
德国储蓄银行协会主席周四表示,德国初现端倪的经济复苏或能缓解近期各州选举中出现的两极分化现象。
Germany's nascent economic recovery could curb the polarization seen in recent state elections, the president of the country's savings banks association said on Thursday.
政府已将2026年的经济增长预测上调至1.3%,2027年则为1.1%,高于4月份预测的2026年0.5%和2027年0.9%。
The government has raised its forecast for economic growth to 1.3% in 2026 and 1.1% in 2027, up from 0.5% growth for 2026 and 0.9% respectively in its April projections.
在9月份的地区选举中,德国经济疲软成为一大痛点,导致极右翼和极左翼政党大幅得票。因此,任何经济复苏迹象都将受到总理弗里德里希·默茨的欢迎。
Any pickup would be welcomed by Chancellor Friedrich Merz after Germany's sluggish economy proved a sore point in September's regional elections that resulted in big gains for the far right and far left.
DSGV主席乌尔里希·罗伊特在曼谷国际货币基金组织会议间隙表示:“如果民众感到当前经济增长的成果能更多惠及自身,那么向极端政党的倾斜趋势将在一定程度上减弱。”
"If people feel that more of the growth we are currently seeing is reaching them, the drift toward extremist parties will subside to some extent," Ulrich Reuter, president of the DSGV, said on the sidelines of the IMF meeting in Bangkok.
他向路透社表示,最积极的信号之一是初创企业的蓬勃发展。根据德国经济部的数据,2026年上半年德国成立了超过3000家初创企业,创下历史新高,较此前六个月增长了52%。
One of the most positive signals was the boom in startups, he told Reuters. More than 3,000 startups were founded in Germany in the first half of 2026, according to economy ministry data, an all-time record and a 52% increase from the previous six months.
他说:“对现有商业模式的投入以及新公司的创建,是未来的基础。”
"Investments in existing business models and the creation of new companies are the foundation of the future," he said.
2026年上半年,储蓄银行批准发放给企业和个体经营者的新贷款比一年前增长了5.8%。罗伊特表示,这表明企业再次更愿意进行投资,不仅用于设备更新,也着眼于未来。罗伊特预计,未来两年贷款需求将继续上升。他还表示,必须保持改革的基本方向,不得放缓改革进程。
In the first half of 2026, the savings banks approved 5.8% more new loans for companies and self-employed people than a year earlier, which Reuter said showed that businesses were again more willing to invest not only in replacing equipment, but in the future. Reuter expects demand for loans to continue to rise over the next two years. He said the fundamental direction of the reforms must be maintained and should not be slowed down.
由保守派和社会民主党组成的执政联盟所宣布的投资推动和经济改革未能赢得选民支持。社会民主党(SPD)现在将在新年前后举行的党代会上重新选举领导层,这可能会推迟原定的改革计划。
The investment push and economic reforms announced by the ruling coalition of conservatives and Social Democrats have failed to win over voters, and the SPD will now re-elect its leadership at a party congress around the turn of the year, potentially delaying planned reforms.
路透表示,为充分发挥初创企业及成熟企业的潜力,政府应优先大力削减不必要的官僚程序。
To unlock the full potential of startups and established businesses, the government's priority should be a bold reduction in unnecessary bureaucracy, Reuter said.
“我们需要松开刹车,”他说,“企业的发展依赖于能够顺利开展各项业务。”
"We need to take our foot off the brake," he said. "Businesses live by being able to do things."