
俄罗斯官员在关于结束战争的闭门谈判中采取的强硬立场,将欧洲安全问题推向了谈判核心。
The hard-line position of Russian officials in closed-door negotiations about ending the war thrusts European security into the heart of the talks.
在俄罗斯于2022年初入侵乌克兰前两个月,它提出了一系列深远的要求,其中包括北约将其部队撤回到1997年所处的位置,即在西方联盟向俄罗斯边境扩张之前。
Two months before Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022, it issued a series of far-reaching demands, including that NATO pull its troops back to positions they held in 1997, before the Western alliance expanded toward Russia’s borders.
如今,在本周与特朗普总统特使就如何结束乌克兰战争进行的闭门谈判中,俄罗斯人重振了这一立场——在某些情况下甚至逐字逐句重复——试图在历经五年、造成数十万人死亡后取得更大的胜利。
Now, in closed-door negotiations with President Trump’s envoys this week about how to end the war in Ukraine, the Russians have revived that stance — in some cases word for word — in an effort to attain a larger victory after five years and hundreds of thousands of deaths.
据一份《纽约时报》从一名参与谈判人士处获得的文件副本显示,莫斯科的不妥协立场体现在俄罗斯官员本周传阅的一份文件中。
Moscow’s unyielding position was laid out in a paper that Russian officials circulated this week, according to a copy obtained by The New York Times from a person involved in the talks.
另一名知情人士证实了该文件的真实性。文件显示,在特朗普政府进行了20多个月的外交斡旋以结束冲突后,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·V·普京在其核心目标上几乎未作让步。
The paper, whose authenticity was confirmed by another person with knowledge of the negotiations, shows that President Vladimir V. Putin has scarcely budged on his core objectives after more than 20 months of diplomacy by the Trump administration to end the conflict.
俄罗斯要求北约从其东翼——波兰和波罗的海国家——撤回军力,将欧洲安全问题推向了乌克兰谈判的核心。文件还详述了普京公开表态背后的目标。这位俄罗斯领导人一再坚持,在他停止战斗前,必须解决他所谓的战争“根本原因”——即俄罗斯对北约和乌克兰的广泛不满。
Russia’s demands that NATO pull back forces from its eastern flank in Poland and the Baltics thrust the question of European security into the heart of the negotiations over Ukraine. And they detail the objective behind Mr. Putin’s public statements. The Russian leader has continually insisted that what he calls the “root causes” of the war — Russia’s wide-ranging grievances with both NATO and Ukraine — be addressed before he stops fighting.
该文件还凸显了特朗普总统的特使贾里德·库什纳和史蒂夫·威特科夫向普京提供的经济诱因,迄今未能从莫斯科换取让步。批评人士认为,美国冒着助长普京长期以来试图重申苏联时代势力范围(远至中亚)的风险。
The document also underscores how the economic inducements that Mr. Trump’s envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, have offered Mr. Putin have yet to secure concessions from Moscow. To critics, the United States risks enabling Mr. Putin’s long-running attempt to reassert a Soviet-era sphere of influence as far away as Central Asia.
俄罗斯决定采取这一广泛立场之际,普京定于下周在中国深圳举行的亚太经合组织年会期间与特朗普会晤。这将是两人在特朗普第二任期内的第二次会面。
Russia’s decision to stake out this expansive position comes as Mr. Putin is set to sit down with Mr. Trump next week in Shenzhen, China, at an annual meeting of the Asia-Pacific regional economies. It will be the second time the two men will have met in Mr. Trump’s second term.
这份日期为11月10日的俄罗斯文件,提供了克里姆林宫在本周阿联酋阿布扎比会谈中采取强硬立场的新细节。这是自2月以来,美、俄、乌官员首次面对面会谈,也是特朗普政府今秋发起新一轮推动、在乌克兰谈判中回应俄罗斯关于欧洲安全要求以来的首次此类会议。
The Russian document, dated Nov. 10, provides new details on the hard-line stance that the Kremlin took in this week’s talks in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. It was the first time since February that U.S., Russian and Ukrainian officials had all met face-to-face, and the first such session since the Trump administration mounted a new push this fall to address Russia’s demands over European security in the Ukraine negotiations.
