一项最新调查显示，缅因州民主党参议员候选人特洛伊·杰克逊（Troy Jackson）在该州参议院竞选中微弱领先于现任参议员苏珊·柯林斯（R-Maine）。
Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson is narrowly leading Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) in the race for her seat, according to a new survey.
根据美国退休人员协会（AARP）的民调，50%的受访者表示如果当天举行选举，他们会“绝对”或“可能”投票给杰克逊或倾向于支持他，而持同样态度支持柯林斯的比例为47%。另有1%的人表示会选择其他候选人，3%的人尚未决定。该民调的误差范围为正负3.13个百分点。
In the AARP poll, 50 percent of respondents said they would “definitely” or “probably” cast their ballot for Jackson if the election occurred that day or were leaning toward doing so, with 47 percent saying the same of Collins. One percent said they would choose a different candidate, and 3 percent were unsure of their candidate of choice. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.13 percentage points.
这项AARP民调是在中期选举还有一个月左右、共和党面临艰难政治形势的背景下进行的。共和党面临的挑战包括特朗普总统支持率下滑、已持续半年多的不受欢迎的伊朗战争，以及对经济的担忧。
The AARP poll comes amid rocky political territory for Republicans with the midterms about a month out. Challenges facing the GOP include President Trump’s sliding approval rating, the unpopular war in Iran, which has lasted for over half the year, and concerns about the economy.
曾任缅因州参议院议长的杰克逊于7月正式获得民主党提名，将在大选中挑战柯林斯。在因丑闻缠身而退出的前候选人格雷厄姆·普拉特纳（Graham Platner）之前，缅因州的民主党人在大会召开前基本上团结在了杰克逊周围。
Jackson, a former Maine state Senate president, formally clinched in July the Democratic nomination to challenge Collins in the general election. Democrats in Maine mostly came together around Jackson before a convention to replace former candidate Graham Platner, whose campaign was weighed down by scandal.
无党派选举预测机构“库克政治报告”（Cook Political Report）将缅因州的参议院竞选视为“胜负难料”的选区，前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯赢得了该州2024年的总统大选。
The Senate race in Maine is considered a “toss up” by the nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report, and former Vice President Kamala Harris won the state in the 2024 presidential election.
AARP的民调还发现，民主党候选人汉娜·平格里（Hannah Pingree）在缅因州州长竞选中领先。52%的受访者表示，如果当天举行选举，他们会“绝对”或“可能”投票给她或倾向于支持她。39%的人对她的共和党对手罗伯特·查尔斯（Robert Charles）持相同看法，6%的人支持独立候选人里克·贝内特（Rick Bennett）。
The AARP poll also found the Democratic candidate, Hannah Pingree, leading in the governor’s race in Maine. Fifty-two percent of respondents said they would “definitely” or “probably” cast their ballot for her if the election occurred that day or were leaning toward doing so. Thirty-nine percent said the same of her Republican opponent, Robert Charles, with 6 percent backing an independent candidate, Rick Bennett.
此次AARP民调于9月20日至22日进行，调查了缅因州的982名潜在选民。
The AARP poll took place from Sept. 20-22 and featured 982 likely voters in Maine.