
美国提出了一条乌克兰加入北大西洋公约组织(北约)的新路径,这是基辅长期以来的愿望,旨在保障其对俄罗斯的防御,俄乌战争已持续近五年。
The United States has pitched a new pathway for Ukraine to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), an aspiration that Kyiv has long held as a means to guarantee its defence against Russia, almost five years into their war.
但唐纳德·特朗普总统的政府建议,乌克兰需要同意放弃该国东部的整个顿巴斯地区,这是俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京结束战争的条件之一。
But the administration of President Donald Trump has suggested that Ukraine would need to agree to give up all of the Donbas region in the country’s east, which Russian President Vladimir Putin has demanded as one of his conditions for ending the war.
据乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基称,这一想法是由特朗普的谈判代表史蒂夫·威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳在上周于阿拉伯联合酋长国阿布扎比举行的最新一轮美方斡旋的俄乌和平谈判中向他传达的。
The idea, according to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, was communicated to him by Trump’s negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner at the latest round of US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine and Russia in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, last week.
阿布扎比谈判结束后,库什纳和威特科夫于周四在莫斯科会见了普京,随后在都柏林向泽连斯基通报情况,随后于周五在爱尔兰首都举行了欧洲领导人会议。
After the Abu Dhabi round of talks, Kushner and Witkoff met Putin in Moscow on Thursday, then briefed Zelenskyy in Dublin, before a meeting of European leaders in the Irish capital on Friday.
乌克兰于2022年9月申请成为北约成员,旨在巩固其与俄罗斯接壤的边境。
Ukraine applied to become a member of NATO in September 2022, seeking to fortify its borders with Russia.
但克里姆林宫多次表示,乌克兰成为北约成员将要求俄罗斯做出“严厉回应”。那么,华盛顿最新的提议是否会被乌克兰和俄罗斯同时接受?以下是我们已知的情况:周六,泽连斯基告诉记者,库什纳和威特科夫建议,如果乌克兰放弃对东部顿巴斯地区的控制权,就可以成为北约成员。
But the Kremlin has repeatedly said Ukraine becoming a member of NATO would demand “a harsh response” from Russia. So will Washington’s latest pitch be acceptable to both Ukraine and Russia? Here’s what we know: On Saturday, Zelenskyy told reporters that Kushner and Witkoff had suggested that Ukraine could become a NATO member if it ceded control of Donbas in the east.
他说:“美国人提出了一个问题:‘如果乌克兰加入北约?乌克兰会从顿巴斯撤出吗?’”泽连斯基表示,“北约重回议程”,因为它是乌克兰与俄罗斯之间一场“极其艰难”对话的一部分,这场对话将决定欧洲安全的未来。
He said, “The Americans raised a question: ‘What if Ukraine joins NATO? Would Ukraine withdraw from Donbas?'”“NATO is back on the agenda” since it is part of an “extremely difficult” conversation between Ukraine and Russia which would determine the future of European security, Zelenskyy said.
普京一直反对乌克兰加入北约,并要求该联盟从与俄罗斯接壤的国家撤军。
Putin has been against Ukraine’s NATO membership and has demanded that the alliance pull back its troops from countries bordering Russia.
泽连斯基说:“这很危险,因为依我之见,正是这类事情会导致战争或局势升级。”
“This is dangerous because, in my view, it is precisely things like this that lead to wars or escalations,” Zelenskyy said.
“欧洲真正的安全意味着欧盟和北约。就是这样。欧洲没有别的安全。”乌克兰于2022年9月申请成为北约成员国,就在俄罗斯对该国发动全面入侵几个月后。
“Real security in Europe means the EU [European Union] and NATO. That’s it. There is no other security in Europe.”Ukraine applied to become a NATO member in September 2022, just months after Russia’s full-scale invasion of the country.
此后,泽连斯基、其官员以及世界各地的乌克兰人一直在游说北约国家加速基辅的加入进程。
Since then, Zelenskyy, his officials and Ukrainians around the world have been lobbying NATO nations to speed up Kyiv’s accession process.
