
俄罗斯就与乌克兰和平谈判中讨论欧洲安全安排提出的新要求,正在暴露欧洲大陆内部的分歧。
Russia’s fresh demands to discuss Europe’s security arrangements as part of peace talks with Ukraine are exposing divisions within the continent.
作者:Andrea Palasciano、Jorge Valero、Alberto Nardelli这一问题长期以来一直是欧洲的禁忌:欧洲人表示,一个具有威胁性的俄罗斯没有资格就大陆如何保护自己提出要求。
By Andrea Palasciano, Jorge Valero and Alberto Nardelli The issue has long been a no-go for Europeans: A menacing Russia has no standing, they say, to make requests about how the continent protects itself.
但据知情人士透露,包括欧盟最高行政长官乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩在内的一些领导人,现在正私下推动至少在和平谈判的同时就此问题开始头脑风暴。知情人士补充说,俄罗斯也已将其作为重启的美国主导的与乌克兰谈判的前提条件。
But some leaders, including the European Union’s top executive, Ursula von der Leyen, are now privately pushing to at least start brainstorming about the matter in parallel to peace negotiations, according to people familiar with conversations. Russia has also made it a precondition of the renewed US-led talks with Ukraine, the people added.
知情人士表示,这一可能性引发了众多靠近俄罗斯的国家的反对,无论是公开还是私下。这些人士要求匿名,以描述闭门讨论。他们说,任何形式的接触都只是落入克里姆林宫的圈套。欧盟领导人周五在都柏林举行的峰会上讨论了这一问题。
The possibility has triggered pushback — both publicly and privately — from numerous countries near Russia, the people said, speaking anonymously to describe closed-door discussions. They say engaging at all merely plays into the Kremlin’s hands. EU leaders discussed the matter on Friday during a summit in Dublin.
欧盟最高外交官卡娅·卡拉斯在抵达峰会现场时表示:“如果我们开始讨论俄罗斯关于安全架构的要求,我们实际上就是在走俄罗斯设下的陷阱。”
“If we start to talk about what Russia is asking regarding the security architecture, we are actually walking into the traps that Russia is setting,” said Kaja Kallas, the EU’s top diplomat, as she arrived for the gathering.
正在展开的辩论是俄罗斯和中国利用欧洲意识形态裂痕来拖延、分散注意力并试图瓦解大陆团结的最新例证。一位欧洲外交官指出,这一主题是俄罗斯的老一套执念,莫斯科深知它很容易暴露欧盟的分歧。
The unfolding debate is the latest example of how countries like Russia and China press on Europe’s ideological fissures to stall, distract and try to break the continent’s unity. The subject, noted one European diplomat, is an old Russian obsession that Moscow knows can easily expose EU divides.
爱沙尼亚总理克里斯滕·米哈尔周五表示:“这通常是普京的惯用手法。”欧盟委员会没有立即回应置评请求。
“This is usually what Putin does,” Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal said Friday. The European Commission didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
克里姆林宫长期声称,北约在苏联解体后向东欧扩张对俄罗斯安全构成威胁,并将其列为其入侵乌克兰的主要原因之一。
The Kremlin has long claimed that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s expansion into eastern Europe after the collapse of the Soviet Union is a threat to Russian security — citing it as one of the main reasons for its invasion of Ukraine.
因此,这位外交官表示,当俄罗斯提及对欧洲“安全架构”进行变更时,历史上是指倒退北约军事联盟的扩张——这对欧洲来说是绝无可能的。
So when Russia mentions changes to Europe’s “security architecture,” it historically means walking back the NATO military alliance’s expansion, the diplomat said — a nonstarter for Europe.
尽管如此,无论何时俄罗斯停止对乌克兰的全面战争——该战争即将迎来五周年——欧洲的安全版图都将呈现不同面貌。
Still, Europe’s security landscape will look different whenever Russia ceases its full-scale war on Ukraine, which is nearing its five-year anniversary.