据参与会谈的两名人士透露,这份文件代表俄罗斯的初始立场,俄方官员在会谈中表示普京仍可能表现出灵活性。这两人因讨论敏感内容而要求匿名。
The document represents Russia’s opening position, and Russian officials in the talks signaled that Mr. Putin could still be flexible, according to the two people involved in the talks, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the sensitive discussions.
但在阿布扎比,俄方官员明确表示,他们视冷战及当时苏联主导的华沙公约组织为乌克兰战争结束后欧洲局势的模板。二战后几十年间,欧洲成为核超级大国对抗的焦点,战争威胁笼罩大陆。
But Russian officials in Abu Dhabi made clear that they saw the Cold War, and the Soviet-led alliance at the time known as the Warsaw Pact, as a model for how Europe could look after the war in Ukraine ends. In the decades after World War II, Europe became the focal point of confrontation between nuclear superpowers, with the threat of war hanging over the continent.
但据出席会议人士透露,俄方在阿布扎比辩称,那个时代美苏分别的势力范围,以及随之而来的沟通与谅解,实际上降低了冲突风险。莫斯科能在多大程度上推行这一论点,仍有待观察。
But the Russians argued in Abu Dhabi that the separate U.S. and Soviet regions of influence of that era, and the communications and understandings that went along with that arrangement, actually reduced the risk of conflict, according to people present for their remarks. It remains to be seen how far Moscow will get with that argument.
一名美国官员表示,威特科夫和库什纳已告知俄方,自2021年12月以来形势已发生重大变化,当时俄罗斯要求签署新条约,以终止北约在东欧和中欧大部分地区的大多数军事活动。
A U.S. official said that Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Kushner had told the Russians that much had changed since December 2021, when their country demanded a new treaty that would end most NATO military activity across much of Eastern and Central Europe.
据这位美国官员透露,美方敦促俄方着眼未来。该官员因谈判敏感,要求匿名。该官员表示,特朗普的特使们愿意接受莫斯科的新提议,前提是其中包含俄方采取具体步骤降低紧张局势。普京发言人周五未回应置评请求。
The Americans urged the Russians to look toward the future, according to the U.S. official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the negotiations. Mr. Trump’s envoys, the official said, are open to new proposals from Moscow that would include concrete steps by Russia to reduce tensions. A spokesman for Mr. Putin did not respond to a request for comment on Friday.
特朗普的特使们目前正致力于消除外界担忧,即他们将绕过欧洲和乌克兰,与普京达成一项全面协议。阿布扎比会晤后,库什纳和威特科夫于周四前往莫斯科会见普京。
Mr. Trump’s envoys are now working to allay fears that they will negotiate a sweeping deal with Mr. Putin over the heads of Europe and Ukraine. After the Abu Dhabi meeting, Mr. Kushner and Mr. Witkoff traveled to Moscow to meet with Mr. Putin on Thursday.
在会晤的公开环节,库什纳告诉普京,俄罗斯、乌克兰、欧洲和美国已在“长期安全”问题上取得进展。但据普京外交政策顾问尤里·乌沙科夫会后向记者透露,普京随后对美方表示,俄罗斯2021年关于北约后撤的提议仍反映了“我们对不可分割安全架构支柱的设想”。
There, Mr. Kushner told Mr. Putin in the on-camera portion of the meeting that Russia, Ukraine, Europe and the United States had already made progress on “long-term security” issues. But Mr. Putin later told the Americans that Russia’s 2021 proposal for a NATO pullback still reflected “our vision of the pillars of an indivisible security architecture,” Yuri Ushakov, the Russian president’s foreign policy adviser, told reporters after the meeting.
