy grew at its fastest pace in two and a half years as businesses and consumers continued to weather the energy shock caused by the Iran war.
英国国家统计局周四表示，第三季度国内生产总值（GDP）增长0.7%，增速较第二季度的0.5%加快。这符合彭博社调查的经济学家预测中值。仅9月单月GDP增长0.2%，好于预测的持平读数。
Gross domestic product rose 0.7% in the third quarter, an acceleration from the 0.5% expansion in the second, the Office for National Statistics said on Thursday. It was in line with median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. GDP rose 0.2% in September alone, better than the flat reading forecast.
自伊朗战争爆发以来，英国经济一直违背放缓预测，得益于与人工智能采用相关的支出。经济学家被迫上调今年增长预测，财政大臣约翰·希利周三表示，目标是再次在2027年超越预测。国家统计局称，面向企业的服务业推动了本季度增长。
The UK economy has defied predictions of a slowdown since the Iran war began, helped by spending related to the adoption of artificial intelligence. Economists have been forced to revise up their forecasts for growth this year and Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey said on Wednesday he aimed to beat the projections once again in 2027. Business-facing services drove growth over the quarter, the ONS said.
虽然这些数据对希利和首相安迪·伯纳姆是利好，但也增加了英格兰银行再次加息的压力。在官员们上周时隔三年多首次上调借贷成本后，投资者倾向于认为英格兰银行将在12月进一步加息。
While the figures are boost to Healey and Prime Minister Andy Burnham, they also increase pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates again. Investors are leaning toward the BOE delivering a further hike in December after officials raised the cost of borrowing for the first time in more than three years last week.
今年增长主要由科技和商业服务板块驱动。面对更高的能源和借贷成本，消费者支出表现比许多人担心的要好，家庭动用储蓄缓冲冲击。
Growth has largely been powered by the technology and business services sectors this year. Consumer spending has also held up better than many had feared in the face of higher energy and borrowing costs, with households digging into savings to cushion the blow.
不过，能源冲击的全部影响尚未完全显现，英国央行警告明年通胀将接近5%。英格兰银行预计第四季度季度增长将放缓至0.3%，并在2027年全年维持在0.2%。
Still, the full impact of the energy shock is still yet to come with the UK central bank warning that inflation will near 5% next year. The BOE expects quarterly growth to ease to 0.3% in the fourth quarter and hold at 0.2% throughout 2027.
英国政府宣布仅提供有限支持，帮助家庭抵御冲击。虽然近期油价下跌可能在加油站带来一些缓解，但预计明年1月，当该国价格上限下一次更新时，燃气和电费将上涨约四分之一。
The UK government has announced only limited support to help households withstand the shock. While the recent fall in oil prices may bring some relief at the petrol pump, gas and electricity bills are expected to jump by around a quarter in January when the country’s price cap is next updated.