盟友将不得不回答一些问题:乌克兰是否终将加入北约;他们是否在乌克兰部署缓冲部队;以及他们和美国能为基辅提供何种未来安全保障。
Allies will have to answer questions about whether Ukraine will ever join NATO, whether they station buffer troops in Ukraine and what future security guarantees they and the US can offer Kyiv.
还有关于北约是否将维持其在东翼、即与俄罗斯接壤边境上的强化军力部署的问题,前提是莫斯科的战争有所平息。
There are also questions about whether NATO will keep its enhanced troop presence along its eastern flank bordering Russia if Moscow’s war subsides.
欧洲一致坚持其他议题必须优先解决,最引人注目的是停火与和平协议。只有在那之后,欧洲才应考虑就安全事务谈判达成协议。
Europe is united in insisting other subjects must come first, most notably a ceasefire and a peace deal. Only then should Europe consider negotiating agreements on security matters.
“欧洲的未来安全无法在没有欧洲参与的情况下进行讨论和决定,”主持欧盟峰会的欧洲理事会主席安东尼奥·科斯塔周四对记者表示。
“The future of European security cannot be discussed and decided without Europe,” said European Council President Antonio Costa, who oversees EU summits, speaking to reporters on Thursday.
但一些官员表示,至少表现出愿意现在就开始某些对话是务实之举,以使美国和俄罗斯保持参与,上述人士透露。然而,这些官员警告称,在达成和平协议之前、且未获得所有欧盟和北约成员国完全一致同意之前,不应做出任何决定。
But some officials said it is pragmatic to at least show a willingness to start certain conversations now to keep both the US and Russia engaged, the people said. These officials cautioned, however, that no decisions should be made until after a peace deal, and with full agreement from all EU and NATO members.
美国最近重启了与俄罗斯和乌克兰的三方会谈,这是自二月以来首次。美国特使史蒂夫·威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳周四在莫斯科会见了俄罗斯领导人弗拉基米尔·普京,随后飞往都柏林向乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基通报情况。
The US recently restarted trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine for the first time since February. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met with Russian leader Vladimir Putin on Thursday in Moscow, before flying to Dublin to debrief Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
泽连斯基表示,俄罗斯已同意在下一轮谈判中纳入欧洲官员——这一前景引发了领导人间关于谁应代表该大陆的循环辩论。
Zelenskyy said Russia had agreed to include European officials in the next round of negotiations — a prospect that has prompted circular debates among leaders over who should represent the continent.
尽管如此,泽连斯基正鼓励欧洲加入谈判,称他看到在未来几个月取得进展的契机。
Still, Zelenskyy is encouraging Europe to join the talks, saying he sees an opening to make progress in the coming months.
这一议题主导了周四在都柏林举行的欧洲政治共同体峰会,与会者包括泽连斯基以及约50位欧洲和世界领导人。欧盟领导人周五重聚举行他们自己的峰会,乌克兰再次成为焦点。
The topic dominated a summit in Dublin on Thursday of the European Political Community, which included Zelenskyy and roughly 50 European and world leaders. EU leaders reconvened Friday for their own summit, where Ukraine was once again the focus.
领导人表示,他们敏锐地意识到,俄罗斯将抓住欧洲内部任何被察觉到的不和之机,这使得以统一口径处理安全等敏感议题显得至关重要。
Leaders said they’re keenly aware that Russia will pounce on any perceived disharmony within Europe, making it essential to approach touchy subjects like security with a united message.
“只要乌克兰希望我们参与不同的会谈,我们显然应该这么做,”瑞典首相乌尔夫·克里斯特松对记者说。
“As long as Ukraine wants us to participate in different talks we should do that, obviously,” Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson told reporters.
但他补充道:“我非常担心出现一种局面,即不同国家觉得自己有特定义务同俄罗斯对话。”
But, he added, “I’m very afraid of a situation where different countries feel they have a specific obligation to talk with Russia.”