世界银行表示，尽管伊朗战争带来逆风，撒哈拉以南非洲的经济增长今年将略微加速。
Africa’s economic growth will accelerate slightly this year despite headwinds from the Iran war, the World Bank said.
这家总部位于华盛顿的贷款机构在周二发布的半年度《非洲经济更新》中预测，2026年增长率将达到4.3%，高于去年的4.1%。这比其4月份的预测高出0.3个百分点。
The Washington-based lender projected growth of 4.3% in 2026 from 4.1% last year in its semi-annual Africa Economic Update released Tuesday. That represents a 0.3 percentage point increase above its April forecast.
“尽管全球环境充满挑战，撒哈拉以南非洲的经济活动继续展现出惊人的韧性，”非洲区首席经济学家安德鲁·达巴伦在声明中表示。“这些成果反映了多年的改革和经济管理的改善。”
“Despite a challenging global environment, economic activity in sub-Saharan Africa continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience,” Andrew Dabalen, chief economist for the Africa region, said in a statement. “These gains reflect years of reforms and improved economic management.”
他表示，该地区近四分之三国家的预测被上调，包括安哥拉、埃塞俄比亚、尼日利亚和赞比亚。
Forecasts were upgraded for nearly three-quarters of countries in the region, including Angola, Ethiopia, Nigeria and Zambia, he said.
较高的油价损害了依赖燃料进口的国家，但为包括非洲在内的石油出口国带来了意外之财，较高的大宗商品价格也使赞比亚等主要铜生产国受益。
Higher oil prices hurt countries that rely on fuel imports but are producing a windfall for oil-exporting nations including those in Africa, as have higher commodity prices for a major copper producer like Zambia.
尽管如此，风险仍倾向于下行，中东冲突导致的燃料和化肥价格上涨推高了中位数通胀，该行预计今年通胀将从2025年的3.7%升至5.5%。
Sill, risks remained tilted to the downside, with higher fuel and fertilizer prices caused by the Middle East conflict pushing up median inflation, which the bank expects to rise to 5.5% this year from 3.7% in 2025.
该行表示：“随着发展援助减少，各国面临越来越大的压力，需要动员国内资源、深化本地资本市场，并获得更可持续的融资。”
“With development assistance declining, countries face growing pressure to mobilize domestic resource mobilization, deepen local capital markets, and secure more sustainable financing,” the bank said.