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德国央行行长称:今年德国经济有望增长1%German Economy Might Grow 1% This Year, Bundesbank Chief Says

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据佐伊·施奈韦斯报道,德国央行行长约阿希姆·纳格尔表示,今年德国的经济产出有望实现1%的增长。

Germany’s output could grow 1% this year, according to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel.

纳格尔周五晚在罗斯托克发表演讲时称:“从经济角度来看,目前德国的形势并不算糟糕。在经历了三年的经济停滞之后,全年经济平均增长1%是完全有可能的,这虽是个小幅增长,却是一个重要的积极信号。”不过,这一预测值低于德国多家权威经济研究机构上周给出的1.3%的增长预期。德国央行每年仅发布两次经济预测,最近一次是在6月份,当时该行预计2026年的经济增长率仅为0.5%。

“From an economic standpoint, the situation in Germany doesn’t look all that bad right now,” he said in a speech in Rostock on Friday evening. “It’s quite possible that we’ll see real economic growth of about 1% on an annual average — after three years of stagnation, that would indeed be a small but significant signal.”Nagel’s estimate is lower than the 1.3% projection Germany’s leading economic research institutes published last week. The Bundesbank only publishes forecasts twice a year, most recently in June. At the time, it predicted 2026 growth of just 0.5%.

纳格尔还指出:“2026年上半年,德国经济表现远好于几个月前的预期,正逐步走向复苏。考虑到关税争端和中东冲突带来的种种压力,这样的表现实属难能可贵。”

“In the first half of 2026, the economy performed significantly better than expected just a few months ago,” he said. “It’s on the path to recovery. Given the pressures caused by the tariff antics and the Middle East conflict, this is quite remarkable.”

不过他也强调:“当前的经济复苏势头不应阻碍我们着力强化自身的结构性增长动力。”

Still, Nagel highlighted that “the current recovery shouldn’t prevent us from working purposefully to strengthen our structural growth factors.”