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缅因州关键选战新广告强调参议院控制权New Ad In Critical Maine Race Emphasizes Senate Control

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Senator Susan Collins, a Republican from Maine, speaks to members of the media while campaigning ahead of the midterm election at the Fryeburg Fair in Fryeburg, Maine, US, on Friday, Oct. 9, 2026. The Maine race is crucial to both parties' quest to win a Senate majority in November's midterm electioSenator Susan Collins, a Republican from Maine, speaks to members of the media while campaigning ahead of the midterm election at the Fryeburg Fair in Fryeburg, Maine, US, on Friday, Oct. 9, 2026. The Maine race is crucial to both parties' quest to win a Senate majority in November's midterm electio

在缅因州这场备受瞩目且竞争激烈的选战中,特洛伊·杰克逊的竞选团队发布了一则新广告,聚焦参议院的控制权,称若共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯获胜,将增强总统唐纳德·特朗普的权力。

A new ad from Troy Jackson’s campaign in Maine’s high-profile and heavily-contested battle with GOP Sen. Susan Collins focuses on control of the Senate, arguing her victory would empower President Donald Trump.

这则30秒广告的开场由一群看似普通缅因州民众的旁白说道:“一切都取决于缅因州。取决于我们。如果我们把苏珊·柯林斯送回华盛顿,特朗普就在参议院拥有多数席位。”“他将再次拥有完全的控制权。”广告的明确意图是:在该州厌恶特朗普的选民中,争取民主党人和独立人士的坚定倒戈。

“It all comes down to Maine. It comes down to us. If we send Susan Collins back to Washington, Trump has a majority in the Senate,” the ad’s narrators, a collection of seemingly everyday Mainers, say at the start of the 30-second ad. “He’ll have total control again.”The ad’s clear intent: Staunch defections among Democrats and independents in the state’s Trump-loathing electorate.

这则广告发布时距离选举日已不足两周;杰克逊曾是伐木工,后来升任缅因州参议院议长,目前在民调平均值中略微领先,大多数预测机构认为这场选战胜负难料,不过选举专家内特·西尔弗的模型显示他获胜的几率约为70%。

The ad comes with less than two weeks before Election Day; Jackson, a onetime logger who rose to become Maine’s Senate president has a narrow lead in polling averages and most forecasters consider the race a toss-up, though elections guru Nate Silver’s model gives him a roughly 70% chance of victory.

强调参议院控制权的利害关系可能有助于杰克逊赢得那些不认可特朗普和共和党、但仍被柯林斯相对温和的纪录和在国会中的影响力所吸引的选民。《华盛顿邮报》本月早些时候发布的一项调查发现,杰克逊以50%对46%领先,但选民更希望民主党控制参议院,比例为55%对42%。

Emphasizing the stakes of Senate control could help Jackson win over voters who don’t approve of Trump and the GOP but are nonetheless won over by Collins’ record of relative moderation and power in Congress. A Washington Post survey released earlier this month found Jackson with a 50% to 46% lead, but with voters preferring Democrats control the Senate by a 55% to 42% margin.

民主党在包括艾奥瓦州和堪萨斯州在内的更偏红州的竞争取得成功,为他们创造了更多可能性:即便失去缅因州,也能赢得参议院控制权。但在这个副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯以七个百分点优势获胜的州取得胜利,仍然是他们所有最可能的路径中通往51席或更多参议院席位的一部分。

Democrats’ success in competing in redder states, including Iowa and Kansas, has opened up more possibilities for them to win control of the Senate while losing Maine. But victory in the state, which Vice President Kamala Harris won by seven percentage points, is still part of all of their most likely paths to 51 or more Senate seats.

广告指出,柯林斯有96%的时间与特朗普投票一致,并暗示将她送回华盛顿将导致“更多医疗削减、更高成本和更多战争”。“我们都知道,投票给苏珊·柯林斯就是投票给特朗普,”广告总结道。

The ad notes Collins has voted with Trump 96% of the time, and suggests sending her back to Washington would lead “to more cuts to health care, higher costs and more war.”“We all know a vote for Susan Collins is a vote for Trump,” the ad concludes.

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