离开莫斯科后,美方特使于周四抵达都柏林,向乌克兰总统泽连斯基通报情况。会后,库什纳表示,“没有欧洲人坐在谈判桌前,我们无法达成这项协议。”但本周俄罗斯在欧洲安全问题上的初始立场与五年前几乎未变,这凸显了寻找妥折方案、促使普京结束战争所面临挑战的规模。
From Moscow, the U.S. envoys went to Dublin on Thursday, where they debriefed President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine. Afterward, Mr. Kushner said that “we cannot conclude this deal without Europeans being at the table.”But the fact that Russia’s opening position on European security this week remained virtually unchanged from five years ago illustrates the scale of the challenge of finding a compromise that will get Mr. Putin to end his war.
本周这份阐述俄罗斯立场的文件没有抬头,也没有签名——在外交术语中,它是一份“非正式文件”,旨在非正式地阐述一方的观点。该文件呼应了俄罗斯2021年12月的要求,称北约国家必须排除其联盟进一步扩张的可能性,以及在乌克兰和“东欧、南高加索和中亚”其他地区进行“任何军事活动”的可能性。该文件显示,如果有变化的话,普京先生在某些立场上甚至变本加厉。
This week’s paper spelling out Russia’s position carries no letterhead or signature — it is a “non-paper,” in diplomatic parlance, meant to lay out one side’s views unofficially. Echoing Russia’s December 2021 demands, it says NATO countries must rule out the further expansion of their alliance and as well as “any military activity” in Ukraine and elsewhere in “Eastern Europe, in the South Caucasus and in Central Asia.”The document shows that if anything, Mr. Putin has doubled down on some of his positions.
2021年,俄罗斯希望北约取消其“核共享”安排,该安排长期以来允许欧洲的美国盟友受益于美国核武器的保护。现在,文件显示,俄罗斯还希望法国和英国排除它们使用本国核武器保护其他欧洲国家的可能性,这一概念在过去一年里在欧洲一直被积极讨论,部分原因是对特朗普先生是否愿意为北约提供援助存在担忧。
In 2021, Russia wanted NATO to drop its “nuclear sharing” arrangements that had long allowed U.S. allies in Europe to benefit from the protection of American nuclear weapons. Now, the paper shows, Russia also wants France and Britain to rule out the possibility that they would use their nuclear weapons to protect other European countries, a concept that has been actively discussed in Europe in the past year, partly because of concerns about Mr. Trump’s willingness to come to NATO’s aid.
该文件还试图切断对乌克兰的援助,预见将终止“向乌克兰供应任何类型的西方武器、军事装备和产品”。文件称,俄罗斯只有在乌克兰不参与欧盟共同防务政策的情况下,才会同意乌克兰加入欧盟。
The paper also seeks to choke off aid to Ukraine, foreseeing an end to “the supply of any type of Western weapons and military equipment and products to Ukraine.”Russia would only approve of Ukraine’s joining the European Union, it says, if Ukraine does not participate in the bloc’s common defense policy.
此外,文件呼应了俄罗斯入侵前2021年的要求,称俄罗斯希望北约将其部队和基地撤回到联盟1997年的边界,即在其开始向中东欧扩张之前——这一步骤将削弱联盟最脆弱成员(如波兰和前苏联波罗的海三国爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚和立陶宛)的自卫能力。
And, mirroring Russia’s 2021 demands ahead of the invasion, the paper says Russia wants NATO to pull back its troops and bases to the alliance’s 1997 borders, before it began to expand into Central and Eastern Europe — a step that would weaken the ability of the alliance’s most vulnerable members, such as Poland and the ex-Soviet Baltic countries of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, to defend themselves.
近几天,随着俄罗斯强硬立场的消息从阿布扎比传出,一些欧洲领导人迅速予以拒绝,认为这些立场根本无法接受。波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克周四表示,“接受俄罗斯的条件将意味着对波兰安全的直接威胁。”图斯克在都柏林说:“很明显,这些条件不仅对乌克兰不可接受,首先对欧洲不可接受,当然对波兰这样的国家也不可接受。”
In recent days, as word of Russia’s hard-line positions rippled out of Abu Dhabi, some European leaders were quick to reject them as nonstarters. Prime Minister Donald Tusk of Poland said on Thursday that “accepting Russia’s conditions would mean a direct threat to Poland’s security.”“It is clear that they are unacceptable not only to Ukraine but, above all, to Europe, and certainly to countries such as Poland,” Mr. Tusk said in Dublin.