但在持续的战争中,尽管各方广泛达成共识,要向基辅发出强有力的支持信号,北约成员国对于是否向乌克兰提供北约盟友身份依然存在分歧。
But NATO members remain divided over offering Ukraine alliance membership amid an ongoing war despite a broad consensus to signal strong support for Kyiv.
与俄罗斯接壤的北约成员国(如立陶宛和波兰)对支持乌克兰的雄心最为热情。在对乌克兰腐败问题的担忧以及寻求以结束与俄罗斯的战争作为乌克兰成为北约成员国的条件之际,该联盟内的其他几个国家也一直支持为基辅加入提供快速通道。
NATO members bordering Russia, like Lithuania and Poland, have been most enthusiastic about backing Ukraine’s ambitions. Several other nations in the alliance have also been supportive of an expedited process for Kyiv to join, amid concerns about corruption in Ukraine and while seeking an end to the war with Russia as a condition for the country to become a NATO member.
但在特朗普总统领导下,美国对乌克兰加入北约的呼吁远没有那么接纳。特朗普曾公开告诉乌克兰放弃加入该联盟的希望。
But under President Trump, the US has been far less receptive to Ukraine’s calls for NATO membership. Trump has publicly told Ukraine to give up on hopes of joining the alliance.
然而,维特科夫和库什纳的新提议虽然重燃了乌克兰加入北约的希望,但也提出了基辅任何政府都无法轻易作出的妥协。
Yet, while the new proposal from Witkoff and Kushner revives Ukraine’s hopes of joining NATO, it demands a compromise that no government in Kyiv can easily make.
周六,泽连斯基对记者表示,以割让领土换取乌克兰加入北约的前景此前并未被该联盟成员提出,并重申基辅不会放弃任何领土。
On Saturday, Zelenskyy told reporters that the prospect of Ukraine joining NATO in exchange for ceding territory had not been raised by members of the alliance before and reiterated that Kyiv would not give up any of its territories.
但他表示,如果乌克兰获得包含安全保证、维持强大且资金充足的乌克兰军队的权利以及重建该国资金的和平协议,那么他将就以割让领土换取北约成员国资格的问题举行全民公投。克里姆林宫尚未对最新的美国提议作出回应。
But he said if Ukraine received a peace deal which included security guarantees, the right to maintain a strong and well-funded Ukrainian army and funds to rebuild the country, then he would hold a national referendum on the question of ceding territory in exchange for NATO membership. The Kremlin has not yet responded to the latest US proposal.
但它一直坚持严厉的立场,即乌克兰加入北约对莫斯科而言是一条红线,也是对俄罗斯国家安全的直接威胁。事实上,普京还将乌克兰对加入北约的诉求列为俄罗斯在2022年发动战争的原因之一。
But it has maintained a strict position that Ukraine’s NATO membership is a red line for Moscow and a direct threat to Russia’s national security. In fact, Putin has also cited the issue of Ukraine’s NATO aspirations as one reason why Russia launched its war in 2022.
尽管库什纳和维特科夫与普京举行了会晤,但克里姆林宫几乎没有表现出改变这一立场的意愿。在整场战争期间,莫斯科持续要求乌克兰放弃加入北约的野心,并保持中立和非军事化地位。俄罗斯还坚决反对在乌克兰领土上部署任何西方军队或维和人员。
Despite Kushner and Witkoff’s meetings with Putin, the Kremlin has shown little appetite for a change in that position. Moscow has continued, throughout the war, to demand that Ukraine abandon its NATO ambitions and maintain a neutral and demilitarised status. Russia has also firmly opposed any deployment of Western troops or peacekeepers on Ukrainian soil.
除了要求乌克兰放弃加入北约的梦想外,莫斯科还坚持要求乌克兰放弃对顿巴斯地区的主权,以及俄罗斯已经占领的扎波罗热和赫尔松两省的部分地区。
In addition to demanding that Ukraine give up its NATO dreams, Moscow has also insisted that Ukraine should cede sovereignty over the Donbas region, in addition to parts of Zaporizhia and Kherson provinces that Russia already occupies.