阿布扎比的会谈还包括美国驻欧洲最高军事指挥官、空军上将亚历克西斯·G·格林克维奇。据两名与会人士透露,格林克维奇将军同时也是北约高级指挥官,他在会谈中与俄罗斯官员进行了激烈的来回交锋,推动俄罗斯官员解释他们在欧洲的担忧。
The talks in Abu Dhabi also included Gen. Alexus G. Grynkewich, the top American military commander in Europe. General Grynkewich, who is also the senior NATO commander, had a lively back-and-forth with Russian officials during the talks, pushing Russian officials to explain their concerns in Europe, according to two people in the room.
格林克维奇将军的发言人、陆军上尉阿洛·亚伯拉罕森表示,将军以美国欧洲司令部司令的身份出席会谈,为美国领导层提供军事建议,但鉴于谈判的敏感性,拒绝置评。
Capt. Arlo Abrahamson, a spokesman for General Grynkewich, said the general had attended the talks in his capacity as the head of U.S. European Command to provide military advice for U.S. leadership, but declined to comment given the sensitivity of the negotiations.
随着威特科夫和库什纳在最近几个月重振推动,以兑现特朗普结束乌克兰战争的承诺,俄罗斯重提了这些要求。在此过程中,特使们深化了关于与俄罗斯达成可能商业协议的谈判,并决定与普京长期以来为谈判新的欧洲“安全架构”所做的努力接触。此前,乌克兰的支持者们表示,只有在俄罗斯结束入侵后,才愿意进行此类谈判。
The revived Russian demands have come as Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Kushner renewed their push in recent months to fulfill Mr. Trump’s promise to end the war in Ukraine. In doing so, the envoys have deepened talks about possible business deals with Russia and decided to engage with Mr. Putin’s longstanding efforts to negotiate a new European “security architecture.”Previously, Ukraine’s supporters have said they were only willing to hold such negotiations with Russia after it ended its invasion.
但形势已发生变化。卢森堡首相吕克·弗里登在接受采访时表示,美国人与俄罗斯人和乌克兰人一起谈判是“自然的”。
But the circumstances have changed. Luc Frieden, the prime minister of Luxembourg, said in an interview that it was “natural” for the Americans to talk to the Russians and Ukrainians together.
他接着说:“但他们也在谈论欧洲的未来。我们说,‘如果我们不在谈判桌上,你们就不能谈论欧洲的未来。’” 史蒂文·厄兰格参与了报道。
“But they also talk about the future of Europe,” he went on. “We say, ‘Well, you cannot talk about the future of Europe without us being at the table.’”Steven Erlanger contributed reporting.
安东·特罗亚诺夫斯基在华盛顿为《纽约时报》撰写关于美国外交政策和国家安全的报道。他此前曾担任驻莫斯科和柏林的外国记者。
Anton Troianovski writes about American foreign policy and national security for The Times from Washington. He was previously a foreign correspondent based in Moscow and Berlin.
安德鲁·克雷默是《纽约时报》基辅分社社长,自2014年起一直报道乌克兰战争。珍娜·斯米亚莱克是《纽约时报》布鲁塞尔分社社长。
Andrew E. Kramer is the Kyiv bureau chief for The Times, who has been covering the war in Ukraine since 2014. Jeanna Smialek is the Brussels bureau chief for The Times.
大卫·桑格报道特朗普政府及一系列国家安全议题。他担任《纽约时报》记者已超过四十年,并撰写了四本关于外交政策和国家安全挑战的书籍。
David E. Sanger covers the Trump administration and a range of national security issues. He has been a Times journalist for more than four decades and has written four books on foreign policy and national security challenges.