正如美国的新提议要求乌克兰放弃部分领土以换取北约席位一样,它也向俄罗斯提出了一项交易——撤销对乌克兰加入北约的红线,以此换取顿巴斯。
Just as the new US proposal asks Ukraine to give up some territory in return for a NATO seat, it offers Russia a bargain — withdraw the red line on Ukraine’s NATO membership and get Donbas in exchange.
乌克兰东部的这个地区历史上一直是该国的工业心脏地带,因此也是一个至关重要的经济引擎。
The region in eastern Ukraine has historically been the country’s industrial heartland and is therefore a critical economic engine.
顿巴斯的大多数民众认同自己是乌克兰族,但少数人认同自己是俄罗斯族。俄语在该地区也很普及——这是19世纪以及随后在苏联时期俄罗斯人向该地区移民的历史遗留产物。
A majority of people in the Donbas identify as ethnically Ukrainian, but a minority identifies as ethnically Russian. The Russian language is also widely spoken in the region — a legacy of Russian migration there in the 19th century and then under the Soviet Union.
俄罗斯指责乌克兰在顿巴斯歧视说俄语的人和俄罗斯族人,并以此为主张为其要求基辅将该地区交予莫斯科的诉求辩护。
Russia accuses Ukraine of discriminating against Russian-speaking and ethnically Russian people in the Donbas, and has used this claim to justify its demand that Kyiv hand over the region to Moscow.
该地区由卢甘斯克和顿涅茨克两省组成。自2022年对乌克兰发动入侵以来,俄罗斯已经占领了卢甘斯克几乎全部地区以及顿涅茨克的大部分地区。总计而言,俄罗斯控制了顿巴斯地区大约百分之八十八的土地。但俄罗斯一直要求乌克兰军队从其目前控制的顿巴斯剩余地区撤出。美国并未明确宣布其曾建议基辅割让领土以换取加入北约。
The region consists of the provinces of Luhansk and Donetsk. Since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Russia has occupied almost all of Luhansk and most of Donetsk. In all, it controls about 88 percent of the Donbas region. But it has consistently demanded that Ukrainian troops withdraw from the remaining parts of the Donbas they currently hold. The US has not explicitly announced that it has suggested Kyiv should cede territory for NATO membership.
周六,在泽连斯基向记者发表言论几个小时后,库什纳在社交媒体X上发布了一篇长文,暗示“媒体报道了双方提出的某些最大主义立场,以及强硬的政治言论”。
On Saturday, hours after Zelenskyy’s remarks to reporters, in a lengthy post on X, Kushner suggested that “the press has reported some of the maximalist positions proposed by both sides, along with strong political rhetoric”.
他强调,俄罗斯、乌克兰和美国之间的对话是旨在结束战争的“私下讨论”。
He highlighted that the conversations between Russia, Ukraine and the US were “private discussions” aimed at ending the war.
他说:“这些讨论产生了几项新想法,目前正在进行探讨。其中一些可能会直接带来突破,而另一些则可能演变成有助于弥合剩余分歧的新提议。”
“Several new ideas emerged from these discussions and are now being explored. Some may lead to breakthroughs directly, while others may evolve into new proposals that help bridge the remaining gaps,” he said.
他还补充说:“在我们的私下讨论中,双方都明白,要结束这场战争,务实的妥协是必要的。致力于寻找解决方案的我们之间,严肃且建设性的工作仍在继续。”
“In our private discussions, both sides understand that practical compromises will be necessary to end this war. Serious and constructive work continues among those of us committed to finding solutions,” he added.
此前,在周四,库什纳还对记者表示,普京已同意将欧洲纳入和平谈判。他说:“如果没有欧洲人参与谈判,我们就无法达成这笔交易。”
Earlier, on Thursday, Kushner also told reporters that Putin has agreed to include Europe in peace negotiations. “We cannot conclude this deal without the Europeans being at the table,” he said.